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OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Rakosi posted:

In this case then Britain should do its absolute best to sabotage and tank the economies of apparently hostile powers as much as possible. Not being glib, but in this fantasy world of the EU deliberately conspiring to commit to trade wars against the UK, then maybe we should reply in kind and feel justified in doing so at the same time.

Not that any of this will happen, of course. It's all arzying over a fantasy doomsday scenario. There are more things that bind the EU and the UK together aside from economics; military, intelligence, etc. Sacrificing the latter two for the sake of economics is a very bad deal for the EU imo, especially in a world where the US is also questioning NATO support.

I uh, don't think that "if I can't have it nobody can" has produced very good results for anybody in the long run.

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sebzilla
Mar 17, 2009

Kid's blasting everything in sight with that new-fangled musket.


CON: 311
LAB: 274
LD: 4
Other: 61

Charity: Samaritans

AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer

Julio Cruz posted:

Nothing in there about him supporting the IRA, unless of course refusing to condemn one side without condemning the other counts (lol of course it does)

Corbyn worked with the "Troops out movement" I don't expect people to understand what it was today as it's all ancient history now. But basically it would have given the IRA everything they wanted and if implemented as demanded would have created an epic clusterfuck of a situation with disbanding the RUC and the UDR, giving Northern Ireland to the Republic, the public of who, polls at the time said 75% didn't want if it meant paying more taxes. Not even mentioning the likely violent reaction of the Unionists.

I understand if people aren't interested in this crap but bollocks is bollocks, Corbyn supported and was sympathetic to the IRA during the years of violence, it's a fact and not liking it, won't change it. Even the SDLP, a Nationalist party who actually did work for a peace process said he's full of it.

Entropy238
Oct 21, 2010

Fallen Rib

here we ... here we ... here we loving go!!!

Communist Thoughts
Jan 7, 2008

Our war against free speech cannot end until we silence this bronze beast!


goddamnedtwisto posted:

Actually that reminds me - I was going to set up a book for the election and completely forgot about it.

So here we go - forget vote share, that's for internal wrangling afterwards and arguments about FPTP, the important thing is who ends up running the country and how much they're going to have to fight their own backbenchers afterwards.

To enter, quote this post (or PM me if you'd prefer to enter anonymously) with the total amount of seats you think will be won by:

CON: Currently 331 including the Speaker
LAB: Currently 229
LD: Currently 9
Other: 81


Hell realm guess.
CON 410
LAB 183
LD 7
Other 50

Newspapers are just trying to sell papers by making us hype for a close finish.

British public probably won't vote for terrorist grandpa just because he has good policies.

Charity: Homeless Link

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Rakosi posted:

In this case then Britain should do its absolute best to sabotage and tank the economies of apparently hostile powers as much as possible. Not being glib, but in this fantasy world of the EU deliberately conspiring to commit to trade wars against the UK, then maybe we should reply in kind and feel justified in doing so at the same time.

Not that any of this will happen, of course. It's all arzying over a fantasy doomsday scenario. There are more things that bind the EU and the UK together aside from economics; military, intelligence, etc. Sacrificing the latter two for the sake of economics is a very bad deal for the EU imo, especially in a world where the US is also questioning NATO support.

The basic problem is that Theresa May's strategy seems to be based on threatening to withdraw those political/military/intelligence connections if her impossible demands are not met. As soon as Britain appears to no longer be a reliable ally in those other ways, asset-stripping it is going to seem a lot more appealing. As for the idea of trade-warring back, we'd be in a vastly disadvantageous position if the EU goes economically hostile, since no longer being the wealthy English-speaking member of the EU would give our nomadic businesses little reason to stick around.

I don't think that a trade-war is an automatic result of Brexit, but it's an extremely likely result of the hostile Brexit May is pushing us towards. We can't rely on continental European caution nearly as much as her team seems to believe, seeing as her threats could in fact end up as opportunities.

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013


"هذا ليس عادلاً."
"هذا ليس عادلاً على الإطلاق."
"كان هناك وقت الآن."
(السياق الخفي: للقراءة)

AP posted:

Corbyn worked with the "Troops out movement" I don't expect people to understand what it was today as it's all ancient history now. But basically it would have given the IRA everything they wanted and if implemented as demanded would have created an epic clusterfuck of a situation with disbanding the RUC and the UDR, giving Northern Ireland to the Republic, the public of who, polls at the time said 75% didn't want if it meant paying more taxes. Not even mentioning the likely violent reaction of the Unionists.

