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89 posted:You know, they say that all TE's are created equal after the Top 5 TEs, but you look at Jordan Reed and Delanie Walker and you can see that statement is not true. See, normally if you plug in Delanie Walker, you have a 50/50 chance of winning. But, Jordan Reed is a genetic freak, and he's not normal. So, Walker has 25% AT BEST, at beat Reed. Then, you add Vernon Davis into the mix, Delanie's chances of scoring more drastic go down. Add both of Vernon & Reed's points together and that's a Top 10 TE. Alex Smith has the highest QB career percentage thrown to TEs. See, in fantasy in 2018, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winning with just any TE, but Reed & Vernon got a 66 and 2/3 chance of winning your week, because Alex Smith KNOWS Redskins WRs can't catch and he's not even gonna try! my head hurts just reading your silly numbers to justify taking an injury riddled Reed and also having to spend a bench spot on his now nearly 35 year old backup instead of just taking Walker and grabbing a high value lotto ticket instead. VietCampo fucked around with this message at 20:24 on Aug 31, 2018 |
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Aug 31, 2018 20:19
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89 posted:You know, they say that all TE's are created equal after the Top 5 TEs, but you look at Jordan Reed and Delanie Walker and you can see that statement is not true. See, normally if you plug in Delanie Walker, you have a 50/50 chance of winning. But, Jordan Reed is a genetic freak, and he's not normal. So, Walker has 25% AT BEST, at beat Reed. Then, you add Vernon Davis into the mix, Delanie's chances of scoring more drastic go down. Add both of Vernon & Reed's points together and that's a Top 10 TE. Alex Smith has the highest QB career percentage thrown to TEs. See, in fantasy in 2018, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winning with just any TE, but Reed & Vernon got a 66 and 2/3 chance of winning your week, because Alex Smith KNOWS Redskins WRs can't catch and he's not even gonna try! I'm sorry. Where did you include Walker playing 16 games and Reed playing 2 and being replaced by old man Davis? Reed had one good game in 2017 while Walker had 7. In 2016 Reed had 4 good fantasy games while Walker had 5. Adding in the 2 good games VD had in 2017 and the 3 good games he had in 2016 means Walker has still out played them. 12 relevant fantasy games to 10. Walker all day with his high floor especially with new coaching staff. You can't say Washington's new QB is going to boost Reed (for 6 quarters)/VD but fail to mention the Titan's new offense.
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Aug 31, 2018 20:21
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Vargo posted:Well, now I'm ashamed of my terrible league and afraid to ask advice but here goes, Don't be ashamed lol. Having people (especially a minority percentage vetoing trades just isn't a good setting). Who are the rest of your RB's, and technically isn't Zeke on the WW? Duke & Lewis are above average starters in a .5 ppr league. I went 0rb last night in a .5ppr 10 team (not by choice) and this is how mine ended up. 1.7 Antonio Brown, PIT 2.4 Julio Jones, ATL 3.7 Rob Gronkowski, NE 4.4 Jerick McKinnon, SF 5.7 Adam Thielen, MIN 6.4 Kerryon Johnson, DET 7.7 Marvin Jones, DET 8.4 Kirk Cousins, MIN 9.7 Rex Burkhead, NE 10.4 Chris Carson, SEA 11.7 Sony Michel, NE 12.4 Rashaad Penny, SEA 13.7 Duke Johnson, CLE 14.4 Los Angeles Chargers, LAC 15.7 Mason Crosby, GB 15 of the top 20 picks (not including mine) were going RB so I went other way. Freaking Mixon & Collins went in the 2nd round of this 10 team draft lol.
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Aug 31, 2018 20:26
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89 posted:You know, they say that all TE's are created equal after the Top 5 TEs, but you look at Jordan Reed and Delanie Walker and you can see that statement is not true. See, normally if you plug in Delanie Walker, you have a 50/50 chance of winning. But, Jordan Reed is a genetic freak, and he's not normal. So, Walker has 25% AT BEST, at beat Reed. Then, you add Vernon Davis into the mix, Delanie's chances of scoring more drastic go down. Add both of Vernon & Reed's points together and that's a Top 10 TE. Alex Smith has the highest QB career percentage thrown to TEs. See, in fantasy in 2018, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winning with just any TE, but Reed & Vernon got a 66 and 2/3 chance of winning your week, because Alex Smith KNOWS Redskins WRs can't catch and he's not even gonna try! 
