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Good Parmesan
Nov 30, 2007

I TAKE PHOTOS OF OTHER PEOPLE'S CHILDREN IN PLANET FITNESS
Aren't late night restaurant joints also a contributor to crime?

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AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

It's a racist Just-So story, please stop spreading it. It's cool that you like how racism makes people uncomfortable, but please stop.

How can you go from "violent crime is caused by bored young men" to "abortion does not impact violent crime rates"? There's not nearly enough data for it to be the sole explanatory variable or anything, but if abortion plays a role in depressing birth rates, it will also depress crime rates. And there is plenty of evidence that access to comprehensive reproductive health services does in fact reduce birth rates. If I'm not mistaken abortions historically fall at something like 1/5th of live birth rates. Beyond that estimating the impact of better access to other forms of birth control and reproductive health education would probably be much harder to create a definitive estimate for, but I don't think it's at all a stretch to suggest that things like proliferation of hormonal birth control would also depress birth rates. The question at that point would only be a magnitude of the effect and the relative impact compared to other factors that have decreased violent crime.

"Providing greater agency to women over reproductive matters may decrease violent crime rates in the long run" is probably a better and less emotional presentation of that argument than "poor mothers getting abortions may decrease violent crime rates in the long run". Legalization of abortion simply happens to be the most clear-cut (and controversial) change in policy in that regard, while other improvements were more incremental.

quote:

The better hypothesis that has been floated and includes more evidence ascribes it generally to just an aging of the population. Young people commit more crimes. Fewer young people -> fewer people committing crimes

The aging of the population is a direct result of decreased birth rates (death rates have an impact, but have not gone down nearly as fast in the period in question), which are directly impacted by increased access to reproductive healthcare (including abortions).

AreWeDrunkYet fucked around with this message at 20:20 on Jul 17, 2017

canyoneer
Sep 13, 2005


I only have canyoneyes for you

Good Parmesan posted:

Aren't late night restaurant joints also a contributor to crime?

If the hundreds of videos on youtube of midnight brawls inside Denny's, Waffle House, and McDonalds are to be believed, yes.



AreWeDrunkYet posted:

How can you go from "violent crime is caused by bored young men" to "abortion does not impact violent crime rates"?

The better hypothesis that has been floated and includes more evidence ascribes it generally to just an aging of the population. Young people commit more crimes. Fewer young people -> fewer people committing crimes

https://np.reddit.com/r/legaladvice/comments/6nmol7/az_tn_can_a_tenant_decide_rent_is_considered_paid/
Don't rent to family. Don't be an absentee landlord. Don't rent without a detailed, well put together lease.

Can a tenant decide rent is considered paid based on personal circumstances?

quote:

Long complicated story warning. Bonus if you like this sort of thing I guess.
So Son & DIL move into my AZ house (house is in my name only, my wife is not on the deed) when we move to TN. They make significant changes to the house such as totally remodeling the kitchen and also replacing major appliances without prior notice. At first I panic because WTF. But they are family and so I let it ride after talking about it with my son and making it perfectly clear that they are not now, and never shall be, the homeowner. I also ask them not to make any more changes without prior consent. As it turns out the kitchen job was a nice improvement. But the washer and drier were replaced when I was never told they may or may not have had issues (they were fine when we moved out). Stove also replaced, but I caught wind of that one and told them to put mine in the garage instead of throwing it away. Not sure if it is still there. Again it was fine when we left the state.
Fast forward a couple years and they are getting divorced. At one point, the police arrive and BOTH of them end up in lockup for a night due to domestic violence. No kids.
So she moves out at the end of June leaving most of her belongings. We are here in TN trying to not take sides but also not go insane. He puts her items on the back patio (which is covered) for her movers/friends to take. For "reasons" she has not taken them all yet but continues to claim that the movers are coming to get the rest "soon". He does not want to have her and three or four friends walking through the house taking things and I don't blame him. He agrees to her and one other person for a walk through.
Rent has not been paid for June or July. She wants a reference letter from me stating that she lived there from Date_1 to Date_2 and the final month's rent paid was $XXXX. I was going to just sign it and give it to her in the interest of family ties and ask her politely for half the June rent.
Before I could make this communication, she sends a letter via FB to my wife located here at PasteBin (all identifying information has been scrubbed). In it she claims that there were repairs required to make the place livable. This is inherently untrue. There are some repairs to the guest bathroom sink area that could be made and I said I would in order to help them get a roommate, but it is by no means in any way unlivable.
She is claiming that she requested that we evict our son because it made the house unsafe. This stems from FB communications that she had with my wife, but it was never to that level that I am aware of. They fight a lot. Both of them do things they should not. Apparently police have been there more than once but I was never informed as to any tenant being a threat to anyone by them.
She is claiming that she no longer owes rent for June or July due to this. I considered that she was gone at the end of June and only wanted half of June rent from her. But now she is stating that July 15th is her 30 day move out notice. So from my point of view, she now has legally admitted to owing me half of June, July and one quarter of August rent.
We have a loosely written lease that lists only Son and DIL as tenants. They have had roommates on occasion but as far as I am concerned, the rent is from them only. Any rent agreements from a roommate would be between them and not include me from my point of view.

