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empty whippet box posted:You don't know that, they might be coming out to support the nazis.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:22
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Ya'll are thinking of Lynchburg.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:23
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CNN is all about how Democratic perception is worse than it's been in 25 years and they're loving up in VA and I can't even anymore.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:24
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Petr posted:CNN is all about how Democratic perception is worse than it's been in 25 years and they're loving up in VA and I can't even anymore. Did they have Donna "Failure follows me around like a cloud of death" Brazille on to say that?
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Nov 7, 2017 23:25
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smart people who know what's going on: how good do you feel about VA's chances right now compared to, say, last night
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Nov 7, 2017 23:26
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Petr posted:CNN is all about how Democratic perception is worse than it's been in 25 years and they're loving up in VA and I can't even anymore. Turnout is decent in the places where it matters. We'll see.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:27
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https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/928025635787853825?s=17 DO NOT TRUST EARLY EXITS
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Nov 7, 2017 23:27
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farraday posted:https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/928025635787853825?s=17 as if I'm not going to take every scrap that agrees with what I think should happen and hold it close like a precious baby bird
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Nov 7, 2017 23:28
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empty whippet box posted:You don't know that, they might be coming out to support the nazis. This is probably a joke but unlikely-- remember that Petersburg is the most Democratic locality at D+75, but Cville comes in second with a respectable D+57. (Third is Richmond with D+54, followed by Arlington, Falls Church, and Alexandria all clustered very close together at about ~D+47, and the actual cities of the Hampton Roads in the high D+30s.) The table in this article is well worth considering, both in conjunction with relative turnout numbers vs. 2013 and last year, and as results start to come out.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:28
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axeil posted:You ever been to Jamestown? One of the coolest adult vacations I ever did was, dorky enough, Colonial Williamsburg + Jamestown. It's crazy walking around the Jamestown ruins and realizing just how old it is. It's also really, really pretty in the fall. I had a long talk with the printing press guy at New Echota one time. He printed me a huge copy of the Cherokee Phoenix that I still have. Park interpreters are great people who just want everyone else to be as excited about things as they are.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:30
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SHOAH NUFF posted:This morning I sat down at my republican co-worker's desk in DC and told him that it was stupid for us to go vote 45 minutes out in Fairfax county in the rain, what are the chances either candidate wins/loses by 1 vote? Then I said I was going to the gym at lunch, and drove down picked up my parents from Vienna and we all voted lmao gj
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Nov 7, 2017 23:31
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Fairfax at 2013 levels as of 5pm, including absentee.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:31
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Echo Chamber posted:I'm actually quite surprised how much race baiting there is in the Republican lawn signs along Route 27. I don't think they're false flags. Surprised the NJ GOP is making sanctuaries the hill they'll die on. Are they expecting racism to help them in the down ballot? the nj gop has been under a federal consent decree since 1982 over racial intimidation and ratfuckery apart from gov bobby bacala it's literally all they have
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Nov 7, 2017 23:36
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https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/statuses/928027681266061312
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Nov 7, 2017 23:36
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RIP
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Nov 7, 2017 23:37
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Nov 7, 2017 23:37
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theflyingorc posted:Fairfax at 2013 levels as of 5pm, including absentee. I really hope Justin Fairfax cleans up in Fairfax County again because that was super amusing in the primaries.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:38
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 Demographic problems, part 2.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:38
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oh god oh god oh god oh god oh god
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Nov 7, 2017 23:39
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Jeez that doesn't seem good.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:40
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are people going to panic when gillespie gets an early lead too?
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Nov 7, 2017 23:41
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QuoProQuid posted:are people going to panic when gillespie gets an early lead too? Of course.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:41
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QuoProQuid posted:are people going to panic when gillespie gets an early lead too? Yes
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Nov 7, 2017 23:41
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We are gonna wear out the  emoticon tonight aren't we
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Nov 7, 2017 23:41
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axeil posted:oh god oh god oh god oh god oh god Y'all are hosed. 
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Nov 7, 2017 23:42
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axeil posted:oh god oh god oh god oh god oh god This is not the same as racist/not racist. It's racists + "it's history why not leave them". That's a lot of people.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:42
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Lightning Knight posted:Y'all are hosed. Oh do shut up.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:42
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The Confederate statue issue is very important to Gillespie's base, while Northam's is split-- white college-educated lean keep but don't have strong feelings on the matter usually, while black voters loving hate the monuments and no loving wonder. So this is about what you get in the population as a whole, and doesn't say a lot about how their opinion re statues influenced their vote. Also, farraday posted:DO NOT TRUST EARLY EXITS
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Nov 7, 2017 23:42
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QuoProQuid posted:are people going to panic when gillespie gets an early lead too? No because I have 538's handy-dandy county by county tracker. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-virginia-governors-race-might-not-be-predictive-but-it-could-really-matter/
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Nov 7, 2017 23:43
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Fitzy Fitz posted:I had a long talk with the printing press guy at New Echota one time. He printed me a huge copy of the Cherokee Phoenix that I still have. Park interpreters are great people who just want everyone else to be as excited about things as they are. The Alamo medical dude will answer questions until everyone else in the conversation turns green and excuses themselves.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:43
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We're winding down the phone operation. Doors knocked has gone past the 3-million mark as of 3 PM. And people are still knocking.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:43
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The Democrats have finally come around on racism.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:43
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QuoProQuid posted:are people going to panic when gillespie gets an early lead too? No I'm going to eat ice cream and watch netflix until about 11 pm.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:44
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The Muppets On PCP posted:the nj gop has been under a federal consent decree since 1982 over racial intimidation and ratfuckery I still remember the photo of the other Governor Christie frisking a black guy and smiling.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:44
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FFS I remember months ago during the height of the statue removal debate there were polls showing that a majority of Americans did NOT support removing them. Out of everyone. This is one inexact exit poll taken god knows where in Virginia where white democrats are assholes.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:44
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60% of people think healthcare is a government responsibility, too, so clearly democrats will win all elections in the nation
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Nov 7, 2017 23:45
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Oh do shut up. I'm getting 2016 flashbacks right now, the smugness draining into horror at the realization that We'd Been Had.
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Nov 7, 2017 23:45
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Lightning Knight posted:I'm getting 2016 flashbacks right now, the smugness draining into horror at the realization that We'd Been Had. https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/927926544978403328
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Nov 7, 2017 23:45
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Lightning Knight posted:I'm getting 2016 flashbacks right now, the smugness draining into horror at the realization that We'd Been Had. I understand the temptation to look at polls and freak out but if you do that you'll need to grapple with why you believe that some of them are predictive and others aren't. The better course is to realize that early exits suck and nobody can really know anything yet!
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Nov 7, 2017 23:46
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They don't say which place though
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Nov 7, 2017 23:46
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