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Which Thread Title shall we name this new thread?
This poll is closed.
Independence Day 2: Resturgeonce 44 21.36%
ScotPol - Unclustering this gently caress 19 9.22%
Trainspotting 2: Independence is my heroin 9 4.37%
Indyref II: Boris hosed a Dead Country 14 6.80%
ScotPol: Wings over Bullshit 8 3.88%
Independence 2: Cameron Lied, UK Died 24 11.65%
Scotpol IV: I Vow To Flee My Country 14 6.80%
ScotPol - A twice in a generation thread 17 8.25%
ScotPol - Where Everything's hosed Up and the Referendums Don't Matter 15 7.28%
ScotPol Thread: Dependence Referendum Incoming 2 0.97%
Indyref II: The Scottish Insturgeoncy 10 4.85%
ScotPol Thread: Act of European Union 5 2.43%
ScotPol - Like Game of Thrones only we wish we would all die 25 12.14%
Total: 206 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

Angepain posted:

I'm still prevaricating a bit myself because the parliamentary party has had a big say in how the party is run, and if Corbyn does not win super big can I really trust my local labour candidate who I've never heard of not to go full Liz Kendall Now on us. Which isn't exactly something one can ask a prospective candidate before an election and expect an honest or meaningful answer.

Who's your candidate? If you want, I can ask about and see what the party thinks of them internally.

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Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes
To avoid such hearsay appearing on a cursory google, I'll use my advanced unhackable cryptographic methods to tell you it's sknahs leahcim. Regular secret spy agent guy, me.

Extreme0
Feb 28, 2013

I dance to the sweet tune of your failure so I'm never gonna stop fucking with you.

Continue to get confused and frustrated with me as I dance to your anger.

As I expect nothing more from ya you stupid runt!


"Why do people vote for the SNP instead of voting Labour like they want too?!"

Because FPTP. I wouldn't be voting SNP if I had the chance of voting someone else without the risk of Tories getting in.

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

Angepain posted:

To avoid such hearsay appearing on a cursory google, I'll use my advanced unhackable cryptographic methods to tell you it's sknahs leahcim. Regular secret spy agent guy, me.

Right, well, I can't find anyone who's met him personally, but he's written for Labour Hame, not exactly a, uh, notable hotbed of Corbynites, and you'll find his name on this list: http://labourhame.com/scottish-labour-members-call-for-corbyn-to-go/

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes

Autonomous Monster posted:

Right, well, I can't find anyone who's met him personally, but he's written for Labour Hame, not exactly a, uh, notable hotbed of Corbynites, and you'll find his name on this list: http://labourhame.com/scottish-labour-members-call-for-corbyn-to-go/

Yeah, that doesn't look fantastically promising. Thanks for the detective work.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


jre posted:

While labour have been shite for the last decade or so, I don't understand how anyone who claims to be a lefty can not vote for a party who are wanting to renationalise industry and increase public sector pay.

Because this isn't a presidential election, & I'm not sure returning 50 Ian Murray's who'd refuse to toe the line is actually all that much better than 50 Nats. Not that all of the Labour candidates are as shite as Ian Murray, just a hypothetical. But if you're local candidate is in fact not great, such as my local Labour candidate who seems to be more excited about the prospect of a Tory unseating Angus Robertson in Moray than anything else going by his Twitter, there are actually reasons for someone who is a lefty to not vote for Labour. Because while the party might want those good things, I'm far from convinced that every candidate wants them. Add that to the fact that the Tories are the only party with a chance of unseating the SNP here, & Labour will finish 4th, I might still vote for them but only because the SNP candidate should still have a comfortable majority. I'd rather send an SNP MP to Westminster from Inverness than a Tory, that's for sure.

Also, Scottish Labour have been shite for a lot longer than the last decade.

Obliterati
Nov 13, 2012

Pain is inevitable.
Suffering is optional.
Thunderdome is forever.
SNP MPs would unironically be better for a Corbyn government than anyone in Scottish Labour.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Obliterati posted:

SNP MPs would unironically be better for a Corbyn government than anyone in Scottish Labour.

This is also not true. There are good Labour candidates running. Not nearly as many as I'd like, but a Campaign for Socialism ScotLab MP is light years ahead of almost every (if not every) SNP MP.