She is also stating that if I try to collect rent from her, she will file against my homeowner's insurance due to "unsafe tenants". In addition she claims she will file against them for any of "her" possessions that are damaged or destroyed. From my point of view, I have NO horse in that race. How can I be liable for their inability to split goods I never owned in the first place? If she tries to take the washer and drier, what are my options? They replaced them and threw away mine without notice.
The final roommate is a paralegal and sent us a photo of her room when she moved out in order to cover her rear end which is fine. The room looked OK in the photo.
So how much of her letter is bullshit? Am I entitled to rent from her for half of June, half of July and one quarter of August? Can she file claims against my homeowner's insurance? Does anything at all that she claims in her letter hold water legally?
EDIT TO ADD: Original lease was a one year which has passed, but it was never "officially" re-upped with a new copy. Does this make them month to month now?
:munch:

paragon1
Nov 22, 2010

FULL COMMUNISM NOW
:cripes:

BWM: Someone took a promotion at my job that will only raise their hourly pay by thirty cents. It comes with a cost that will be at least $1000 a year.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

Abortion Chat:

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

quote:

stuff about abortion
Please pull up, thread.

BWM: caring this much about your credit score.

quote:

Hey everyone, so I'm 18 and got my first card in december with a $750 line of credit which I maxed due to lack of steady work, needing to buy food, and quite a few other expenses which added up. I always made consistent payments but also consistently used my card, keeping me at a gross 97% utilization. Well I've picked up a handful of jobs now and have paid off $500 in two weeks last billing cycle and just paid another $80 today and will have the whole card paid off this week. It feels great. I had a 646 last month and I assumed an increase was inbound but somehow it's now a 636. Is there any reason for this? Thanks everyone

canyoneer
Sep 13, 2005


I only have canyoneyes for you

paragon1 posted:

:cripes:

BWM: Someone took a promotion at my job that will only raise their hourly pay by thirty cents. It comes with a cost that will be at least $1000 a year.

When I worked retail, there was a "donut hole" in career progression. The assistant managers got paid about as much as an average performing hourly associate, but the assistant managers were on salary and forced to work an extra 10-15 hours a week without overtime, so they were actually much worse off from an hourly basis.

The hours never slowed down, but they wouldn't beat a high-performing hourly associate on an hourly basis until they were promo'd a couple more times to area manager and then department manager.
In our region there was a commissioned hourly associate dude who was a total badass and was pulling down $90k/yr, which was more than his store manager was making.

Guest2553
Aug 3, 2012


curufinor posted:

this is the salutory thing about capitalism, in that the rate of profit decreases, and often by a lot, but it doesn't work salutorily in practice because the accumulated capital doesn't get redistributed after it does its useful work. that latter fact is why the koch brothers can do anything, having inherited billions of daddy's money. same deal with orange man

I hope I'm not first person who noticed your millennial -> snake people script, because it would be a shame so many missed it.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

Guest2553 posted:

I hope I'm not first person who noticed your millennial -> snake people script, because it would be a shame so many missed it.
I kind of wish this was forums-wide. It's such a good substitution.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer
Do snakes even like avocado on toast?

curufinor
Apr 4, 2016

by Smythe
I've had it on continuously since it was released

Shipped client work with it on before, and client didn't notice

Also use the world unironically in real conversations

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

paragon1 posted:

:cripes:

BWM: Someone took a promotion at my job that will only raise their hourly pay by thirty cents. It comes with a cost that will be at least $1000 a year.

