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Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!
Wait no yeah why Manchuria

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vanity slug
Jul 20, 2010

without the communist party there would be no new china, hth

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Pirate Radar posted:

Wait no yeah why Manchuria

I might be massively overestimating everything in the region but it's a fairly well built up industrial area, a nationalist smash-and-grab rebellion could easily try to form a state, and they'd most likely have outside support in doing so.

GlassEye-Boy
Jul 12, 2001

Grapplejack posted:

Were something to happen that would facilitate the end of the regime that did not also end in nuclear war there's a really good chance that Xinjiang, Manchuria, and Tibet all make moves to form their own countries while China is imploding.


literally no one but you said this.

I’m sure the millions of Chinese living in Xinjiang and Tibet would totally agree to form a independent country.

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

Nationalism is dumb and counterrevolutionary. You can oppose the repression of the Uyghurs, Tibetans and other minorities without pining for said oppression to be transferred to national bourgeoisie who happen to share their language and ethnicity.

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

GlassEye-Boy posted:

I’m sure the millions of Chinese living in Xinjiang and Tibet would totally agree to form a independent country.

Tibet is still overwhelmingly populated by Tibetans (around 90%). Xinjiang does have a large Han population, but they are mostly concentrated in the northern urban areas. The southern part of Xinjiang is mostly made up of Uyghurs, so I can imagine them breaking away at their first opportunity.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Tibet also technically has an exiled ruler in the Dalai Lama; if China collapses it would be silly to imagine he wouldn't come back in.

GlassEye-Boy
Jul 12, 2001

Snipee posted:

Tibet is still overwhelmingly populated by Tibetans (around 90%). Xinjiang does have a large Han population, but they are mostly concentrated in the northern urban areas. The southern part of Xinjiang is mostly made up of Uyghurs, so I can imagine them breaking away at their first opportunity.

So the Chinese living in those areas don’t get a say then? Or are you proposing that those regions be split further depending on the majority population.

Also once China stabilizes likely the first thing they’ll do is roll in the military.

I Love Annie May
Oct 10, 2012

GlassEye-Boy posted:

I’m sure the millions of Chinese living in Xinjiang and Tibet would totally agree to form a independent country.

Those millions of Chinese already have their own indipendent country, and it's called the People's Republic of China.

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

Granted, you could use the same arguments to defend Israeli settlers.

I Love Annie May
Oct 10, 2012
Except those settlers are illegally occupying Palestinian land? Palestine isn't a fictional country, its borders are well defined and it's recognized by the majority of world nations. In an hypotetical future where both Xinjiang and Tibet become indipendent, Han residents will be declared illegal squatters.

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

GlassEye-Boy posted:

So the Chinese living in those areas don’t get a say then? Or are you proposing that those regions be split further depending on the majority population.

Also once China stabilizes likely the first thing they’ll do is roll in the military.

Practically speaking, yeah, I think that Xinjiang should be split in half if the Uyghurs are getting their own state.

Anyways, as a Han Chinese person who spent years in the PRC and who still have family in the PRC, I would have little sympathy for any Han Chinese settlers suddenly interested in equal political rights for minorities in a newly independent Tibet or East Turkestan. It would be obscene and offensive hypocrisy.

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

Mantis42 posted:

Granted, you could use the same arguments to defend Israeli settlers.

This comparison is especially appropriate because much like the colonists in the Israeli settlements, many of the Han settlers are only in Xinjiang because the government subsidizes their existence by providing them with security and ample economic opportunities. Even if the Han were granted equal rights in a newly independent Tibet or East Turkestan, many of them would willingly leave. Few Jews would want to live in an independent Palestine, and I imagine that few Han would want to live in an independent Tibet/East Turkestan if they weren’t being incentivized to do so.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong
Remember that there's a ton of low hanging fruit when it comes to pollution. When you have been operating with near zero rates of controlling pollution, small changes can cut a ton of visible issues within a few years.

It does not say fix carbon emission issues, but it will sure drop you from the sun is blotted by smog everyday conditions to only getting horrible smog in certain wind patterns. You can see similar quick effects in the US after the EPA was started and started enforcing things, or London's programs to address deadly smogs by the program to tear out and replace all the home/business coal heat as fast as possible.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Grapplejack posted:

Tibet also technically has an exiled ruler in the Dalai Lama; if China collapses it would be silly to imagine he wouldn't come back in.