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Aug 31, 2018 21:03
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kiimo posted:So this is fun. I tried to trick my other owners into spending high on Mahomes in our dynasty league initial draft. It's an auction. It's the most important draft we will ever have because it establishes our team and everything moving forward is rookies and free agents. $50 for Mahomes is still a huge overpay, but if you're happy with it then  .
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Aug 31, 2018 21:07
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Oh I'm not happy and I'm embarrassed. But my trick that I attempted ends up with Mahomes on another team and I ended up having a pretty good draft anyway so at least some of the damage is mitigated.
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Aug 31, 2018 21:18
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You mentioned mahomes is $50 but I must have missed where you mentioned what the total cap space or bid dollars was. $200?VietCampo posted:my head hurts just reading your silly numbers to justify taking an injury riddled Reed and also having to spend a bench spot on his now nearly 35 year old backup instead of just taking Walker and grabbing a high value lotto ticket instead. Alfalfa posted:<replied as though that post was serious> Guyssss, he ended that post by saying there was a 141 and 2/3% chance of winning your league, and you still took it seriously? 
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Aug 31, 2018 21:21
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^ Jordan Reed is an auto-trigger for many of us89 posted:You know, they say that all TE's are created equal after the Top 5 TEs, but you look at Jordan Reed and Delanie Walker and you can see that statement is not true. See, normally if you plug in Delanie Walker, you have a 50/50 chance of winning. But, Jordan Reed is a genetic freak, and he's not normal. So, Walker has 25% AT BEST, at beat Reed. Then, you add Vernon Davis into the mix, Delanie's chances of scoring more drastic go down. Add both of Vernon & Reed's points together and that's a Top 10 TE. Alex Smith has the highest QB career percentage thrown to TEs. See, in fantasy in 2018, you got a 33 1/3 chance of winning with just any TE, but Reed & Vernon got a 66 and 2/3 chance of winning your week, because Alex Smith KNOWS Redskins WRs can't catch and he's not even gonna try! If you draft Jordan Reed, that’s cool but don’t set yourself up for disappointment by not also picking up a Burton, Kittle or Njoku. Outside of Gronkelce, the chance of drafting even a top 10 TE is not good versus what you can pick up on waivers. Suave Fedora fucked around with this message at 21:39 on Aug 31, 2018 |
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Aug 31, 2018 21:33
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Leperflesh posted:Guyssss, he ended that post by saying there was a 141 and 2/3% chance of winning your league, and you still took it seriously? It was 89 talking so jokes on you... He was serious.
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Aug 31, 2018 21:35
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Suave Fedora posted:If you draft Jordan Reed, that’s cool but don’t set yourself up for disappointment by not also picking up a Burton, Kittle or Njoku. Gronkelcertz you mean
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Aug 31, 2018 21:36
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Alfalfa posted:Gronkelcertz you mean He wasn’t mentioned specifically in the podcast I did a terrible job of paraphrasing off of but don’t begrudge taking him. Jimmy Graham is enticing. Olsen I don’t expect good things. Rudolph less.
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Aug 31, 2018 21:41
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RIP Joe Williams & fantasy football's summer 2017 mass delusion
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Aug 31, 2018 21:52
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Spoeank posted:RIP Joe Williams & fantasy football's summer 2017 mass delusion Glad to see AlfMo is a clear starter now.
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Aug 31, 2018 21:54
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Does anyone have any opinion on Chris Warren III (who?). He was my last pick as a super sleeper. Should i drop him in favor of Alfred Morris?
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Aug 31, 2018 21:55
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TommyGun85 posted:Does anyone have any opinion on Chris Warren III (who?). He was my last pick as a super sleeper. Should i drop him in favor of Alfred Morris? In redraft yes you should drop him for Alf. In dynasty I’m grabbing as many shares of him as possible for cheap.
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Aug 31, 2018 22:10
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Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE?
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Aug 31, 2018 22:16
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RCarr posted:Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE? He’s going to be a top 5 TE if healthy. That’s pretty much common sense especially with Norv calling plays.
