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flakeloaf
Feb 26, 2003

Still better than android clock

http://pressprogress.ca/who_s_really_behind_decline_your_vote_and_why_you_should_be_skeptical/

According to the Broadbent Institute, the PCs are trying to disenfranchise Ontario voters by making us feel apathetic enough to reject our ballots. At least they aren't robocalling us this time.

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Lurdiak
Feb 26, 2006

I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people that do.



Well yeah no poo poo, but it doesn't make sense to me that Quebec is more racist now than it was in the early 90s.

James Baud
May 24, 2015

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
.

James Baud fucked around with this message at 12:02 on Aug 25, 2018

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015
A lot of the 450 was always going to be competitive for the tories the moment the right reunited and that hasn't changed that much (4 ways helped the NDP a bit but QS is doing nowhere near that good in those parts) and that's a lot of ridings between Monteregie, Laval and the north shore.

Also like, Beauce and Quebec city have always been a super conservative bubble.

Lurdiak
Feb 26, 2006

I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people that do.


James Baud posted:

French (France) media sources covering muslim immigration and integration issues in the EU ... has been building long before Syrian exodus. Remember that Marine Le Pen made the run-off for president.

You're greatly over-estimating how much people in Quebec are exposed to France media.

Don Pigeon
Oct 29, 2005

Great pigeons are not born great. They grow great by eating lots of bread crumbs.

Lurdiak posted:

You're greatly over-estimating how much people in Quebec are exposed to France media.

Yeah, agreed.

I think the racism was always there, it was just kept in private mostly. Parizeau famously blamed the loss of the 2nd independence referendum on the ethnic vote. Xenophobic Quebecois were just too focused on the sovereignty movement in the 90s, then 9/11 happened and a lot of those folks became rabidly anti-Muslim. Now, Trump is in power, Le Pen came in second in France, and all of a sudden a lot of people think it's ok to be overtly racist.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Mystic_Shadow posted:

Yeah, agreed.

I think the racism was always there, it was just kept in private mostly. Parizeau famously blamed the loss of the 2nd independence referendum on the ethnic vote. Xenophobic Quebecois were just too focused on the sovereignty movement in the 90s, then 9/11 happened and a lot of those folks became rabidly anti-Muslim. Now, Trump is in power, Le Pen came in second in France, and all of a sudden a lot of people think it's ok to be overtly racist.

Internally there's also that they didn't really have that much of a party to call home (even the PQ did try to clean up its image a bit after the Parizeau bullshit and the big split in Quebec politics until the 2000s was over independence and not much else) until the ADQ started leaning hard on anti-immigration sentiment against the PQ and PLQ. A lot of the places where CAQ polls best were already hardcore ADQ when the party dissolved.

And now all three main parties are doing the whole dogwhistling about immigrants every couple months thing.

Agnosticnixie fucked around with this message at 07:26 on May 31, 2018

brucio
Nov 22, 2004

Franks Happy Place posted:

I think there's a real risk of Shy Tory Syndrome at work with the polling here, too. Ford is such a hugely embarrassing piece of poo poo that people are reluctant to admit they are voting for him, but when they get into the voting booth, I have no doubt those same people will vote for their tax cut because those people are awful.

Nah. Most polling is done by IVR and online. Tories that are getting polled are definitely saying they will vote PC if they actually intend to. There's no human factor.

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

brucio posted:

Nah. Most polling is done by IVR and online. Tories that are getting polled are definitely saying they will vote PC if they actually intend to. There's no human factor.

Also like, I know USPol liked to talk about the shy Trump voter and the shy Brexit voter back in 2016, and has been expecting shy far right voters to magically appear in most elections ever since, but both of those were bullshit that mostly came from pollsters trying to editorialize poll results that they couldn't believe. The last US presidential elections was well within the margin of error, as was brexit.

