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eviltastic
Feb 8, 2004

Fan of Britches

Chilichimp posted:

Conservatives are fuckin' morons.



I agree, nationalize the NFL. I mean it's right there in the name anyway.

eviltastic fucked around with this message at 20:30 on Sep 27, 2017

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axeil
Feb 14, 2006

A lovely Reporter posted:

He used the mod connections he had to get it wiped from the archives.

Groverhaus is a forums treasure, i can't believe they did that. :grovertoot:

axeil fucked around with this message at 20:42 on Sep 27, 2017

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Pembroke Fuse posted:

Many African nations are members of a similar organization that polices elections and attempts to prevent genocide (forget the name right now). They recently removed a president due to vote tampering.

The African Union is probably what you're thinking of.


Jaxyon posted:

UN is essentially an extention of US hegemony, which is why I laugh when people on facebook are getting upset about "that drat UN telling us what to do". Also when the president does it, because he's naive on the level of angry FB conservatives.

You could argue that it suited Soviet interests very well up until the collapse.

Gort
Aug 18, 2003

Good day what ho cup of tea
The UN's aid organisations are stellar. It's also very helpful as a forum for world discussion between serious antagonists. If Iran and Iraq had another war, they wouldn't send an ambassador to the enemy capital to talk, but they'd still have delegations in the UN who could talk.

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.

Gort posted:

The UN's aid organisations are stellar. It's also very helpful as a forum for world discussion between serious antagonists. If Iran and Iraq had another war, they wouldn't send an ambassador to the enemy capital to talk, but they'd still have delegations in the UN who could talk.

Sure but that's not what idiot conservatives talk about.

Instant Sunrise
Apr 12, 2007


The manger babies don't have feelings. You said it yourself.

Taerkar posted:

Oh, I didn't mean the hilarious Groverhaus thread, I meant the "Iraq War II predictions" thread where that above quote was from.

Here's the thread the Iraq War prediction came from:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=438591

If you look at all the posts there, people vastly underestimated how long the occupation was going to last.

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

So many old names I remember.

Oh man, VoR.

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006
ah, memories

back when people could genuinely convince themselves a US military occupation would end well

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Instant Sunrise posted:

Here's the thread the Iraq War prediction came from:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=438591

If you look at all the posts there, people vastly underestimated how long the occupation was going to last.

lmao someone bingos the civilian causality numbers and everyone calls him an absolute loon

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Jaxyon posted:

Sure but halving the military budget would but soldiers and Def industry employees out of jobs so you'd increase the number of poor people. And it would be spread out geographically all across the country.

It's designed that way. Our MIC is basically the government make-work program, just a super inefficient one.

It's not as simple as that. This is money that is going out of the regular economy into producing things that don't improve the lives of ordinary Americans. It's not as though "jobs" is some fixed number, and by cutting the military budget that number of jobs is irrevocably diminished.

Most soldiers have private sector counterpart professions. Total military employment is about 2 million people (I don't know the amount for the larger defense industry, though). The overall US economy would be doing much better if we put the money we spend on military towards our own domestic economy more efficiently. Whatever number among that two million who lose jobs would very quickly find new employment, I wager.

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Boon posted:

An entrepreneur rarely has the resources, but that's a minor quibble at best. What an entrepreneur does have is an insight into an unmet need in the market, what you would consider 'what most people want'. If they did not there would not be a market and the venture would fail.

Changing things woth the implication that there are negative effects on product quality to increase profitability is something very, very different and often a top-level strategic decision. This goes to the heart of differentiation and segmentation. While it's true that this can be the case, it means that there is then again an unmet need in the market which may invite new entrants and thus competition. The producer could also potentially fill that need with a premium product while serving the market unwilling to pay for a premium product with the lower cost less capable product. The point is that in the modern view of business, the customer need lies at the heart of business decisions.

The system you describe isn't nearly so rigid or inwardly-focused as you're describing. I'm not clear how you're arriving to your comparative conclusions.

One thing I would keep in mind is that you seem to be assuming "what people want/need" has some "actual/real" answer, rather than being something that can be freely manipulated by marketing and other forces. Broadly speaking, your argument reminds me of arguments in favor of the efficient market hypothesis; it relies on assumptions that aren't true in reality and ends up being very wrong as a result.

