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Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Why build a wall along the US-Mexico border when you can just place a minefield :shrug:

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call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
No doubt we can do some brutal poo poo at our borders, but I'm talking about internal refugees. The people that fled NOLA after Katrina for Houston, Baton Rouge, etc. were and still are truly desperate. Can you imagine if that event were much larger, and permanent?

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


A solar minefield! That pays for itself. So the Mexicans don't have nearly as much to pay. And that's good, right?

sitchensis
Mar 4, 2009

call to action posted:

No doubt we can do some brutal poo poo at our borders, but I'm talking about internal refugees. The people that fled NOLA after Katrina for Houston, Baton Rouge, etc. were and still are truly desperate. Can you imagine if that event were much larger, and permanent?

If only 10% of the population of the United States decided to cross the border into Canada, it would effectively double the population of that country. It's unimaginable.

Fried Watermelon
Dec 29, 2008


sitchensis posted:

If only 10% of the population of the United States decided to cross the border into Canada, it would effectively double the population of that country. It's unimaginable.

We'd find them room in the tropical islands of the North

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

call to action posted:

No doubt we can do some brutal poo poo at our borders, but I'm talking about internal refugees. The people that fled NOLA after Katrina for Houston, Baton Rouge, etc. were and still are truly desperate. Can you imagine if that event were much larger, and permanent?

The US already has a perfectly functioning prison labour camp situation going on to resolve situations like these. Just criminalize homelessness a little more than you already and wham, the situation resolves itself.

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
There's a reason cops are becoming more and more militarized.

MiddleOne posted:

The US already has a perfectly functioning prison labour camp situation going on to resolve situations like these. Just criminalize homelessness a little more than you already and wham, the situation resolves itself.

This is all reminding me of the Parable books by Octavia Butler, which have become strangely prescient. It's set in a near-future USA gone to poo poo. Vagrancy laws are made far harsher, with homeless people ending up just like you said. A Christian fundamentalist president gets elected and literally uses the phrase "Help us make America great again" (the books were written in the 90s). There's even an American-Canadian war over resources (not prescient, I hope, but I know Chairmaster or someone was convinced the US will annex Canada).

FourLeaf fucked around with this message at 21:34 on Jun 27, 2017

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

call to action posted:

Can you imagine if that event were much larger, and permanent?

Also to thread on this post again, we already know that this is happening. Preparations for sea-level rise in Florida are completely inadequate and de-centralized thanks to climate deniers being in office. This is really bad because that means that unlike the Netherlands or Denmark who are already building, setting aside resources and drafting plans to account for everything that is about to happen, Florida will get caught completely unprepared as Miami and some of the most densely populated areas of the state suddenly find themselves in the sea. This is happening within just a few decades and as sea level rise-predictions have shown this year to have been widely over-optimistic its happening sooner than anyone expected.

Future generations will never understand that Bugs Bunny gif.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
It's all just a long con to sell before the real state prices collapse, and then buy cheap right before we start pumping sulfate aerosols into the atmosphere.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Conspiratiorist posted:

It's all just a long con to sell before the real state prices collapse, and then buy cheap right before we start pumping sulfate aerosols into the atmosphere.

I've said it before, but I would absolutely invest my meager retirement in shorting Florida real estate if it were possible.

Nocturtle
Mar 17, 2007

FourLeaf posted:


There's even an American-Canadian war over resources (not prescient, I hope, but I know Chairmaster or someone was convinced the US will annex Canada).

Any concern that America would invade Canada for it's resources are absurd. American corporations already have effectively just as much access to Canadian resources as any Canadian corporation, there's no need to invade. Also no-one's going to wage a war over the oil sands at this point.

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011
It would appear that Louisiana is sinking at a rate considered by previous studies to be "the worst-case scenario":

The study: http://www.geosociety.org/gsatoday/groundwork/G337GW/article.htm

quote:

Coastal Louisiana has experienced catastrophic rates of wetland loss over the past century, equivalent in area to the state of Delaware. Land subsidence in the absence of rapid accretion is one of the key drivers of wetland loss. Accurate subsidence data should therefore form the basis for estimates of and adaptations to Louisiana’s future. Recently, Jankowski et al. (2017) determined subsidence rates at 274 sites along the Louisiana coast. Based on these data we present a new subsidence map and calculate that, on average, coastal Louisiana is subsiding at 9 ± 1 mm yr−1.

quote:

Our newly calculated present-day sub­sidence rates are considerably higher than what has been reported by recent studies that relied partly or entirely on tide gauges and that inferred rates of 1–6 mm yr−1 for the past few decades (Kolker et al., 2011; Karegar et al., 2015). As a result, “worst case scenarios” with subsidence rates of 8–10 mm yr−1 that have been used in predictions for the Mississippi Delta throughout the 21st century (Blum and Roberts, 2009; Kim et al., 2009) are in fact reflecting the conditions that exist in coastal Louisiana today. Perhaps worst case scenarios should be considered the new normal in other LECZs worldwide as well.

