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I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes/status/904306279996243969

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Anidav
Feb 25, 2010

ahhh fuck its the rats again
I would be surprised if the polls ever hit 50/50 again.

Don Dongington
Sep 27, 2005

#ideasboom
College Slice
h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

Doctor Spaceman
Jul 6, 2010

"Everyone's entitled to their point of view, but that's seriously a weird one."

Don Dongington posted:

h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

Statistical noise?

NPR Journalizard
Feb 14, 2008

Don Dongington posted:

h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

Margin of error

Don Dongington
Sep 27, 2005

#ideasboom
College Slice
Oh it's Newspoll too. They always skew right because of that sociological effect that causes the weak minded to always back the winner etc.

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Within margin of error = meaningless.

Meanwhile in the Australian - big article about the Turnbull comeback.

TheMightyHandful
Dec 8, 2008

Don Dongington posted:

h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

Scatological error

Kazzah
Jul 15, 2011

Formerly known as
Krazyface
Hair Elf

Don Dongington posted:

h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

You know, I'm normally a labor supporter, and I was GOING to vote for them, but I don't like having all these Vote Yes people tel

MikeJF
Dec 20, 2003




Don Dongington posted:

h how?

How did they REGAIN ground??!

Bounce effect; you're always going to dip to the lowest after a huge fuckup and then regain a bit a few weeks later.

bandaid.friend
Apr 25, 2017

:obama:My first car was a stick:obama:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-04/senate-dress-code-examined-after-pauline-hansons-burka-stunt/8868106

quote:

The President of the Senate is today expected to formally push for a stricter Senate dress code after One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson wore a burka in the Chamber.
Senator Hanson shocked her colleagues when she entered Question Time wearing the religious garment last month.
The One Nation Leader was calling for the burka to be banned in Australia.
The incident ignited a debate about dress codes in Federal Parliament and whether Senator Hanson should have been allowed to wear the garment into the Chamber.
Senate President Stephen Parry is expected to make a statement to the Chamber today, referring the lack of a formal dress code to the standing committee on procedure for investigation.
Senator Parry is also expected to ask the committee to investigate his powers to police any new dress code that may be implemented.
One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson said it was a matter that needed to be looked at.
"The dress code of the Senate does need to be set down," she said.
"That was the reason why I wore the burka into the Senate, there is no clear dress code and full facial recognition is how they count our votes."
You could've just worn a mask, if that was your real reason

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

I would blow Dane Cook posted:

Within margin of error = meaningless.


is that actually a thing in statistics or is it just something parotted by political junkies when their side takes a hit in the polls?

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013


"هذا ليس عادلاً."
"هذا ليس عادلاً على الإطلاق."
"كان هناك وقت الآن."
(السياق الخفي: للقراءة)

gay picnic defence posted:

is that actually a thing in statistics or is it just something parotted by political junkies when their side takes a hit in the polls?

It means it's indistinguishable from noise, it could be something, but you literally can't know. It's why you look at the trend over time, even if it's only moving within the margin of error each time you can draw far more of a conclusion.



https://twitter.com/tomwestland/status/903859246265057280

WhiskeyWhiskers fucked around with this message at 22:01 on Sep 3, 2017

Capt.Whorebags
Jan 10, 2005

MysticalMachineGun posted:

Do you think at the height of the mining boom it might have been financially feasible?

WA has really only two options for financial self sufficiency. One is mineral resources, which leaves them very exposed to commodity price cycles and as already pointed out would require significant tax policy changes. So no.

The other is to be a food basket for Asia / ANZ. Expand Ord River scheme, grow more wheat etc. But to compete in the markets, the standard of living would have to be substantially lower, or bring in low wage slaves. We know what would happen.

Perth is too far really for any viable service industries to bring in substantial prosperity. I suppose knowledge industries could work but you're competing with Singapore, HK, and of course Brisbane/Sydney/Melbourne.