This isn't to say that entrepreneurship isn't useful or anything; just that I think your specific argument has some problems.

Instant Sunrise
Apr 12, 2007


The manger babies don't have feelings. You said it yourself.

Taerkar posted:

How long will it take to capture Baghdad? 1 week, if it's even necessary
Will Saddam be killed? Yes
Total Iraqi civillian casualties: 1,000-7,500 dead, depending on how many military sites are declared to be 'bomb shelters'
Total military casualties Iraq: 20,000 dead, 100,000+ P.O.W.
Total military casualties U.S.: 700 dead, majority of that being in the fighting in Baghdad if necessary, otherwise I'd say 200 tops.
Will the Iraqi army regulars hold the lines? No, surrender first opportunity
Will the Republican Guard fight to the end? Possibly, but that's what air power is for.
Will chem/bio weapons be used on invading troops?: If he's got them, he will.
Will Saddam launch attacks on the Kurds? Might, if it's convenient.
Will Saddam launch attacks on Israel? Doubtful
-If yes; will Isreal retaliate harshly? If he does they will.
Will Saddam sacrifice Baghdad (gas/nuke it)? Seriously doubt it.
Will the Kurds make a grab for independence? Definitely.
Will Iran do anything silly like try for land? Highly dubious.
Will Saddam burn the oil fields? Might try.
How long will the US be occupying Iraq? ~2 years militarially, ~5 in a support role.
Will the Iraq war catalyze increased terrorism in America? America existing catalyzes increased terrorism. Countries that don't like the US will continue to support terrorists as a deniable means of attacking the US.
In the long run, will this war be good or bad for the world? Irrelevant.


Comments/Thoughts: As in the first Gulf War, the majority of the combat will be US and UK planes shredding any military target outside of the cities. If we can keep the bulk of Iraqi forces out of the cities, then the civilian casualties will be rather low.

That thread is an interesting time capsule on prewar attitudes towards invading Iraq and how loving delusional most people were about what invading and occupying Iraq would entail after the cakewalk that was the 1991 Gulf War.

Instant Sunrise fucked around with this message at 21:41 on Sep 27, 2017

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

Yeah, I know I didn't expect the occupation to be handled in such a horribly incompetent way at the time. I'm pretty sure that the numbers I put up there for casualties were in regards to the initial invasion, not the 'Spontaneous Democracy' period that was supposed to happen afterwards.

Still was closer than a number of the people in that thread, but... yeah...

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
https://twitter.com/RichardRubinDC/status/913131169465683968

Just the way I like it. Simple winners and losers list.

Winners:
Rich People
Business Men
Deal Makers
TRUMP

Losers:
A bunch of low energy losers! Who cares? SAD!
JEB!

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Pembroke Fuse posted:

Yes, the US track record has been pretty poor. This isn't always a given, however.

The US track record is a necessary factor to consider when discussing US intervention. Our current military and its leaders, etc are part of the tools we have to work with, so the fact that a successful intervention might be possible with different tools is irrelevant to the topic of whether to intervene with the tools we have now (and will continue to have for the foreseeable future).

At the very least, the "null hypothesis," so to speak, should be that intervention is a bad idea. There should be a strong burden on the people arguing in favor of intervention to prove as much as possible that it won't have a net harmful result, and the mere possibility of a hypothetical ideal intervention that might actually work doesn't accomplish this.

The ideal way to deal with this is through the UN. There are problems with this that I think you mentioned in another post, but it's probably the best way to ensure that the bias of the US military isn't guiding the decision (though obviously even that isn't guaranteed).

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Ytlaya posted:

One thing I would keep in mind is that you seem to be assuming "what people want/need" has some "actual/real" answer, rather than being something that can be freely manipulated by marketing and other forces. Broadly speaking, your argument reminds me of arguments in favor of the efficient market hypothesis; it relies on assumptions that aren't true in reality and ends up being very wrong as a result.

This isn't to say that entrepreneurship isn't useful or anything; just that I think your specific argument has some problems.

Also, it really doesn't answer the why we need to rely on entrepreneurs to answer "want/needs" we know people already want: education, healthcare, utilities, and housing. I could see why the state may stumble on certain issues like fashion or luxury foods, but it isn't an answer to providing basic needs.