HackensackBackpack
Aug 20, 2007

Who needs a house out in Hackensack? Is that all you get for your money?
More like 24 SUCKS-ex

http://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/24-sussex-is-crumbling-and-now-we-have-the-details

quote:

Memo to the Trudeau family: You’re smart to stay out of 24 Sussex Drive. Engineers say its walls might drop pieces of rock on those who live there.

Also, the walls have weakened enough to increase the chance of collapse in the event of an earthquake. Remember that day in 2010?

Overall, the outer structure of grey limestone walls is in “poor to fair” condition. Some bits are “very poor.”

The venerable building with the killer view of the river is a victim to time, but also to the original choice of poor-quality limestone for its walls, mortar that varied in quality, and sub-par workmanship decades ago.

In some places, the mortar never made contact with the stones it was meant to hold in place. Some interior gaps never had mortar at all, while mortar in other spots has crumbled away.
And some of the limestone blocks are now “disaggregated,” or cracking apart under forces that include repeated freeze-thaw cycles, like a road with potholes.

Walls are cracked in some places, bowed out sideways in others.

And when the new government owners did a major reno in 1950, they covered over old problems instead of fixing them.

Now a detailed report by Public Works and Procurement Canada provides a detailed look at the “exterior envelope and structure” of 24 Sussex for its owners, the National Capital Commission. Released through access to information, the report has repair cost estimates removed to avoid tipping off future bidders.

Overall, “the exterior walls are considered to be in poor to fair condition.”

Left untreated, it says, the accelerating deterioration of the prime minister’s official residence will cause “an eventual loss of the structural integrity of the wall(s).”

• Let’s start with those stone blocks. Most of the 1867 stones were quarried locally, a material called Gloucester limestone. But the report notes: “Gloucester limestone is known to be a poor quality building stone, and should not be used” in future work. (The material is used today for crushed stone.)

“A large quantity of the Gloucester limestone has become severely disaggregated with multi-directional cracking through the full body of the stone…

“The deterioration poses a health and safety threat to site occupants: fragments of the stones could easily dislodge and fall to the ground.”

The risk is greatest in spring thaw, as with potholes in roads, and is greatest on the home’s south and west sides “where site occupants can easily get close to the building walls.”

The walls aren’t likely to collapse, the report says, but the stones are so bad that if someone removes them to rebuild the wall, they are likely to “disintegrate.”

• Workmanship is a problem, too. The house was built in 1867, renovated and extended in 1909 and again in 1950.

“The workmanship of the 1950s and the earlier masonry work is not considered to be of particularly high quality,” the report says. For instance, they used mortar of varying qualities, “in some cases achieving little or no bond to the stone.”

And the 1950s workers left, in some cases, actual gaps between the stone and the mortar intended to hold it in place.

“The relatively poor workmanship of the 1950s masonry and mortar work will result in a reduced lifespan for the masonry walls.”

•”Significant cracking is evident at six locations on the building’s walls,” and the overall wall condition “varies from very poor to good.”

There is also bulging of the masonry on all four sides of the house.

Eight stone window lintels (the single stone pieces across the tops of windows) have fractured and seven stone sills have fractured.

• A lot of the masonry has crumbled away.

“Numerous open joints (between stones) were observed where all mortar has deteriorated and emptied: a mason’s slick could typically be inserted +/- 200 mm (millimetres) deep into the opening with no resistance.”

“The mortar joints at grade (ground level) are in very poor condition and are generally disintegrated and friable,” meaning they crumble when someone rubs or squeezes the material.

Even worse is the mortar below ground level, found to be “soft, easily removed by hand tools and reverting to sand.”

• Water is getting in and doing bad things, some of it caused by falling-apart gutters and downspouts that don’t drain away water. Moisture has corroded the steel ties that join the limestone to the cinder block wall behind it. And rusting steel lintels over windows are expanding, pushing against and cracking the masonry around windows.

