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Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
They all want to keep their heads down and just not get past the vote for a motion to proceed. That way they can avoid voting yes or no.

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Flip Yr Wig
Feb 21, 2007

Oh please do go on
Fun Shoe

DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:

Any GOP moderate could have come out yesterday and killed the bill. Any of them. They all know it. None of them did. Why? Portman and Heller have all the political cover in the world, both of their governors came out against the bill. Neither of them did. You think after a weekend of relentless leadership and donor pressure they'll be less likely to vote against the bill?

They might, they might not. They don't want to be the threshold vote that kills it, but they also don't want to vote for it. They're playing chicken with the vote, and are probably still making up their mind. I'm gonna be phone banking in Ohio about it on Tuesday, so hopefully things like that will push Portman.

DAD LOST MY IPOD
Feb 3, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!
at this point Portman may actually be remotely gettable because kasich is providing cover. I am pressuring Heller, Portman and Capito about it (calls, emails to all three, using in state addresses) but I've also reached out to their governors. They don't want to be the one to kill it so if they can fob off responsibility to someone else they will.

Submarine Sandpaper
May 27, 2007


Portman gives absolutely no fucks, he's safe for 6 and this will be well out of memory by then.

Simplex
Jun 29, 2003

You can sum up the situation as: nobody wants to face a primary challenger with a no vote on this bill. Nobody wants to face a general election challenger with a yes vote on the bill. Everybody who is waffling on the bill just hopes that McConnell brings back a long lost Republican tradition and just pockets the bill. McConnell can't do that because it would piss off the donors and likely lead to a slap fight with the White House.

empty whippet box
Jun 9, 2004

by Fluffdaddy
That doesn't make me think they're about to pass it.

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

empty whippet box posted:

That doesn't make me think they're about to pass it.

Never underestimate the capacity of Republicans for kamikaze evil plans.

The Phlegmatist
Nov 24, 2003

DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:

Any GOP moderate could have come out yesterday and killed the bill. Any of them. They all know it. None of them did. Why? Portman and Heller have all the political cover in the world, both of their governors came out against the bill. Neither of them did. You think after a weekend of relentless leadership and donor pressure they'll be less likely to vote against the bill?

You realize they're all waiting for the CBO score, right?

If they direct the CBO to use 2017 ACA enrollment data this time or decide to get the CMS to score it instead, then all the moderates will have cover to vote for it because the numbers will be much more palatable. That's when you need to start worrying.

e: here's the CMS score for AHCA, for reference. 12m uninsured vs CBO's 24m uninsured in 2026

The Phlegmatist fucked around with this message at 13:46 on Jul 15, 2017

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


God McConnell is the worst loving person.

As comically stupid and evil as the Trump Regime may be, McConnell has actively sought to destroy every norm to impose his will on everything. He gives no fucks about the will of the people and will burn the system down, if necessary, to please his donors.

Ryan is a total prick but at least he's pretty ineffective at his job. McConnell is evil and competent--a horrible combo.

I've already prepared myself for the passage of this bill. Hope I don't get sick for the next ten years *fingers crossed*.

Queering Wheel
Jun 18, 2011


LeeMajors posted:

God McConnell is the worst loving person.

As comically stupid and evil as the Trump Regime may be, McConnell has actively sought to destroy every norm to impose his will on everything. He gives no fucks about the will of the people and will burn the system down, if necessary, to please his donors.

Ryan is a total prick but at least he's pretty ineffective at his job. McConnell is evil and competent--a horrible combo.

I've already prepared myself for the passage of this bill. Hope I don't get sick for the next ten years *fingers crossed*.

I'm afraid of the bill passing too, but nothing much has changed about the situation. A bunch of the insane Republicans including Cruz were probably always going to vote yes after some stupid changes/giveaways were made. Another CBO score is coming early next week and there's pretty much no way it's going to be any better than the last. That will give the less insane Republicans their cover to kill this version of the bill.

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005

https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/886236414492295168

Shop around, they said

Freedom to choose, they said

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Yes, it's your freedom to choose to die of treatable illness.

But not assisted suicide. :911:

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005

This poo poo really exposes the fact that rip-off artists are a huge GOP constituency.

