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Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

TildeATH posted:

Have you ever heard about the Sea Peoples or the Cimbri or really any group of people that, throughout history, went a whupping and a whomping every living thing that moves within an inch of its life?

You know what happens? Turns out they don't kill each other, instead they just destroy enough infrastructure to make the latest group join up with them at the Number 6 dance, and then together they hit the next group.

I was being sarcastic.

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Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

TildeATH posted:

Have you ever heard about the Sea Peoples or the Cimbri or really any group of people that, throughout history, went a whupping and a whomping every living thing that moves within an inch of its life?

You know what happens? Turns out they don't kill each other, instead they just destroy enough infrastructure to make the latest group join up with them at the Number 6 dance, and then together they hit the next group.

We'll be able to scale up our anti-pirate operations as needed.

I don't think globally minded humanitarianism will survive as A Thing or really be taken seriously. When the Middle East and North Africa starts emptying out into Europe, it will end there. When Latin America starts emptying out into US/CAN simultaneous with our own internal displacement issues, it will end here.

My personal expectation is that politics will get more authoritarian, populations will get more religious and global geopolitics will be about who can get to 2100 with the least amount of damage.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

Burt Buckle posted:

By mid-century, 2050, a little more than 30 years from now, Pakistan could be out of water. Good god, I was hoping to die before the poo poo got really bad but this poo poo can snowball so fast.

You're going to see pretty serious effects much sooner than this, I bet. Alex Steffen has a decent thread on this topic from a few months ago:

https://twitter.com/AlexSteffen/status/857321548952215552

The short version is that you shouldn't be surprised to see major economic fallout from climate change in the US in the next 5-10 years (or even sooner) simply because there's so much money wrapped up in very vulnerable areas. Awareness of the problem is already beginning to bubble up and it's only going to take one or two storms on par with something like Sandy to cause a panic.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Everyone will just blame Trump/Liberals.

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

Conspiratiorist posted:

Everyone will just blame Trump/Liberals.

I promise that in 20 years the conventional wisdom will be that it was the science community's fault for not warning us. Conservatives will point to the least alarming ipcc projections and claim that action would have been taken if only scientist hadn't misrepresented the threat.

Martian
May 29, 2005

Grimey Drawer

Salt Fish posted:

I promise that in 20 years the conventional wisdom will be that it was the science community's fault for not warning us. Conservatives will point to the least alarming ipcc projections and claim that action would have been taken if only scientist hadn't misrepresented the threat.

I agree with this. People will screech 'why didn't they warn us this would happen, we would have listened!' and so it will still be the scientist's fault.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Accretionist posted:

We'll be able to scale up our anti-pirate operations as needed.

I don't think globally minded humanitarianism will survive as A Thing or really be taken seriously. When the Middle East and North Africa starts emptying out into Europe, it will end there. When Latin America starts emptying out into US/CAN simultaneous with our own internal displacement issues, it will end here.

My personal expectation is that politics will get more authoritarian, populations will get more religious and global geopolitics will be about who can get to 2100 with the least amount of damage.
Fortress Europe will ride out the storm behind NBC firebreaks.

TildeATH
Oct 21, 2010

by Lowtax

Conspiratiorist posted:

I was being sarcastic.

Oh, hard to tell in here.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


TildeATH posted:

Oh, hard to tell in here.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Accretionist posted:

India just fired up a fast-breeder reactor fueled by thorium rods. A good sign!

Isn't that the one that turns thorium into uranium (which can then be used for more fuel)? So, you know, still awesome but also presents that annoying proliferation problem and is therefore harder to export as a power generation model.

TACD
Oct 27, 2000

Burt Buckle posted:

How do you even live in temperatures this high?
You can't. If the wet–bulb temperature rises above ~35°C then sweating makes you warmer instead of colder, and if it stays that hot then you die.

Ferdinand Bardamu
Apr 30, 2013
Good times.

As Beijing Joins Climate Fight, Chinese Companies Build Coal Plants

quote:

These Chinese corporations are building or planning to build more than 700 new coal plants at home and around the world, some in countries that today burn little or no coal, according to tallies compiled by Urgewald, an environmental group based in Berlin. Many of the plants are in China, but by capacity, roughly a fifth of these new coal power stations are in other countries.

Over all, 1,600 coal plants are planned or under construction in 62 countries, according to Urgewald’s tally, which uses data from the Global Coal Plant Tracker portal. The new plants would expand the world’s coal-fired power capacity by 43 percent.

