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Vincent Van Goatse posted:how many Nazis have goons killed through their actions again? how many bengalis have goons murdered on the grounds they thought they might one day plot rebellion against the empire again
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Dec 13, 2018 17:40
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Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:how many bengalis have goons murdered on the grounds they thought they might one day plot rebellion against the empire again that take away gave me salmonella, i was justified
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Dec 13, 2018 17:56
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prefect posted:I wish we had bookies like you guys do. What do those odds mean? forkboy84 already explained it accurately, but to put in non-betting terms a 6/1 means six against to one in favour, meaning if we imagine a large number of predicted future timelines, for every 6 timelines where the event doesn’t happen there’s 1 where it does. you can get the probability as a fraction by taking the number after the colon as the numerator and using the sum of both as the denominator. so in this case 6/1 means a probability of 1/(6+1) or ~14% of course, if the bookmaker gave you perfectly fair odds they’d never make any money, which is why people get two different sets of odds based on how they bet with the odds tilted in favour of the bookmaker. someone betting on the meaningful vote this year gets 6/1 odds, so they get paid 6 times their bet if they win and they get their stake back. but someone betting against that outcome gets 1/12 odds, meaning if they win they only get their stake plus 1/12. the reason the two odds aren’t the inverse of each other (e.g. 6/1 and 1/6) is because the bookie needs to get their cut; the odds offered to someone betting that the event will happen treat the events probability as more likely than in reality (bc safer bet = less payout), and the opposite for the odds for people betting against. so we can assume that the bookies actually think the probability of a meaningful vote this year are somewhere between 1/7 and 1/13, or in Nate silver terms between 7.69% and 14.28%, or roughly 1 in 10.
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Dec 13, 2018 18:02
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prefect posted:In the Venn diagram of "posters" and "owners of empires", the circles don't overlap. That's a Euler diagram 
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Dec 13, 2018 19:22
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:how many Nazis have goons killed through their actions again? Doobie
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Dec 13, 2018 19:25
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https://twitter.com/Rob_Merrick/status/1073279457560051713?s=19
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Dec 13, 2018 19:42
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*squints at clock* Oh, look at that, it’s already a quarter to coup
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Dec 13, 2018 19:46
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god that would be so loving funny. best ending for this whole saga
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Dec 13, 2018 19:47
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They already said they'd gently caress up a Corbyn government, why not just take over already
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Dec 13, 2018 20:01
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/13/civil-service-seeks-staff-for-no-deal-brexit-crisis-centrequote:Civil servants across Whitehall have been instructed to ramp up their emergency no-deal planning, with preparations including hiring staff for a 24-hour “emergency centre”. In preparation for needlessly sawing off my perfectly functional and healthy legs I have employed an emergency medical team at great expense.
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Dec 13, 2018 20:36
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Waiting for EU peacekeeping forces to be deployed to Ireland
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Dec 13, 2018 20:41
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Wow if this plays out like people are hinting and the EU do deploy peace keeping troops to Ireland, the UK will for the first time have a border with armed troops from another 'regime'. I can;t wait to see how people spin that.
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Dec 13, 2018 23:23
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Phrosphor posted:Wow if this plays out like people are hinting and the EU do deploy peace keeping troops to Ireland, the UK will for the first time have a border with armed troops from another 'regime'. I can;t wait to see how people spin that. Can't wait to have the Czechs rolling into London
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Dec 13, 2018 23:25
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Marxist-Jezzinist posted:Can't wait to have the Czechs rolling into London hopefully then can shoot some czech porn after taking over the whole city.
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Dec 13, 2018 23:26
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etalian posted:hopefully then can shoot some czech porn after taking over the whole city. Hopefully they shoot us all and put us out of our misery
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Dec 13, 2018 23:27
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Marxist-Jezzinist posted:Hopefully they shoot us all and put us out of our misery I just want every Tory put out of my misery.
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Dec 13, 2018 23:30
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Looking forward to a sizable annexation and the creation of the United Republic of Ireland and Northern Britain
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Dec 14, 2018 00:05
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https://twitter.com/Angry_Voice/status/1073159809573236737?s=19
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Dec 14, 2018 00:11
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This is going to end with England invading Spain isn't it?
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Dec 14, 2018 00:21
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I would blow Dane Cook posted:This is going to end with England invading Spain isn't it? We probably couldn't. This is a good thing.
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Dec 14, 2018 00:34
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https://twitter.com/jack_blanchard_/status/1073354884156665857?s=21 seems to be going great
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Dec 14, 2018 00:34
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skaboomizzy posted:https://twitter.com/jack_blanchard_/status/1073354884156665857?s=21 Juncker is a loving hero.
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Dec 14, 2018 00:35
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Phrosphor posted:Wow if this plays out like people are hinting and the EU do deploy peace keeping troops to Ireland, the UK will for the first time have a border with armed troops from another 'regime'. I can;t wait to see how people spin that. not to burst your bubble but Ireland already has a (very small) army and has had one since independence dont get too excited about the defence minister thing, what he's saying is that no deal would be bad for british security for numerous reasons, and he's saying it because May needs absolutely every cabinet member going full blast in favour of her deal. for what its worth the labour-friendly uk political people i pay attention to now believe no deal is the most likely outcome. the argument against this is that there's no parliamentary majority for no deal, but that doesn't matter if there's no majority for any other outcome because no deal is the default outcome of invoking article 50. as with all legislatures, parliament's default position is to do nothing and unfortunately that means not defusing the ticking time bomb strapped to the UK's economy
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Dec 14, 2018 00:41
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Threads but it's about Brexit instead of nuclear war.