Who the gently caress benefits from the "freedom" to buy completely worthless insurance besides the scumbag con artists who will make bank selling it to poor, desperate and uninformed people?

Great Metal Jesus
Jun 11, 2007

Got no use for psychiatry
I can talk to the voices
in my head for free
Mood swings like an axe
Into those around me
My tongue is a double agent
But hey, don't worry, I'm sure we'd get plenty of articles from people gushing about how they love their super cheap Cruz plan until it kills them

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/15/opinions/cruz-amendment-smart-policy-moore/index.html

gently caress you, CNN.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.

Rhesus Pieces posted:

https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/886236414492295168

Shop around, they said

Freedom to choose, they said

Wow, so this could possibly just kill people that's insane. Have cheap plan , get cancer, not covered, die.

Great Metal Jesus
Jun 11, 2007

Got no use for psychiatry
I can talk to the voices
in my head for free
Mood swings like an axe
Into those around me
My tongue is a double agent

That garbage loving article posted:

Editor's Note: Stephen Moore is an economic adviser to Freedom Works and a CNN economic analyst. He served as a senior economic adviser to the Trump campaign. The views expressed are his own.

Hmm yes this is the sort of person we should provide airtime to in order to give a clear and realistic view of the health care bill. Of the not-Fox news networks CNN is the loving worst.

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005


Yeah this'll work out great. After I buy cheap health insurance for people who don't get sick I'll go shopping for cheap car insurance for people who don't get into accidents.

The Phlegmatist
Nov 24, 2003

I'm surprised the byline wasn't Ted Cruz.

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Rhesus Pieces posted:

Yeah this'll work out great. After I buy cheap health insurance for people who don't get sick I'll go shopping for cheap car insurance for people who don't get into accidents.

I can't understand why the definition of insurance has seemingly changed.

Insurance is designed for risk mitigation by pooling premiums. Low coverage plans with high deductibles are not even insurance plans. High risk pools that concentrate are not even insurance plans.

This is a basic loving concept that is intentionally ignored and it makes me feel loving crazy.

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets
Analysis is showing that the red states that accepted Medicaid expansion will get completely hosed. WV and KY will both have 3-4x increases in number of uninsured.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
Don't both of those states have incredibly problems with opioid addictions?

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets

Hollismason posted:

Don't both of those states have incredibly problems with opioid addictions?

Yes. Luckily, addicts are the best at forward planning insurance.

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005

LeeMajors posted:

I can't understand why the definition of insurance has seemingly changed.

Insurance is designed for risk mitigation by pooling premiums. Low coverage plans with high deductibles are not even insurance plans. High risk pools that concentrate are not even insurance plans.

This is a basic loving concept that is intentionally ignored and it makes me feel loving crazy.

Oh the insurance companies are well aware of how nonsensical the Cruz plan is:

https://twitter.com/topherspiro/status/886015376173268992

This isn't based around the concept of actually insuring people, it's about comforting the comfortable and afflicting the afflicted in every way. Healthy young men who don't even need health care deserve a massive break as a reward for their good fortune, and the sick must be punished further because they must've done something to deserve it.

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Great Metal Jesus posted:

Hmm yes this is the sort of person we should provide airtime to in order to give a clear and realistic view of the health care bill. Of the not-Fox news networks CNN is the loving worst.

LOL Stephen Moore. My sister used to babysit his kids, his wife would hire her to look after them while he was still in the house watching TV in the basement. His own wife didn't trust the piece of poo poo to look after his own kids.

Reik
Mar 8, 2004

LeeMajors posted:

I can't understand why the definition of insurance has seemingly changed.

Insurance is designed for risk mitigation by pooling premiums. Low coverage plans with high deductibles are not even insurance plans. High risk pools that concentrate are not even insurance plans.

This is a basic loving concept that is intentionally ignored and it makes me feel loving crazy.

This has really only happened to health insurance. It's a long story, but it boils down to fee for service being a terrible system for healthcare and insurers having to take on the roles of managing care to combat the rising costs, which has transformed the insurance companies in to health plan administrators inatead of traditional risk poolers.

