|
axeil posted:
Not to make an "alabama" joke, but it ranks 44th in educational attainment, meaning there's a lot less people with degrees living there.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:13 |
|
|
# ? May 25, 2024 15:15 |
|
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/940751812445003777
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:15 |
|
Nate Silver posted:
end men's suffrage Harry Enten posted:
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:16 |
|
The state of Alabama has it in for D&D, it seems.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:18 |
|
axeil posted:end men's suffrage It really would solve a lot.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:19 |
|
https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/940752005169123328 jesus loving christ
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:20 |
|
I have faith. Hope means you still feel. Feeling is good in times like these. Put the booze down, put the kettle on, and accept the moment for what it is.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:21 |
|
axeil posted:https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/940752005169123328 Exit. Polls. Are. poo poo.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:21 |
|
Godinster posted:Holy gently caress are white people in Alabama stupid, 70% for Moore They're stupid but not for this reason. The people voting for Moore are going to get exactly what they want out of him and will justify their monstrous vote either along those lines or through some real gross misogyny and victim-blaming. axeil posted:https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/940752005169123328 And that's those republicans coming home.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:22 |
|
my gut, unsupported read is a 3-to-4-point moore win but i know literally nothing about alabama except that which has been posted over the last two months and never really expected the race to be close to begin with if moore wins, i expect a lot of republican senators to hem and haw about expulsion but to reverse themselves the moment trump interjects himself
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:22 |
|
Moore down 5c on PredictIt in the last ~10 mins
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:24 |
|
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/940753838939754496
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:24 |
|
Shimrra Jamaane posted:Exit. Polls. Are. poo poo. Yes, but given everything if he wins it will because the last second Republicans who decided they had to vote party. My favorite Exit poll statistic. https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/940753931403235329
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:26 |
|
I think the lesson from this is that we needed the pedophile story to be a December surprise instead of a November surprise.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:27 |
|
It'll come far closer than it should but I honestly don't see Jones walking away with this. Republicans just seemed too willing to shove their beliefs to the side hold their nose and vote. I'd of course, love to be proven wrong.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:28 |
|
axeil posted:I think the lesson from this is that we needed the pedophile story to be a December surprise instead of a November surprise. The same "mistake" was made with the Trump pussy tape.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:29 |
|
Your Boy Fancy posted:Put the booze down, Why are you advocating self harm?
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:33 |
|
Really, we just need to stop thinking scandals will sink a Republican because the party is comprised of self-interested monsters who just pretend to have any kind of scruples.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:34 |
|
https://twitter.com/stevenlouisreed/status/940755445123346432 This would probably be good for Jones, but the urban areas aren't enough to swing the state like VA
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:34 |
|
farraday posted:https://twitter.com/stevenlouisreed/status/940755445123346432 Is that 32% of the population or 32% or possible voters? What on Earth is going on over there that a 32% turnout is seen as good?!
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:37 |
|
Senor Tron posted:Is that 32% of the population or 32% or possible voters? a special election
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:38 |
|
this is torture
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:38 |
|
farraday posted:https://twitter.com/stevenlouisreed/status/940755445123346432 Yeah, that's one thing that makes this whole race more complicated-- in Virginia, vote margins were relatively predictable by locality going in, so once we had numbers coming out and exits to collate them with a call was easy. (The state giving us the data by precinct helped a lot too.) Here, we're basically stuck until we start getting whole counties in so we can assess how each candidate is doing based on their benchmarks. Until then, vote totals are garbage.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:38 |
|
Senor Tron posted:Is that 32% of the population or 32% or possible voters? election in an off year for state level elections, on a non standard election day, with voter repression against poor/black people endemic, 30+% would actually be a pretty good turnout.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:39 |
|
Senor Tron posted:Is that 32% of the population or 32% or possible voters? its an off-year election in a state that makes it extremely difficult to vote for non-rich white people. turnout projections were in the mid-twenties earlier this week.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:39 |
|
The Monarch posted:Why are you advocating self harm? Heh. Said it last month, I’ll say it again: Donald Trump couldn’t have my sobriety, and neither can Roy Moore. and getting hot tea during stressful moments is phenomenal and I understand why the British do it now.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:40 |
|
David Wasserman posted:
Harry Enten posted:
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/940757582536421376
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:40 |
|
farraday posted:https://twitter.com/stevenlouisreed/status/940755445123346432 This county is crucial. Jones is going to win that county, but thats not enough, he needs to ANNIHILATE Moore in Montgomery, with massive lines around the block turnout.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:41 |
|
axeil posted:
No, this is: https://twitter.com/dannydb/status/940708297467981824
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:41 |
|
Harry Enten posted:I went into the evening thinking that Moore was a slight favorite. Based upon the latest returns, I wish I had said Jones was the slight favorite. That’s based off the scattered returns so far and looking at my baselines. jesus god
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:43 |
|
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:43 |
|
quote:
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/940759799075098629 DON'T DO THIS TO ME ENTEN MY HEART CANT TAKE IT
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:47 |
|
Very excited for the 2018 elections considering how close this has turned out. I don't know much about anything but if things are this close in a state election of a bastion of conservatism like Alabama it seems like there's a promise of a big wave for Democrats next year.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:48 |
|
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/940759432610402304 i will not believe in a jones win until i actually see it happen
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:48 |
|
Man, it's been a rough couple of days huh? Let's ditch football and politics and grab some brews. Carson
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:49 |
|
Guys. It’s this close. In Alabama. Prepare yourself for a blue cataclysm.
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:50 |
|
Nate Silver posted:Prediction markets — which showed Moore as roughly a 70/30 favorite heading into the evening — now show a dead heat, giving each candidate about a 50 percent chance of winning. probably can make some money on the volatility right now
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:50 |
|
I am so tempted to hedge my feelings and bet the farm on Moore at 50c
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:51 |
|
QuoProQuid posted:https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/940759432610402304 gently caress it I'm going all in
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:51 |
|
|
# ? May 25, 2024 15:15 |
|
And hope is cancelled again https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/940761021727367169
|
# ? Dec 13, 2017 02:52 |