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THC posted:lol gently caress off It's completely routine to have weird/bad/joke candidates in civic elections, obviously this guy isn't going to win.
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May 24, 2018 20:03
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CLAM DOWN posted:It's completely routine to have weird/bad/joke candidates in civic elections, obviously this guy isn't going to win. Then I worked with local campaigns and learned that the "best" people usually want nothing to do with politics.
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May 24, 2018 20:11
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melon cat posted:Then I worked with local campaigns and learned that the "best" people usually want nothing to do with politics. i just wanted to bbe a legislator
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May 24, 2018 20:14
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patonthebach posted:Is there even a single ontariogoon in this thread who isn't voting NDP for this election I’m spoiling my ballot cause there’s no way I’m voting for the NDP’s jail guard nominee that works in a prison that’s filled with almost entirely indigenous offenders and who posts on Facebook about beating people who’s opinion he disagrees with. His explanation that “it’s just some corrections humour” just ain’t doing it for me
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May 24, 2018 20:19
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A Typical Goon posted:I’m spoiling my ballot cause there’s no way I’m voting for the NDP’s jail guard nominee that works in a prison that’s filled with almost entirely indigenous offenders and who posts on Facebook about beating people who’s opinion he disagrees with. This seems extremely hosed up and a total lack of vetting even for the NDP.
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May 24, 2018 20:20
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Baronjutter posted:This seems extremely hosed up and a total lack of vetting even for the NDP. They declined a millennial that was seeking the nomination because he had an Instagram post where you could see his rear end crack
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May 24, 2018 20:22
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https://mobile.twitter.com/VoiceOfFranky/status/999683079240286209EKOS: NDP have ‘an impressive lead’
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May 24, 2018 20:46
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A Typical Goon posted:I’m spoiling my ballot cause there’s no way I’m voting for the NDP’s jail guard nominee that works in a prison that’s filled with almost entirely indigenous offenders and who posts on Facebook about beating people who’s opinion he disagrees with. vote communist
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May 24, 2018 20:52
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Yeah that’s pretty disgusting I would probably also cast a protest vote and write an angry letter to the party/RA
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May 24, 2018 20:55
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A Typical Goon posted:I’m spoiling my ballot cause there’s no way I’m voting for the NDP’s jail guard nominee that works in a prison that’s filled with almost entirely indigenous offenders and who posts on Facebook about beating people who’s opinion he disagrees with. What riding is this ? Are you far enough north it wont matter if you vote and will go ndp regardless?
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May 24, 2018 21:01
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melon cat posted:In so many ridings I've seen each major party launch lousy candidates and thought, "This... this person is your best?" The "best" people in politics work in "Government Relations" and/or directly for the party organizations.
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May 24, 2018 21:19
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patonthebach posted:What riding is this ? Are you far enough north it wont matter if you vote and will go ndp regardless? The candidate is Glen Archer in Kenora-Rainey river which is a historically NDP riding but I think will end up being fairly competitive this election as it’s a lower income riding that has been trending conservative recently. The Cons are running a popular former MP so their polling must suggest that they think the riding is close this year. gently caress strategic voting though, if the NDP lose by 1 vote I’ll feel bad but that’s on them for running a garbage candidate
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May 24, 2018 22:14
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https://twitter.com/russianbot3001/status/999757381000024064
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May 24, 2018 22:38
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A Typical Goon posted:The candidate is Glen Archer in Kenora-Rainey river which is a historically NDP riding but I think will end up being fairly competitive this election as it’s a lower income riding that has been trending conservative recently. The Cons are running a popular former MP so their polling must suggest that they think the riding is close this year. gently caress strategic voting though, if the NDP lose by 1 vote I’ll feel bad but that’s on them for running a garbage candidate https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.4668844 Yeah that's an insanely inappropriate thing for a corrections officer to say. Don't care about the bad memes. But posting poo poo like "I'll beat the opinion out of you" should disqualify you from you position in the ndp and should probably result into an investigation to your professionalism in your job as a c.o.
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May 24, 2018 22:44
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May 24, 2018 22:46
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https://twitter.com/jpags/status/999668612817448961 Lol. They could have rooted this poo poo out ages ago, but they didn't 'cause Douggie is a bully and they were afeared.
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May 24, 2018 22:55
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Looking forward to zero PC or Lib seats thanks to FPTP
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May 24, 2018 22:57
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lovely 538 says:
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May 24, 2018 23:14
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Helsing posted:It would be really cool if Ford and Wynne both lost their seats in this election.
