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mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
america's having trouble trying to get everyone to cut iran off, india (at the least) seems to be trying to resist it:

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/India-Allows-State-Refiners-To-Import-Iranian-Oil-In-Iran-Owned-Tankers.html

https://thewire.in/diplomacy/indo-us-22-dialogue-issues-on-the-table

quote:

During the 2+2 meeting, India will “sensitise” senior US officials that it is a heavily import-reliant country, with 83% of its energy requirements bought from foreign sources. Oil from Iran accounts for about a quarter of India’s crude imports.

“What are the alternatives?… And what is the price that it will be available as it does have an impact on growth,” the sources stated. They also pointed out re-jigging Indian refineries to process non-Iranian crude would require considerable time and money.

India is currently in talks with other countries stuck in a similar situation, with discussions revolving around alternate payment mechanisms.

India’s position has been that while Iran shouldn’t develop nuclear weapons, it should have access to the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. “Our view remains that we support UNSC resolution 2231, but if there are any issues with the JCPOA, it is for the parties in the JCPOA to work it out,” sources stated.

The Iran nuclear deal, which is also known by its acronym – Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action – is supported by UN Security Council resolution 2231 adopted in July 2015.

Stating that the time to take a decision on reducing oil imports from Iran has “still not arrived”, the sources said, “At the end of the day, the decision has to be made independently by government of India… not under any compulsion from the US or Iran”.

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BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy


If the Assad curse holds true...

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
Assad is only 52?! huh.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:



If the Assad curse holds true...

trump is gonna be ousted by that dumbass official coup in the NYT

Karl Barks
Jan 21, 1981

All things considered it is amazing Assad hasn't been killed yet, or at least a single flashy attempt at killing him. Maybe he's secretly CIA... I'll have to explore this more

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

NPR is concern trolling hard about the humanitarian crisis in Idlib. how about the rebels just accept that they lost and leave the country?

coathat
May 21, 2007

Because nobody wants them

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

coathat posted:

Because nobody wants them

Syrians didn't want them either.

e: I suppose Turkey could try to do a resettlement program of all the salafi chuds in Idlib to Afrin - but that's not going to resolve the issue of what's gonna be done about Afrin when the government takes Idlib.

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

Willie Tomg posted:

its being propped up by Qatari liquidity as a countermove in the latest gulf state ratfucking and i suspect the oil monarchies running out of piss to squirt on each others' legs will be the cause of the next hellish spasm of violence

Propping up the Turkish economy to...own the Saudis?

Willie Tomg
Feb 2, 2006

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

Propping up the Turkish economy to...own the Saudis?

this specifically is more of a quid pro quo, but essentially yeah. turkish and saudi proxies have been fighting in syria--and of late, specfically in idlib--on the regular, and turkish food shipments have been making the attempted saudi blockade of qatar mostly just a pain in the rear end and not the famine-inducing catastrophe MBS would prefer in order to bring them to heel. and this is all a relatively recent development which was ultimately rooted in MBS having a shitfit that qatar refused to sever ties with iran. not even "support" iran, just... not completely cutting off diplomatic communication. so now instead of a unified gulf, theres this weird crabassed turkish-russo-persian-qatari ..... ~thing~ that showed no signs of existing even three years ago.


mohamed bin-salman could gently caress up a one man parade

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

Willie Tomg posted:

this specifically is more of a quid pro quo, but essentially yeah. turkish and saudi proxies have been fighting in syria--and of late, specfically in idlib--on the regular, and turkish food shipments have been making the attempted saudi blockade of qatar mostly just a pain in the rear end and not the famine-inducing catastrophe MBS would prefer in order to bring them to heel. and this is all a relatively recent development which was ultimately rooted in MBS having a shitfit that qatar refused to sever ties with iran. not even "support" iran, just... not completely cutting off diplomatic communication. so now instead of a unified gulf, theres this weird crabassed turkish-russo-persian-qatari ..... ~thing~ that showed no signs of existing even three years ago.


mohamed bin-salman could gently caress up a one man parade

:chaostrump: but mbs

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

Willie Tomg posted:

this specifically is more of a quid pro quo, but essentially yeah. turkish and saudi proxies have been fighting in syria--and of late, specfically in idlib--on the regular, and turkish food shipments have been making the attempted saudi blockade of qatar mostly just a pain in the rear end and not the famine-inducing catastrophe MBS would prefer in order to bring them to heel. and this is all a relatively recent development which was ultimately rooted in MBS having a shitfit that qatar refused to sever ties with iran. not even "support" iran, just... not completely cutting off diplomatic communication. so now instead of a unified gulf, theres this weird crabassed turkish-russo-persian-qatari ..... ~thing~ that showed no signs of existing even three years ago.

Probably not for much longer, once Idlib starts getting hot

Willie Tomg
Feb 2, 2006

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

Probably not for much longer, once Idlib starts getting hot

Why not? All of this is happening because MBS can't stop from pissing off people who were 90% on his side, and that's not going to change just because Russia is dropping bombs on proxies which've largely been cut loose by now.

The material circumstances which led sides to choose those sides at the onset of this nightmare catspaw war have totally changed, and you've gotta figure at some point in the last year someone's mentioned in a back channel that Idlib's gonna get ugly.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

Willie Tomg posted:

Why not? All of this is happening because MBS can't stop from pissing off people who were 90% on his side, and that's not going to change just because Russia is dropping bombs on proxies which've largely been cut loose by now.

The material circumstances which led sides to choose those sides at the onset of this nightmare catspaw war have totally changed, and you've gotta figure at some point in the last year someone's mentioned in a back channel that Idlib's gonna get ugly.

When powers start to feel their hegemony slipping away, they tend to make a lot of bad reactionary choices. Like blockading Qatar over trivial issues of narrative control, or throwing billions away on military adventurism in Syria and Yemen while their oil reserves are drying up.

