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  • Locked thread
skylined!
Apr 6, 2012

THE DEM DEFENDER HAS LOGGED ON
ya the boner projection is weird

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ZobarStyl
Oct 24, 2005

This isn't a war, it's a moider.
‘We’ve already lost’ — GOP takes stock of the nightmare unfolding in Alabama

quote:

“If [Republicans] lose, the lesson is, you nominate a far-right wing nutcase candidate, you’re going to lose the seat,” said veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres. “If he wins, then the lesson is, you nominate a far-right wing nutcase candidate, then it puts the party in an impossible situation where you’ve got someone deemed not fit to serve in the body to which he’s been elected.”
:getin:

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

Alter Ego posted:

He cannot shut the gently caress up about Hillary Clinton. It's bizarre.

He needs an immaculately evil "Other" to blame for all his failings or his administration doesn't work.

E. Boner talk is weird yea, although I'm guilty of it too.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005
Good. That's exactly how you want them to feel.

Problem is that we need Trump's base to feel like losers, and if Roy Moore wins, they won't.

20 Blunts
Jan 21, 2017
I get moist for hot Trump takes.

Saxophone
Sep 19, 2006


Ra Ra Rasputin posted:

Remember the Trump TV patent and him publicly being coy about conceding if he lost? there was a recent article about how during the campaign he never planned to concede and to contest the results, like say, if 3 million illegals voted is the only reason he lost in a close race.

It would fit the rest of the scenarios where russia is seemingly funding crazies to be crazy and cause a ruckus and sow dissent, I've no doubt if he lost he would be on TrumpTV and doing rallies to rile up his base and thedonald fans about Obama/Hillary/Deep State.

It's not hard to imagine him doing that if he lost because he is doing exactly that right now despite being president, like he is sticking to his old script because he doesn't know what to do now.

The weird thing here is that I feel like had Hillary won at this point it would have been worse for America in the long run. You may well have seen the insanity and extremism on the right continue to run into infinite while the left becomes more and more disillusioned and apathetic.

Trump is loving awful for the short term, but it's possible he might be what we need to finally wake up after a nice 70-80 year slumber in political apathy land. Short term? He's loving tons of things up. Long term? He and the right are likely galvanizing a couple generations of liberalism in America.

Someone likened Trump to a vaccine. He's a weak dose of incompetent evil and we might well build resistance to it as a result. I genuinely thank the stars that he and his administration are so blatantly corrupt and incompetent because we could be in a far worse situation than we're in.

GOOCHY
Sep 17, 2003

In an interstellar burst I'm back to save the universe!

Ague Proof posted:



Also: Trump claims Obama bugged his tower for years. Possibly with a microwave

Only in Trumpland does Linda McMahon's WWE connection seem like a positive for a government role. Story arc long con? :wtf:

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Saxophone posted:

The weird thing here is that I feel like had Hillary won at this point it would have been worse for America in the long run. You may well have seen the insanity and extremism on the right continue to run into infinite while the left becomes more and more disillusioned and apathetic.

Trump is loving awful for the short term, but it's possible he might be what we need to finally wake up after a nice 70-80 year slumber in political apathy land. Short term? He's loving tons of things up. Long term? He and the right are likely galvanizing a couple generations of liberalism in America.

Someone likened Trump to a vaccine. He's a weak dose of incompetent evil and we might well build resistance to it as a result. I genuinely thank the stars that he and his administration are so blatantly corrupt and incompetent because we could be in a far worse situation than we're in.

It could theoretically turn out that way over the long term if we continue to get extraordinarily lucky due to Republican incompetence. But, like, we aren't out of the woods yet; this fever has not yet broken. Wait to make this argument in 2021 when the progressive left controls all three branches of the federal government and every major U.S. city remains habitable.

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003



Moore getting elected is only a loss if it screws with other elections. If they successfully keep electing shittier and shittier people that will still vote in lockstep for whatever economic madness the party wants it's not a problem for them since the party has never actually cared about any moral issue.

Like electing a child predator might make people in OTHER states vote against Republicans more consistently (since I have long given up hope that Republican voters will vote against the party due to anything in a statistically significant amount) but if it doesn't then Moore getting elected is no worse than whatever standard ghoul they would have gotten instead.

BigglesSWE
Dec 2, 2014

How 'bout them hawks news huh!
I look forward to the day Trump stands before a judge, and he tries to reach an economic settlement.

