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infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.

Reince Penis posted:

There is lots of terrible stuff the OPC party is promising but this is the only one that makes my blood boil.

E: the green belt plan set aside tons of land around toronto for development. ~75% of that land remains untouched. Lack of land supply is not what keeps housing prices high.

If you wanted to gently caress things up, I mean really, long tail gently caress things up for a few generations, what the PCPO is promising this election would be a hell of a start.

Postess with the Mostest posted:

Maybe it'd be worth trying? What do you feel in the subcockles of your heart?

A sharp pain. May have something to do with that all-American Big Mac in the styrofoam container and chain smoking.

infernal machines fucked around with this message at 18:09 on Apr 30, 2018

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mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

Postess with the Mostest posted:

Because X can already vote for Greens and they don't. In the 2015 election when the progressive grassrots had the chance to rise up and Heave Steve, 32% of eligible voters still stayed home. If it turns out there's some massive underground city of dirty progressive folks who would vote for some hypothetical really progressive platform but wouldn't show up to vote against Harper, I swear I'll never make another demolition man reference again. I don't think there is though.

I dont know what 'progressive' means, but people in my neighbourhood are pretty deflated and angry because of the rising costs of living and housing and wages not keeping up, to the point of there being actual rent strikes close to where I live. The liberals have shown no interest in all their time in power to fix this and the tories will 100% make it worse. If the NDP had leadership that had a credible history of left wing and socialist support and went full tilt on that platform they would probably wipe out the libs here.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
Parkdale?

littleorv
Jan 29, 2011

Let’s revive the CCF

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

Yes.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
It was good to see that the two major rent strikes actually got some coverage, and were to varying extents successful. I used to live in one of the Metcap buildings on Tyndall that were part of the first strike.

TBH I was hoping the idea spread a bit.

The Monarch
Jul 8, 2006

God I really hope Trudeau doesn't go along with whatever bullshit Israel is about to unload regarding Iran.

Postess with the Mostest
Apr 4, 2007

Arabian nights
'neath Arabian moons
A fool off his guard
could fall and fall hard
out there on the dunes

tekz posted:

I dont know what 'progressive' means, but people in my neighbourhood are pretty deflated and angry because of the rising costs of living and housing and wages not keeping up, to the point of there being actual rent strikes close to where I live. The liberals have shown no interest in all their time in power to fix this and the tories will 100% make it worse. If the NDP had leadership that had a credible history of left wing and socialist support and went full tilt on that platform they would probably wipe out the libs here.

Yeah, that's not progressive, that's just wanting the federal government to make it easier for you to pay your own bills, it's the exact same motivation as rurals voting ABL because hydro bills. I don't think your riding ever goes full socialist though, even in 2011 libs + cons got more of the vote than ndp when they were choosing between ignatieff, layton and harper. Lot of people there with a lot of money to lose.

CLAM DOWN
Feb 13, 2007




Trudeau is in Vancouver fellating Amazon today. I hope there are pipeline protestors.

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

CLAM DOWN posted:

Trudeau is in Vancouver fellating Amazon today. I hope there are pipeline protestors.

Mate, you can't fellate a river. :rolleyes:

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

Postess with the Mostest posted:

Yeah, that's not progressive, that's just wanting the federal government to make it easier for you to pay your own bills, it's the exact same motivation as rurals voting ABL because hydro bills. I don't think your riding ever goes full socialist though, even in 2011 libs + cons got more of the vote than ndp when they were choosing between ignatieff, layton and harper. Lot of people there with a lot of money to lose.

The NDP actually won the riding then though, and things have gotten a lot worse since 2011. If they run a lovely liberal platform again they'll lose to the actual Liberals again.

xtal
Jan 9, 2011

by Fluffdaddy

Wistful of Dollars posted:

Mate, you can't fellate a river. :rolleyes:

Just watch me

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
Lol. Vancouver just got stuck with HQ2. Forget any pretense of affordable housing ever again.

Gully Foyle
Feb 29, 2008

infernal machines posted:

Lol. Vancouver just got stuck with HQ2. Forget any pretense of affordable housing ever again.

As if affordable housing in Vancouver was ever a possibility again without something like the Big One hitting and turning the city into a hellscape.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

infernal machines posted:

Lol. Vancouver just got stuck with HQ2. Forget any pretense of affordable housing ever again.

I'm not seeing that anywhere, just blurbs about expanding their current Vancouver office.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.

tekz posted:

I'm not seeing that anywhere, just blurbs about expanding their current Vancouver office.