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May 24, 2018 23:16
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lowly abject turd posted:Absolutely anecdotal but there's a few fully committed OPC people at my church and they do absolutely hate Dougy and seriously consider him an existential threatand you know they hate Wynne. I think a lot of this is what's happening in the states obviously. While I do agree that most of the electorate doesn't give a poo poo about this kind of stuff and iti jt actually make him seem more masculine of alpha or whatever to >0% of the electorate. I do think it matters to a part of the conservative base. I know the church peeps were barely willing to hold their nose and vote PC because their local candidate is okay or whatever but this mightt actually keep some of them home come June 9 inshallah. I met my first enthusiastic DOUG FORD supporter yesterday 60+ year old lady, says she supports him because he'll rein in government spending and "support family values" says she's atheist but also whined a lot about RINOs in US congress and likes the freedom caucus "without the religious stuff"
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May 24, 2018 23:17
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Typo posted:lovely 538 says: Reminder: Last time out they predicted the most likely outcomes to be a Conservative majority, a Conservative minority, or a Liberal minority Opinion polls are loving useless at projecting seat counts. No one is doing riding by riding polling in Ontario. Eric "Not Silver" Genier could be using chicken gizzards and tea leaves for all the insight his bullshit provides. infernal machines fucked around with this message at 23:25 on May 24, 2018 |
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May 24, 2018 23:21
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Typo posted:lovely 538 says: Had an awesome convo with someone the other day who flatly dismissed a recent poll showing 72% of Americans age 15-34 disapprove of the president, because “polls always get stuff wrong, they said Hillary would win a landslide”... but then without any apparent trace of irony, boasted that CBC gives Fordnation a 90% chance of winning Juul-Whip fucked around with this message at 23:28 on May 24, 2018 |
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May 24, 2018 23:25
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THC posted:Had an awesome convo with someone the other day who flatly dismissed a recent poll showing 72% of Americans age 15-34 disapprove of the president, because “polls always get stuff wrong, they said Hillary would win a landslide”... but then without any apparent trace of irony, boasted that CBC gives Fordnation a 90% chance of winning FORD *CLICK* srsly though I do not think the person you talk to is aware that prediction models are based on polling Typo fucked around with this message at 23:31 on May 24, 2018 |
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May 24, 2018 23:28
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Typo posted:I met my first enthusiastic DOUG FORD supporter yesterday Are you sure she wasn’t a 20 year old male redditor?
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May 24, 2018 23:32
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cowofwar posted:Are you sure she wasn’t a 20 year old male redditor? she also said "they'll have knives out for doug" if/when he wins the election "just like they did with trump"
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May 24, 2018 23:33
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The yellow line straight up is me looking at that poll
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May 24, 2018 23:47
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This is fake, right?
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May 24, 2018 23:49
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I am honestly afraid that if the anti-Doug faction rallies around the NDP this early, and then it's clear they're in winning territory, those same people will get complacent and not vote.
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May 24, 2018 23:49
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Yes, it's like a lava lamp.
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I can't do this. This is too much. I'm trying to stay as neutral as possible. I really don't want to get my hopes up but I believe. I loving hate people so much esp[ecially since when polls are low it's "why bother it's not like the NDP can win?" and then when polls are high "oh good i can stay home and not vote cause they're gonna win anyway"
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May 24, 2018 23:49
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PittTheElder posted:I am honestly afraid that if the anti-Doug faction rallies around the NDP this early, and then it's clear they're in winning territory, those same people will get complacent and not vote. Yes. Yes!!! It's always constant loving anxiety because people are so loving stupid holy poo poo
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May 24, 2018 23:50
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there's pretty limited polling data in Ontario and polling firms probably aren't that great at a determining turnout in a provincial race NDP is gaining, I just don't have too much faith in the polls, especially when you are looking at what 3-4 of them? MoE could easily be 5%+ on avg
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May 24, 2018 23:51
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I really don’t believe that complacent people not showing up is enough of a thing to result in the kind of numbers that would make a difference. e: people not showing up is a huge thing. I just don’t think complacency is to blame.
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May 24, 2018 23:53
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Wasn't a lot of the Democratic base in the States admitting they didn't bother to vote because they figured Hillary was going to win? (along with pretty much the entire world)
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May 24, 2018 23:55
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Sure, they can blame their loss on that. American turnout numbers were pretty par for the course in 2016.
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May 24, 2018 23:57
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patonthebach posted:Is there even a single ontariogoon in this thread who isn't voting NDP for this election Hello
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May 25, 2018 00:11
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Hillary was the front runner from the beginning while Horwarh has come up from behind Hillary is also abject garbage so there’s that
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May 25, 2018 00:13
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I mean it is pretty amazing that it took Doug Ford to get Ontarians to finally forget about Bob Rae, so hopefully the ONDP are gearing up for a good GOTV effort
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May 25, 2018 00:14
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Just... 2 weeks to go. 2 weeks. Hoo boy.
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May 25, 2018 00:15
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Typo posted:there's pretty limited polling data in Ontario and polling firms probably aren't that great at a determining turnout in a provincial race The polls as a general bellwether of voter sentiment are probably accurate, it's just that information cannot be used to make seat projections with any degree of accuracy. It's not really the pollsters that are the problem so much as charlatans claiming to know anything more than which way the wind is blowing.
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May 25, 2018 00:17
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THC posted:Hillary was the front runner from the beginning while Horwarh has come up from behind Horwath has been abject garbage for longer than most of you have known her name xtal fucked around with this message at 00:25 on May 25, 2018 |
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May 25, 2018 00:18
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