For instance, steel lintels on the north side of the 1950s addition are corroded and this jacks up the wall above them. In addition, the limestone may no long be held in place because the steel ties behind it are corroded. No one can tell without opening up the wall.

If so, “this area of masonry may easily become unstable,” the report warns. It calls for more investigation.

And then there’s the earthquake risk. On paper it shouldn’t be too bad, the engineers say — but the reality is that since the outer limestone walls are no longer well connected to the supporting walls behind them they “may be vulnerable to out-of-plane collapse in an earthquake.”

(Out of plane means the sideways shaking of an earthquake makes a masonry wall bend sideways, and then collapse.)

• There’s some good news. The roof, rebuilt in 1998, is in good shape. So are the six-metre-tall chimneys.

But even with these, there’s a catch. Tall brick chimneys can snap off in earthquakes, and if the NCC decides to quake-proof 24 Sussex, it will have to dismantle the chimneys and rebuild them.

Jim Cowie, a Halifax engineer with experience in historic masonry buildings, says the damage can be fixed but it will be expensive.

He called the building “sadly neglected.”

“It can be fixed. It’s just a matter of putting dollars to it. Plus it’s heritage, and once it becomes heritage there are things you just can’t do,” which includes demolishing and rebuilding from scratch, he said. “No way would they tear this down.”

And he said the costs will rise if heritage rules require the new limestone, mortar and windows to have the same look as the originals.

He noted that the Public Works study still hasn’t examined the inner part of the walls behind the limestone, so there are still unknowns about how much needs to be fixed.

There is still no formal proposal to repair 24 Sussex.

A few weeks ago, the NCC’s CEO, Mark Kristmanson, told this newspaper: “We continue to work with the government on 24 Sussex Drive. I can’t really say very much about it except that I’m encouraged by some of the work our teams have been doing to arrive possible solutions to move the project forward, so we are looking forward to having an opportunity to share those.”

RBC
Nov 23, 2007

IM STILL SPENDING MONEY FROM 1888
i dont see what the big deal is, the white house has been rebuilt like 4 times

HackensackBackpack
Aug 20, 2007

Who needs a house out in Hackensack? Is that all you get for your money?
The big deal is :argh: JUSTIN TRUDEAU :argh:

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

RBC posted:

i dont see what the big deal is, the white house has been rebuilt like 4 times

Renovating Sussex Drive is an unacceptable waste of taxpayer money, every dollar spent on that is a dollar not being spent bailing out oil companies.

Wirth1000
May 12, 2010

#essereFerrari

vyelkin posted:

Renovating Sussex Drive is an unacceptable waste of taxpayer money, every dollar spent on that is a dollar not being spent bailing out oil companies.

Now do this post except pretend Scheer is PM.

Reince Penis
Nov 15, 2007

by R. Guyovich

RBC posted:

i dont see what the big deal is, the white house has been rebuilt like 4 times

I think you'll actually find 24 Sussex is part of our glourious and noble national heritage. WHY DO YOU HATE CANADA YOU COMMUNIST

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?
Tear down 24 Sussex Drive and turn it into social housing, make the PM and his family live in Parliament in a closet

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011
Make Trudeau live inside the Trans Mountain pipeline

Le Saboteur
Dec 5, 2007

I hear you wish to ball, adventurer..
Trade War, hell yeah. https://twitter.com/CBCNews/status/1002185784412254210

HookShot
Dec 26, 2005
France has been openly racist for a lot longer than you idiots have been paying attention; Le Pen (a different one, the dad) first came in second in the Presidential elections in 2002.

flakeloaf
Feb 26, 2003

Still better than android clock

He'll flip-flop in an 11th hour deal.

Kraftwerk
Aug 13, 2011
i do not have 10,000 bircoins, please stop asking

What I find amusing about Quebec is that their identity as a people subjugated by the British laid down a narrative that they’re an oppressed people struggling to preserve their language and culture.

This victimhood gives them a free pass to be total racists since it provides a fallback for them that they’re actually the victims here.