You're right, it's only an expansion of the current offices. I misread it as being their new headquarters, not an expansion of their existing Vancouver headquarters.

Postess with the Mostest
Apr 4, 2007

Arabian nights
'neath Arabian moons
A fool off his guard
could fall and fall hard
out there on the dunes

infernal machines posted:

You're right, it's only an expansion of the current offices. I misread it as being their new headquarters, not an expansion of their existing Vancouver headquarters.

That's great, probably expanding there to support HQ2 in Toronto. Congrats.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
JFC. Let's hope not.

We don't need Bezos the destroyer loving poo poo up like the Stay Puft Marshmallow Man.











E: VVVVV How so?

infernal machines fucked around with this message at 20:01 on Apr 30, 2018

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

infernal machines posted:

I know some politically disinterested non-CHUDs and they all seem to think he's not really a big deal and maybe some of the things he says are actually good.

Ford not being explicitly racist seems to go a long way.

he is pretty explicitly racist though

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?
lmao

https://twitter.com/pressprogress/status/991029466959822848

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008


"unpopular" is how i would describe this move if i had a fetish for understatement

CLAM DOWN
Feb 13, 2007





How is anyone surprised

Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

CLAM DOWN posted:

How is anyone surprised

Just for the record, I'm not.

Yinlock
Oct 22, 2008

a few places are trying to spin it as "liberals claim that doug ford wants to sell the green belt" but it kinda falls flat when there's a widely-available video of him saying "i, doug ford, want to destroy the green belt"

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN

Postess with the Mostest posted:

Because X can already vote for Greens and they don't. In the 2015 election when the progressive grassrots had the chance to rise up and Heave Steve, 32% of eligible voters still stayed home. If it turns out there's some massive underground city of dirty progressive folks who would vote for some hypothetical really progressive platform but wouldn't show up to vote against Harper, I swear I'll never make another demolition man reference again. I don't think there is though.

You're describing a folk theory version of the standard theory of democratic inveolvement, in which political parties act as entrepreneurs who min-max their positions to attract the ideal winning coalition of voters. It's intuitive plausible but actually not very well supported empirically. In fact there's a bunch of research indicating that people often get involved in a cause before they develop strong ideological attachments to that cause. A friend gets you to come out to a rally, or you check out a meeting because it looks interesting, etc., then as you're drawn into group activities you internalize the group's ideas and make them your own.

quote:

What comes first, belief or action? Do people join causes because they believe in the cause, or do they believe in the cause because they joined the action?

Your mind will instinctively believe the first – why else would you act unless you were acting on a want, a desire or a preference? And indeed a lot of meta-commentary about activism and OWS follows this instrumental arrow – how do we get all the people with the right beliefs together? Now that we have people who roughly have the same beliefs all together, how do we turn those beliefs into actionable demands?

But what if that is backwards? What if participation structures beliefs? What if people start to get a version of what Occupy Wall Street is about – in all its forms, ranging from progressive economics to direct democracy to deep concerns about financialization and political corruption – because they stop by and check it out, or participate for a little bit? What if the things Jaffe describes – from the cab driver listening to it on the radio, to someone who could use some free food stopping by, to a formerly disinterested person staying to listen to a teach-in in a park – in turn structure the beliefs that then in turn call for more engaged action?

This dynamic Jaffe describes was found in the sociologist’s Ziad Munson’s excellent ethnography The Making of Pro-Life Activists: How Social Movement Mobilization Works. From the book (my bold):

quote:

The link between beliefs and action must be turned on its head: real action often precedes meaningful beliefs about an issue. Demographic and attitudinal differences between activists and nonactivists cannot explain why some people join the pro-life movement and others do not. Instead, mobilization occurs when people are drawn into activism through organizational and relational ties, not when they form strong beliefs about abortion. Beliefs about abortion are often underdeveloped, incoherent, and inconsistent until individuals become actively engaged with the movement. The “process of conviction” (Maxwell 2002) is the result of mobilization, not a necessary prerequisite for it (pg. 20).

Here’s a summary. From the copy: “Munson makes the startling discovery that many activists join up before they develop strong beliefs about abortion—in fact, some are even pro-choice prior to their mobilization. Therefore, Munson concludes, commitment to an issue is often a consequence rather than a cause of activism.”