Doctor Spaceman
Jul 6, 2010

"Everyone's entitled to their point of view, but that's seriously a weird one."

gay picnic defence posted:

is that actually a thing in statistics or is it just something parotted by political junkies when their side takes a hit in the polls?

Yeah, it's the width of the confidence interval, ie Newspoll are very sure (typically 95%) that predictions are within a small amount of the correct values.

Anidav
Feb 25, 2010

ahhh fuck its the rats again
So according to Four Corners most of our construction boom is full of questionable materials.

Australian high-rises swathed in flammable cladding despite suppliers knowing of risks

More than a decade before the deadly Grenfell tower fire in London, Australian suppliers of aluminium composite cladding knew the product they were selling with a polyethylene (PE) core was highly flammable.

Despite more fire-resistant cladding being widely available in Europe and the USA, the cheaper PE core cladding continued to be installed on medium and high-rise buildings in Australia until 2013.

A Four Corners investigation has revealed that some international manufacturers and their Australian suppliers were aware of the risks associated with using PE cladding on high-rise buildings, but they continued to import it because Australia's lax and ambiguous building standards allowed it.

Australia — in the grip of a once-in-a-generation building boom — now has a large legacy of buildings swathed in the potentially deadly material.

The number of affected properties is unknown but could be in the thousands, with a preliminary audit in NSW alone identifying 1,011 buildings that require investigation.

There could be thousands of home owners who are living in unsafe apartment buildings who face multimillion-dollar bills to fix their buildings.

Aluminium Composite Material (ACM) began to be imported in the late 1970s and quickly became popular with architects because of its versatility, light weight and modern look.

By the early 2000s it was gracing new high-rise developments, such as Jackson's Landing in Sydney, apartment blocks in Docklands in Melbourne and several public buildings such as Fremantle Maritime Museum.

PE core cladding, which was originally developed for signage, was initially the main product imported.

But by 2000, at least one Australian supply company swapped to importing a product with a more fire-resistant core, after the manufacturer in Japan showed them fire tests comparing fire resistant and PE cladding.

Before that date, the Sydney supplier, Stephen Geddes, acknowledges that "tens of thousands of square metres … if not hundreds of thousands of square metres" of polyethylene core cladding had already been used on buildings.

And, despite the risks having been identified, other companies continued to import and install the more highly flammable product.

Ambiguous standards combined with poor enforcement

It is not illegal to import PE cladding or use it in certain situations.

But most types of cladding on the market fail the main test used to determine combustibility.

While combustible material is not strictly allowed on multi-storey buildings, even that is not black and white.

It is possible for an expert to sign off that a building meets the code if other safety measures are in place.

Fire engineer Tony Enright says regulations have not kept up with the speed of development.

"Things have descended to the lowest common denominator," he said.

"As soon as there's an obstacle to a development, [the attitude is] 'oh well, let's fire engineer it away'."

Most states have moved to a system of private certification where the building certifier is employed directly by the builder, rather than the council inspecting the building.

The ambiguous standards are combined with poor enforcement and, some say, a conflict of interest between safety and economy.

"We have, if you will, a builder, a certifier and a fire engineer who are incentivised to reduce cost," Mr Enright said.

"The builder because it's going straight on to their bottom line; the certifier because they want repeat work from the builder; the fire engineer because they want repeat work from the certifier and the builder.

"And so they're all taking risks. It's the building owners who bear those risks."

Added strain on fire departments

The number of potentially dangerous buildings around the country has put added strain on fire authorities.

They got a glimpse of just how catastrophic a high-rise cladding fire could be in 2014, when a cigarette left burning on a balcony sparked a major fire at Melbourne's Lacrosse building.

Adam Dalrymple, from Melbourne's Metropolitan Fire Brigade, said they had never seen anything like it in their 125-year history.

"You have multiple sets of fire over multiple levels all at the same time. What that does is actually challenges the way you fight a fire," he said.

Commander Mark Carter said they now have "enhanced response plans" for six buildings which remain occupied but are considered high risk due to their cladding.

This means extra fire trucks and extra ladders would all need to be called in if fire breaks out in those buildings.

