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Fritz Coldcockin posted:Oh, not for Trump. No, I meant for a Congressional or Senate candidate. Ted Cruz revealed to actually be a Gloomhaven Harrower Sympathy for Cruz rises: "Plague Bearers are adventurers like anyone else." edit: "cute swarm of bugs" does not give the google image search results I was hoping for
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Oct 23, 2018 17:17
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Big Mad Drongo posted:If Trump becomes one of the only modern presidents to not lose his party seats in Congress during his first midterms I am going to endlessly scream even louder than I've already been endlessly screaming. This era broke my brain. A friend of mine and I have had two different conversations within the last week where he was trying to reassure me that it wasn't as high as it was being reported but I just kept repeating "His job approval WENT UP. It WENT UP. UP. UP!! HIS POLLING NUMBERS WENT UP!!" Somehow him saying "...well 538 only says it's 43% aggregate" in response does not help in any way whatsoever. THEY WENT UP. So I feel you.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:18
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:That’s what I figured. So as long as the polling continues to hold serve for the Dems the odds will slowly increase as the days go by. i think with two weeks remaining, there's very little temporal uncertainty and basically all the uncertainty in the house is basically "what if there's a systematic polling error". democrats will win the house if it's d+9. if it's D+7/D+6, then we're in for a nailbiter. if it's D+5 or below, things could be bad. if it's higher than D+9 we're in for one hell of a fun night.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:22
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https://mobile.twitter.com/postlive/status/1054744910518054912
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Oct 23, 2018 17:23
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Beto winning would make my day if only because I'm going to see my entire extended Texan-Republican family for the first time in 3 years a week after the elections. Also, RE: blackface, how is it generally regarded if a white person dresses as a famous black character, but eschews blackface? I ask because my two white friends want to go as Jules and Vincent from Pulp Fiction, and Jules plans to use an afro wig/sideburns and is generally smart enough not to do Samuel L Jackson impressions.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:25
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I hope Nate does his Early Indicators like he did back in 2010...I remember him doing a thing for Democrats where he said "It's good if <thing happens at 7pm>, bad if <thing happens at 7:30 pm>, turn off the TV and go get drunk if <thing happens at 8pm>."
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Oct 23, 2018 17:25
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Collaborating Washington Post.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:25
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Personally I would've gone with "Grateful Ted"
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Oct 23, 2018 17:25
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:The crazy thing is that's how I've been feeling too. Like we just have to survive until then...but now I'm having this dread of "what next?" I also don't think I can keep my sanity if the Dems fail to take the House.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:26
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Riatsala posted:Beto winning would make my day if only because I'm going to see my entire extended Texan-Republican family for the first time in 3 years a week after the elections. If you can't do an impression of them without being problematic, dress as someone else.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:26
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friendbot2000 posted:I just...can't conceptualize why people think it's a good idea to dress up as a "terrorist" or a black guy. poo poo, if I am desperate for a costume I just cobble together a visual pun of some kind. It is not hard if you are not a racist I guess.... In the late 90s, before there was a difference in terrorisms, I dressed up as a white militia terrorist, complete with suicide vest made out of road flares. In retrospect it was a poor idea on a couple of levels. A) just dressing up as a terrorist is a bad look B) domestic terrorists aren't going to blow themselves up.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:26
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I mean, Spain colonized Central America, and plenty of people in Spain at the time had Moorish blood (I know, I know, not actually Middle Eastern. But we all know he really means Muslim anyway). Still, one hell of a stretch there, Pencey.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:27
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https://mobile.twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1054764943528972289quote:Space is now recognized as a warfighting domain and the United States must be prepared to meet the emerging threats we face in this new battlefield.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:27
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Radish posted:Collaborating Washington Post. what
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Oct 23, 2018 17:27
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axeil posted:that's how I've been feeling too. Like we just have to survive until then...but now I'm having this dread of "what next?" I also don't think I can keep my sanity if the Dems fail to take the House. I have no idea how I'm gonna even work on Election Day. I just...I remember how miserable I was two years ago and I never want to feel that way again. We need the House because we need Adam Schiff as head of the Intelligence Committee. He can make Trump's life miserable for two years.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:28
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Fritz Coldcockin posted:Probably. We're in the final two weeks now; the results are getting more baked in, at least in terms of poll results. Very little is going to shift in 14 days short of a major dead girl/live boy scandal, so assuming that we get a few more favorable GCB polls, the House chances will only increase as we get closer to Election Day. Comey letter was less than 2 weeks before the election. And 2 weeks is basically 2 years in terms of news cycles right now We have a shitton of time left on the clock
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Oct 23, 2018 17:29
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Riatsala posted:Also, RE: blackface, how is it generally regarded if a white person dresses as a famous black character, but eschews blackface? I ask because my two white friends want to go as Jules and Vincent from Pulp Fiction, and Jules plans to use an afro wig/sideburns and is generally smart enough not to do Samuel L Jackson impressions. judging by who is on their side... https://twitter.com/paigelav/status/1054766878336393216https://twitter.com/paigelav/status/1054766878336393216
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Oct 23, 2018 17:31
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Feldegast42 posted:Comey letter was less than 2 weeks before the election. And 2 weeks is basically 2 years in terms of news cycles right now The Comey letter was focused on one specific person, not 200 Congressional candidates + 20+ Senate candidates. So yes, you're technically correct, but a Comey letter event would have way less impact now than it did then.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:31
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theflyingorc posted:what Posting another administration lie without criticism as a headline is exactly what they want the media to do.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:32
