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OK so do I have to wait until the legislation passes before I can wear my strap on to the Kindergarten class?
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:15 |
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# ? Jun 7, 2024 03:39 |
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Super cool that the survey only confirmed what we've known for years and was a garbage fire and cost a lot of money. So what effect do we all think this will have on the next election? Will any YES & LNP electorates see swings against the LNP due to negative sentiment RE: the postal vote? Or will people not care about the issue come election time? Turnbull’s polls have been in the shitter but I wouldn’t be surprised to see an upswing now. Unless he can’t get SSM law through quickly, then he could be hosed. Looking at the breakdown of YES/NO votes by LNP/Labor allegiance my expectation is that come election time people will go back to voting in economic self-interest (with a sprinkling of whoever can stop the most boats). Looks to me like people did not link the SSM vote with their party allegiance.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:16 |
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JBP posted:Is there anything that accounts for people's vote becoming more right over time though? I dunno, is there anything that accounts for leprechauns?
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:16 |
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fiery_valkyrie posted:Hastie and Christensen are saying they'll abstain because they want to vote no but their electorates voted yes. It's surprising how many representatives go against their electorate's views, be it marriage equality, renewables, etc.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:16 |
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Cartoon posted:OK so do I have to wait until the legislation passes before I can wear my strap on to the Kindergarten class? You can wear it now but it has to be tucked in to your pants until the legislation passes.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:16 |
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Doctor Spaceman posted:I dunno, is there anything that accounts for leprechauns? Mmmm yes a longitudinal study of voter attitudes would be the same as investigating mythical creatures. I agree. Great post.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:23 |
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Lid posted:Its frustrating and also unsurprising, and again it lends into the real awkwardness of these areas are the most multicultural areas of Sydney and the poorest. Also shows how successful the right has been in courting them with their original base of hardline Catholics and Protestants simply dying from old age and atheism being more common, their numbers bolstered by non-English speaking Christians and Muslims. I don't really know that 'poorest' has much to do with it, to be honest. It's like in Melbourne - the only 'no' electorate was Bruce, which is 50% first-generation and over 45% ESL. It's also rich as fuuuuuck. Really, the big takeaway from this is that we really need to get onto bridging the cultural gap and making up for lost time on the astroturfing that the right has been doing into the immigrant communities, because the right's been sneakily building them up into its new base and the left's been utterly oblivious. MikeJF fucked around with this message at 02:27 on Nov 15, 2017 |
# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:24 |
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You Am I posted:It's surprising how many representatives go against their electorate's views, be it marriage equality, renewables, etc. representatives It really is because the major parties take it as a given that it'll be one or the other of them, so the choices they need to offer and acknowledge are practically cosmetic. It is only a given because we allow it to be so. They need to be scared into doing their jobs. Minor. Party. Harder.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:26 |
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fiery_valkyrie posted:Hastie and Christensen are saying they'll abstain because they want to vote no but their electorates voted yes. corncobbed by your own electorate
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:26 |
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MikeJF posted:I don't really know that 'poorest' has much to do with it, to be honest. It's like in Melbourne - the only 'no' electorate was Bruce, which is 50% first-generation and over 45% ESL. It's also rich as gently caress. But really, the big takeaway from this is that we really need to get onto bridging the cultural gap and making up for lost time on the astroturfing that the right has been doing into the immigrant communities. Calwell voted no and it's all poors/immigants
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:26 |
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You Am I posted:It's surprising how many representatives go against their electorate's views, be it marriage equality, renewables, etc. I know. They're just fuckwits and I like to be mean to them.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:26 |
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JBP posted:Mmmm yes a longitudinal study of voter attitudes would be the same as investigating mythical creatures. I agree. Great post. There's no evidence that actually happens, but there seems to be an interesting see-saw effect, with the Wartime folks being to the left of the boomers, Gen X being socially conservative even compared to their parents on many issues vs Millennials, and then it's said that the generation after that are hard to the right. Most people blame the Internet for that. Go look at communities like Imgur and Reddit, and its image aggregation sites, 4 chan, gaming communities and other places where the younger kids under 18 hang out. The Internet Was a Mistake.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:28 |
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JBP posted:Calwell voted no and it's all poors/immigants Did they? Okay. But yeah. I stand by that I don't really think it was 'poors'.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:28 |
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fiery_valkyrie posted:Hastie and Christensen are saying they'll abstain because they want to vote no but their electorates voted yes. so you’re of the view that tony burke should vote no?