"The reality of fighting a fire in any of these high-rises is … it's an intense resource activity and it's an activity that this has added a huge complexity, the fact that we've got combustible stuff on the facade of these buildings," Commander Carter said.

In the wake of the Grenfell fire, most states began audits to identify which buildings had flammable cladding.

There are now calls to follow the lead of countries like the United Arab Emirates, which has banned the import of polyethylene cladding following several horrific high-rise fires involving the material.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS
This wouldn't have happened if there wasn't so much red tape driving up costs for hard working property developers and forcing them to find savings in other areas at the cost of public safety

Endman
May 18, 2010

That is not dead which can eternal lie, And with strange aeons even anime may die


Considering that all the state constitutions are just acts of Federal Parliament, would WA be allowed to legally secede anyway?

I sincerely doubt that the FedParl is going to vote an amendment through to give WA the provision

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

Endman posted:

Considering that all the state constitutions are just acts of Federal Parliament, would WA be allowed to legally secede anyway?

I sincerely doubt that the FedParl is going to vote an amendment through to give WA the provision

I think it was already mentioned that there would need to be a referendum to change the law to allow a state to succeed, then wa would need to do that.

The referendum would be pretty funny, it's essentially the rest of Australia going "we're sick of your poo poo, fine, gently caress off"

Eediot Jedi
Dec 25, 2007

This is where I begin to speculate what being a
man of my word costs me

Abc posted:

Former prime minister Tony Abbott says Bill Shorten must show prove he's not a dual citizen or "shut up", as Labor vows a campaign on disruption in Parliament.

I hope show prove is a direct quote.

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
“What I can recall at the end of the flight were some words where Turnbull berated Abbott in front of three of Abbott’s staffers to the words to the effect of, ‘You’re the most disloyal c ... I’ve ever met’,” the source said. “He was affected by alcohol. He castigated the prime minister in front of his staff. He castigated George.”

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.

Endman posted:

Considering that all the state constitutions are just acts of Federal Parliament, would WA be allowed to legally secede anyway?

I sincerely doubt that the FedParl is going to vote an amendment through to give WA the provision

They would require a war. I'm from Melbourne and I say kill em all.

Senor Tron
May 26, 2006


I would blow Dane Cook posted:

“What I can recall at the end of the flight were some words where Turnbull berated Abbott in front of three of Abbott’s staffers to the words to the effect of, ‘You’re the most disloyal c ... I’ve ever met’,” the source said. “He was affected by alcohol. He castigated the prime minister in front of his staff. He castigated George.”

To save people a Telegraph click:

quote:


MALCOLM Turnbull gave Tony Abbott a scathing, expletive-ridden assessment of his prime ministership in a rant aboard a government plane after the pair and several ministers attended a booze-fuelled, celebrity-studded Sydney party.

Fourteen months before he snatched the prime ministership, Mr Turnbull pulled the ripcord on Mr Abbott in a vitriolic spray on a plane with three ministers and five Coalition staff members. The critique was so venomous that several sources claim it even included the C-bomb.

A spokesman for Mr Turnbull said last night, however, he does not use that sort of language.

The Daily Telegraph can reveal how one of the great untold clashes between the Liberal Party heavyweights unfolded aboard the plush, wood-panelled VIP plane heading to Canberra after The Australian newspaper’s 50th birthday party in Sydney on July 15, 2014.

Earlier in the night Mr Turnbull was seated alongside Lachlan and Sarah Murdoch, James Packer, Kerry Stokes and then NSW premier Mike Baird at the event.

Mr Abbott sat at the head table beside Rupert Murdoch, former prime ministers John Howard and Paul Keating, former Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens and Aboriginal leader Noel Pearson. Opposition leader Bill Shorten also attended the dinner, along with Jeanne and Anthony Pratt, Qantas chief Alan Joyce and former Victorian premier Jeff Kennett.