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Radish posted:

Moore getting elected is only a loss if it screws with other elections. If they successfully keep electing shittier and shittier people that will still vote in lockstep for whatever economic madness the party wants it's not a problem for them since the party has never actually cared about any moral issue.

In any one of like 40 other states in the Union, the accusations against Moore would have sunk him instantly.

Unfortunately, this race happened to be one of the states where it didn't.

Ravenfood
Nov 4, 2011

Saxophone posted:

The weird thing here is that I feel like had Hillary won at this point it would have been worse for America in the long run. You may well have seen the insanity and extremism on the right continue to run into infinite while the left becomes more and more disillusioned and apathetic.

Trump is loving awful for the short term, but it's possible he might be what we need to finally wake up after a nice 70-80 year slumber in political apathy land. Short term? He's loving tons of things up. Long term? He and the right are likely galvanizing a couple generations of liberalism in America.

Someone likened Trump to a vaccine. He's a weak dose of incompetent evil and we might well build resistance to it as a result. I genuinely thank the stars that he and his administration are so blatantly corrupt and incompetent because we could be in a far worse situation than we're in.
This argument would be a lot easier to buy if some of the behind-the-scenes work like the dismantling of EPA, State, and Education depts or the packing of judiciaries with Trump appointees weren't happening. Institutional memory is incredibly important and there will be a massive amount of experience and intelligence lost from so many important places. Also, it only works out that way if the GOP continues to be staggeringly incompetent and if the Dem wave is both sufficiently large and sufficiently persistent. I'm optimistic about the incompetence, but the size of the wave have to overcome some significant structural hurdles and I don't know if enthusiasm will be sustained long enough to enforce long-term positive change. Its a lot easier to gut things than it is to put them back together.

FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







This was so obviously going to happen

GOP Medicaid work rules imperil care for opioid abusers

quote:

Indiana, which expanded Medicaid coverage to 400,000 people under then-Gov. Mike Pence in 2015, is one of the states asking for federal waivers to impose Medicaid work requirements that are primarily targeted at working-age, able-bodied adults. Officials generally are seeking to mandate 20 hours per week of work, or participation in a job-related activity, including volunteering or training.

Low-income adults in treatment for substance abuse would be exempt from the requirement, yet state data show that only slightly more than a quarter of enrollees with diagnosed problems are getting treated. Death rates stemming from drug abuse in 2015 stood at 19.5 per 100,000 residents, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Of course, Trump is doing nothing to actually combat it, and the administration has added no new money to it.

Mercury Ballistic
Nov 14, 2005

not gun related
What are the odds that Washpo have another round in the chamber for Moore if he wins, just to remind the Senate to do the needful?

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


I think that a Hillary presidency would have been better in every way than a Trump presidency from her not gutting the government, net neutrality not being screwed with, SCOTUS appointments (even leaving the seats vacant would be better), and not signing this junk tax bill. However I don't think she would have addressed the issues that are fundamentally strangling the country which would have led to a Trump style candidate winning in 2020. Additionally everyday would be a new made up scandal that the press would push since if the GOP is constantly moaning about it, there must be SOME truth. I wouldn't be surprised if she's already been impeached by the House in the alternate Earth where she won last year. It's WAY too early to see if Trump is the acceleration dream (I doubt it will because he's going to do a gently caress ton of damage), but I think the Democrat's style of governing was going to lead us to this point inevitably.

Mercury Ballistic posted:

What are the odds that Washpo have another round in the chamber for Moore if he wins, just to remind the Senate to do the needful?

There's no scenario where if Moore wins he isn't seated. That was the case before McConnell decided that publicly supporting a child predator for the Senate wasn't a problem.

Eggplant Squire fucked around with this message at 16:05 on Dec 4, 2017

canepazzo
May 29, 2006



Radish posted:

There's no scenario where if Moore wins he isn't seated. That was the case before McConnell decided that publicly supporting a child predator for the Senate wasn't a problem.

It has literally been Access tape part deux, same loving exact timeline.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

canepazzo posted:

It has literally been Access tape part deux, same loving exact timeline.

The funny thing is, if Moore gets into the Senate and is seated, he's going to be a huge problem for McConnell; he will make the House Freedom Caucus look like Herbert Walker Bush. He's a liability even without the pedophilia charges. Dude's been removed from office twice.