Kill All Cops
Apr 11, 2007


Pacheco de Chocobo



Hell Gem
Seems like an easy Stephen Gethins vote for NE Fife

Obliterati
Nov 13, 2012

Pain is inevitable.
Suffering is optional.
Thunderdome is forever.

forkboy84 posted:

This is also not true. There are good Labour candidates running. Not nearly as many as I'd like, but a Campaign for Socialism ScotLab MP is light years ahead of almost every (if not every) SNP MP.

Yeah you know what, I take that back. It's a weird election for the SNP left.

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

forkboy84 posted:

This is also not true. There are good Labour candidates running. Not nearly as many as I'd like, but a Campaign for Socialism ScotLab MP is light years ahead of almost every (if not every) SNP MP.

Oh, right. I should have posted this weeks ago:



Of these, Berwickshire and Dumfriesshire are almost certain to go Tory. Everywhere else, I don't think [e: the Tories] have got a prayer. They're in third place in all of them, and by some margin everywhere except Dundee East and Ochil.

KOGAHAZAN!! fucked around with this message at 12:38 on Jun 5, 2017

mehall
Aug 27, 2010


Autonomous Monster posted:

Oh, right. I should have posted this weeks ago:



Of these, Berwickshire and Dumfriesshire are almost certain to go Tory. Everywhere else, I don't think they've got a prayer. They're in third place in all of them, and by some margin everywhere except Dundee East and Ochil.

I genuinely think Matt Kerr might have a shot, though the snp incumbent has a strong record.

cargohills
Apr 18, 2014

The Coatbridge candidate also has a shot.

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

I've advocated specifically for Gordon Munro (Edinburgh North & Leith) before. By far the best shot of getting a Labour seat in Edinburgh outside of South, and he's just an all-round great guy.

Chas McGill
Oct 29, 2010

loves Fat Philippe
Dithering over who to go for in Edinburgh south. Policywise I am a green but I'll vote for whoever can keep the tories-i mean RUTH DAVIDSON'S PARTY-out.

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

The Tories were third in South in 2015, at 17.5%, with SNP at 34% and Labour at 39%. Ian Murray seems to be regarded as a very good constituency MP by his constituents, and (in my very limited campaign experience with South) any voters I've met who've been displeased with him are displeased with him because he's anti-Corbyn. I would be moderately surprised if he lost the seat with the SNP on a downswing, and very surprised if he lost it to the Tories.

Greens aren't standing there, in any case. You've got Labour, Lib Dem, SNP and the blues.

Cat Machine
Jun 18, 2008

cargohills posted:

The Coatbridge candidate also has a shot.
Agreed, Coatbridge SNP MP has been absolutely dire (to the point where he openly admitted he hates being an MP) and Coatbridge was formerly one of the safest Labour seats in the UK

Surely Glasgow East has a chance too with Natalie McGarry completely loving the SNP's reputation there

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

To be clear, when I said "they don't have a prayer", I meant the Tories.

Chas McGill
Oct 29, 2010

loves Fat Philippe

Autonomous Monster posted:

The Tories were third in South in 2015, at 17.5%, with SNP at 34% and Labour at 39%. Ian Murray seems to be regarded as a very good constituency MP by his constituents, and (in my very limited campaign experience with South) any voters I've met who've been displeased with him are displeased with him because he's anti-Corbyn. I would be moderately surprised if he lost the seat with the SNP on a downswing, and very surprised if he lost it to the Tories.

Greens aren't standing there, in any case. You've got Labour, Lib Dem, SNP and the blues.

Ah, I just moved here so I didn't even know. Typical ignorant voter.

I actually haven't had anything through the door from Murray, just multiple Tory and SNP leaflets.

Extreme0
Feb 28, 2013

I dance to the sweet tune of your failure so I'm never gonna stop fucking with you.

Continue to get confused and frustrated with me as I dance to your anger.

As I expect nothing more from ya you stupid runt!