Is it a stepping stone to something better, like an impressive title/role that will allow them to move to a better job at another company?

Good Parmesan
Nov 30, 2007

I TAKE PHOTOS OF OTHER PEOPLE'S CHILDREN IN PLANET FITNESS
BWM: neighborhood business scams https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=127601814510249&set=a.102023893734708.1073741827.100017812924496&type=3&theater

quote:

Just a heads up too all the small business owners in Elizabeth. A scam that is prevalent in NYC has reared its ugly face in NJ. Here's how it goes.. A man will come in your establishment in a suit and tie. He will say he works on "behalf" (keyword) of The Department of Labor. He will hand you an official looking business card that reads something like "Compliance Officer... Labor Regulations".. He will then ask to see a series of compliance signs in the store ~ most of which you will not have. He will then pull out the laminated official looking signs from his briefcase. He will be a "good" guy and let you purchase the signs from him for about $175 and avoid any tickets.. 100% scam...

All officers of any government agency will have either a badge or official NJ state ID and they will NEVER sell you anything...

BENGHAZI 2
Oct 13, 2007

by Cyrano4747
Commission is the enemy of the people

Shame Boy
Mar 2, 2010

LLCoolJD posted:

Re: lead exposure and violent crime rates - there is no single explanation. Greater police presence, smarter policing, the flight of more prosperous citizens to less accessible suburbs and enclaves, and ER trauma units saving a greater percentage of patients with gunshot wounds all factor in as well.

That's the thing, there's a bunch of different explanations but lead fits really, really well, across a bunch of different demographics and even different countries. In many cases much better than the other contributing factors fit, especially at smaller scales.

Like lots of things contribute to crime sure but lead levels contribute to crime a whole fuckin' lot more than anyone previously thought.

curufinor
Apr 4, 2016

by Smythe
so, conjecture. does this analogy follow?

women : horses :: men : trucks

baquerd
Jul 2, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

curufinor posted:

so, conjecture. does this analogy follow?

women : horses :: men : trucks

Don't troll the trolls please.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

22 Eargesplitten posted:

Actually, I would say that abortion is related to lower crime rates compared to before 1973.

Yes, you like to say a lot of racist things.

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

How can you go from "violent crime is caused by bored young men" to "abortion does not impact violent crime rates"? There's not nearly enough data for it to be the sole explanatory variable or anything, but if abortion plays a role in depressing birth rates, it will also depress crime rates. And there is plenty of evidence that access to comprehensive reproductive health services does in fact reduce birth rates. If I'm not mistaken abortions historically fall at something like 1/5th of live birth rates. Beyond that estimating the impact of better access to other forms of birth control and reproductive health education would probably be much harder to create a definitive estimate for, but I don't think it's at all a stretch to suggest that things like proliferation of hormonal birth control would also depress birth rates. The question at that point would only be a magnitude of the effect and the relative impact compared to other factors that have decreased violent crime.

"Providing greater agency to women over reproductive matters may decrease violent crime rates in the long run" is probably a better and less emotional presentation of that argument than "poor mothers getting abortions may decrease violent crime rates in the long run". Legalization of abortion simply happens to be the most clear-cut (and controversial) change in policy in that regard, while other improvements were more incremental.


The aging of the population is a direct result of decreased birth rates (death rates have an impact, but have not gone down nearly as fast in the period in question), which are directly impacted by increased access to reproductive healthcare (including abortions).

It was the setup to a porn joke, dummy. I've already explained why the abortion -> crime rate connection hinges upon a racist assumption. Since you agree with this racist assumption I guess we all learned something important about you today!

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

curufinor posted:

so, conjecture. does this analogy follow?

women : horses :: men : trucks

Horses : Net Worth :: Ten Tons of Napalm : A Helpless Kitten

Guest2553
Aug 3, 2012


Underwater on an 8 year note for a truck at 14.5% interest bought without savings, but I'm in a better place and have a bangin' credit score of 653 so can someone help me refinance at a lower cost?

Leon's stories are like raw fentanyl straight to the urethra, but this BWM still made me feel something again.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

An eight year auto loan?

He says he works as a window cleaner so he probably did need a truck. But almost certainly not that truck.

