Pennsylvania Special Election 18: Needle Be Praised

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Debate & Discussion > Pennsylvania Special Election 18: Needle Be Praised

cr0y: Mar 24, 2005

Retro42 posted:

This is already emergency GOP pants making GBS threads meeting territory isn’t it? They pulled out all the stops in a massively GOP district and are looking at a recount at best.

Correct. A recount still means a coin flip in a R+20

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:10

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# ? May 29, 2024 06:55

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/973742169113624577

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:11

farraday: Jan 10, 2007; Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

John Kasich posted:

why are we talking about fecal matter and lube in the PA-18 thread

PA18 was his district in the 90s.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:11

Ogmius815: Aug 25, 2005; centrism is a hell of a drug

axeil posted:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/973742169113624577

Well that's bad.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:12

Zwabu: Aug 7, 2006

For an election that's just a pre November beauty show, would the motivation be high for a recount on either side? I know I know the GOP will always do it, they put tens of millions into this stupid race already...

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:12

Zil: Jun 4, 2011; Satanically Summoned Citrus

https://twitter.com/DavidWright_CNN/status/973742716122169344

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:12

John Kasich: Feb 3, 2016; by Pragmatica

farraday posted:

PA18 was his district in the 90s.

Thanks.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:12

Carlosologist: Oct 13, 2013; Revelry in the Dark

me in this thread: :f5:

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:13

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Ogmius815 posted:

Well that's bad.

Yeah, but Westmoreland only has probably ~2,000 votes left and even if you cut into Lamb's lead that much I dunno if that's enough to get him over the top.

edit: just updated. There's probably only 500 raw votes left in Westmoreland.

TURN THE NEEDLE BACK ON NATE

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:13

Fulchrum: Apr 16, 2013; by R. Guyovich

Trumps going to look at this, and decide that he needs to give TWO hour rally's about himself for each and every house district and senate race that the GOP are defending.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:13

Retro42: Jun 27, 2011

Zwabu posted:

For an election that's just a pre November beauty show, would the motivation be high for a recount on either side? I know I know the GOP will always do it, they put tens of millions into this stupid race already...

A recount keeps it in the news longer so I�m saying yeah the Dems will call for a recount if needed.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:14

Fritz Coldcockin: Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

Yeah, but Westmoreland only has probably ~2,000 votes left and even if you cut into Lamb's lead that much I dunno if that's enough to get him over the top.

Lead's down to 918 votes now, but Westmoreland County is 99% in.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:14

Nothus: Feb 22, 2001; Buglord

Handsome Ralph posted:

Thread right now

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAcjvr6TUYI

Someone 'shop Putin's head over Capt. Tupolev.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:14

John Kasich: Feb 3, 2016; by Pragmatica

Ted Cruz's 2016 campaign manager:

https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/973734108806500352

(Lamb is not pro-life lmao.)

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:15

rscott: Dec 10, 2009

Ogmius815 posted:

Well that's bad.

There are 3700 absentee ballots in Allegheny county that haven't been reported yet

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:15

zetamind2000: Nov 6, 2007; ~~I'm an alien.~~

What's happening with Washington County? They've been stuck at 90% of precincts reporting for at least 30 minutes now.

zetamind2000 fucked around with this message at 03:17 on Mar 14, 2018

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:15

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Alter Ego posted:

Lead's down to 918 votes now, but Westmoreland County is 99% in.

My estimate of total raw vote remaining:

Allegheny: 2,875
Westmoreland: 691
Washington: 4,182

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:15

Zwabu: Aug 7, 2006

How GOPish is the stuff left in Washington County?

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

Shimrra Jamaane: Aug 10, 2007; Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

axeil posted:

My estimate of total raw vote remaining:

Allegheny: 2,875
Westmoreland: 691
Washington: 402

This definitely favors Lamb.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

Unoriginal Name: Aug 1, 2006; by sebmojo

Isn't the recount decisions going to go through the same PA court system that Trump has been making GBS threads all over re: gerrymandering

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

STAC Goat: Mar 12, 2008; Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

That�s hosed.

If it helps he's terrible and is constantly owned.

But yeah, its a big black mark on CNN, but probably not any worse than all the other Trump campaign people.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

This definitely favors Lamb.

Messed up the Washington number. It's actually slightly over 4,000.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

Fritz Coldcockin: Nov 7, 2005

axeil posted:

My estimate of total raw vote remaining:

Allegheny: 2,875
Westmoreland: 691
Washington: 4,182

Nearly 3000 votes left in Allegheny? That's good.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

Heck Yes! Loam!: Nov 15, 2004; a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.

https://twitter.com/pbump/status/973727162602868737

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:16

Chemtrailologist: Jul 8, 2007

Trump is going to blame Saconne's loss on his mustache.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:17

evilweasel: Aug 24, 2002

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/973743827814141952

may not really be anything to recount

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:18

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Alter Ego posted:

Nearly 3000 votes left in Allegheny? That's good.

It's a pretty naive estimate but it's better than nothing. I also have no idea if the outstanding precincts are more Dem or more GOP

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:18

Ogmius815: Aug 25, 2005; centrism is a hell of a drug

rscott posted:

There are 3700 absentee ballots in Allegheny county that haven't been reported yet

Don't absentee ballots heavily favor the GOP, because of the military?

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:18

Fritz Coldcockin: Nov 7, 2005

John Kasich posted:

Ted Cruz's 2016 campaign manager:

https://twitter.com/jeffroe/status/973734108806500352

(Lamb is not pro-life lmao.)

The Americans have not reached Baghdad, do not believe their lies *statue of Saddam is being torn down in the background*

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:18

Lote: Aug 5, 2001; Place your bets

Seph posted:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/973742169113624577

The needle is forecasting Lamb +500 excluding Westmoreland. It's gonna be real close.

That�s the stuff. 25 precincts to go. Each one getting more exciting than the last.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:19

Saladin Rising: Nov 12, 2016; When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Zil posted:

https://twitter.com/DavidWright_CNN/status/973742716122169344

Look at the number of precincts.

Now imagine you have to get 3 people in all of them, in five days.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:19

Old Kentucky Shark: May 25, 2012; If you think you're gonna get sympathy from the shark, well then, you won't.

evilweasel posted:

But here's the rub: PA uses touch screen voting machines with no paper trail.

Well, that seems like the dumbest thing possible.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:20

axeil: Feb 14, 2006

Ogmius815 posted:

Don't absentee ballots heavily favor the GOP, because of the military?

Nah. Absentee in PA is olds + college kids. Each state is different though in what they allow which changes how you interpret the absentee results. In NC for example it's very pro-Dem.

# ? Mar 14, 2018 03:20