:geno:

GEORGE W BUSHI
Jul 1, 2012

Autonomous Monster posted:

Oh, right. I should have posted this weeks ago:



Of these, Berwickshire and Dumfriesshire are almost certain to go Tory. Everywhere else, I don't think [e: the Tories] have got a prayer. They're in third place in all of them, and by some margin everywhere except Dundee East and Ochil.

without knowing anything about Livingston, I'm really, really hoping Rhea Wolfson gets in. She made the news last year when Jim Murphy tried to block her from getting on the NEC because of her links to Momentum and his concerns about their anti-Semtism despite the fact she was the only Jewish person running for the NEC. It would be a really nice turn of events for her to end up an MP and him to end up a loving nobody.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Baron Corbyn posted:

without knowing anything about Livingston, I'm really, really hoping Rhea Wolfson gets in. She made the news last year when Jim Murphy tried to block her from getting on the NEC because of her links to Momentum and his concerns about their anti-Semtism despite the fact she was the only Jewish person running for the NEC. It would be a really nice turn of events for her to end up an MP and him to end up a loving nobody.

Robin Cook's old seat, the Labour MP after Cook was punted for fiddling his expenses in 2010. Local football team are the shite Scottish version of MK Dons, having moved to Livingston from Meadowbank in the 90s. Sky have a call centre there that turned me down for work, it was a New Town build in the early '60s, slightly less bleak than some of the other New Towns like Cumbernauld & East Kilbride.

And most importantly, Wolfson doesn't have a hope in hell because the nobody SNP candidate will win. So it goes. drat shame but that's ScotPol in 2017

GEORGE W BUSHI
Jul 1, 2012

She's still young so there's plenty of time for her to go onto be successful while Jim Murphy fades into obscurity doing whatever he does now.

E: he's an advisor to Tony Blair lol

Acaila
Jan 2, 2011



I work near Livingston and Labour definitely seem to making progress. Like, one who fanboys over Angela Constance was vocally praising the Labour manifesto last week.

I'll be voting for Cara Hilton even though the leaflets we've had have been just the usual SNPbad of usual ScotLab.

I just really don't want the Tories to do as well as predictions. So hacked off at ScotLab for this tactical voting pish too. Remember who the real enemy is guys!

hookerbot 5000
Dec 21, 2009
I've had two leaflets today, one for "Ruth Davidson's candidate" and one for the Lib Dems. They both have bar charts proving that they are the only ones that can beat the SNP (one based on the 2015 election the other based on the council elections). Labour haven't sent me a leaflet as far as I can tell and there is absolutely nothing online about him (Michael Kelly if anyone knows anything about him).

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

hookerbot 5000 posted:

I've had two leaflets today, one for "Ruth Davidson's candidate" and one for the Lib Dems. They both have bar charts proving that they are the only ones that can beat the SNP (one based on the 2015 election the other based on the council elections). Labour haven't sent me a leaflet as far as I can tell and there is absolutely nothing online about him (Michael Kelly if anyone knows anything about him).

Standing in Argyll and Bute?



I think I've an inkling as to why you're not getting leaflets from Labour...

e: Labour have never won this seat, nor any of the seats that preceded it.

Jedit
Dec 10, 2011

Proudly supporting vanilla legends 1994-2014

Acaila posted:

I just really don't want the Tories to do as well as predictions. So hacked off at ScotLab for this tactical voting pish too. Remember who the real enemy is guys!

The SNP Judean People's Front!

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes
Cross-posting from the UK thread, The Guardian have published their separate sorta-endorsement for Scottish seats, and it pretty much boils down to vote SNP where they're best placed to stop the Tories. This Is Bad For Kezia Dugdale?

Kill All Cops
Apr 11, 2007


Pacheco de Chocobo



Hell Gem
I surprised that this website https://www.tactical2017.com doesn't seem to prioritize voting Labour over SNP when those two parties are the top two in the constituency. Surely a Labour majority is better than hung parliament?

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Lady Galaga posted:

I surprised that this website https://www.tactical2017.com doesn't seem to prioritize voting Labour over SNP when those two parties are the top two in the constituency. Surely a Labour majority is better than hung parliament?

Well, that website is not pro Labour, it's anti-Tory.

Also, how many seats are there were the Labour candidate is the main opponent to the SNP?

KOGAHAZAN!!
Apr 29, 2013

a miserable failure as a person

an incredible success as a magical murder spider

forkboy84 posted:

Well, that website is not pro Labour, it's anti-Tory.

Also, how many seats are there were the Labour candidate is the main opponent to the SNP?