An article about the study:

quote:

Jimmy Frederick works for the Coalition to Restore Coastal Louisiana (CRCL). He explains that human activities have changed the natural process of the river adding and removing sediment.

For example, the levees built to protect New Orleans and other cities changed the flow of sediment. Now the sediment moves farther into gulf waters instead of along Louisiana’s coast.

The state of Louisiana is also rich in oil and gas. Half the nation’s oil refining ability is in the state. Its busy ports carry goods up and down the river. Trucks then carry them across the country.

Frederick says extracting the oil and gas has meant cutting into the marshland and harming some areas along the coast.

At the same time, losing coastline affects the oil, gas and other industries – and, therefore, the U.S. economy.

When Hurricane Katrina hit Louisiana in 2005, oil production was shut down for three days. As a result, the price of gasoline nationwide rose an average of 46 cents.

What can be done?

Jimmy Frederick’s organization, the CRCL, worked on a state plan to stop the land loss. The $50 billion plan aims to restore Louisiana’s coast.

It also aims to protect the state from its frequent tropical storms and hurricanes. Just last week, Tropical Storm Cindy damaged the levee on Grand Isle, Louisiana, and left a highway covered in water.

The Louisiana state plan is to move sediment back into the wetlands. Frederick explains that, simply said, the engineers would cut holes in the levees.

“So that at times the river can then flow as it naturally would and replenish the wetlands, and that will help a couple of things. That will help keep up with sea level rise a little bit better because Louisiana, as you know, is sinking very, very quickly, because of our geology but also because of sea level rise.”

When the projects are completed, they will add or maintain almost 1,300 kilometers of coastal land and wetlands.

The project is delayed until the U.S. government approves the plan.

The CRCL says help cannot come soon enough because, on average, Louisiana loses 91 meters of land to the gulf every hour. Since 1932, the state has lost over 3,050 kilometers.

Geologist Torbjörn E. Törnqvist says the most important way to fix the coastline is to do something about climate change. If we do not, he warns, “then it’s going to be an unfixable problem,” and sea levels will rise at much higher rates than we see today.

susan b buffering
Nov 14, 2016

quote:

The CRCL says help cannot come soon enough because, on average, Louisiana loses 91 meters of land to the gulf every hour. Since 1932, the state has lost over 3,050 kilometers

:captainpop:

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Uh, that has got to be a typo...

Lightning Lord
Feb 21, 2013

$200 a day, plus expenses

Nocturtle posted:

Any concern that America would invade Canada for it's resources are absurd. American corporations already have effectively just as much access to Canadian resources as any Canadian corporation, there's no need to invade. Also no-one's going to wage a war over the oil sands at this point.

Why not make it official? And why not destroy Canada's social democracy for ideological reasons?

Arglebargle III
Feb 21, 2006

Louisiana has been sinking for decades but that's all down to short- sighted river management. The only news is that somebody might do something about it.

sitchensis
Mar 4, 2009

When America wants to officially annex Canada, it will do so by first lining up its military across the border from major Canadian cities and then asking very politely.

Lightning Lord
Feb 21, 2013

$200 a day, plus expenses

The Canadian Forces will probably just do it for them, since they're a special forces unit for the US military.

Arglebargle III
Feb 21, 2006

Annexation is unnecessary in American commercial imperialism get with the 1950s.

Blockade
Oct 22, 2008

Arglebargle III posted:

Annexation is unnecessary in American commercial imperialism get with the 1950s.

Already there's open trade, intelligence sharing, and joint military operations. Canada is a separate sovereign state in name only.

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

enraged_camel posted:

Uh, that has got to be a typo...

I think I've found the source for this statement and I've been trying to calculate it for myself, but I'm hesitant to post the results because they're kind of crazy which makes me think I must be doing the math wrong

E: whatever. if I'm wrong, tell me where

I googled it and found that the phrase "about a football field of land is lost to the Gulf each hour" is very common in many 2010s articles describing Louisiana and sea level rise. The source seems to be this US Geological Survey study from 2011:

https://biotech.law.lsu.edu/blog/SIM3164_Pamphlet.pdf

quote:

These analyses show that coastal Louisiana has undergone a net change in land area of about -1,883 square miles (mi2) from 1932 to 2010. This net change in land area amounts to a decrease of about 25 percent of the 1932 land area.