The fleet of new coal plants would make it virtually impossible to meet the goals set in the Paris climate accord, which aims to keep the increase in global temperatures from preindustrial levels below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit.

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

GreyjoyBastard posted:

Isn't that the one that turns thorium into uranium (which can then be used for more fuel)? So, you know, still awesome but also presents that annoying proliferation problem and is therefore harder to export as a power generation model.

Pretty much everyone who wants and we are concerned of having nuclear weapons already has them. And if India wanted to give out nuclear weapons it already can, regardless of this reactor.

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum

TildeATH posted:

Have you ever heard about the Sea Peoples or the Cimbri or really any group of people that, throughout history, went a whupping and a whomping every living thing that moves within an inch of its life?

You know what happens? Turns out they don't kill each other, instead they just destroy enough infrastructure to make the latest group join up with them at the Number 6 dance, and then together they hit the next group.

Meh, the Sea Peoples were fighting Bronze on Bronze, it was pretty even keel armament wise for most of the empires they swarmed to death. Modern weaponry and extremely dense landmine fields will make quick work of even the thickest migratory waves, the real threat is out-of-touch militant leftists who believe that mowing down humans by the untold millions is a "war crime" :airquote: rather than a necessity.

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless

Salt Fish posted:

The average American is responsible for about 18 tons of CO2 per year. A tree will store about 50 pounds of co2 in a year of growing. Therefore you really only need to plant 700 trees per year every year to offset your personal carbon use.
that's actually not that many, i'm going to cover australia with trees and if you give me like ten bucks i'll plant your 700 seedlings and give you periodic updates on how they're going

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

city of doves posted:

that's actually not that many, i'm going to cover australia with trees and if you give me like ten bucks i'll plant your 700 seedlings and give you periodic updates on how they're going

Ok but you have to do it every year forever because the carbon goes back into the atmosphere after 40 years or however long the trees live.

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
also adding a tree to a landscape isn't just a matter of addition/subtraction. each tree multiplies how efficiently the land around it retains water and nutrition. so planting 10 trees instead of 1 tree in a stand that's going to function, thrive and reproduce doesn't create ten intense one-tree zones next to each other. it still creates the intense one-tree zone but also a still-intense ten-tree zone that encompasses the whole grove, and that second zone is going to have a nice damp microclimate and support a lot of biodiversity. so it'll multiply more quickly. so if you planted seven hundred trees in a year, in twenty years they could have realistically turned into a large forest or at least a very intensive small forest

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
what i'm saying is plant more trees and shrubs. they're better at horticulture than we are and they want to put it all back together

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
like many of you i'm basically not expecting to live past forty but you can plant a lot of trees in that time and forests are going to be the main drivers of atmospheric correction once we're gone

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless

Salt Fish posted:

Ok but you have to do it every year forever because the carbon goes back into the atmosphere after 40 years or however long the trees live.
my friend, there are male and female trees, and when they come together something very special happens

Unormal
Nov 16, 2004

Mod sass? This evening?! But the cakes aren't ready! THE CAKES!
Fun Shoe
Assume we are planting goon trees though.

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
even if you live in an apartment at least grow some flowers for the bees, they are going to be important and they kind of need our help right now

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

city of doves posted:

even if you live in an apartment at least grow some flowers for the bees, they are going to be important and they kind of need our help right now

lol if you think any fauna exist in my city beside grackles

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

city of doves posted:

my friend, there are male and female trees, and when they come together something very special happens

Then you might as well just let the land return to forest, but let me explain why that isn't happening and why we ripped all the trees out in the first place.

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless

Notorious R.I.M. posted:

lol if you think any fauna exist in my city beside grackles
your job is to feed and train those grackles to disperse small pellets of sarin gas

Notorious R.I.M.
Jan 27, 2004

up to my ass in alligators

city of doves posted:

your job is to feed and train those grackles to disperse small pellets of sarin gas

First viable solution to climate change I've seen so far.

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
but you have to plant trees for the grackles to live in. in time the trees will attract other birds, and by then everybody in the city will have died or fled and you can start planting understorey layers of shrubs around the established trees to attract reptiles and small mammals

city of doves
Jun 27, 2017

by FactsAreUseless
as for humans i think eventually we'll live underground

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

Rime posted:

Meh, the Sea Peoples were fighting Bronze on Bronze, it was pretty even keel armament wise for most of the empires they swarmed to death. Modern weaponry and extremely dense landmine fields will make quick work of even the thickest migratory waves, the real threat is out-of-touch militant leftists who believe that mowing down humans by the untold millions is a "war crime" :airquote: rather than a necessity.