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Fritz Coldcockin posted:So yes, you're technically correct, but a Comey letter event would have way less impact now than it did then. well there is one person who keeps telling us that even though he's not running, the election is all about him. the chance of something explosive about trump coming from Mueller is roughly 0% though
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Oct 23, 2018 17:33
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axeil posted:that's how I've been feeling too. Like we just have to survive until then...but now I'm having this dread of "what next?" I also don't think I can keep my sanity if the Dems fail to take the House. I've basically been telling myself for the past two years that America didn't collectively realize how bad Trump was going to be Now they know, so this country no longer has even the excuse of ignorance *checks the New Zealand immigration occupation list* I can learn to be a carpenter right
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Oct 23, 2018 17:34
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Fritz Coldcockin posted:I have no idea how I'm gonna even work on Election Day. I just...I remember how miserable I was two years ago and I never want to feel that way again. We need the House because we need Adam Schiff as head of the Intelligence Committee. He can make Trump's life miserable for two years. That day is going to have pretend-to-work written all over it. I'm sure my customers will respect my wishes and not have any problems that day.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:35
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:I can learn to be a carpenter right Sure, but make sure to get that liberal arts degree too or you ain't worth poo poo, evidently.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:36
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fishing with the fam posted:That day is going to have pretend-to-work written all over it. I'm sure my customers will respect my wishes and not have any problems that day. I at least have my own office with a door that closes and locks, so I can bang my head on the desk if I need to 
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Oct 23, 2018 17:37
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:I've basically been telling myself for the past two years that America didn't collectively realize how bad Trump was going to be If there’s one thing my grandfather taught me, it’s that it’s easy to be a carpenter. Being a good carpenter is hard as hell. Some gorgeous old banisters you can find in early 20th Century homes never cease to amaze me. I have no loving clue how they could bend wood like that.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:39
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This is loving vile https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1054744843619053568?s=19
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Oct 23, 2018 17:39
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kidkissinger posted:This is loving vile why_you_should_not_trust_david_frum.jpg
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Oct 23, 2018 17:40
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fishing with the fam posted:That day is going to have pretend-to-work written all over it. I'm sure my customers will respect my wishes and not have any problems that day. I'm taking the day off and knocking on every door i can. I'm taking the next day off because I'm scared of what my mental state is going to be.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:40
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Journalism is when a republican says bad thing you turn and mug to camera like Jim Halpert and then you've done your job. Why is everyone mad at me?
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Oct 23, 2018 17:41
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:I've basically been telling myself for the past two years that America didn't collectively realize how bad Trump was going to be There's no excuse for them not to have known. The fact that they didn't means that they've willingly chosen to believe the bullshit that conservative outlets fed them.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:42
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Since I already have my mail ballot (and knew I would), I'm not even going to be at home on election day. I will in fact be in New Orleans so at the very least I'll be able to get drunk if the night goes badly, or if it goes well!
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Oct 23, 2018 17:42
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eke out posted:look at dude's face, you'd think he was being forced to shake hands with the people who murdered his father or something If I was this kid, I'd be seriously contemplating how far I could get my fingers into his eye sockets before being dragged off by the palace guard. Not that I condone assassinating world leaders, but if I was standing in front of the man that ordered my father's murder... boy, that would be tough.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:45
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VH4Ever posted:Since I already have my mail ballot (and knew I would), I'm not even going to be at home on election day. I will in fact be in New Orleans so at the very least I'll be able to get drunk if the night goes badly, or if it goes well! Les bon temps omellete du frommage!
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Oct 23, 2018 17:45
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Turtle hasn’t given a poo poo about blue slips in years Murray.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:46
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kidkissinger posted:This is loving vile David Frum: "I don't want to elect racist facist power mongers, but goddammit it's either them or the liberals and the liberals won't keep those loving brown people out!!"
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Oct 23, 2018 17:47
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Nonsense posted:Turtle hasn’t given a poo poo about blue slips in years Murray. i believe they've been honoring blue slips for district judges, since district judges don't set binding precedent for anyone why not keep everyone a little happier with the trial judges in their state but lehey honoring the blue slip for circuit court judges was an inexcusable fuckup because literally everyone else saw this coming as soon as republicans regained power
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Oct 23, 2018 17:49
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axeil posted:I'm taking the day off and knocking on every door i can. I had a doorknocker come by a few weeks ago. Told her we were voting for Pritzker, did nothing to hush up our barking German Shepard keep behind the screen door I was barely keeping closed, and said we didn't want that clutch of pamphlets she had in her hand. I think they got the message, we haven't had any canvassers come to the house since then.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:49
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kidkissinger posted:This is loving vile https://twitter.com/Adequate_Scott/status/1054776971346038786?s=19
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Oct 23, 2018 17:50
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Ripoff posted:Some gorgeous old banisters you can find in early 20th Century homes never cease to amaze me. I have no loving clue how they could bend wood like that. I think they basically put it in a big steam chamber.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:50
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Small silver lining: he is getting absolutely DRAGGED in the replies.
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Oct 23, 2018 17:52
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