I understand if people aren't interested in this crap but bollocks is bollocks, Corbyn supported and was sympathetic to the IRA during the years of violence, it's a fact and not liking it, won't change it. Even the SDLP, a Nationalist party who actually did work for a peace process said he's full of it.

How many were opposed if it meant less/fewer taxes?

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

jabby posted:

The big thread party that we didn't invite you to.

You really don't want to commit to any sort of prediction of your own do you.


nopantsjack posted:

Hell realm guess.
CON 410
LAB 183
LD 7
Other 50

Newspapers are just trying to sell papers by making us hype for a close finish.

British public probably won't vote for terrorist grandpa just because he has good policies.

Charity: Homeless Link

The problem for labour is that the people who say they will vote labour are the people who don't vote.

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

AP posted:

Corbyn worked with the "Troops out movement" I don't expect people to understand what it was today as it's all ancient history now. But basically it would have given the IRA everything they wanted and if implemented as demanded would have created an epic clusterfuck of a situation with disbanding the RUC and the UDR, giving Northern Ireland to the Republic, the public of who, polls at the time said 75% didn't want if it meant paying more taxes. Not even mentioning the likely violent reaction of the Unionists.

I understand if people aren't interested in this crap but bollocks is bollocks, Corbyn supported and was sympathetic to the IRA during the years of violence, it's a fact and not liking it, won't change it. Even the SDLP, a Nationalist party who actually did work for a peace process said he's full of it.

It's not controversial to say that Corbyn supported a united Ireland and so supported the withdrawal of British troops which were preventing that from happening and also met with Sinn Fein who were the political party which wanted that as well. It's accusations that he did it as a means of supporting and encouraging the violence which is wrong because peace is what he says is his motivation and when peace is agreed amongst the warring parties he supports it.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:

Jose posted:

May campaigned for remain and is now all in for hard brexit lol

She didn't campaign, per se.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Pissflaps posted:

You really don't want to commit to any sort of prediction of your own do you.

I don't pretend to know what's going to happen, I just find it funny that you constantly accused Corbyn supporters of disbelieving the polls and now you predict a Labour result a good 6 points below where they're polling.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

Rakosi posted:

Lib dem (admittedly a bit loose to count that as a 'win')/tory/brexit and then Labour under JC. Already gone into why I'm switching and it's not a hard switch at that.


Not one bit of this is a good enough justification for blowing up innocent people in pubs. I'd keep this kind of praise of Corbyn to yourself if you're trying to win anyone over.

I'm not trying to win anyone over and I hope Corbyn can overcome this issue. I was responding solely to the insinuation that I should be horrified at anyone having sympathy with the IRA.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Pissflaps posted:

You really don't want to commit to any sort of prediction of your own do you.


The problem for labour is that the people who say they will vote labour are the people who don't vote.

Didn't the polling companies drastically shift their weighting? That would imply that we're seeing a shift in opinion among the people who are likely to vote.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

Pissflaps posted:

The problem for labour is that the people who say they will vote labour are the people who don't vote.

Can we use this as an excuse if/when Labour don't win? I'm ok with "Corbyn failed by voters".

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Darth Walrus posted:

Didn't the polling companies drastically shift their weighting?
Yes

Rakosi
May 5, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
NO-QUARTERMASTER


From the river (of Palestinian blood) to the sea (of Palestinian tears)

Darth Walrus posted:

The basic problem is that Theresa May's strategy seems to be based on threatening to withdraw those political/military/intelligence connections if her impossible demands are not met. As soon as Britain appears to no longer be a reliable ally in those other ways, asset-stripping it is going to seem a lot more appealing. As for the idea of trade-warring back, we'd be in a vastly disadvantageous position if the EU goes economically hostile, since no longer being the wealthy English-speaking member of the EU would give our nomadic businesses little reason to stick around.

I don't think that a trade-war is an automatic result of Brexit, but it's an extremely likely result of the hostile Brexit May is pushing us towards. We can't rely on continental European caution nearly as much as her team seems to believe, seeing as her threats could in fact end up as opportunities.