Can you please gently caress off with your genocidal racist bullshit? It was bad enough last year when you were whining about how unfortunate it was that the Green Revolution meant millions of Indians ended up not starving to death.

Digiwizzard
Dec 23, 2003


Pork Pro
Isn't it funny that there's no media that even attempts to portray the coming global collapse? There were hundreds of films like On the Beach and Threads and even Dr Strangelove that helped the public understand the existential threat of a nuclear apocalypse. Meanwhile we're hurtling towards likely extinction and the closest thing to portraying it is stuff like Utopia and Children of Men, which aren't even really about Climate Change.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?
There was Incorporated on Syfy, I guess.

Climate change isn't really an exciting kind of future, though. People being poorer and some cities being underwater doesn't have much on Mad Max, but a lot of science fiction is starting to portray the effects of climate change as a background detail.

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

Digiwizzard posted:

Isn't it funny that there's no media that even attempts to portray the coming global collapse? There were hundreds of films like On the Beach and Threads and even Dr Strangelove that helped the public understand the existential threat of a nuclear apocalypse. Meanwhile we're hurtling towards likely extinction and the closest thing to portraying it is stuff like Utopia and Children of Men, which aren't even really about Climate Change.

Nuclear war didn't have to contend with a dedicated political campaign backed by billions of dollars attempting to convince people that 'actually, nuclear weapons don't exist and are a liberal hoax'

Plus, climate change is more difficult to portray compared to bombs going off; it's relatively slow moving and (so far) you can't point to one individual event and say it absolutely wouldn't have happened without climate change, instead you have to look at data over several decades and point out the increasing frequency and severity of such events as warming increases. That's why the most famous Hollywood portrayal of climate change doom, The Day After Tomorrow, had to vastly accelerate things and included ridiculous scenes like Jake Gyllenhaal outrunning superfreezing air... by closing a door.

Digiwizzard
Dec 23, 2003


Pork Pro
I think this demonstrates how poorly climate change has been depicted in popular culture. Like even in the doomed sadbrains thread the best conception a lot of people have of climate change is that water will very slowly and gently swallow some beach front property. And somewhere far away people will suffer and die, but it will not happen here where we are safe.

The limits to growth model indicates there's probably going to be a global collapse within 50 years. That means there's going to be a death toll in the billions as famines and migrations begin on an unprecedented scale. Nation sized armies of desperate hungry refugees will be fleeing areas where there is no longer any food or water or electricity. Westerners will watch in disbelief ask the flood of cheap goods and labour disappears within a year, and then the increasingly regular food shortages begin. Society begins to break down as hungry and angry people tear each other apart for whatever commodities and resources are left. The few places where governments maintain order only do so by becoming nightmarishly totalitarian military dictatorships. There will be a strict rationing, severe curtailing of human rights, and a sharp increase in fanatically racist ideology. Previously unthinkable nuclear exchanges will suddenly be on the table, because even the leaders of what remains of the United States also suffer from malnutrition and have been taught from the age of 7 that it would be better to kill everything on the planet then surrender their resources to the Chinese forces, who are going to rape and kill and cannibalize their wives and children, etc

There's actually going to be a lot of spectacle!

Digiwizzard fucked around with this message at 09:57 on Jul 4, 2017

Tree Bucket
Apr 1, 2016

R.I.P.idura leucophrys

Digiwizzard posted:

Isn't it funny that there's no media that even attempts to portray the coming global collapse? There were hundreds of films like On the Beach and Threads and even Dr Strangelove that helped the public understand the existential threat of a nuclear apocalypse. Meanwhile we're hurtling towards likely extinction and the closest thing to portraying it is stuff like Utopia and Children of Men, which aren't even really about Climate Change.

There's plenty of books that do it, but yeah, movies and climate change don't really go together. However I do wonder if our decade-long rash of zombie movies is kind of a sublimated response to the whole thing.
Anyway, fiftysomething years ago, John Wyndham of Day of the Triffids/Village of the Damned fame wrote a novel about mysterious underwater nasties that (half-century old spoilers ahead) attempt to wipe out humanity by slowly melting the glaciers. I remember reading it and thinking, "hah, if the earth's sea level ever begins to sloooowly rise, humanity really would be utterly screwed! Oh wait."