Persistent losses account for 95 percent of this land area decrease; the remainder are areas that have converted to water but have not yet exhibited the persistence necessary to be classified as “loss.” Trend analyses from 1985 to 2010 show a wetland loss rate of 16.57 mi2 per year. If this loss were to occur at a constant rate, it would equate to Louisiana losing an area the size of one football field per hour.

net change from 1932-2010: loss of 1883 mi2 -> loss of 4876.95 km2

loss rate per year from 1985-2010: 16.57 mi2/year -> 42.92 km2/year

42.92 km2/365.25 = 0.11751 km2/day -> 0.004896 km2/hour -> 4895.75 m2/hour
or
16.57 mi2/365.25 = 0.04537 mi2/day -> 0.0018903 mi2/hour -> 52,697.4 ft2/hour

(American) football field: 57,600 ft2 (5351.2 m2)

I am :psyduck: right now. The "total loss of 3050 km since 1932" and "loss of 91 meters per hour" statements in the first article I posted appear to be false... because the reality is actually worse?

FourLeaf fucked around with this message at 04:19 on Jun 28, 2017

Burt Buckle
Sep 1, 2011


Really cool picture.

Question. Is desalinazation impractical for financial reasons or other reasons? Also you know how we have pipelines across states for oil? Would such a system of pipes be possible to transport water long distances?

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

Burt Buckle posted:

Really cool picture.

Question. Is desalinazation impractical for financial reasons or other reasons? Also you know how we have pipelines across states for oil? Would such a system of pipes be possible to transport water long distances?

Desalinization is expensive but if we need to pay for it, we will. It might be necessary to pay a fair chunk of our income to water, I mean, we would, considering the alternative but impossible to know what will happen.

We require much more water than we ever would need for oil for that reason long pipelines might be economically unfeasible. We do however have a few very major dam infrastructure schemes to transfer water from one water shed to the other, hydro power being a major output of such activities. Snowy Hydro Scheme, Lesotho Highlands project and for the Sierre Nevadas, surely some I have missed. Seems more like that people will migrate from water scarce regions to different places.

Polygynous
Dec 13, 2006
welp

Burt Buckle posted:

Also you know how we have pipelines across states for oil? Would such a system of pipes be possible to transport water long distances?

Possible? Sure. Just a hunch that due to the volume needed it's impractical unless you're, like, New York City and have half a century and billions of dollars to spend. And that's only 60 some miles. Oh, and gravity does most of the work. Which, generally, if you want to move that much water there's these things called rivers. :v:

Evil_Greven
Feb 20, 2007

Whadda I got to,
whadda I got to do
to wake ya up?

To shake ya up,
to break the structure up!?

FourLeaf posted:

I think I've found the source for this statement and I've been trying to calculate it for myself, but I'm hesitant to post the results because they're kind of crazy which makes me think I must be doing the math wrong

E: whatever. if I'm wrong, tell me where

I googled it and found that the phrase "about a football field of land is lost to the Gulf each hour" is very common in many 2010s articles describing Louisiana and sea level rise. The source seems to be this US Geological Survey study from 2011:

https://biotech.law.lsu.edu/blog/SIM3164_Pamphlet.pdf


net change from 1932-2010: loss of 1883 mi2 -> loss of 4876.95 km2

loss rate per year from 1985-2010: 16.57 mi2/year -> 42.92 km2/year

42.92 km2/365.25 = 0.11751 km2/day -> 0.004896 km2/hour -> 4895.75 m2/hour
or
16.57 mi2/365.25 = 0.04537 mi2/day -> 0.0018903 mi2/hour -> 52,697.4 ft2/hour

(American) football field: 57,600 ft2 (5351.2 m2)

I am :psyduck: right now. The "total loss of 3050 km since 1932" and "loss of 91 meters per hour" statements in the first article I posted appear to be false... because the reality is actually worse?

Yes, it's losing land rapidly. In fact, picture Louisiana - a big old boot that, no?

Well... here's what's defined as 'walkable land' (aka land, not swamp/water) in black - red isn't walkable:

Only registered members can see post attachments!

Evil_Greven fucked around with this message at 05:50 on Jun 28, 2017

Hello Sailor
May 3, 2006

we're all mad here

Burt Buckle posted:

Really cool picture.

Question. Is desalinazation impractical for financial reasons or other reasons? Also you know how we have pipelines across states for oil? Would such a system of pipes be possible to transport water long distances?

Desalination processes are energy-intensive, which is where a chunk of the expense comes in. So, if the energy source isn't nuclear or renewable, then it also increases atmospheric carbon.