But McConnell's going to give that scorpion a ride because that's what you do.

No Butt Stuff
Jun 10, 2004

I got a phone call for a "poll" yesterday that was very obviously hired out to be a Republican number booster.

"how likely are you to vote for claire mccaskill, knowing that she is weak on illegal immigration"

"how likely are you to vote for claire mccaskill, who says she's independent, but voted with Obama 90% of the time and SOCIALIST Bernie Sanders 140% of the time"

"how favorably do you see Obamacare, since it raised premiums by 145% in Missouri"

VR something or other insights.

That poo poo should be illegal to call a poll.

Ra Ra Rasputin
Apr 2, 2011

Saxophone posted:

The weird thing here is that I feel like had Hillary won at this point it would have been worse for America in the long run. You may well have seen the insanity and extremism on the right continue to run into infinite while the left becomes more and more disillusioned and apathetic.

Trump is loving awful for the short term, but it's possible he might be what we need to finally wake up after a nice 70-80 year slumber in political apathy land. Short term? He's loving tons of things up. Long term? He and the right are likely galvanizing a couple generations of liberalism in America.

Someone likened Trump to a vaccine. He's a weak dose of incompetent evil and we might well build resistance to it as a result. I genuinely thank the stars that he and his administration are so blatantly corrupt and incompetent because we could be in a far worse situation than we're in.

I do take a little solace in the fact that america's brush with fascism is with someone really, really, really incompetent and disliked who surrounds himself with people equally so.

turnip kid
May 24, 2010
can we just continue to relish in this?

quote:

WSIL -- One of the area's biggest coal companies opposes the Senate tax plan, calling it a "mockery of tax reform."

Murray Energy released a statement, angry with the Senate for failing to repeal the corporate Alternative Minimum Tax.

The statement from CEO Robert Murray said for companies like Murray Energy, this legislation is "much worse than the status quo."

He said Murray Energy will see a significant tax increase due to the loss of the business interest expense deduction, which he believes will ultimately hurt coal miners.

Murray said the tax plan will cause more coal companies to file for bankruptcy and blasted the Senate for causing "more job-killing Federal taxation."

Murray Energy runs several mines in southern Illinois and western Kentucky.

Robert Murray, the company’s chief executive officer, said the Senate tax plan would raise his tax bill by $60 million. “What the Senate did, in their befuddled mess, is drove me out of business and then bragged about the fact that they got some tax reform passed,” Mr. Murray said Sunday. “This is not job creation. This is not stimulating income. This is driving a whole sector of our community into nonexistence.”

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

alpha_destroy posted:

I'm gonna tell a quick story about the depth of FYGM.

My wife and I had our first kid at the beginning of November. For Thanksgiving the families came to us. I'm a grad student and my father in law always asks me about the state of the university whenever we are together. (The state of Mizzou is terrible btw. We had a great opportunity post 2015, and blew it.)

One night we were driving and he asks how the state of university is and I say, not great. In fact, the Republican tax bill might tax my tuition waivers which would increase our tax bill by about $4000. Obviously we can't afford that.

And his response was "yeah, well, that bill is really good for us... so..."

Yup. Son-in-law with a newborn might get taxed out of employment, but it's okay cause investments.

The good news is the grad student tax increase didn’t make it into the Senate bill.

No Butt Stuff
Jun 10, 2004

"How likely are you to vote for Josh Hawley"

You mean the idiot fucker who literally voted illegally ALREADY since being elected MO Attorney General in 2016?

Uh, not very likely.

also lol@ the tax bill being so toxic even coal companies hate it.

Buck Wildman
Mar 30, 2010

I am Metango, Galactic Governor


No Butt Stuff posted:

I got a phone call for a "poll" yesterday that was very obviously hired out to be a Republican number booster.

"how likely are you to vote for claire mccaskill, knowing that she is weak on illegal immigration"

"how likely are you to vote for claire mccaskill, who says she's independent, but voted with Obama 90% of the time and SOCIALIST Bernie Sanders 140% of the time"

"how favorably do you see Obamacare, since it raised premiums by 145% in Missouri"

VR something or other insights.

That poo poo should be illegal to call a poll.