Evidence suggests elections are less about individual preference and more about competing tribal loyalties. I'm quoting here from a book that is primarily concerend with American elections (though it draws on some research from other parliamentary systems) and it again seems to show a dynamic where instead of fighting for the centre ground (what would be called the 'median voter' in classical election theory) parties succeed by driving higher turnout. Voters have a web of social relationships and identifications which inform their politics and they vote accordingly. Elections in America tend to be fought and won not in the centre ground competing for swing voters but rather through mobilizing your own side in higher numbers. In cases where someone has to ask between their personal beliefs and their partisan identity there is an extremely robust tendency for voters to shift their opinions to align with their partisan loyalties:

Democracy for Realists Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government, Christopher H. Achen & Larry M. Bartels p. 17 posted:

Next, we examine the evolution and impact of citizens’views regarding the highly charged issue of abortion. As the Democratic and Republican parties took increasingly clear, opposing stands on the issue through the 1980s and 1990s, partisan identities often came into conflict with gender identities. We show that this conflict was resolved in quite different ways for women and for men. A substantial number of women gravitated to the party sharing their view about abortion, reflecting the deep significance of the issue for women. Men, on the other hand, more often changed their view about abortion to comport with their partisanship—in effect, letting their party tell them what to think about one of the most contentious moral issues in contemporary American politics. In both cases, identity was politically powerful in ways that the folk theory of democracy obscures or ignores.

It would be interesting to see what a more in depth study of Canadian voters might reveal, as we tend to be more inclined to switch parties than Americans. But the tribal aspect of voting seems to be pretty substantial everywhere:

Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government, Christopher H. Achen & Larry M. Bartels pp. 17-18 posted:

We illustrate this phenomenon by examining beliefs about a highly salient and significant political fact—the size of the federal budget deficit. The deficit had decreased by more than half during Bill Clinton’s first term as president; yet most Republicans in a 1996 survey managed to convince themselves that it had increased. Even many Democrats and Independents had too little real information to get the facts right, but for Republicans the lack of information was compounded by a partisan desire to see a Democratic administration in a negative light. Indeed, moderately well-informed Republicans had less accurate beliefs than the least informed; a modicum of information was sufficient to discern what they should want to be true, but not enough to discern what was in fact true. They sounded like they were thinking, but no one should be fooled. Democrats behaved in much the same way on other issues.

We conclude that group and partisan loyalties, not policy preferences or ideologies, are fundamental in democratic politics. Thus, a realistic theory of democracy must be built, not on the French Enlightenment, on British liberalism, or on American Progressivism, with their devotion to human rationality and monadic individualism, but instead on the insights of the critics of these traditions, who recognized that human life is group life.


To be clear, I agree that the NDP simply declaring the most radical possible platform would likely lose more votes than it would win. But there's a case to be made that policy in general is less important than cultivating an organized and motivated core group of supporters. If you can do that effectively then over multiple cycles you can have a dramatic impact on the entire political system even if you are pushing ideas that would actually be very unpopular with the majority of voters.

My point here is that parties are less constrained by their ideological commitments than we think, and actually more reliant on their organizational capabilities than the media leads us to believe.

Of course conservative identities are much more accessible to the average voter these days and the left in general isn't very good at picking tribal divisions that would leave it anywhere close to a majority, so this is all highly academic.

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane
Hey look: CBC has determined that, on the whole, Albertans enjoy having things, and do not enjoy paying for things.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/albertans-not-conservative-road-ahead-survey-1.4639232

This is truly some groundbreaking research.

(also I have no idea how anyone can judge us to be any form of socially progressive if we elect Jason Kenney, and it certainly looks like we will)

BGrifter
Mar 16, 2007

Winner of Something Awful PS5 thread's Posting Excellence Award June 2022

Congratulations!

Yinlock posted:

a few places are trying to spin it as "liberals claim that doug ford wants to sell the green belt" but it kinda falls flat when there's a widely-available video of him saying "i, doug ford, want to destroy the green belt"

If there’s one thing the Ford brothers know it’s destroying belts.

Wirth1000
May 12, 2010

#essereFerrari

poo poo like this makes me actually scared


BGrifter posted:

If there’s one thing the Ford brothers know it’s destroying belts.

poo poo like this makes me actually lol

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

PT6A posted:

Hey look: CBC has determined that, on the whole, Albertans enjoy having things, and do not enjoy paying for things.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/albertans-not-conservative-road-ahead-survey-1.4639232

This is truly some groundbreaking research.