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Aug 31, 2018 22:31
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RCarr posted:Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE? Well I'm not a fan per say buuuuuttt....he's healthy.... ....he's also a year older.... ....but the Panthers WR corps still sucks....
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Aug 31, 2018 22:36
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I had my main draft tonight. It's a weird setup (which I posted about before): 2QB, 3RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1K, 1DEF, 1 Flex. 8 team league, I drafted 6th overall. QBs: Brees, Luck (I know I drafted him before...) RBs: McKinnon, Hyde, Henry, Carson, Lewis, Barber, Bernard WRs: Brown, Thielen, Beckham, Agholor, Crabtree, Crowder, Ginn TE: Ertz Kicker: empty Def: Broncos Obviously I am stacked at WR. I got the best out of the whole league, not bad at all. AB fell to me at 1.06, from there I went fairly WR heavy. I'm already getting some trade offers for RBs which is great. I'm not happy at RB though. Nobody strikes me with much confidence. Hyde is probably a starter but beyond that I'm stumped. If I could get say, Thielen + (something) for an obvious RB#1 somewhere would anyone take it?
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Aug 31, 2018 22:44
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anyone wanna draft at 8 pm central tonight? looking to fill a .5 PPR league. https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/f1/1348540/invitation
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Aug 31, 2018 22:58
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RCarr posted:Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE? He's not gronk. But nobody should worry too much about tight ends anyway, and he's fine. He's also definitely healthy (he was healthy by the playoffs last year, check his stats for that game) and I doubt cam newton suddenly hates his guts. The only question is whether you overdrafted him; he's a fine and good TE to own. Disclaimer: I have him on my dynasty team. I also have Eric Ebron, with a dynasty league you can afford to roster two TEs and so I am insulated from a re-injury.
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Aug 31, 2018 23:00
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ROCK THE HOUSE M.D. posted:anyone wanna draft at 8 pm central tonight? looking to fill a .5 PPR league. Redraft?
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Aug 31, 2018 23:00
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Spermy Smurf posted:Redraft? yeah
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Aug 31, 2018 23:01
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George Kittle or Eric Ebron in a .5 PPR league? I waited on a TE and everyone had drafted their backups by the time I picked so pickins were sliiiiiiiiiiiim
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Aug 31, 2018 23:20
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RCarr posted:Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE? His booth announcing stint was only kinda above average, so maybe he still has some drive left to actually play football!
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Aug 31, 2018 23:28
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RTM posted:George Kittle or Eric Ebron in a .5 PPR league? I waited on a TE and everyone had drafted their backups by the time I picked so pickins were sliiiiiiiiiiiim Kittle probably has more upside, if healthy. Which he often isn't.
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Aug 31, 2018 23:32
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RCarr posted:Is there a single Greg Olsen fan here that can make me feel better about owning him as my only TE? He’s fine for his value (6th rd), which is depressed from 1) his injury-riddled 2017, 2) addition of WR options for Cam and 3) CMC being the most thrown-to RB in the league. Norv Turner makes for productive TEs. Just keep expectations tempered.
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Sep 1, 2018 00:01
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RTM posted:George Kittle or Eric Ebron in a .5 PPR league? I waited on a TE and everyone had drafted their backups by the time I picked so pickins were sliiiiiiiiiiiim Kittle
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Sep 1, 2018 00:02
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ROCK THE HOUSE M.D. posted:anyone wanna draft at 8 pm central tonight? looking to fill a .5 PPR league. I joined, just one spot left, draft in ~45 mins
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Sep 1, 2018 01:11
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Varg posted:I joined, just one spot left, draft in ~45 mins Claimed it - my work league looks like a no-show so I'm excited to try this one. Never played PPR before so prepare to stomp all over me.
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Sep 1, 2018 01:17
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Alfalfa posted:It was 89 talking so jokes on you... I wanted to try the Reed/Davis experiment honestly. I've got Walker, Kittle, and Ertz in my other leagues.
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Sep 1, 2018 01:24
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Varg posted:I joined, just one spot left, draft in ~45 mins Tom Tucker posted:Claimed it - my work league looks like a no-show so I'm excited to try this one. Never played PPR before so prepare to stomp all over me. Nice, glad some goons got in.