How likely are you too vote Billy for class president, who says he's for longer naptime but agreed with SOCIALIST Mrs. Walters that if you bring your own cupcake you need to bring enough for the rest of the class?

cr0y
Mar 24, 2005



Trumps lawyer now reporting that the president cannot be guilty of OOJ.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/04/politics/trump-john-dowd-obstruct-justice/index.html

This is straight up Nixon defense.

beejay
Apr 7, 2002

Radish posted:

Moore getting elected is only a loss if it screws with other elections. If they successfully keep electing shittier and shittier people that will still vote in lockstep for whatever economic madness the party wants it's not a problem for them since the party has never actually cared about any moral issue.

Like electing a child predator might make people in OTHER states vote against Republicans more consistently (since I have long given up hope that Republican voters will vote against the party due to anything in a statistically significant amount) but if it doesn't then Moore getting elected is no worse than whatever standard ghoul they would have gotten instead.

I don't see Republicans from other states giving a poo poo. "Well, at least my guy isn't a kiddy diddler." I mean anyone intelligent enough to put the pieces together and say "hmm maybe the Republican party is hosed up as a whole" would not be a Republican. Maybe a few people stay home.

edit: Actually, I think you are talking about undecided/Dem voters and you are saying the same thing I am. My bad.

Late Fees
Jan 8, 2004
Your fees are valid.


Casey Finnigan posted:

Is Trump's personal tweeting still obvious by checking the device that sent the tweets cause he's always using his android?

He started using an iPhone around May-ish IIRC

Spacehams
Jun 3, 2007

sometimes people are mean, and I think they should try being nice
Grimey Drawer

cr0y posted:

Trumps lawyer now reporting that the president cannot be guilty of OOJ.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/04/politics/trump-john-dowd-obstruct-justice/index.html

This is straight up Nixon defense.

Well, when the president does it, that means it is not illegal.

PoizenJam
Dec 2, 2006

Damn!!!
It's PoizenJam!!!
A bit of 4th-dimensional chess/game theory here, but I've been wondering if there's a point at which the Republicans are forced to dump Trump to avoid President Pelosi? If a midterm Dem wave looks increasingly likely, the Dems might spin this as a mandate to 'drain the swamp' for real. And it's seeming like there might be enough to to take down Trump, Pence, and Sessions. But if the Republicans get ahead of this and sack Trump, they get to look principled and say 'let's get back to the regular business of doing government'. I think the public would be sated by Trump getting tossed, and I doubt you'd have the continuing fervor or momentum to impeach anyone else, much less Pence. There's no way that wouldn't be spun as a coup.

A disclaimer that this is far from my usual standard of rigour even for posting in these forums, but spun out from a discussion I had with a friend this morning.

Brony Car
May 22, 2014

by Cyrano4747

Saxophone posted:

The weird thing here is that I feel like had Hillary won at this point it would have been worse for America in the long run. You may well have seen the insanity and extremism on the right continue to run into infinite while the left becomes more and more disillusioned and apathetic.

Trump is loving awful for the short term, but it's possible he might be what we need to finally wake up after a nice 70-80 year slumber in political apathy land. Short term? He's loving tons of things up. Long term? He and the right are likely galvanizing a couple generations of liberalism in America.

Someone likened Trump to a vaccine. He's a weak dose of incompetent evil and we might well build resistance to it as a result. I genuinely thank the stars that he and his administration are so blatantly corrupt and incompetent because we could be in a far worse situation than we're in.

What you're saying might be true on a very long term basis, but you're assuming that people's historical memories are going to be very strong and their beliefs are also going to be pretty constant. I think those are 2 big assumptions to make. People get more conservative as they get older and most voters aren't politically active or interested enough to remember what happened in the middle to distant past.

Also, unless a bunch of Supreme Court justices and federal district court and Court of Appeals judges die very soon and a Democratic congress and president are in place when replacements are made, Trump's legacy is going to remain because you will have a bunch of true believers clogging up the branch of our government that is designed to be counter-majoritarian. They will be churning out as many opinions as possible making restoration of the regulatory state and various understandings of our specific and implicit Constitutional rights as difficult as possible (if not impossible).

FMguru
Sep 10, 2003

peed on;
sexually

Liquid Communism posted:

That's an insult to the noble weasel.
:ssh: They're both references to the finest piece of political writing of the last 30 years

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


Ra Ra Rasputin posted:

I do take a little solace in the fact that america's brush with fascism is with someone really, really, really incompetent and disliked who surrounds himself with people equally so.