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:29 |
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MikeJF posted:Did they? Okay. Maybe we should stop trying to pin the no vote onto a specific cultural or ethnic demographic and just get on with watching the Liberal Party eat itself.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:34 |
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Don Dongington posted:There's no evidence that actually happens This is what I was wondering about and whether there was anything that might have even vaguely outlined changes in perspective in age groups. The generation under me is going to be the loving worst thanks to the new brand of lovely facebook era internet.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:34 |
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JBP posted:Mmmm yes a longitudinal study of voter attitudes would be the same as investigating mythical creatures. I agree. Great post. Studies have been done and have found minor effects at best, and that if there is a drift it isn't necessarily to the right.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:37 |
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Don Dongington posted:Maybe we should stop trying to pin the no vote onto a specific cultural or ethnic demographic and just get on with watching the Liberal Party eat itself. I'm not really wanting to blame, just really concerned that it's a demographic that's been largely ignored and neglected by the left and we need to make concerted efforts to outreach and make inroads fast.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:38 |
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MikeJF posted:I'm not really wanting to blame, just really concerned that it's a demographic that's been largely ignored and neglected by the left and we need to make concerted efforts to outreach and make inroads fast. Automate them and forget about it imo
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:39 |
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It’s gotta be awkward for Labor MPs in electorates that had a majority no result.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:40 |
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https://twitter.com/iangoodenoughmp/status/930589960792506368
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:42 |
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Even the WS FM bloke was making fun of Abbott.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:42 |
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Just whip the parties into voting yes.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:45 |
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The issue's never been the electorate; it was always the party room. For both parties. The ALP still doesn't have a binding vote on SSM, until next term.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:49 |
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You Am I posted:It's surprising how many representatives go against their electorate's views, be it marriage equality, renewables, etc. Most Australians vote for a party and would have no idea who their MP is.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:56 |
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MikeJF posted:I'm not really wanting to blame, just really concerned that it's a demographic that's been largely ignored and neglected by the left and we need to make concerted efforts to outreach and make inroads fast. Surely the correlation is with religion, not immigration?
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:57 |
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freebooter posted:Most Australians vote for a party and would have no idea who their MP is. If you haven't met your MP and taken the opportunity to speak to them and find out what they're about then they're either a snooty Liberal front bencher who charges for access, or you're doing democracy wrong.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 02:58 |
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rapeface posted:Surely the correlation is with religion, not immigration? No, not really.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:00 |
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JBP posted:This is what I was wondering about and whether there was anything that might have even vaguely outlined changes in perspective in age groups. I always assumed it was the accumulation of assets. When you're young and poor it's easy to argue for high tax rates because someone else will be paying them. It's different when you're old and rich and you're the one who will be made worse off (if you take a shortsighted view).
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:01 |
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Don Dongington posted:If you haven't met your MP and taken the opportunity to speak to them and find out what they're about then they're either a snooty Liberal front bencher who charges for access, or you're doing democracy wrong. Lol take the tiny percentage of Australians who know who their MP is and you'll find an even slimmer percentage have ever bothered to try to communicate with them (I certainly haven't, apart from having him block me on twitter)
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:01 |
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freebooter posted:Lol take the tiny percentage of Australians who know who their MP is and you'll find an even slimmer percentage have ever bothered to try to communicate with them (I certainly haven't, apart from having him block me on twitter) Mine did her campaigning at the train station I use and openly invited people to come talk to her. My state representative regularly publishes his whereabouts on facebook and encourages people to sit down and have a chat/coffee with him. gently caress, the Premier takes the train to work. ALP in WA might be too socially conservative for my liking, but they're pretty grounded all the same.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:05 |
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Sometimes Tim Watts just hangs around at Footscray market talking poo poo with people which is pretty good.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:07 |
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Sorry folks, they're playing hardball, gay marriage cancelled:quote:Christian couple vow to divorce if same-sex marriage is legalised.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:11 |
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Buzzfeed posted:The “yes” vote still doesn’t justify the survey: Tanya Plibersek THIS is what the ALP need for a platform following the result. Turnbull will almost certainly get a polling bounce if they manage to move this through quickly with minimal fuss, meaning they've gotten away with the Plebiscite farce.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:12 |
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snoremac posted:Sorry folks, they're playing hardball, gay marriage cancelled: Hilariously, they'd be denied because you're not allowed to divorce unless the marriage has actually broken down.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:13 |
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rapeface posted:Surely the correlation is with religion, not immigration? https://twitter.com/kevinbonham/status/930587704441520128 Have a play around with the data
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:17 |
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RE: SSM voting and poors. This is yes vote percentage v median household weekly income per electorate (only for NSW and QLD bc I couldn't be hosed doing more). Australia's median is around $1400 Edit: Oh well look at this oval office with a fancy website and poo poo
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:17 |
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This doesn't look too clear of a relationship.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:22 |
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Outside of the major cities electorates are too diverse for median income to be all that useful.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:23 |
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# ? Jun 7, 2024 03:39 |
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Cartoon posted:OK so do I have to wait until the legislation passes before I can wear my strap on to the Kindergarten class? Please do not skip phases of the gay agenda. You know full well that's not until 2018.
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# ? Nov 15, 2017 03:27 |