When the dinner was over, Mr Abbott, Mr Turnbull and cabinet ministers Julie Bishop, Joe Hockey and George Brandis boarded a late-night VIP flight back to Canberra for the rest of the parliamentary sitting week.

The group continued the “jolly” atmosphere, drinking wine during the flight on board the plane used by the Royals on visits to Australia. Mr Turnbull is understood to have already had a few drinks at The Australian’s 50th birthday party, but Mr Abbott, who delivered a speech, limited his alcohol intake.

Fresh from socialising with Australia’s business and media elite, Mr Turnbull had sharp words for Mr Brandis on policy, and then let loose at Mr Abbott.

MALCOLM Turnbull gave Tony Abbott a scathing, expletive-ridden assessment of his prime ministership in a rant aboard a government plane after the pair and several ministers attended a booze-fuelled, celebrity-studded Sydney party.

Fourteen months before he snatched the prime ministership, Mr Turnbull pulled the ripcord on Mr Abbott in a vitriolic spray on a plane with three ministers and five Coalition staff members. The critique was so venomous that several sources claim it even included the C-bomb.

A spokesman for Mr Turnbull said last night, however, he does not use that sort of language.


Malcolm Turnbull unleashed a foul mouthed attack on his then-leader, following the glamour event. Picture: Jane Dempster

Then-Prime Minister Tony Abbott during festivities for the Australian newspaper’s 50th celebration. Picture: Richard Dobson
The Daily Telegraph can reveal how one of the great untold clashes between the Liberal Party heavyweights unfolded aboard the plush, wood-panelled VIP plane heading to Canberra after The Australian newspaper’s 50th birthday party in Sydney on July 15, 2014.

Earlier in the night Mr Turnbull was seated alongside Lachlan and Sarah Murdoch, James Packer, Kerry Stokes and then NSW premier Mike Baird at the event.

Mr Abbott sat at the head table beside Rupert Murdoch, former prime ministers John Howard and Paul Keating, former Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens and Aboriginal leader Noel Pearson. Opposition leader Bill Shorten also attended the dinner, along with Jeanne and Anthony Pratt, Qantas chief Alan Joyce and former Victorian premier Jeff Kennett.

When the dinner was over, Mr Abbott, Mr Turnbull and cabinet ministers Julie Bishop, Joe Hockey and George Brandis boarded a late-night VIP flight back to Canberra for the rest of the parliamentary sitting week.

The group continued the “jolly” atmosphere, drinking wine during the flight on board the plane used by the Royals on visits to Australia. Mr Turnbull is understood to have already had a few drinks at The Australian’s 50th birthday party, but Mr Abbott, who delivered a speech, limited his alcohol intake.

Fresh from socialising with Australia’s business and media elite, Mr Turnbull had sharp words for Mr Brandis on policy, and then let loose at Mr Abbott.


The C-bomb was dropped on board the VIP RAAF aircraft as the group headed back to Canberra.

At the end of the flight, as they were about to disembark, Mr Turnbull is said to have given Mr Abbott a blistering assessment of his prime ministership — telling him he was “hopeless” and accusing him of being a “disloyal c ...”.

Three sources on board the plane recalled the use of the C-word.

Mr Abbott had just collected his bag from the plane’s prime minister’s suite and was standing with members of his staff and a federal police officer when the confrontation occurred.

One source on board the flight, who declined to be named, described Mr Turnbull’s comments as “belligerent”.


“Tony went in to get his bag from the PM’s suite and Malcolm badgered him in that corridor. That’s where it happened,” the source said.

“It was Malcolm in full flight. Angry, bitter, (saying) you’re f ... ing hopeless, you’re a ‘f ... ing c ...’, you should resign. He got quite close to his face.”

A second passenger said the group were all “jolly” when they boarded.
“What I can recall at the end of the flight were some words where Turnbull berated Abbott in front of three of Abbott’s staffers to the words to the effect of, ‘You’re the most disloyal c ... I’ve ever met’,” the source said. “He was affected by alcohol. He castigated the prime minister in front of his staff. He castigated George.”