I would think that recent events in Manchester have made a military/intelligence divorce between the UK and the EU a political impossibility for May. This is part of her bluster, and is something she would be politically unable to deliver on as it would put our country at risk and everyone knows it. I agree with you on this and that's exactly why I think the rest of the scenario is fantasy and won't happen. Any talk of EU trade-wars after the fact is arzying. May has staked her position and I think eventually her bluff will be called and she'll have to backtrack. This is a part of why I am throwing my vote at Labour this time; they start from a slightly more realistic premise and cut out some of the political bullshit- something some of the more sabre-rattling EU politicians can learn from. May is not the only idiot leader in the EU on this issue.

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes

Pissflaps posted:

You really don't want to commit to any sort of prediction of your own do you.

huh, i thought flaps had a pretty decent score at the vitally important for internet dickwaving (ability to troll):(ability to be trolled) ratio but it does seem pretty easy to make him repeatedly post at you just by implying he was wrong about a thing once

guess that's useful information for those who find enjoyment in such things

Rakosi
May 5, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
NO-QUARTERMASTER


From the river (of Palestinian blood) to the sea (of Palestinian tears)

Regarde Aduck posted:

I'm not trying to win anyone over and I hope Corbyn can overcome this issue. I was responding solely to the insinuation that I should be horrified at anyone having sympathy with the IRA.

Sorry, must have misinterpreted what you were trying to say.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Regarde Aduck posted:

Can we use this as an excuse if/when Labour don't win? I'm ok with "Corbyn failed by voters".

Yeah, but rabid classism is kind of your thing.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

jabby posted:

I don't pretend to know what's going to happen, I just find it funny that you constantly accused Corbyn supporters of disbelieving the polls and now you predict a Labour result a good 6 points below where they're polling.

I already told you I don't disbelieve the polls.

I find it funny that you'll proclaim 'it's on' yet also claim to not have an opinion about what you think will happen.


Angepain posted:

huh, i thought flaps had a pretty decent score at the vitally important for internet dickwaving (ability to troll):(ability to be trolled) ratio but it does seem pretty easy to make him repeatedly post at you just by implying he was wrong about a thing once

guess that's useful information for those who find enjoyment in such things

None of this makes sense to me.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

A jammy FA cup win?

https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/868567732027052034

AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer

namesake posted:

It's not controversial to say that Corbyn supported a united Ireland and so supported the withdrawal of British troops which were preventing that from happening and also met with Sinn Fein who were the political party which wanted that as well. It's accusations that he did it as a means of supporting and encouraging the violence which is wrong because peace is what he says is his motivation and when peace is agreed amongst the warring parties he supports it.

I don't see how you can support the Troops out Movement & meet with Sinn Féin in the 70's & 80's without supporting and encouraging violence. Sinn Féin was the political wing of the IRA and the IRA were killing people, the Troops out Movement was a hardline Republican movement and their demands were everything the IRA wanted. Remember this was before one of the most bizzare episodes in the troubles, the broadcasting ban.

He wasn't working for the peace process, well I mean maybe having a mate who was a Labour MP meant they felt more kindly towards some more MP's but if he was trying to convince them to stop killing people it's funny how he never said anything in public about it.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

It would be rather difficult to attempt to negotiate peace with the IRA without talking to the IRA.

Crosspeice
Aug 9, 2013

It is on.

You really need a hobby, Flaps, yet another monthly thread draws to a close and yet again you're the top poster. But as a positive, that week off did you good, usually you're double the post count of second place at like 700 posts or something. Consider taking more weeks off.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

OwlFancier posted:

It would be rather difficult to attempt to negotiate peace with the IRA without talking to the IRA.

Are you claiming Corbyn negotiated the Northern Ireland peace process?

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Crosspeice posted:

You really need a hobby, Flaps, yet another monthly thread draws to a close and yet again you're the top poster.

That's very kind of you to say thank you.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Pissflaps posted:

Are you claiming Corbyn negotiated the Northern Ireland peace process?

Not unless he's a shapeshifter. That's easily one of the best things that New Labour pursued.