(also I have no idea how anyone can judge us to be any form of socially progressive if we elect Jason Kenney, and it certainly looks like we will)

There's some interesting data here but this article makes an enormous analytical error very early on that made it hard for me to take anything else they said seriously.

quote:

The bulging middle
The first thing that jumps out of the data is where Albertans place themselves on the political spectrum.

The survey asked people to place themselves on a spectrum — left, right and centrist. Most respondents say they fall into the centre, with a lean to the right and few on either extreme.

In fact, a full 30 per cent put themselves firmly in the middle. Another 23 per cent self-identify as left, while 37 per cent of Albertans say they are on the right and very few people consider themselves on a hard-right or hard-left fringe. Nine per cent of Albertans said they didn't know exactly where they fit in.

"I think the stereotype in Alberta is that we've got a lot of radicals here, particularly people who are radically right wing, but what that question showed is that we don't have too many people that are on the extremes," said Janet Brown, of Janet Brown Opinion Research, who conducted the poll with Trend Research for CBC News.

That is not what that means, Janet Brown. It means those people self-identify as centrists rather than extremists, but unless you show us the cross-tabs on what those centrists think about the issues it absolutely does not mean "everyone is a moderate". It just means a lot of people identify in the centre, and then likely go off and support right-wing things and vote for the UCP, because they see right-wing policies and political identities as moderate rather than radical.

EvidenceBasedQuack
Aug 15, 2015

A rock has no detectable opinion about gravity
Thanks Helsing. That was informative. :eng101:

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane

vyelkin posted:

There's some interesting data here but this article makes an enormous analytical error very early on that made it hard for me to take anything else they said seriously.


That is not what that means, Janet Brown. It means those people self-identify as centrists rather than extremists, but unless you show us the cross-tabs on what those centrists think about the issues it absolutely does not mean "everyone is a moderate". It just means a lot of people identify in the centre, and then likely go off and support right-wing things and vote for the UCP, because they see right-wing policies and political identities as moderate rather than radical.

Yeah, that's a big flaw. The other big flaw is: if you want a bunch of programs that require spending but have no interest in taxes being raised to cover the poo poo you want, you're just a greedy moron. That's not either left or right -- it's just stupid.

lidnsya
Nov 14, 2007
<img src="https://fi.somethingawful.com/customtitles/title-lidnsya.jpg"><br>All aboard the sleepy train!
A gofundme has been started for those Nelson House kids. https://www.gofundme.com/3-young-lives-lost-nelson-house-mb

PittTheElder
Feb 13, 2012

:geno: Yes, it's like a lava lamp.

vyelkin posted:

That is not what that means, Janet Brown. It means those people self-identify as centrists rather than extremists, but unless you show us the cross-tabs on what those centrists think about the issues it absolutely does not mean "everyone is a moderate". It just means a lot of people identify in the centre, and then likely go off and support right-wing things and vote for the UCP, because they see right-wing policies and political identities as moderate rather than radical.

Seriously, how the gently caress did that one get reported without a little critical analysis. They're describing themselves as moderates because they see some sort of moral value in being in the middle of the spectrum, not due to any serious reflection on their political opinions. This is an example of politically informed ideological voters being in the minority; everybody else just plunks themselves in the middle by default.

loving LOL at the description of us as 'not fiscally conservative, just tax averse' though. That's so incredibly on the nose.

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane

PittTheElder posted:

loving LOL at the description of us as 'not fiscally conservative, just tax averse' though. That's so incredibly on the nose.

At least actual fiscal conservatives and actual leftists alike notice that revenue, spending and deficit/debt are all linked.

This "give me all the poo poo, but I don't want to pay for it" is just childish. But arguably it describes the majority of Albertans perfectly.

just another
Oct 16, 2009

these dead towns that make the maps wrong now
Maybe this is a dumb question, but the Amazon Vancouver announcement started me wondering. What's preventing individual municipalities from levying municipal sales taxes to make up for the revenue lost from local businesses shutting down?

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN

just another posted:

Maybe this is a dumb question, but the Amazon Vancouver announcement started me wondering. What's preventing individual municipalities from levying municipal sales taxes to make up for the revenue lost from local businesses shutting down?

Municipalities are creatures of the province, they have no independent authority to raise revenue outside what the provincial government authorizes them to do, so they would require provincial legislation to enact a sales tax. A sales tax was considered in Vancouver a couple years ago but it was put to a referendum and lost.