The only real health "insurance" still sold is stuff like critical illness plans.

Also, at some point in there one of Nixon's hideous black tentacles touched the industry birthing HMOs and it took 30 years for those to turn in to something that didn't closely resemble a death camp.

Reik fucked around with this message at 21:00 on Jul 15, 2017

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

LeeMajors posted:

I can't understand why the definition of insurance has seemingly changed.

Insurance is designed for risk mitigation by pooling premiums. Low coverage plans with high deductibles are not even insurance plans. High risk pools that concentrate are not even insurance plans.

This is a basic loving concept that is intentionally ignored and it makes me feel loving crazy.

Prior to the ACA the shift to consumer driven, high deductible plans have been sold to people with FYGM tendencies. For example, my last employer's HR department would say that instead of subsidizing everyone with a higher premium your new $20/ month HDHP is a pay for what you use plan, unlike before when you were giving sickos and fatties a free ride.

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Reik posted:

This has really only happened to health insurance. It's a long story, but it boils down to fee for service being a terrible system for healthcare and insurers having to take on the roles of managing care to combat the rising costs, which has transformed the insurance companies in to health plan administrators inatead of traditional risk poolers.

The only real health "insurance" still sold is stuff like critical illness plans.

Also, at some point in there one of Nixon's hideous black tentacles touched the industry birthing HMOs and it took 30 years for those to turn in to something that didn't closely resemble a death camp.

It's happened w home insurance too. Specialty hazard insurance has concentrated risk (esp Flood Ins) and struggles to stay solvent.

The Phlegmatist
Nov 24, 2003
Home insurance is going to get real fun when climate change starts hitting hard in a few decades, but that's a conversation for another thread.

Reik posted:

This has really only happened to health insurance. It's a long story, but it boils down to fee for service being a terrible system for healthcare and insurers having to take on the roles of managing care to combat the rising costs, which has transformed the insurance companies in to health plan administrators inatead of traditional risk poolers.

Trouble is, people in the US start screaming about death panels when the government wants to play the role of a health plan administrator but are seemingly okay with private payers deciding whether they live or die. That's probably the biggest barrier to universal healthcare in the US.

After Michelle Obama's healthy school lunch program got such ridiculous amounts of backlash, I'm sure that trying to institute public health measures to control our obesity crisis (sugar tax, calorie or portion size cap for entrees at restaurants) would result in an armed uprising powered by rascal scooters. But stuff like that is important for a UHC system as a cost-control measure.

Xae
Jan 19, 2005

The Phlegmatist posted:

Home insurance is going to get real fun when climate change starts hitting hard in a few decades, but that's a conversation for another thread.
They've started raising premiums for it already. They want to get a head of the curve.

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC
I suppose this the best thread to post this, but here's how badly the VA is doing in NH.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2017/07/15/four-star-case-failure-manchester/n9VV7BerswvkL5akCgNzvK/story.html?p1=AMP_Recirculation_Pos1

quote:

SPOTLIGHT
At a four-star veterans’ hospital: Care gets ‘worse and worse’
By Jonathan Saltzman and Andrea Estes, Globe Staff July 15, 2017

MANCHESTER, N.H. — This is what the US Department of Veterans Affairs says a four-star hospital looks like:

One operating room has been abandoned since last October because exterminators couldn’t get rid of the flies. Doctors had to cancel surgeries in another OR last month after they discovered what appeared to be rust or blood on two sets of surgical instruments that were supposedly sterile.

Thousands of patients, including some with life-threatening conditions, struggle to get any care at all because the program for setting up appointments with outside specialists has broken down. One man still hadn’t gotten an appointment to see an oncologist this spring, more than four weeks after a diagnosis of lung cancer, according to a hospital document obtained by the Globe.

And when patients from the Manchester Veterans Affairs Medical Center are referred to outside specialists, those physicians are sometimes dismayed by their condition and medical history. A Boston neurosurgeon lamented that several Manchester patients sent to him had suffered needless spinal damage, including paralysis, because the hospital had not provided proper care for a treatable spine condition called cervical myelopathy.