More likely that those nationalist leaders quietly disappear or "retire" from their activism if a western friendly China gets put in. Reminder that the RoC has the same territorial claims as the PRC

tino
Jun 4, 2018

by Smythe
Qing had to use all the Manchurians to help rule all over the country. Manchu was almost empty so Qing government filled it with Han people. This was basically opposite of what the Mongols did to their home land. As a result the Manchurians had no place to retreat to when they lost power.

tino fucked around with this message at 22:39 on Aug 25, 2018

Deep State of Mind
Jul 30, 2006

"It was a busy day. I do not remember it all. In the morning, I thought I had lost my wallet. Then we went swimming and either overthrew a government or started a pro-American radio station. I can't really remember."
Fun Shoe

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

Reminder that the RoC has the same territorial claims as the PRC

They claim substantially more, actually, including all of Mongolia and bits of Russia. They don't make any attempts to enforce any of those claims though and only maintain them because dropping them would be a declaration of independence.

Pirate Radar
Apr 18, 2008

You're not my Ruthie!
You're not my Debbie!
You're not my Sherry!

Bloodnose posted:

They claim substantially more, actually, including all of Mongolia and bits of Russia. They don't make any attempts to enforce any of those claims though and only maintain them because dropping them would be a declaration of independence.

The only iffy claim they actually do something about that I can think of is Taiping (Itu Aba), which was declared illegal by the same UN arbitration ruling that applied to the PRC’s more expansive activities. I mean, technically the ROC also claims the 9-dash line, but they don’t make noise about it like the mainland does.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Snipee posted:

This comparison is especially appropriate because much like the colonists in the Israeli settlements, many of the Han settlers are only in Xinjiang because the government subsidizes their existence by providing them with security and ample economic opportunities. Even if the Han were granted equal rights in a newly independent Tibet or East Turkestan, many of them would willingly leave. Few Jews would want to live in an independent Palestine, and I imagine that few Han would want to live in an independent Tibet/East Turkestan if they weren’t being incentivized to do so.

Russians in Kazakhstan is a better example I think. They were heavily concentrated in the steppe north of the country as opposed to the core Central Asian south. Kazakhstan was over 40% Russian in the 70s and is still 20% Russian as of 2016 per wikipedia. Promoting separatist nationalism in Turkic bits of the USSR was also a major obsession of the CIA and Western foreign policy

It’s also a fairly positive story from the Xinjiang perspective. There was no genocide of the Kazakhs even though there were actually more Russians than Kazakhs in the Kazakh SSR for a while, and ethnic relations post independence seem to have been pretty good. Most Russians left not because of ethnic tension but because Kazakhstan is economically underdeveloped

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 08:43 on Aug 26, 2018

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

icantfindaname posted:

Russians in Kazakhstan is a better example I think. They were heavily concentrated in the steppe north of the country as opposed to the core Central Asian south. Kazakhstan was over 40% Russian in the 70s and is still 20% Russian as of 2016 per wikipedia. Promoting separatist nationalism in Turkic bits of the USSR was also a major obsession of the CIA and Western foreign policy

It’s also a fairly positive story from the Xinjiang perspective. There was no genocide of the Kazakhs even though there were actually more Russians than Kazakhs in the Kazakh SSR for a while, and ethnic relations post independence seem to have been pretty good. Most Russians left not because of ethnic tension but because Kazakhstan is economically underdeveloped

I’m not sure that the Han will be similarly treated by the Uyghurs after all that they have gone through. That is a good comparison though because much like the Russians after the fall of the USSR, many of those Han Chinese in such a fall of the PRC would suddenly find themselves in a different country controlled by a state dominated by a different ethnic group.

Anyways, in other news, I just learned that Alibaba is designing AI to detect porn on the internet by converting audio into text and flagging suspicious sounds. Link: http://www.sixthtone.com/news/1002807/aural-sex-the-porn-catching-program-listening-for-online-lust

My favorite part of the story is bolded:

quote:

Introducing the Ali A.I. Voice Anti-Garbage Service, an innovation from tech giant Alibaba that uses voice-recognition technology to identify pornography.

The tool can detect pornographic content — which is illegal in China, if vaguely defined by law — spoken in numerous languages and dialects, including English, Japanese, Russian, Cantonese, Sichuanese, and Hunanese. The salacious sounds have nowhere to hide, as audio content can be monitored both on local files and during real-time playback.

The testing phase for the new service began on Aug. 20, and it is slated to be launched in September, according to state-run newspaper Science and Technology Daily. The program will be the latest addition to Alibaba’s arsenal of porn-busting technologies used to identify sexual — or “yellow,” to use the Chinese term — content in videos, images, and text.

An unnamed representative from Alibaba’s security department told Science and Technology Daily that the program works by first converting audio into text, which it then checks against a database of tens of thousands of disallowed terms. Beyond key words and phrases, the program also scans for sounds that may be suspect. Just like a child, the source said, the technology needs to be “trained” to differentiate sounds — for example, by processing volumes of Cantonese TV dramas.

