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CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

KickerOfMice posted:

It's wouldn't seem that way if you were one of those 30 million.
e- that came off as alot more snippy than I intended.

I'm not saying that it's a *small* number, just that I had assumed that more than 10% of the population was on social healthcare.

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Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


DreamShipWrecked posted:

I'm a bit confused by the numbers here. Repealing Obamacare would lead to 30 million people losing insurance. Does that mean only 30 mil rely on Obamacare now? Because that seems really low.

Obamacare expanded insurance by:

* creative a sustainable individual market, allowing people to get insurance outside employers
* expanding Medicaid (not in all states, thanks to SCOTUS saying that it wasn't mandatory and GOP governors in states bein' shitlords)

These people would lose their insurance if Obamacare goes belly-up-- and that's a lot of folks, roughly a tenth of the country.

Much of the heavy lifting in Obamacare that helped folks outside those avenues was implementing standards and protections-- no more pre-existing condition barriers to coverage, no more lifetime limits, a required minimum ratio of total expenditures to medical expenditures. People wouldn't lose their insurance necessarily if those go away, but you'd see all insurance plans nationwide get shittier and costlier if it goes away.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.
If Forfeiture relied entirely on charges against someone then it might be defensible.

"We're charging X with selling crystal meth and seizing this money because we have reason to believe it came from the sale of those drugs. If they're found not-guilty they can have it back."
vs.
"We think X sells drugs, we're taking this money because we think it's drug money and spend it on ourselves. Can they have it back even if we don't charge them? LOL no gently caress off with your legal rights bullshit."

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

I wonder if Sessions is preparing to move against the high finance legal marijuana growers.

I wouldn't doubt it for an instant.

BiggerBoat posted:

Not really, no I can't. I can seek out left wing articles that make me feel good and pump up my inner liberal animal if I feel like it but none of them deny science

Feel free to seek out some anti-nuclear articles written by far leftists, especially greens, if you'd like to find some science-ignoring garbage.

I'm sure there's plenty of leftist anti-vax garbage from those same people.

Shifty Pony posted:

He would love to do that, but there is language in the last appropriations bill prohibiting them from spending any money on mj enforcement in legal states.

I don't know what the language specifically states but I just had a thought - I wonder if they could wait until someone involved in a MJ operation traveled to a non-legal-mj state and then hit them with the forfeiture laws.

He could probably get away with claiming that none of that funding is being spent on it, because they're spending the money they're stealing from the growers.

Who's going to stop it? Congressional Republicans? Donald Trump? The conservative-held SCOTUS who'd punt on it and say it's Congress's problem?

Al Borland Corp. posted:

I'm thinking like Fire Emblem Heroes.

This here is my Ragnell Special, I use it to take down targets from a distance. :clint:

The "super gun owner" groups might be 17 on average but the reality is that half or more of that group are families that hunt and so they have half a dozen rifles/shotguns and maybe a handgun, while a small set of that group are the literal "has a basement like Burt in Tremors" crazy gun buying assholes and preppers.

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

Teddybear posted:

Obamacare expanded insurance by:

* creative a sustainable individual market, allowing people to get insurance outside employers
* expanding Medicaid (not in all states, thanks to SCOTUS saying that it wasn't mandatory and GOP governors in states bein' shitlords)

These people would lose their insurance if Obamacare goes belly-up-- and that's a lot of folks, roughly a tenth of the country.

Much of the heavy lifting in Obamacare that helped folks outside those avenues was implementing standards and protections-- no more pre-existing condition barriers to coverage, no more lifetime limits, a required minimum ratio of total expenditures to medical expenditures. People wouldn't lose their insurance necessarily if those go away, but you'd see all insurance plans nationwide get shittier and costlier if it goes away.

Fair points, Obamacare's biggest boon was fixing some of the broken parts of standard insurance.

It was just surprising to me considering that a lot of small businesses rely on socialized medicine, and the unemployment rate is 4.5%.

skeleton warrior
Nov 12, 2016


Robot Hobo posted:

Oh poo poo, the President Fart City demanded all of the state voter records under obviously false pretenses, and he's going to find out who voted for Dubs instead of Subs. I'm sure that data won't be used against me, rig-

* the blade of a katana erupts from my chest *

"I never thought I would be stabbed by a katana" says the man who voted for the Katanas Stabbing People party

Kekekela
Oct 28, 2004

DreamShipWrecked posted:

I'm a bit confused by the numbers here. Repealing Obamacare would lead to 30 million people losing insurance. Does that mean only 30 mil rely on Obamacare now? Because that seems really low.

That's probably more than are on Obamacare now actually. That number is the difference between the number projected to be uninsured if Obamacare is the law in 2026 vs if it's repealed. That difference can come from people being priced out of the market, plans not being available, etc but it's relying on projections, not current numbers, for both the Obamacare.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Lamar Alexander just said that he doesn't think there is even 40 votes for "repeal and maybe replace later".

If true, that makes McConnell's plan to have the vote anyway make more sense, it would tell Trump that it wasn't just a couple senators.