At least thirteen in Scotland. But you're right, these sites care about keeping the Tories out and nothing else.

mehall
Aug 27, 2010


forkboy84 posted:

Well, that website is not pro Labour, it's anti-Tory.

Also, how many seats are there were the Labour candidate is the main opponent to the SNP?

Any Glasgow one?

Note: You never asked for "credible" or "real" opponent, some of these will be huge majorities for the SNP, but Labour are solidly in second in most if not all aruond Glasgow I think.

Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

Autonomous Monster posted:

At least thirteen in Scotland. But you're right, these sites care about keeping the Tories out and nothing else.

it's the rasion d'être of these 'progressive alliance' proponents. they shouldn't be mistaken for people who actually want a Labour government, or would ever lower themselves to voting Labour.

cargohills
Apr 18, 2014

Quite a lot of them advise voting Lib Dem in Labour constituencies or where Labour is second to the Tories. I don't trust any of them.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


mehall posted:

Any Glasgow one?

Note: You never asked for "credible" or "real" opponent, some of these will be huge majorities for the SNP, but Labour are solidly in second in most if not all aruond Glasgow I think.

loving hell mate. You could work what I meant there's no need to be a loving pedant. We've got Pissflaps for that. OK so how many seats are Labour in a live competition? How many realistically can they win off of the SNP? Because

Cerv posted:

it's the rasion d'être of these 'progressive alliance' proponents. they shouldn't be mistaken for people who actually want a Labour government, or would ever lower themselves to voting Labour.

Wow, that's a bold claim to make about, among others, Clive Lewis MP. Doesn't want a Labour government & won't lower himself to vote Labour huh?

Get tae gently caress with that shite, it's pragmatism. Labour can't recover their Scottish losses because Scottish Labour have yet to even attempt any amount of self-examination & self-criticism to work out WHY vast swathes of traditional Labour heartland abandoned them, never mind trying to actually win do something to win them back. Instead the campaign in Scotland is just NO SECOND REFERENDUM. Now sure, that's not exclusive to Labour, that's the Ruth Davidson Party's main line too, but that's part of the loving problem: Labour & Tories having the same major campaign plank in Scotland is not how Labour win back the people who left them 2 years ago (& 10 years ago at Holyrood).

And thus because of the failings of Scottish Labour, an awful lot of seats are coming down to a choice between SNP & Tory. And an SNP MP is better for Britain than a Tory MP Cerv. If I lived in one of these few Labour/SNP seats, I'd look at who the Labour candidate is. If they can talk about something other than the referendum, and have something positive to say about Labour's terrific plans for Britain, great, got my vote. If their campaign amounts to INDY REF BAD, sorry, I want more from my MP. As it is, I probably will end up voting for a poo poo Labour candidate, someone who owns an IT consultancy firm, thinks that stopping independence is the most important issue facing us at this election & certainly has gently caress all positive to say about the Labour platform, because I live in a seat that is probably among the safest the SNP have, so even though the Tories are probably going to finish 2nd, they'll be so far behind that I can waste my vote on a bad Labour candidate by telling myself it's for the party & the leader rather than the candidate.

mehall
Aug 27, 2010


I'd say Labour have a solid chance in about half as many seats as the Tories do, in Scotland.

I think they'll top out at 2, maybe 3 wins, but I do think they'll improve on last time. (though it may be net even if Murray loses his seat)

And don't ever call me the Scottish Pissflaps again, tia

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
It's been fun watching nationalists twist themselves in knots over this election. Whatever the result the wheels have well and truly come off the independence bandwagon.

Scottish labour has gone from being a powerless branch office to some rogue spinoff party that is less supportive of Corbyn than the snp.


mehall posted:

And don't ever call me the Scottish Pissflaps again, tia

True me. You're no me.

Kill All Cops
Apr 11, 2007


Pacheco de Chocobo



Hell Gem
Peep the replies to this tweet

https://twitter.com/Fergoodness/status/871688830839115778

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
https://twitter.com/JamieRoss7/status/872070910290821121

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Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes

Pissflaps posted:

Whatever the result the wheels have well and truly come off the independence bandwagon.

this would be a much more meaningful statement coming from you if you hadn't been saying it on a regular basis for the past three or four years

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