...

The thankless job of sifting through thousands of images for pornographic content — or the bulk of it at least — falls to “porn identifiers,” a post held mostly by women who are married, in accordance with the job’s requirements. But if their task falls to machines, as some media fear, they may find themselves squeezed out of a job.

tino
Jun 4, 2018

by Smythe
The well being of the Han people in Xinjiang is only guaranteed by the prosperity of China. If China falls into the inevitable civic war cycle again, you can be sure Xinjiang will be first region to go kaboom. Therefore the spice in the new silk road must flow.

Tibet is okay though. The monks are only good at burning themselves and make friend with Richard Gere. Hollywood actors and the Indians have way lower fighting stat than the warriors from Saudi and Turkey.

By the way, I found out Tibetan Buddhism has pretty fractional politics, schools with different colored hats don't like each other.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy
https://grayzoneproject.com/2018/08/23/un-did-not-report-china-internment-camps-uighur-muslims/

quote:

In addition to this irresponsible misreporting, Reuters and other Western outlets have attempted to fill in the gaps left by McDougall, referring to reports made by so-called “activist group” the Network of Chinese Human Rights Defenders (CHRD). Conveniently left out of the story is that this organization is headquartered in Washington, DC.

Publicly available 990 IRS filing forms reviewed by the Grayzone show that the organization is substantially funded by government grants. In fact, in 2015 virtually all of the organization’s revenue came from government grants.


Interesting how quickly the camp narrative falls apart when you follow the money:

quote:

The near-total reliance on Washington-linked sources is characteristic of Western reporting on Uighurs Muslims in China, and the country in general, which regularly features sensational headlines and allegations. In addition to CHRD and RFA, it is common for reports to cite the World Uighur Congress, an organization funded by the NED. At a recent NED event, Grayzone editor Max Blumenthal interviewed World Uighur Congress chairman Omer Kanat, who took credit for furnishing many of the claims of internment camps to Western media.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

So did Kanat cackle evilly when he was detailing his master plan to Blumenthal or what

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Grapplejack posted:

So did Kanat cackle evilly when he was detailing his master plan to Blumenthal or what

Wouldn't you?

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

https://grayzoneproject.com/2018/08/23/un-did-not-report-china-internment-camps-uighur-muslims/


Interesting how quickly the camp narrative falls apart when you follow the money:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...m=.e580acb06409

The evidence in this article seems compelling. Are the Uighurs who claim to have been in these camps all lying? What about the government procurement and construction bids?

For that matter, what about the Chinese government's own admission that "those deceived by religious extremism... shall be assisted by resettlement and re-education?"

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Silver2195 posted:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...m=.e580acb06409

The evidence in this article seems compelling. Are the Uighurs who claim to have been in these camps all lying? What about the government procurement and construction bids?

For that matter, what about the Chinese government's own admission that "those deceived by religious extremism... shall be assisted by resettlement and re-education?"

The native informants america relies on can be divided into two groups :

1) World Uighur Congress and other AstroTurf groups headquartered in DC that’s basically an American regime change front

2) actual people who were detained for terrorism and terror related charges

The former is just an outlet of the state department and the latter are separatists operating in a nation state where separatism is illegal. America loves backing islamists despite the inevitable blowback because American foreign policy is a crude cudgel.

I find it amazing that the same tricks (including using native informers of dubious integrity) got this country into Iraq under false pretenses are now being used again and people are just going along with it willingly.

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

The native informants america relies on can be divided into two groups :

1) World Uighur Congress and other AstroTurf groups headquartered in DC that’s basically an American regime change front

2) actual people who were detained for terrorism and terror related charges

The former is just an outlet of the state department and the latter are separatists operating in a nation state where separatism is illegal. America loves backing islamists despite the inevitable blowback because American foreign policy is a crude cudgel.

I find it amazing that the same tricks (including using native informers of dubious integrity) got this country into Iraq under false pretenses are now being used again and people are just going along with it willingly.

What about the bids for building enormous secret prison camps? Are those all for actual terrorists (and if so, how many Uighurs do you think are actually engaged in terrorism)? Or are they re-education camps (which are somehow not really prison camps)?

Also, in general, journalistic reports of systematic human rights abuses, especially in peacetime, are true. False atrocity propoganda tends to focus on sensational acts of direct violence (e.g., WWI German soldiers eating babies, Saddam Hussein's wood chipper).