Seat Safety Switch
May 27, 2008

MY RELIGION IS THE SMALL BLOCK V8 AND COMMANDMENTS ONE THROUGH TEN ARE NEVER LIFT.

Pillbug

vyelkin posted:

There's some interesting data here but this article makes an enormous analytical error very early on that made it hard for me to take anything else they said seriously.


That is not what that means, Janet Brown. It means those people self-identify as centrists rather than extremists, but unless you show us the cross-tabs on what those centrists think about the issues it absolutely does not mean "everyone is a moderate". It just means a lot of people identify in the centre, and then likely go off and support right-wing things and vote for the UCP, because they see right-wing policies and political identities as moderate rather than radical.

Janet Brown had a really eyebrow-raising survey a few weeks ago that felt strategically timed to boost public opinion of a council Olympic bid following the province telling them to gently caress off:
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/calgary-olympic-bid-support-poll-1.4616307

And also there's this:
http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/alberta-votes/alberta-election-polls-hold-influence-even-if-they-re-wrong-janet-brown-1.3039734

This week she's in the catbird seat because the CBC has been hyping their big giant poll of political opinion they did in collaboration with her. It started a few weeks ago when they went into the intense methodology they use to build a political survey of this size, and now they are trickling out the results.

Stuff like "the UCP will win Calgary handily," "the Liberal party isn't good at getting votes," and "people in Alberta don't like paying for things" have been front-page news, each revelation with its own article, probably to justify the expense in editorial/analysis by getting those hits up.

She was one of the big voices who was calling Postmedia out on their super-slanted poll interpretation (and subsequent radio silence) running up to the '17 Calgary election.

She's also a panelist on the local CBC news all the time so it's easy for them to get a soundbite from her.

Seat Safety Switch fucked around with this message at 23:46 on Apr 30, 2018

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene

PT6A posted:


This "give me all the poo poo, but I don't want to pay for it" is just childish. But arguably it describes the majority of Albertans perfectly.

It describes the majority of Canada, USA, and probably most first world countries tbh. Political polls that say that people want both lower taxes/government funding and better social services are pretty much the norm everywhere I think, because collectively people are dumb as poo poo.

Peaceful Anarchy
Sep 18, 2005
sXe
I am the math man.

CRISPYBABY posted:

It describes the majority of Canada, USA, and probably most first world countries tbh. Political polls that say that people want both lower taxes/government funding and better social services are pretty much the norm everywhere I think, because collectively people are dumb as poo poo.
LOL at thinking this only applies to first world countries. As much as people love to whine about taxes here in Canada, the mental disconnect between "people pay taxes" and "government provides services" is nowhere near what I've seen from people all across the political spectrum in South America. Admittedly my experience is limited, but the disdain for the concept of personal taxes for middle class people exceeds most Canadian conservatives and the expectation of government services (for them on the right, for everyone on the left) is pretty high. They don't see government as a product of the populace, but as an overclass you vote for every so often.

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David Corbett
Feb 6, 2008

Courage, my friends; 'tis not too late to build a better world.

Helsing posted:

Municipalities are creatures of the province, they have no independent authority to raise revenue outside what the provincial government authorizes them to do, so they would require provincial legislation to enact a sales tax. A sales tax was considered in Vancouver a couple years ago but it was put to a referendum and lost.

Yep.

For the benefit of those who are not Helsing: Under the constitution, the provinces have defined powers, the federal government has defined powers plus essentially everything not given to provinces, and municipalities get one line in the province section (s. 92.8). As such, municipalities have the subset of provincial powers that each individual province has decided to delegate to them and nothing else. The provinces can elect to run cities in any way that they like. This is why provinces can amalgamate and de-amalgamate cities at will. I presume that, should the province of Ontario so decide, they could (for example) also abolish local elections and directly appoint the entire mayor and council of Toronto.

In terms of my local politics, this has been a continuing problem in Alberta. In Alberta, there is only one Municipal Government Act and, with a few regulatory exceptions largely related to investments and debt, it treats every municipality in the province from the tiniest hamlet to the sparsest rural county to the biggest city exactly the same. This is not a great system, and it's why the mayors of Calgary and Edmonton have been going on and on for ages about city charters that might let them take a few other powers from the province. Conservatives shitlords in Alberta generally like the status quo, as it leaves cities largely atomized and powerless and enables easy jurisdiction jumping to avoid nasty things like sustainable municipal financing models.

David Corbett fucked around with this message at 01:41 on May 1, 2018

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