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Sep 1, 2018 01:25
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Joshua Donna (PIT backup QB) is a pretty slippery fellow.
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Sep 1, 2018 02:14
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Hmmm... 12 team 1 ppr. I wonder 1. (3) David Johnson (Ari - RB) 2. (22) Rob Gronkowski (NE - TE) 3. (27) Davante Adams (GB - WR) 4. (46) Cam Newton (Car - QB) 5. (51) Josh Gordon (Cle - WR) 6. (70) Dion Lewis (Ten - RB) 7. (75) Marvin Jones Jr. (Det - WR) 8. (94) Rex Burkhead (NE - RB) 9. (99) Will Fuller V (Hou - WR) 10. (118) Tevin Coleman (Atl - RB) 11. (123) Jamaal Williams (GB - RB) 12. (142) Keelan Cole (Jax - WR) 13. (147) New England (NE - DEF) 14. (166) Dan Bailey (Dal - K)
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Sep 1, 2018 02:46
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12 team .5 PPR, had the 9th pick. 
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Sep 1, 2018 03:14
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Fast Luck posted:Hmmm... 12 team 1 ppr. I wonder My word. A fine team, although I personally would’ve waited longer on QB to get an RB2 with less of a potential timeshare than Dion Lewis. I don’t doubt his ability or usage, just the fact they he is not quite as durable and has to compete with a power back for snaps.
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Sep 1, 2018 04:03
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Fast Luck posted:Hmmm... 12 team 1 ppr. I wonder Edit: May be biased, gambled on Gronk and Gordon in my main league. gloom fucked around with this message at 04:41 on Sep 1, 2018 |
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Sep 1, 2018 04:39
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Fast Luck posted:Hmmm... 12 team 1 ppr. I wonder Good god man
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Sep 1, 2018 05:22
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ROCK THE HOUSE M.D. posted:12 team .5 PPR, had the 9th pick. Besides Brady, almost every single guy you drafted is high risk/high reward. Good luck! My team (10 man, 0.5 PPR, 1 QB/1 TE/2 WR/2 RB/2 Flex, IDP with a DE, DB, LB, 4 bench spots): Round 1, Pick 7 (7th Overall) Leonard Fournette Jax - RB Round 2, Pick 4 (14th Overall) Christian McCaffrey Car - RB Round 3, Pick 7 (27th Overall) Tyreek Hill KC - WR Round 4, Pick 4 (34th Overall) Alex Collins Bal - RB Round 5, Pick 7 (47th Overall) Lamar Miller Hou - RB Round 6, Pick 4 (54th Overall) Marvin Jones Jr. Det - WR Round 7, Pick 7 (67th Overall) Emmanuel Sanders Den - WR Round 8, Pick 4 (74th Overall) Delanie Walker Ten - TE Round 9, Pick 7 (87th Overall) Will Fuller V Hou - WR Round 10, Pick 4 (94th Overall) Reshad Jones Mia - S Round 11, Pick 7 (107th Overall) Matthew Stafford Det - QB Round 12, Pick 4 (114th Overall) Blake Martinez GB - LB Round 13, Pick 7 (127th Overall) Marlon Mack Ind - RB Round 14, Pick 4 (134th Overall) Cameron Jordan NO - DE Round 15, Pick 7 (147th Overall) Kelvin Benjamin Buf - WR Round 16, Pick 4 (154th Overall) Los Angeles LAC - DEF Round 17, Pick 7 (167th Overall) Chris Boswell Pit - K Cigar Aficionado fucked around with this message at 07:27 on Sep 1, 2018 |
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Sep 1, 2018 07:20
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Oh cool, I got roped into a league with some coworkers a couple years back but am pretty half-hearted about following ff so I wasn’t sure how my team was looking. My prep consisted of scanning this thread and stumbling on beersheets.Suave Fedora posted:My word. A fine team, although I personally would’ve waited longer on QB to get an RB2 with less of a potential timeshare than Dion Lewis. I don’t doubt his ability or usage, just the fact they he is not quite as durable and has to compete with a power back for snaps.
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Sep 1, 2018 13:25
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