Sources close to Mr Turnbull recalled a heated discussion over policy.

The AFP officer who was within earshot is understood to have later raised the incident with Mr Abbott, but the then prime minister dismissed any concerns.

The Daily Telegraph has been told Mr Abbott also asked his cabinet colleagues and staff not to mention Mr Turnbull’s accusations again. “He said he didn’t want it spoken about,” one source said.

Mr Abbott declined to comment on the incident when contacted by The Daily Telegraph.

Defence Department records list 12 passengers on the flight, including five Coalition staffers and two AFP officers.

By "declined to comment" I'm assuming they mean Abbott leaked the whole story to them.

Senor Tron fucked around with this message at 02:05 on Sep 4, 2017

Schlesische
Jul 4, 2012

"Abbott's then staffers", but yeah.

Knorth
Aug 19, 2014

Buglord

quote:

When the dinner was over, Mr Abbott, Mr Turnbull and cabinet ministers Julie Bishop, Joe Hockey and George Brandis boarded a late-night VIP flight back to Canberra for the rest of the parliamentary sitting week.

The group continued the “jolly” atmosphere, drinking wine during the flight on board the plane used by the Royals on visits to Australia

My skin crawled reading this part

open24hours
Jan 7, 2001

That jet should be decommissioned. It's obviously too tempting.

MysticalMachineGun
Apr 5, 2005

Oh if only it were true. I really can't imagine Turnbull calling someone a c-bomb though.

Speaking of Turnbull, look to North Korea as their redirection point this week as Labor ask the quite valid question of "hang on, if Joyce is potentially ineligible isn't it a bad idea for him to be acting PM later this week?" On AM when asked about it he said Labor are worrying about nothing while this great war is going on. Having a Deputy PM/Acting PM who's actually valid is probably an important thing to have if war were declared!

MikeJF
Dec 20, 2003




Senor Tron posted:

By "declined to comment" I'm assuming they mean Abbott leaked the whole story to them.

YEAH WELL HE GETS DRUNK TOO GUYS

open24hours
Jan 7, 2001

MysticalMachineGun posted:

Oh if only it were true. I really can't imagine Turnbull calling someone a c-bomb though.

Speaking of Turnbull, look to North Korea as their redirection point this week as Labor ask the quite valid question of "hang on, if Joyce is potentially ineligible isn't it a bad idea for him to be acting PM later this week?" On AM when asked about it he said Labor are worrying about nothing while this great war is going on. Having a Deputy PM/Acting PM who's actually valid is probably an important thing to have if war were declared!

Is there a reason the high court didn't hear this sooner? Waiting until October doesn't seem ideal.

Zenithe
Feb 25, 2013

Ask not to whom the Anidavatar belongs; it belongs to thee.
A court determined you are allowed to call people that though :shrug:

JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
Turnbull and every other member of parliament that is a boys club male would be c bombing everyone constantly.

Lid
Feb 18, 2005

And the mercy seat is awaiting,
And I think my head is burning,
And in a way I'm yearning,
To be done with all this measuring of proof.
An eye for an eye
And a tooth for a tooth,
And anyway I told the truth,
And I'm not afraid to die.
The marriage equality movement and the new intolerance

Tom Switzer is a senior research fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies and a presenter at the ABC's Radio National.

Don Dongington
Sep 27, 2005

#ideasboom
College Slice
This was definitely leaked by either Abbott or Brandis, via a staffer most likely. You can tell, because an impartial source would have at least hinted at the issues behind Trumble’s criticism of Brandis' policy, and even drunk, I can't see Turnbull burning down Abbott without providing at least a short assessment of why he felt the way he did.

The guy loves to burn people down but he's not prone to perjoratives alone - there's no way this account hasn't been deliberately stripped of anything that might damage Abbott/Brandis any further.

Unless the tele deliberately omitted those details which I would not be shocked to hear.