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Dec 14, 2018 00:46
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https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1073355214340743168?s=19
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Dec 14, 2018 00:47
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First rule of politics, always kick a dog when it's down.
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Dec 14, 2018 00:49
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lots of confidence
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Dec 14, 2018 00:54
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lmao may went to brussels with hat in hand and got a proverbial car door slammed on her proverbial dick also it happened right after a leadership challenge so the tories are stuck with her useless rear end for another year, goddamn junkers you did it again dog
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Dec 14, 2018 00:54
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Fallen Hamprince posted:dont get too excited about the defence minister thing, what he's saying is that no deal would be bad for british security for numerous reasons, and he's saying it because May needs absolutely every cabinet member going full blast in favour of her deal. He's not saying that at all. The current no-deal plan is to use the army to handle logistics and security. He is saying that they are not equipped to handle either of these tasks, something people have been pointing out since the plan became public (They simply don't have the manpower)
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Dec 14, 2018 00:56
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Fallen Hamprince posted:lmao may went to brussels with hat in hand and got a proverbial car door slammed on her proverbial dick At least she got out of the car.
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Dec 14, 2018 00:57
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So renegotiation is off the table now? Does that prevent someone like Corbyn from somehow winning and then trying to do his own Brexit deal? Did Juncker play both the Tories and Labour here at the same time?
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Dec 14, 2018 01:00
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Fallen Hamprince posted:lmao may went to brussels with hat in hand and got a proverbial car door slammed on her proverbial dick There isn't much point in giving may concessions, all that would accomplish is that the MPs that are pushing for rejecting the deal in order to renegotiate feel empowered to do that, it won't help the deal pass. ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TyxxLHfBwE )
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Dec 14, 2018 01:02
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sullat posted:At least she got out of the car. lol
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Dec 14, 2018 01:05
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SKULL.GIF posted:So renegotiation is off the table now? Does that prevent someone like Corbyn from somehow winning and then trying to do his own Brexit deal? if i was corbyn and british and EU law worked the way i think it does in my head, i'd trigger a general election and then campaign on a platform of "a vote for labour is a vote for me to revoke article 50" and hope that meets the ECJ's ruling's referendum demand
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Dec 14, 2018 01:06
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Raskolnikov38 posted:if i was corbyn and british and EU law worked the way i think it does in my head, i'd trigger a general election and then campaign on a platform of "a vote for labour is a vote for me to revoke article 50" and hope that meets the ECJ's ruling's referendum demand there is no referendum demand, they ruled on Monday we can revoke at any point unilaterally. Which I got bored of pointing out months ago that the French and Germans had given us explicit notice they’d be fine with a year ago. e: there is no reason we have to do this apart from people in power worrying about their next job
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Dec 14, 2018 01:24
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Gum posted:He's not saying that at all. The current no-deal plan is to use the army to handle logistics and security. He is saying that they are not equipped to handle either of these tasks, something people have been pointing out since the plan became public (They simply don't have the manpower) oh wow somehow i didnt realize they were planning on having the army handle customs on the UKs brand new border, guess that makes sense considering your border force is half the size of canada's for a country with twice the population youre so hosed lmao
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Dec 14, 2018 01:25
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Fallen Hamprince posted:oh wow somehow i didnt realize they were planning on having the army handle customs on the UKs brand new border, guess that makes sense considering your border force is half the size of canada's for a country with twice the population Canada's border is ever so slightly longer than the UK's border. But yeah, we've not had to worry about customs for most visitors from Europe since 1973, when we joined the EEC as it was then called. And also because of the government's love of austerity they can't afford the necessary expansion to HM Revenue & Customs
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Dec 14, 2018 01:40
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the real question is will brexit finally stop sharia law in england
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Dec 14, 2018 01:41
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forkboy84 posted:Canada's border is ever so slightly longer than the UK's border. But yeah, we've not had to worry about customs for most visitors from Europe since 1973, when we joined the EEC as it was then called. And also because of the government's love of austerity they can't afford the necessary expansion to HM Revenue & Customs length isn't that much of an issue for canada though because it's not like (until recently) many people were trying to sneak across, so manning customs posts to butthole, north dakota doesn't take up a lot of manpower. but with the UK there's parts of Ireland that literally can't get to Dublin by bus without dipping into the NI, and the customs infrastructure facing the mainland EU is so non-existant that plan A for no deal is to use the M20 as a truck park. poo poo is bananas hallebarrysoetoro posted:the real question is will brexit finally stop sharia law in england released from the fetters of the european court of justice, Sheik Reez Al'Maug will finally be able to lead Al Birīṭāniyā into the blessed light of the Divine Law Fallen Hamprince has issued a correction as of 02:01 on Dec 14, 2018 |
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Dec 14, 2018 01:57
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Hexyflexy posted:there is no referendum demand, they ruled on Monday we can revoke at any point unilaterally. Which I got bored of pointing out months ago that the French and Germans had given us explicit notice they’d be fine with a year ago. oh then corbyn should just campaign on "the brexit we were sold on is a lie, i'll cancel it"
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Dec 14, 2018 02:00
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