Randbrick
Sep 28, 2002
Repealing Obamacare would immediately withdraw an enormous amount of money from the health care system, as it would eliminate the expanded eligibility criteria and coverages that comprised the medicaid expansion.

It would also eliminate the subsidies and therefore policies for the working poor and middle class, as they'd either lack coverage at worst or at best have less coverage under less generous plans. This assumes, though, that people aren't underinsuring or witholding potentially discretionary income or savings they could otherwise spend on health coverage.

The scope of these two changes would effectively drain the risk pool locality by locality and cascade to a national crescendo. Thinking through just how bad the straight repeal would land in policy terms is truly sobering and horrifying.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


there was a story of civil forfeiture where it was i believe a mother and son had just sold a house and had several hundred thousand in a safe or something in their car and since sometimes drug runners used that highway the cops took all their money.

i'd legit suicide if that happened to me.

Blitz of 404 Error
Sep 19, 2007

Joe Biden is a top 15 president
Democrats should drop all gun control legislation and start spreading propaganda that the Republicans are eyeing registration avenues after that congressman was shot

HappyHippo
Nov 19, 2003
Do you have an Air Miles Card?

DreamShipWrecked posted:

Fair points, Obamacare's biggest boon was fixing some of the broken parts of standard insurance.

It was just surprising to me considering that a lot of small businesses rely on socialized medicine, and the unemployment rate is 4.5%.

Well there's another 26 million who don't have coverage currently. Repealing Obamacare adds another 32 million to that. So you're going from about 10% to about 20% of the population without coverage.

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



Mantis42 posted:

Even Obama liked to shoot skeet. Shooting guns is a perfectly normal hobby and only weird goons think differently.

Also most of the rest of the world.

No Butt Stuff
Jun 10, 2004

Guess what happens to care prices, and as a direct result, premiums, when providers have to bake in the cost for one of every five patients being unable to pay?!

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


was the cruz amendment where there'd be a pool for healthy people and a pool for sick people. how do these people not even grasp the basic concept of insurance??

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything
Where are the leaks?

Trump do something incredibly offensive or something. Tweet that it's ok to gargle piss. Something.

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

Mister Adequate posted:

Also most of the rest of the world.

True story, my Canadian relative was telling me about two guys planning to shoot up an place being caught and arrested because they were driving around wearing tactical webbing.

Which is standard uniform for a significant amount of our population.

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets
It makes perfect sense if you view insurance as a luxury good.

Elotana
Dec 12, 2003

and i'm putting it all on the goddamn expense account

Blitz7x posted:

Democrats should drop all gun control legislation and start spreading propaganda that the Republicans are eyeing registration avenues after that congressman was shot
Unironically endorse

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


my dad's buddy from montreal thinks virtually every american owns a gun and that we all love them (i think only 30 percent of households own guns, down from 50 percent in the '70s).

Fitzy Fitz
May 14, 2005




Ague Proof posted:

Where are the leaks?

Trump do something incredibly offensive or something. Tweet that it's ok to gargle piss. Something.

https://twitter.com/adamgoldmanNYT/status/887791213541289984

HappyHippo
Nov 19, 2003
Do you have an Air Miles Card?
Also this is bad

https://twitter.com/anitakumar01/status/887790155226075136

Randbrick
Sep 28, 2002
Bear in mind that millions of health insurance policies means economic activity. This is not like right wing economics where you lie about numbers and fraud, but real old proper labor economics. 32 million insurance policies is 32 million people going to doctors, getting surgery, having medical supplies, filling prescriptions. 32 million insurance polices is doctors nurses orderlies therapists counselors psychologists receptionists billing people sales people marketing people on and on.

32 million insurance policies are jobs that stay filled cause people aren't dead, or because grandma has a nice home and goddammit dignity, it's business, and it's life.

To effectively cut that much life and activity from the economy is of itself a massive depression. And that's just by foreword.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

https://twitter.com/JNicholsonInDC/status/887791927097217024

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Reverand maynard posted:

I think if we passed a law that required people to wear an anime shirt when purchasing guns the problem would just sort itself out in a generation or so

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golgo_13

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better


Why don't they just get jobs

Deptfordx
Dec 23, 2013

Groovelord Neato posted:

there was a story of civil forfeiture where it was i believe a mother and son had just sold a house and had several hundred thousand in a safe or something in their car and since sometimes drug runners used that highway the cops took all their money.

i'd legit suicide if that happened to me.

I've never understood how Americans can possibly stand for this scheme. I just cannot see this sort of thing being tolerated anywhere else in the West, everybody would go mental in the UK if this sort of thing happened.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


Groovelord Neato posted:

was the cruz amendment where there'd be a pool for healthy people and a pool for sick people. how do these people not even grasp the basic concept of insurance??

It isn't written that explicitly, which makes it a bit of a fig leaf. The Cruz amendment would allow for separate plans that didn't abide by the Obamacare regulations so long as they had at least one plan that DID. On the face of it, it sounds fine-- but if you give it even thirty seconds of thought, it would inevitably result in everyone with pre-existing conditions and a need for health insurance on the regulated plans, spiking premiums sky-high, while leaving healthy folks on the lowest-cost plans.