You Am I
May 20, 2001

Me @ your poasting

Senor Tron posted:

NEWS
NEWS
SPORT
ENTERTAINMENT
OPINION
BUSINESS
LIFESTYLE
REAL ESTATE
CLASSIFIEDS
Dude like do some editing FFS

Doctor Spaceman
Jul 6, 2010

"Everyone's entitled to their point of view, but that's seriously a weird one."
SHARE

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Don Dongington
Sep 27, 2005

#ideasboom
College Slice
Yeah a thread rule on not just brainlessly pasting News Ltd articles without editing out this horseshit would be good - but I'm pretty sure the D&D Mods would only dare to read this thread while several sheets to the wind.

Cartoon
Jun 20, 2008

poop

Capt.Whorebags posted:

WA has really only two options for financial self sufficiency. One is mineral resources, which leaves them very exposed to commodity price cycles and as already pointed out would require significant tax policy changes. So no.

The other is to be a food basket for Asia / ANZ. Expand Ord River scheme, grow more wheat etc. But to compete in the markets, the standard of living would have to be substantially lower, or bring in low wage slaves. We know what would happen.

Perth is too far really for any viable service industries to bring in substantial prosperity. I suppose knowledge industries could work but you're competing with Singapore, HK, and of course Brisbane/Sydney/Melbourne.
There is the lucrative market for providing 'services' for wealthy South Africans who are no longer allowed to do some pretty despicable poo poo in their own country. Here in Australia and particularly WA we are probably OK with it.

Zenithe posted:

A court determined you are allowed to call people that though :shrug:
Was still legally offensive when Turdball did it.

The extent that we now live in some twilight zone of the fantasy kingdom of Oz is getting beyond parody, satire and gently caress only knows:

http://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/am/am/8850590

I'd like to point out to our glorious leader that we are in fact still at war with North Korea. It was only an armistice https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_Armistice_Agreement. Also Bill Shorten is not responsible for giving Eve the apple. Props to Sabra Lane for pointing out that disrupting parliament was only doing what NTATA had done.

-/-

All posts should conform to the Cartoon style sheet. In fact only Cartoon posts should be allowed.

MysticalMachineGun
Apr 5, 2005

Don Dongington posted:

This was definitely leaked by either Abbott or Brandis, via a staffer most likely. You can tell, because an impartial source would have at least hinted at the issues behind Trumble’s criticism of Brandis' policy, and even drunk, I can't see Turnbull burning down Abbott without providing at least a short assessment of why he felt the way he did.

The guy loves to burn people down but he's not prone to perjoratives alone - there's no way this account hasn't been deliberately stripped of anything that might damage Abbott/Brandis any further.

Unless the tele deliberately omitted those details which I would not be shocked to hear.

100 bucks says Brandis said something brainless or Abbott started it.

open24hours posted:

Is there a reason the high court didn't hear this sooner? Waiting until October doesn't seem ideal.

Lawyers for the Commonwealth wanted it done in September but the High Court thinks the complexity means they wouldn't be able to sort stuff in that timeframe.

ABC posted:

However, [Justice Kiefel] raised concerns whether the matters could be dealt with that quickly, particularly when Deputy Nationals leader Fiona Nash and South Australian senator Nick Xenophon's cases were awaiting formal referral to the court.

Chief Justice Kiefel asked the solicitor-general whether there was a "real practical difficulty in terms of governance" if the court waited until October to hear the cases, to which Mr Donaghue replied there was not.

MysticalMachineGun
Apr 5, 2005

JBP posted:

Turnbull and every other member of parliament that is a boys club male would be c bombing everyone constantly.

More than likely but the way Turnbull presents himself in public makes it hard to imagine, is all I meant. I can picture Abbott slapping his boys on the back and saying "this c--- right here, top c---" before getting to Julie Bishop and awkwardly shaking her hand and shuffling away.

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JBP
Feb 16, 2017

You've got to know, to understand,
Baby, take me by my hand,
I'll lead you to the promised land.
Ah yeah, I don't imagine him using it in a "this bloke's a good oval office ay" sense, but more as a go to for angry outbursts or when referring to a difficult "stakeholder".

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