JuniperCake
Jan 26, 2013

Digiwizzard posted:

Isn't it funny that there's no media that even attempts to portray the coming global collapse? There were hundreds of films like On the Beach and Threads and even Dr Strangelove that helped the public understand the existential threat of a nuclear apocalypse. Meanwhile we're hurtling towards likely extinction and the closest thing to portraying it is stuff like Utopia and Children of Men, which aren't even really about Climate Change.

There's plenty of sci-fi books on the subject that are very good and oh wait the people who need to learn this don't read books okay nevermind.

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Digiwizzard posted:

Isn't it funny that there's no media that even attempts to portray the coming global collapse? There were hundreds of films like On the Beach and Threads and even Dr Strangelove that helped the public understand the existential threat of a nuclear apocalypse. Meanwhile we're hurtling towards likely extinction and the closest thing to portraying it is stuff like Utopia and Children of Men, which aren't even really about Climate Change.

Movies like The Day After Tomorrow permanently salted the earth on anything even remotely serious about the environment ever being put to film.

Gunshow Poophole
Sep 14, 2008

OMBUDSMAN
POSTERS LOCAL 42069




Clapping Larry
Interstellar did it but people were too busy jackin it to hilarious fake physics nonsense to be like "Hmm what is the actual problem driving this movie?"

Logan did it too.

I agree the overall volume of culture doesn't even come close to nuclear apocalypse stuff.

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum

FourLeaf posted:

Can you please gently caress off with your genocidal racist bullshit? It was bad enough last year when you were whining about how unfortunate it was that the Green Revolution meant millions of Indians ended up not starving to death.

Please See:

Digiwizzard posted:

I think this demonstrates how poorly climate change has been depicted in popular culture. Like even in the doomed sadbrains thread the best conception a lot of people have of climate change is that water will very slowly and gently swallow some beach front property. And somewhere far away people will suffer and die, but it will not happen here where we are safe.

The limits to growth model indicates there's probably going to be a global collapse within 50 years. That means there's going to be a death toll in the billions as famines and migrations begin on an unprecedented scale. Nation sized armies of desperate hungry refugees will be fleeing areas where there is no longer any food or water or electricity. Westerners will watch in disbelief ask the flood of cheap goods and labour disappears within a year, and then the increasingly regular food shortages begin. Society begins to break down as hungry and angry people tear each other apart for whatever commodities and resources are left. The few places where governments maintain order only do so by becoming nightmarishly totalitarian military dictatorships. There will be a strict rationing, severe curtailing of human rights, and a sharp increase in fanatically racist ideology. Previously unthinkable nuclear exchanges will suddenly be on the table, because even the leaders of what remains of the United States also suffer from malnutrition and have been taught from the age of 7 that it would be better to kill everything on the planet then surrender their resources to the Chinese forces, who are going to rape and kill and cannibalize their wives and children, etc

There's actually going to be a lot of spectacle!

You don't get it, FourLeaf. The world is not a hugbox, it does not give a poo poo about your bushy tailed utopian fantasies. This is what humans have done to each other for all of recorded history, and it is what they will do to each other to the bitter end. Do you think we will change from our current foreign policy in the event of mass climate upheaval? The West is right now, today, bombing the gently caress out of states which have been thrown into unrest by prolonged climate change.

As for that piece of poo poo Borlaug: do you think it's better that hundreds of millions will now starve to death or die in utterly horrific conditions, after a lifetime of squalor and poverty, rather than tens of millions? They're going to die either way, the green revolution just kicked the can down the road and upped the death toll exponentially while also drastically harming the environment. You are either a dipshit or willfully ignorant if you can't see how utterly hosed up that situation is. :colbert:

DesperateDan
Dec 10, 2005

Where's my cow?

Is that my cow?

No it isn't, but it still tramples my bloody lavender.
It was politically useful to have populations scared of the red menace or the capitalist aggressor. Unifying fear of the foreign. Not as useful when the thing to be scared of is the greed inherent to humanity and the absolute corruption of absolute powers.

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Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

Ol Standard Retard posted:

Interstellar did it but people were too busy jackin it to hilarious fake physics nonsense to be like "Hmm what is the actual problem driving this movie?"

Logan did it too.

I agree the overall volume of culture doesn't even come close to nuclear apocalypse stuff.

Yah, if you take out the space travel bits, Interstellar was basically Climate Change: The Movie. Nothing exciting: a moribund society that places a stronger emphasis on agriculture (without doing away with automation!), where the Average joe blames Scientists for not having done anything to fix the problems that lead to this, while simultaneously somehow believing the problems won't get worse so they needn't change their ways.

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