Pembroke Fuse
Dec 29, 2008

Instant Sunrise posted:

Here's the thread the Iraq War prediction came from:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=438591

If you look at all the posts there, people vastly underestimated how long the occupation was going to last.

quote:

HAPPY WAR DAY EVERYBODY!
EDIT: 150k civilian casualties is a might high.... I'll revise my prediction to 75k.

Turned into 200,000 - 1,000,000!

I hope that someday justice catches up to the scum that perpetrated that loving catastrophe, but I'm not holding my breath.

Pembroke Fuse
Dec 29, 2008

Ytlaya posted:

The US track record is a necessary factor to consider when discussing US intervention. Our current military and its leaders, etc are part of the tools we have to work with, so the fact that a successful intervention might be possible with different tools is irrelevant to the topic of whether to intervene with the tools we have now (and will continue to have for the foreseeable future).

At the very least, the "null hypothesis," so to speak, should be that intervention is a bad idea. There should be a strong burden on the people arguing in favor of intervention to prove as much as possible that it won't have a net harmful result, and the mere possibility of a hypothetical ideal intervention that might actually work doesn't accomplish this.

The ideal way to deal with this is through the UN. There are problems with this that I think you mentioned in another post, but it's probably the best way to ensure that the bias of the US military isn't guiding the decision (though obviously even that isn't guaranteed).

I'm pretty sure that the only silver lining of the Iraq war is that very few people are willing to take US assurances about cakewalks in the ME without a certain level of cynicism, especially because no one can claim that Iran/Syria/whatever will welcome us with open arms.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

California is going early for the 2020 primary

https://twitter.com/johnmyers/status/913141998063726592

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Rigel posted:

California is going early for the 2020 primary

https://twitter.com/johnmyers/status/913141998063726592

Good news for Kamala.

duz
Jul 11, 2005

Come on Ilhan, lets go bag us a shitpost


Pembroke Fuse posted:

Turned into 200,000 - 1,000,000!

I hope that someday justice catches up to the scum that perpetrated that loving catastrophe, but I'm not holding my breath.

If we hold people accountable for failures, then they won't be willing to take risks in the future!

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
tbf, back in 2003 i was also unironically optimistic about the war...

... fantasizing that saddam would kick american rear end somehow and end bush

i vaguely remember being disappointed when it turned out there was no secret iraqi secret plan

steinrokkan fucked around with this message at 22:56 on Sep 27, 2017

Pembroke Fuse
Dec 29, 2008

duz posted:

If we hold people accountable for failures, then they won't be willing to take risks in the future!

It'll be particularly hard for them to take risks given that they should all be buried in shallow graves.

Spun Dog
Sep 21, 2004


Smellrose

duz posted:

If we hold people accountable for failures, then they won't be willing to take risks in the future!

Wow. Flashing back to the subprime mortgage crash of 2008 right now.

"If you don't give bonuses, nobody qualified will want to work there!"

duz
Jul 11, 2005

Come on Ilhan, lets go bag us a shitpost


Spun Dog posted:

Wow. Flashing back to the subprime mortgage crash of 2008 right now.

"If you don't give bonuses, nobody qualified will want to work there!"

It's pretty much the stock excuse for not punishing rear end in a top hat behaviour.

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/913099528869310464

I love living in a failing state.

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

Pembroke Fuse posted:

I'm pretty sure that the only silver lining of the Iraq war is that very few people are willing to take US assurances about cakewalks in the ME without a certain level of cynicism, especially because no one can claim that Iran/Syria/whatever will welcome us with open arms.

lol no. remember how quickly the war machine spun up when trump bombed that empty airstrip outside homs?

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


The Muppets On PCP posted:

lol no. remember how quickly the war machine spun up when trump bombed that empty airstrip outside homs?

It felt like one of America's old limbs waking up again

a terrible, hordible, no good very bad limb

Yardbomb
Jul 11, 2011

What's with the eh... bretonnian dance, sir?

The Muppets On PCP posted:

lol no. remember how quickly the war machine spun up when trump bombed that empty airstrip outside homs?

I remember a bunch of people getting pissed off even from his own mainstay dumbasses?

bird food bathtub
Aug 9, 2003

College Slice

The Muppets On PCP posted:

lol no. remember how quickly the war machine spun up when trump bombed that empty airstrip outside homs?