There was some promising research in greatly reducing the energy usage by filtering saltwater through a carbon nanotube mesh, but I haven't heard anything recent about it.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

FourLeaf posted:

I think I've found the source for this statement and I've been trying to calculate it for myself, but I'm hesitant to post the results because they're kind of crazy which makes me think I must be doing the math wrong

E: whatever. if I'm wrong, tell me where

I googled it and found that the phrase "about a football field of land is lost to the Gulf each hour" is very common in many 2010s articles describing Louisiana and sea level rise. The source seems to be this US Geological Survey study from 2011:

https://biotech.law.lsu.edu/blog/SIM3164_Pamphlet.pdf


net change from 1932-2010: loss of 1883 mi2 -> loss of 4876.95 km2

loss rate per year from 1985-2010: 16.57 mi2/year -> 42.92 km2/year

42.92 km2/365.25 = 0.11751 km2/day -> 0.004896 km2/hour -> 4895.75 m2/hour
or
16.57 mi2/365.25 = 0.04537 mi2/day -> 0.0018903 mi2/hour -> 52,697.4 ft2/hour

(American) football field: 57,600 ft2 (5351.2 m2)

I am :psyduck: right now. The "total loss of 3050 km since 1932" and "loss of 91 meters per hour" statements in the first article I posted appear to be false... because the reality is actually worse?
I'm not sure how to read "loss of 91 meters per hour" as a anything but an average across the coastline, which would be equivalent to about 14 square miles per hour.

Trainee PornStar
Jul 20, 2006

I'm just an inbetweener

Conspiratiorist posted:

It's all just a long con to sell before the real state prices collapse, and then buy cheap right before we start pumping sulfate aerosols into the atmosphere.

You joke.. but check this out:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stratospheric_aerosol_injection_(climate_engineering)

& especially this bit:
"Airliners could use lower-quality sulfur-rich fuels on higher altitudes. That approach would utilize regular flights and enable airlines to use cheaper fuels on long-distance flights. It would require using separate fuel tanks for takeoff and landing in populated areas, due to toxicity and olfactory sensations of sulfur oxides. This can be achieved in many airliners without difficulty, since they already have separate and selectable wing and fuselage fuel tanks."

Looks like those 'chemtrail' nutters might not be so far off the mark.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
poo poo is going to get very bad the minute sulfates are deployed, they will be blamed for fires/droughts/floods/hurricanes and skirmishes/wars/trade wars will be fought over them

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

call to action posted:

poo poo is going to get very bad the minute sulfates are deployed, they will be blamed for fires/droughts/floods/hurricanes and skirmishes/wars/trade wars will be fought over them

Actually agree with you here. Since sulfates are theoretically implementable by a single nation, poo poo would really hit the fan if one country said "gently caress it, we're in charge of the climate now."

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Trabisnikof posted:

Actually agree with you here. Since sulfates are theoretically implementable by a single nation, poo poo would really hit the fan if one country said "gently caress it, we're in charge of the climate now."

That country would promptly see itself designated a no-fly zone if it wasn't named the US.

Rastor
Jun 2, 2001

Burt Buckle posted:

Really cool picture.

Question. Is desalinazation impractical for financial reasons or other reasons? Also you know how we have pipelines across states for oil? Would such a system of pipes be possible to transport water long distances?

Desalination is practical for countries that can afford the energy.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/israel-proves-the-desalination-era-is-here/


Pumping huge volumes of it over long distances is less practical, however. If you mean letting it run downhill, yeah we can do that.

Ganson
Jul 13, 2007
I know where the electrical tape is!
Discussion of land loss and where we get our water are someone meaningless to me when you consider ocean acidification and it's secondary affects will kill us all within 150 years.

God: How are your space, nuclear, and clean energy programs coming along?

Us:...

Ganson fucked around with this message at 20:42 on Jun 28, 2017

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Ganson posted:

Discussion of land loss and where we get our water are someone meaningless to me when you consider ocean acidification and it's secondary affects will kill us all within 150 years.

God: How are your space, nuclear, and clean energy programs coming along?

Us:...

I'm excited to tell you that you will probably be dead long before those 150 years come to pass, happy Christmas!

frytechnician
Jan 8, 2004

Happy to see me?

MiddleOne posted:

I'm excited to tell you that you will probably be dead long before those 150 years come to pass, happy Christmas!

Pro av / post combo here.

Ganson
Jul 13, 2007
I know where the electrical tape is!
I would posit that not caring what happens to the Earth past your own expiration date is up there with general apathy for the greatest ills we deal with today.

Arglebargle III
Feb 21, 2006

Ganson posted:

Discussion of land loss and where we get our water are someone meaningless to me when you consider ocean acidification and it's secondary affects will kill us all within 150 years.

God: How are your space, nuclear, and clean energy programs coming along?

Us:...

I haven't seen anything like this.

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Arglebargle III posted:

I haven't seen anything like this.

God?

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES
Aren't there phytoplankton which don't use calcium-carbonate shells that will take over once the oceans acidify to point of killing the shelled ones? I think the doomsaying assumes there will be no replacement to the shelled ones.

Their shells, btw, are crucial to cloud formation and precipitation. I haven't seen anything on how their loss will mess with precipitation patterns around the world.

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MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

It's not that the eco-environment can't adapt given time, it's that it can't adapt at the pace that the ocean is acidifying.

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