Attacking Idlib isn't going to damage the relationship between Turkey and Russia because they already know that it's a lost cause. Erdogan is just stalling for time by trying to call a ceasefire when they know that all the odds are stacked against them.

Willie Tomg
Feb 2, 2006
There's also the angle where, if you want to suppress the Kurds in the north... who do you talk to about that, really? The Americans? Eh.

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1038259373708070914?s=19

I'm sure after this time Assad will stop.


Because the war will be over and he'll have won.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005


drat it's been awhile since i've seen one of these

rip jihadists

edit what happened to the ISIS spot next to the golan heights relying on israel to dissuade air assaults??

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos
https://twitter.com/KonstantinKlug/status/1038358219444379649

wtf i hate kurds now

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

i say swears online posted:

drat it's been awhile since i've seen one of these

rip jihadists

edit what happened to the ISIS spot next to the golan heights relying on israel to dissuade air assaults??

It was overrun. A territory like that could only exist so far as the other rebel groups in the area would rather deal with the state than fight ISIS for no real gain. The SAA rolled up all the pockets around Daraa so fast it barely had any commentary in Western media.

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

It was overrun. A territory like that could only exist so far as the other rebel groups in the area would rather deal with the state than fight ISIS for no real gain. The SAA rolled up all the pockets around Daraa so fast it barely had any commentary in Western media.

yeah i'll say. i gave up on the dnd thread a long time agobut even without that it really seems twitter has died down

Frond
Mar 12, 2018

Crowsbeak posted:

I like how the poo poo heads their defending actually engaged in a pretty horrendous campaign of terror against Christians.

You think Neocons actually give a poo poo about Middle Eastern Christians?

Plutonis
Mar 25, 2011

gradenko_2000 posted:

Assad is only 52?! huh.

He only took Syria over from his dad in 2000.

Algund Eenboom
May 4, 2014

(nsfw)twitter.com/Bosni94/status/1038385208402345985(nsfw)

https://twitter.com/Tim_Hayward_/status/1038436615935483905

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

They're gearing up to make Idlib an unqualified humanitarian disaster, where they can pretend all the mass rape and murder they hyped up for Aleppo is actually happening.

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

idk about that, for example, the new york times opinion page on Syria seems pretty balanced

https://twitter.com/NickKristof/status/1038609629226459136V
https://twitter.com/nytopinion/status/1038511646543671297
https://twitter.com/nytopinion/status/1036404471687983104

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

lmao

Dreylad
Jun 19, 2001
"activists of idlib" is an amazing phrase

Ace of Baes
Jul 7, 1977
https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/1038836491462565888?s=19

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

https://twitter.com/rhizzone_txt/status/1038892801851879424?s=21

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

loving owned

if they are so banned why are you on fire now

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
okay so Idlib is like the last hold-out of jihadis that Assad's forces are closing in on, and the Western media is trying desperately to continue painting them as moderate rebels because they're the last significant resistance to Assad, and also trying to paint the offensive into the town as a humanitarian disaster to ramp-up the interventionism airhorn again?

THS
Sep 15, 2017

lol imagine invading syria now after it already having been in a hellish war for 7 years

Tokamak
Dec 22, 2004


banned*

*not actually banned

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

gradenko_2000 posted:

okay so Idlib is like the last hold-out of jihadis that Assad's forces are closing in on, and the Western media is trying desperately to continue painting them as moderate rebels because they're the last significant resistance to Assad, and also trying to paint the offensive into the town as a humanitarian disaster to ramp-up the interventionism airhorn again?

Idlib is a province, not just a city. I don't think intervention from America or NATO is seriously in the cards. I think what they're trying to do is keep Syria on the table as a target for regime change by never letting anyone forget that Assad is a bad man who does bad things. And if it means giving their readers the false impression that Idlib rebels are liberal democrats then who cares? They're gonna die anyway.

It's not necessarily the last hold out for reactionary Islamist rebels in the country either, because there's still the issue of what to do about Turkey's occupation in northern Syria.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

(and can't post for 27 days!)

Tokamak posted:

banned*

*not actually banned

Use of White Phosphorus is only technically legal in the strict sense that it's a multi-use weapon, so you can claim you're not using it illegally if you're using it to illuminate an area or lay down a smokescreen. The fact that WP particles stick to your skin and can burn all the way down to the bone is purely incidental.

the great deceiver
Sep 23, 2003

why the feds worried bout me clockin on this corner/
when there's politicians out here gettin popped in arizona

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

It's not necessarily the last hold out for reactionary Islamist rebels in the country either, because there's still the issue of what to do about Turkey's occupation in northern Syria.

this is the real question right here and something i see affecting regional politics for the near future; idlib's fate was sealed a while back

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/1038951459201667073

quote:

WASHINGTON—President Bashar al-Assad of Syria has approved the use of chlorine gas in an offensive against the country’s last major rebel stronghold, U.S. officials said, raising the prospects for another retaliatory U.S. military strike as thousands try to escape what could be a decisive battle in the seven-year-old war.

In a recent discussion about Syria, people familiar with the exchange said, President Trump threatened to conduct a massive attack against Mr. Assad if he carries out a massacre in Idlib, the northwestern province that has become the last refuge for more than three million people and as many as 70,000 opposition fighters that the regime considers to be terrorists

I guess chlorine is now the "red line" that can provoke more US intervention. We're not even talking about sarin or other nerve gas anymore.

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

We'll bomb something, to be sure. It's a great wag the dog opportunity right before elections, if nothing else.

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Ace of Baes
Jul 7, 1977

Tokamak posted:

banned*

*not actually banned

they're banned for use against combatants, it's a war crime to drop white phosphorus on combatants

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