Farg
Nov 19, 2013
I feel like TB doesn't argue in good faith

Redrum and Coke
Feb 25, 2006

wAstIng 10 bUcks ON an aVaTar iS StUpid

Farg posted:

I feel like TB doesn't argue in good faith

I don't think she's mentally stable.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Farg posted:

I feel like TB doesn't argue in good faith

I do though. The problem is really fundamental human decency stuff like "don't be racist" is completely mind-boggling and unheard of to a depressing number of goons.

Non Serviam posted:

I don't think he's mentally stable.

You know good and well I'm a woman, you creep.

Nice ninja edit.

monster on a stick
Apr 29, 2013
"Don't poo poo up the thread" should also be part of fundamental human decency and yet...

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

monster on a stick posted:

"Don't poo poo up the thread" should also be part of fundamental human decency and yet...

I politely asked someone not to spread a racist fairy tale and now here we are. If you don't think racism shits up a thread then that says a lot about you.

ranbo das
Oct 16, 2013


Droo
Jun 25, 2003

This conversation reminds me of an article I saw this morning.

http://www.businessinsider.com/liberals-can-win-if-they-stop-being-so-annoying-2017-7

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Why do I never see the loving bird after somebody posts racism? Why do you shits only ever have a problem with anti-racism?

I know, but do you?

Droo posted:

This conversation reminds me of an article I saw this morning.

http://www.businessinsider.com/liberals-can-win-if-they-stop-being-so-annoying-2017-7

Anything's on topic in here as long as it's helping racists feel safe to post, I guess

curufinor
Apr 4, 2016

by Smythe
if we take the analogy further, there should be a world of deranged truck poo poo, beyond even truck nuts and rolling coal dealios

where are the truck psychologists, truck spirit healers, truck mediums?

No Butt Stuff
Jun 10, 2004

I wish we had a better animal for derails than a bird. Birds loving suck.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

curufinor posted:

if we take the analogy further, there should be a world of deranged truck poo poo, beyond even truck nuts and rolling coal dealios

where are the truck psychologists, truck spirit healers, truck mediums?

https://vignette2.wikia.nocookie.net/warhammer40k/images/3/34/Techpriest2.jpg/revision/latest/scale-to-width-down/200?cb=20111026163206

You've got a million-dollar reality show idea on your hands

No Butt Stuff
Jun 10, 2004

I was looking the other day and GMC offered me a 10 year auto loan option. Maybe just don't buy the 50k truck?

curufinor
Apr 4, 2016

by Smythe
maybe we should post horses and trucks and horse spirit healers and truck psychologists


Redrum and Coke
Feb 25, 2006

wAstIng 10 bUcks ON an aVaTar iS StUpid

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

I politely asked someone not to spread a racist fairy tale and now here we are. If you don't think racism shits up a thread then that says a lot about you.

Everyone is racist except you TB.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Non Serviam posted:

Everyone is racist except you TB.

You can retreat into your slimy goonshell and jam your tentacles in your ears whenever you get criticized, but until you stop being a horrible reddity creep people aren't going to stop noticing that you are.

Zo
Feb 22, 2005

LIKE A FOX

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

Why do I never see the loving bird after somebody posts racism? Why do you shits only ever have a problem with anti-racism?

I know, but do you?


Anything's on topic in here as long as it's helping racists feel safe to post, I guess

lol mostly because you never follow up with sources or links so all we have to go on is the questionable word of a severely mentally ill person (a reputation of your own making, just so you know)

Redrum and Coke
Feb 25, 2006

wAstIng 10 bUcks ON an aVaTar iS StUpid

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

You can retreat into your slimy goonshell and jam your tentacles in your ears whenever you get criticized, but until you stop being a horrible reddity creep people aren't going to stop noticing that you are.

How many videos do you have on YouTube about strangers being your stalkers? Because you sound like that kind of crazy.

Tiny Brontosaurus
Aug 1, 2013

by Lowtax

Zo posted:

lol mostly because you never follow up with sources or links so all we have to go on is the questionable word of a severely mentally ill person (a reputation of your own making, just so you know)

Just to clarify... you would like a source on "racism is wrong"?

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Redrum and Coke
Feb 25, 2006

wAstIng 10 bUcks ON an aVaTar iS StUpid

Tiny Brontosaurus posted:

Just to clarify... you would like a source on "racism is wrong"?

No, because you say "THAT IS RACIST!!!" based on your own opinion, never addressing whether something is true or not.
Also, because you're a mentally ill person.

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