“Only in 3rd World countries is it common to see patients end up as disabled from myelopathy as the ones who have been showing up after referral from you,” wrote Dr. Chima Ohaegbulam , of New England Baptist Hospital, to a doctor at the Manchester VA in 2014.

It's quite the :smith: article.

Brony Car
May 22, 2014

by Cyrano4747

OhFunny posted:

I suppose this the best thread to post this, but here's how badly the VA is doing in NH.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2017/07/15/four-star-case-failure-manchester/n9VV7BerswvkL5akCgNzvK/story.html?p1=AMP_Recirculation_Pos1


It's quite the :smith: article.

Many people I know like to use the VA as an example of why the government should "stay out" of healthcare. Stories like this do not help.

PerniciousKnid
Sep 13, 2006
More like, why Republicans should stay out of health care.

Reik
Mar 8, 2004
Even the best healthcare system will fall in to ruin if it doesn't have appropriate funding.

The Phlegmatist
Nov 24, 2003

Brony Car posted:

Many people I know like to use the VA as an example of why the government should "stay out" of healthcare. Stories like this do not help.

I have no idea how it happened, but it seems like the VA is staffed with a lot of malicious actors. I've heard stories from veterans about how they'll shred your paperwork and pretend they never received it, so you always need to send them photocopies rather than the originals. And they'll constantly try to make you sign waivers saying that you never worked with asbestos just in case you get mesothelioma.

Yeah our healthcare system in the US is a mess but the VA is a special kind of awful.

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

Reik posted:

Even the best healthcare system will fall in to ruin if it doesn't have appropriate funding.

That could be a huge problem for any single-payer healthcare system in the USA. It would be very vulnerable to being starved every 8/16 years by the Republicans.

Reik
Mar 8, 2004

BarbarianElephant posted:

That could be a huge problem for any single-payer healthcare system in the USA. It would be very vulnerable to being starved every 8/16 years by the Republicans.

If it was a system everyone was on though, it would be much harder to get the support. Republicans don't dare try and cut funding to Medicare. Medicaid is only fair game because it's for "the poors".

Flip Yr Wig
Feb 21, 2007

Oh please do go on
Fun Shoe

The Phlegmatist posted:

Trouble is, people in the US start screaming about death panels when the government wants to play the role of a health plan administrator but are seemingly okay with private payers deciding whether they live or die. That's probably the biggest barrier to universal healthcare in the US.

After Michelle Obama's healthy school lunch program got such ridiculous amounts of backlash, I'm sure that trying to institute public health measures to control our obesity crisis (sugar tax, calorie or portion size cap for entrees at restaurants) would result in an armed uprising powered by rascal scooters. But stuff like that is important for a UHC system as a cost-control measure.

For better or for worse, that's not so much an inherent property of the American electorate, but the product of intense partisan identification. Any reform introduced by Democrats, completely regardless of its content (poo poo, it could be further to the right of the Republican plan) is going to receive the exact same treatment by the Republican voter base. So any political strategy going forward basically needs to accept that the right wing of America will literally believe it its policies are Satanic and enact them anyway.

BlueBlazer
Apr 1, 2010
People should be outside of McCain's hospital room right now, protesting.

The fucker has the gall to get sick on our dime then try and take health insurance away from millions. He should burn and any other Republican who wants to do the same should expect the same treatment till the day they die.

Actions need to start getting spiteful.

Reik posted:

Even the best healthcare system will fall in to ruin if it doesn't have appropriate funding.

Yea, you have to have healthcare to fail it. Any asshat that makes the argument that we shouldn't have it because it wont work in the future is full of it.

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rkajdi
Sep 11, 2001

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

BlueBlazer posted:

People should be outside of McCain's hospital room right now, protesting.

The fucker has the gall to get sick on our dime then try and take health insurance away from millions. He should burn and any other Republican who wants to do the same should expect the same treatment till the day they die.

Actions need to start getting spiteful.

Isn't him being in a state where he's still in the senate but can't press the yes button actually helping keep the current system working? I'm not saying the dude isn't a shithead, but his broken brain and huge ego means he won't leave his seat and also can't vote yes (or for cloture on other stuff) in the meantime.

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