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

namesake posted:

It's not controversial to say that Corbyn supported a united Ireland and so supported the withdrawal of British troops which were preventing that from happening and also met with Sinn Fein who were the political party which wanted that as well. It's accusations that he did it as a means of supporting and encouraging the violence which is wrong because peace is what he says is his motivation and when peace is agreed amongst the warring parties he supports it.

It's entirely possible for someone to think that maybe the IRA has a reason to be unhappy with their country being occupied while also thinking that blowing people up is bad. The point that Corbyn is trying to make whenever he gets asked to disavow IRA bombings is that both sides were carrying out violent acts and it's purely because of historical whitewashing that people believe otherwise (we can't have done that, we're the good guys!)

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Pissflaps posted:

I already told you I don't disbelieve the polls.

I find it funny that you'll proclaim 'it's on' yet also claim to not have an opinion about what you think will happen.

I know what I want to happen, not what will happen. I think your 'prediction' is you confusing the two.

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

TheRat posted:

A jammy FA cup win?

No I think Arsenal were definitely the better team.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

jabby posted:

I know what I want to happen, not what will happen. I think your 'prediction' is you confusing the two.

I'm not confused about the difference at all. Thank you for agreeing that you claim to have no opinion about what you think will happen.

Skinty McEdger
Mar 9, 2008

I have NEVER received the respect I deserve as the leader and founder of The Masterflock, the internet's largest and oldest Christopher Masterpiece fan group in all of history, and I DEMAND that changes. From now on, you will respect Skinty McEdger!

I'll be honest, at this point Corbyn's support for Arsenal is a far larger concern for me than his perceived support of the IRA.

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

Skinty McEdger posted:

I'll be honest, at this point Corbyn's support for Arsenal is a far larger concern for me than his perceived support of the IRA.

He's the MP for Islington, his choices are either "support Arsenal" or "dislike football", and even then the second one is a bit dicey.

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.
flap gonna piss

AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer

Julio Cruz posted:

It's entirely possible for someone to think that maybe the IRA has a reason to be unhappy with their country being occupied while also thinking that blowing people up is bad. The point that Corbyn is trying to make whenever he gets asked to disavow IRA bombings is that both sides were carrying out violent acts and it's purely because of historical whitewashing that people believe otherwise (we can't have done that, we're the good guys!)

You should read up on the Irish Civil War. Life isn't simple and complex problems certainly don't have simple solutions.

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

AP posted:

I don't see how you can support the Troops out Movement & meet with Sinn Féin in the 70's & 80's without supporting and encouraging violence. Sinn Féin was the political wing of the IRA and the IRA were killing people, the Troops out Movement was a hardline Republican movement and their demands were everything the IRA wanted. Remember this was before one of the most bizzare episodes in the troubles, the broadcasting ban.

He wasn't working for the peace process, well I mean maybe having a mate who was a Labour MP meant they felt more kindly towards some more MP's but if he was trying to convince them to stop killing people it's funny how he never said anything in public about it.

Well they were balancing the ballot box and the Armalite at the time so I'd say having at least some contact with British establishment which wasn't literally attacking them was probably quite helpful to getting some of them to acknowledge that maybe the peaceful way could work.

Hell in the end it didn't work; NI is still part of the UK but they started speaking to other parts of the British state and hammered out peace. All anyone ever has against Corbyn on these things is guilt by association.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Pissflaps posted:

Thank you for agreeing that you claim to have no opinion about what you think will happen.

Have you considered a less ridiculous writing style?

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

AP posted:

You should read up on the Irish Civil War. Life isn't simple and complex problems certainly don't have simple solutions.

Nor can complicated positions be easily summed up as "he supported the IRA".

Julio Cruz fucked around with this message at 22:44 on May 27, 2017

stev
Jan 22, 2013

Please be excited.



AP posted:

You should read up on the Irish Civil War. Life isn't simple and complex problems certainly don't have simple solutions.

Yes sometimes solutions involve talking to people.

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AP
Jul 12, 2004

One Ring to fool them all
One Ring to find them
One Ring to milk them all
and pockets fully line them
Grimey Drawer

OwlFancier posted:

It would be rather difficult to attempt to negotiate peace with the IRA without talking to the IRA.

What is there to negotiate when you support a group that wants all their demands met?

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