I'm just hoping we at least try and learn a lesson and not just immediately go "phew glad that Trump business is over, now back to treating Republicans like respectable people despite them having supported him without question."

skylined!
Apr 6, 2012

THE DEM DEFENDER HAS LOGGED ON

JVNO posted:

A bit of 4th-dimensional chess/game theory here, but I've been wondering if there's a point at which the Republicans are forced to dump Trump to avoid President Pelosi? If a midterm Dem wave looks increasingly likely, the Dems might spin this as a mandate to 'drain the swamp' for real. And it's seeming like there might be enough to to take down Trump, Pence, and Sessions. But if the Republicans get ahead of this and sack Trump, they get to look principled and say 'let's get back to the regular business of doing government'. I think the public would be sated by Trump getting tossed, and I doubt you'd have the continuing fervor or momentum to impeach anyone else, much less Pence. There's no way that wouldn't be spun as a coup.

A disclaimer that this is far from my usual standard of rigour even for posting in these forums, but spun out from a discussion I had with a friend this morning.

i don't think a single person in washington expects trump to make it to november 2018

sidenote:
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/937705566511812608

Brony Car
May 22, 2014

by Cyrano4747

Radish posted:

I'm just hoping we at least try and learn a lesson and not just immediately go "phew glad that Trump business is over, now back to treating Republicans like respectable people despite them having supported him without question."

Americans aren't great with accountability and honest ownership of mistakes, so I am pretty pessimistic about this.

Zanzibar Ham
Mar 17, 2009

You giving me the cold shoulder? How cruel.


Grimey Drawer

Radish 16 years ago posted:

I'm just hoping we at least try and learn a lesson and not just immediately go "phew glad that Bush business is over, now back to treating Republicans like respectable people despite them having supported him without question."

OJ MIST 2 THE DICK
Sep 11, 2008

Anytime I need to see your face I just close my eyes
And I am taken to a place
Where your crystal minds and magenta feelings
Take up shelter in the base of my spine
Sweet like a chica cherry cola

-Cheap Trick

Nap Ghost

GOOCHY posted:

Only in Trumpland does Linda McMahon's WWE connection seem like a positive for a government role. Story arc long con? :wtf:

Linda really even wasn't a force in creative other than making sure that the business side of things running smoothly.

Creative is all Vince.

She also managed to stymie federal prosecution and save the company during the steroid trials, but that's a different story.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

turnip kid posted:

can we just continue to relish in this?

Whaaa

How do I refine this and inject it straight into my veins

ummel
Jun 17, 2002

<3 Lowtax

Fun Shoe

JVNO posted:

A bit of 4th-dimensional chess/game theory here, but I've been wondering if there's a point at which the Republicans are forced to dump Trump to avoid President Pelosi? If a midterm Dem wave looks increasingly likely, the Dems might spin this as a mandate to 'drain the swamp' for real. And it's seeming like there might be enough to to take down Trump, Pence, and Sessions. But if the Republicans get ahead of this and sack Trump, they get to look principled and say 'let's get back to the regular business of doing government'. I think the public would be sated by Trump getting tossed, and I doubt you'd have the continuing fervor or momentum to impeach anyone else, much less Pence. There's no way that wouldn't be spun as a coup.

A disclaimer that this is far from my usual standard of rigour even for posting in these forums, but spun out from a discussion I had with a friend this morning.

They won't because they view him as the leader of the party now. It's been that way since he made everyone get in line after the primaries. Nobody will stand up to him, and I'm doubting they ever will. There might be some armchair psychologist stuff in there about a bunch of nerdy white guys from the sticks being bullied by a Manhattan blowhard.

Data Graham
Dec 28, 2009

📈📊🍪😋



VitalSigns posted:

Whaaa

How do I refine this and inject it straight into my veins

By having oil refineries come out with similar statements

Ravenfood
Nov 4, 2011

Data Graham posted:

By having oil refineries come out with similar statements

gently caress you, central PA and your pointless, lost dreams of loving coal.

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Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


Brony Car posted:

Americans aren't great with accountability and honest ownership of mistakes, so I am pretty pessimistic about this.

This goes triple for the pundit and political class so me too.

VitalSigns posted:

Whaaa

How do I refine this and inject it straight into my veins

There's a dark comedy if this tax bill is like Net Neutrality repeal and it's a overall loss for business but because it makes a small fraction of donors happy that's all that matters.

Eggplant Squire fucked around with this message at 16:43 on Dec 4, 2017

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