Israel uses the same tactic.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
The tory campaigners in my neighourhood seem to be pretty tone deaf and under the impression that we're in a two party system. Every volunteer and pamphlet keeps emphasizing KATHLEEN WYNNE'S LIBERALS!!! and how bad they are. I know dudes, I wasn't intending to vote for them, just give me a single good reason to vote for you. Feels like they hired Democratic consultants from the states.

vyelkin
Jan 2, 2011

HookShot posted:

France has been openly racist for a lot longer than you idiots have been paying attention; Le Pen (a different one, the dad) first came in second in the Presidential elections in 2002.

On the one hand, yes.

On the other hand, in 2017 Le Pen got twice as many votes (both numerically and proportionally) as her dad did in 2002.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.

flakeloaf posted:

He'll flip-flop in an 11th hour deal.

IDK, it'd be pretty hilarious if President Goodbrains decides to club his largest trading partner with tariffs because we're not acquiescing to their demands fast enough. Maybe he can completely kill NAFTA while he's at it.

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?

vyelkin posted:

Make Trudeau live inside the Trans Mountain pipeline

:yeah:

enki42
Jun 11, 2001
#ATMLIVESMATTER

Put this Nazi-lover on ignore immediately!

Kraftwerk posted:

What I find amusing about Quebec is that their identity as a people subjugated by the British laid down a narrative that they’re an oppressed people struggling to preserve their language and culture.

This victimhood gives them a free pass to be total racists since it provides a fallback for them that they’re actually the victims here.

Israel uses the same tactic.

no you see they're "aggressively secular" and that's why they hate muslims

please ignore the giant crosses everywhere

Lassitude
Oct 21, 2003

EU and Mexico were ready to go with tariffs. We're still debating what to do. That doesn't seem to be a good sign.

EngineerJoe
Aug 8, 2004
-=whore=-



Lassitude posted:

EU and Mexico were ready to go with tariffs. We're still debating what to do. That doesn't seem to be a good sign.

Gotta hope Justin is able to sweet talk Trump again.

DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?
What are we going to tariff? lol

Stretch Marx
Apr 29, 2008

I'm ok with this.

DariusLikewise posted:

What are we going to tariff? lol

Oranges maybe?

Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007

"Tiny Trains"

DariusLikewise posted:

What are we going to tariff? lol

Pipelines?

MA-Horus
Dec 3, 2006

I'm sorry, I can't hear you over the sound of how awesome I am.

White Nationalism.

Postess with the Mostest
Apr 4, 2007

Arabian nights
'neath Arabian moons
A fool off his guard
could fall and fall hard
out there on the dunes
Rules of Life

Dukemont
Aug 17, 2005
chocolate microscopes
Ban cross-border shopping and obliterate Buffalo

flakeloaf
Feb 26, 2003

Still better than android clock

Dukemont posted:

Ban cross-border shopping and obliterate Buffalo

I'm not seeing the disincentive for Trump here.

RealityWarCriminal
Aug 10, 2016

:o:

DariusLikewise posted:

What are we going to tariff? lol

Entertainment

Powershift
Nov 23, 2009


Reality Loser posted:

Entertainment

But that would hurt Robellus, as they're the ones licensing all that poo poo.



Yeah, do it, 1000% tariffs today.

Postess with the Mostest
Apr 4, 2007

Arabian nights
'neath Arabian moons
A fool off his guard
could fall and fall hard
out there on the dunes
https://twitter.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1002197071972192256?s=19

Don Pigeon
Oct 29, 2005

Great pigeons are not born great. They grow great by eating lots of bread crumbs.

We're doomed as a society. Like, things are going to poo poo and all the political parties can talk about is freakin poppies.

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DariusLikewise
Oct 4, 2008

You wore that on Halloween?
Back in my day "Radical" meant cool, which means all these NDP candidates are pretty cool in my book, thanks to the OPC party for clearing that up

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