Plus, when they get sick, they can't switch to a plan that covers them for six months, since the low-cost plans don't qualify as health insurance under the bill's own definitions.

BetterToRuleInHell
Jul 2, 2007

Touch my mask top
Get the chop chop
Ignore the CBO scoring, let's go back to talking about how collecting stuff is a mental disorder.

Dietrich
Sep 11, 2001

Well yeah. If you get rid of the ACA, employers are under no obligation to insure full time workers anymore.

Deptfordx posted:

I've never understood how Americans can possibly stand for this scheme. I just cannot see this sort of thing being tolerated anywhere else in the West, everybody would go mental in the UK if this sort of thing happened.

Well, you see, they were darkies.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy

Randbrick posted:

Bear in mind that millions of health insurance policies means economic activity. This is not like right wing economics where you lie about numbers and fraud, but real old proper labor economics. 32 million insurance policies is 32 million people going to doctors, getting surgery, having medical supplies, filling prescriptions. 32 million insurance polices is doctors nurses orderlies therapists counselors psychologists receptionists billing people sales people marketing people on and on.

32 million insurance policies are jobs that stay filled cause people aren't dead, or because grandma has a nice home and goddammit dignity, it's business, and it's life.

To effectively cut that much life and activity from the economy is of itself a massive depression. And that's just by foreword.

This matters far less to Republican donors than the opportunity to cull the unworthy.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Deptfordx posted:

I've never understood how Americans can possibly stand for this scheme. I just cannot see this sort of thing being tolerated anywhere else in the West, everybody would go mental in the UK if this sort of thing happened.

To be clear, you can take the police to court, and bring documentation of your employment, papers showing you sold the house, history of paying for it, etc and get your money back.

But that takes a lot of time, money for lawyers, and if there is ANY evidence at all that you actually were selling drugs, the DA will not so subtly discourage you by letting you know that they are still thinking about charging you.

Chef Boyardeez Nuts
Sep 9, 2011

The more you kick against the pricks, the more you suffer.

Groovelord Neato posted:

there was a story of civil forfeiture where it was i believe a mother and son had just sold a house and had several hundred thousand in a safe or something in their car and since sometimes drug runners used that highway the cops took all their money.

i'd legit suicide if that happened to me.

Wouldn't documentation of legitimate acquisition of the money be a complete defense? You can't really sell a house without a lenghthy paper trail.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Wouldn't documentation of legitimate acquisition of the money be a complete defense? You can't really sell a house without a lenghthy paper trail.

Yes, the cops will then go down the rabbit hole of saying maybe you are a long-time drug dealer and the house was paid for over time with drug proceeds, etc. So then you have to show your work history, how much you made, and look that matches up with my assets, I don't have an unaccounted for pile of money or gold chains laying around, so please give me back my loving money.... please? Before the end of the year?

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Who cares about Russia or guns when there is a scandal involving Hillary Clinton and her emails mails: http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/19/politics/osc-usps-hillary-clinton-hatch-act/index.html

quote:

A government investigation concluded that the United States Postal Service "improperly coordinated" with a postal workers union that supported Hillary Clinton's campaign.

The investigation, as documented in a report from the Office of Special Counsel, said the USPS granted employees union leave time off, at the request of the union, to do political activity -- which OSC concluded was a "systematic violation" of a law regarding the political activity of federal employees.

Prepare for your next right wing talking point about how CNN refuses to cover Hillary Clinton illegally using union thugs!

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Wouldn't documentation of legitimate acquisition of the money be a complete defense? You can't really sell a house without a lenghthy paper trail.

it's more that the cops should have to prove the money is illicit, you shouldn't have to prove it's legit. also they bring charges against the property itself it's utterly insane.

although that did lead to the greatest course case of all time:

United States v. Approximately 64,695 Pounds of Shark Fins
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_v._Approximately_64,695_Pounds_of_Shark_Fins

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:

Wouldn't documentation of legitimate acquisition of the money be a complete defense? You can't really sell a house without a lenghthy paper trail.

Not at all! You can use your legally aquired funds to buy drugs. Sure you say you're driving to the dealer to buy a used car, but your skin tone says otherwise.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Trabisnikof posted:

Not at all! You can use your legally aquired funds to buy drugs. Sure you say you're driving to the dealer to buy a used car, but your skin tone says otherwise.

well, the theory is not that you are buying drugs, its that you are selling them. But yeah, if your skin is too dark, we're taking the money, but if you are old and white, hey congrats on your lucky jackpot! You are driving home from a casino, right? OK, take care.

HappyHippo
Nov 19, 2003
Do you have an Air Miles Card?
https://twitter.com/NBCNightlyNews/status/887793981718974464

https://twitter.com/ChadPergram/status/887796382291177473

:getin:

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


lol there's no way trump jr doesn't gently caress up his testimony royally.

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Google Butt
Oct 4, 2005

Xenology is an unnatural mixture of science fiction and formal logic. At its core is a flawed assumption...

that an alien race would be psychologically human.

Are they gonna do the pre executive privilege thing that sessions did

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