I'm genuinely unsure why that hasn't happened again. And again, and again. It just seemed like an extremely Trumpy thing to do and when it happened I was sure it would keep happening.

The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


The Democratic Party should campaign on regulating the cable/dish industry.

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

Yardbomb posted:

I remember a bunch of people getting pissed off even from his own mainstay dumbasses?

A liberal with selective memory, color me shocked.

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

bird food bathtub posted:

I'm genuinely unsure why that hasn't happened again. And again, and again. It just seemed like an extremely Trumpy thing to do and when it happened I was sure it would keep happening.
It's still happening, it's just that news isn't jizzing themselves about fighting in the middle east anymore. Here's a peek at the past two weeks:
https://twitter.com/CJTFOIR/status/913067071751229440

https://twitter.com/CJTFOIR/status/912674449845080064

https://twitter.com/CJTFOIR/status/912346477162319874

https://twitter.com/CJTFOIR/status/911583431590580224

https://twitter.com/OIRSpox/status/911289356605968384

https://twitter.com/CJTFOIR/status/911229941462831104

https://twitter.com/OIRSpox/status/909827824781012997

https://twitter.com/OIRSpox/status/909828762497363968

https://twitter.com/OIRSpox/status/909639926546825216
The US backed SDF has eaten most of Raqqa and is moving on the Deir Ez Zor area, but Reuters is one of the only places that reports on it. US cable news? Not a loving peep.

Saladin Rising fucked around with this message at 02:20 on Sep 28, 2017

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Pembroke Fuse posted:

Nation building requires Marshall Plan level of planning and resource usage.

This is correct, and if someone were seriously proposing drafting 4 million men and women into the US military, instituting rationing and raising the top tax rate to 90% in order to fund and supply and massive Marshall-plan level effort to rebuild the Middle East then that might be an interesting and worthwhile discussion. Instead it's just the same old half-rear end bullshit from the same idiots who just want to bomb the children to save the children, and oops it didn't work again, well that just goes to show we didn't bomb hard enough, hippies.

But realistically that discussion would only be hot air, because no one in American politics would ever seriously propose something like that. Neocons would never do it because all they care about is turning the Middle East into ash and corpses so they can loot the wealth. The far right would never do it because they think foreigners (and most Americans) are all subhuman anyway so why spend money on them. Democrats would never do it because it would be bad for short-term corporate profits plus they'd wither under attacks from Republicans that they're sending all our money to bad scary others. The far left isn't interested even if leftists getting control of the US government weren't a pipe dream.

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 03:19 on Sep 28, 2017

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

The media are like those porn addicts that need their videos to be increasingly kinkier and more hardcore.

Yardbomb
Jul 11, 2011

What's with the eh... bretonnian dance, sir?


Suck my dick with the disingenuous "HURRRRR LIBRUL" poo poo, I'm a leftist, obviously the news is gonna kiss his rear end because almost every big news outlet is desperate to win the race to THE DAY CHEETOMAN BECAME PRESIDENT, but even t_d was going ape over him bombing the nothing airstrip.

Pikavangelist
Nov 9, 2016

There is no God but Arceus
And Pikachu is His prophet



Instant Sunrise posted:

Here's the thread the Iraq War prediction came from:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=438591

If you look at all the posts there, people vastly underestimated how long the occupation was going to last.

I am so glad my old account doesn't show up in there anywhere.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

Take the bad posts here.

Good posts only in this thread, from now on. This is actually a good post, not bad, and I haven't signed it. Cheers.

Pembroke Fuse
Dec 29, 2008

The Muppets On PCP posted:

lol no. remember how quickly the war machine spun up when trump bombed that empty airstrip outside homs?

Brian Williams and his missile-based erection aside, I wouldn't say there were as many people on board with that action. Yes, some members of the "MSM" went into "now he's presidential and we're all cumming at the same time" mode, but most people didn't see it as anything but some opportunistic nonsense (aside from Trump supporters themselves, but they'll support whatever he does) and it was quickly derided. My only reservation is that the Iraq war was cynically positioned on the heels of 9/11. If a similar event were to happen on US soil again, I'm not sure how well the public would be able to resist the temptation to dive into jingoism.

(Is this a good post? I can't tell.)

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Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

I remember when they tried to destroy the USPol thread. Now there's like, 3 or 4 of them. We're indefatigable friends.

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