Silver2195 fucked around with this message at 18:43 on Aug 27, 2018

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010
Even if the claims are all lies, the PR disaster is entirely the CCP’s fault. Their lack of transparency allows others to control the narrative. I don’t know if there truly is a cumulative or continuous tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, one million, or over one million Uyghurs that are being held in these camps. And since the Chinese government doesn’t allow any independent media or third party to come in and start investigating the accuracy of those reports, we have no way to deny or confirm the validity of those claims.

My thinking is that if the real numbers are at all significantly less than one million people, then the CCP should have just came out and told the truth. Their blanket denials that there are no such mass incarceration or re-education camps followed by ominous admissions that some unspecified number of convicted Uyghurs are being held in “vocational educational and employment training centers with a view to assisting in their rehabilitation” simply allow their opponents to believe the absolute worst things about their regime. The Chinese government can’t have it both ways. They can’t both refuse to give access to information to foreign media and credibly insist that the foreign media believe them over the other sources that are willing to supply information . The CCP have been so used to state media always doing what they want that they seem ridiculously unprepared to handle foreign press.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy
Information is so tightly controlled in the West by corporate media that it serves no benefit to try and change the narrative when everything you do is going to get spun negatively. To paraphrase Malcolm X, American papers get you riled up about the oppressed and loving the oppressors.

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007


They have tried to spin it multiple times as being standard vocational training centers for minor criminals.

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

Information is so tightly controlled in the West by corporate media that it serves no benefit to try and change the narrative when everything you do is going to get spun negatively. To paraphrase Malcolm X, American papers get you riled up about the oppressed and loving the oppressors.

:ironicat:

Who do you think the oppressors and oppressed are in this situation, exactly?

Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

Silver2195 posted:

:ironicat:

Who do you think the oppressors and oppressed are in this situation, exactly?

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Silver2195 posted:

:ironicat:

Who do you think the oppressors and oppressed are in this situation, exactly?

also citing Malcolm X in this way during a discussion about a Muslim minority being deprived of self-determination is

uh

a thing

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Silver2195 posted:

:ironicat:

Who do you think the oppressors and oppressed are in this situation, exactly?

Certainly China should just let US backed Islamic terrorists roam freely because woke liberals in the west might be upset

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

You're really telling me that the CIA, which had a ton of operatives and moles die because they had them phone home to the CIA website, are also running a shadowy cabal of uyghir """terrorists""" in order to hurt Chinese control over Xinjiang?

And this is also all being masterminded by a group of Uyghurs who has been making this story up to sell to the press?

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

Pick a loving conspiracy and stick to it pevin, stop waffling.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Grapplejack posted:

You're really telling me that the CIA, which had a ton of operatives and moles die because they had them phone home to the CIA website, are also running a shadowy cabal of uyghir """terrorists""" in order to hurt Chinese control over Xinjiang?

And this is also all being masterminded by a group of Uyghurs who has been making this story up to sell to the press?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CIA_Tibetan_program

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

I don't think it's inherently absurd that some part of the US government could be funding Uighur dissidents, even violent ones. But you haven't provided any actual evidence for it. Moreover, it is absurd to suggest that such a program would justify imprisoning hundreds of thousands of people in secret camps without due process.

CAPS LOCK BROKEN
Feb 1, 2006

by Fluffdaddy

Silver2195 posted:

I don't think it's inherently absurd that some part of the US government could be funding Uighur dissidents, even violent ones. But you haven't provided any actual evidence for it. Moreover, it is absurd to suggest that such a program would justify imprisoning hundreds of thousands of people in secret camps without due process.

Is it hundreds of thousands? Last year Reuters was claiming only 100k, now it’s apparently millions?

This is all part of the standard American liberal shuffle, where ghoulish interventions of the past are acknowledged as they become declassified as “mistakes” while adamantly denying that present day operations are taking place. Maybe in 20 years when the Turkestan program becomes declassified people will shake their heads and admit that it was wrong while defending the Bolivian program with “where’s the evidence?”

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Snipee
Mar 27, 2010

CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:

Certainly China should just let US backed Islamic terrorists roam freely because woke liberals in the west might be upset

I’m not a liberal. I just don’t agree that leftism means to blindly support all practices of the regimes that happen to occasionally challenge Western interests.

Silver2195 posted:

I don't think it's inherently absurd that some part of the US government could be funding Uighur dissidents, even violent ones. But you haven't provided any actual evidence for it. Moreover, it is absurd to suggest that such a program would justify imprisoning hundreds of thousands of people in secret camps without due process.

Not to mention the ridiculousness of any implications that any hypothetical CIA support would be sufficient or even necessary to cause Uyghur resistance against the CCP’s policies. We are talking about an armed racist occupying force that literally forces the local population to take Communist Party agents into their homes on top of numerous policies suppressing the region’s religious and cultural identities. I’m pretty sure that the CCP’s problem is homegrown.

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