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triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



in awe of that tweet

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ASenileAnimal
Dec 21, 2017


lmfao help im dead and also a skeleton

ass cobra
May 28, 2004

by Azathoth

*im wolf*

lmaoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

white sauce
Apr 29, 2012

by R. Guyovich
The market is melting down so the rich libs in DnD have been giving each other tons of financial advice

theflyingorc posted:

The chance of the market tanking in the next year is BUILT INTO THE PRICE by financial experts. You don't have special knowledge that this is going to happen!

Griffen posted:

Then explain to me where I'm wrong. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong, but I'd like to know where the flaw in my logic is.

Let's assume the 401k index fund exactly follows the Dow (not perfect, but we need numbers). We both start with 100 units of index fund at 26000.

1. Dow drops to 24000, I decide that conditions are ripe for a recession and switch to govt securities (still within 401k system). I lose 7.7% of my value.
2. Dow goes back up to 26000, then drops to 22,000. I'm still at 92.3% of my original value, but you are now at 84.7% of initial value.
3. Let's assume Dow goes down to 15,000 and bottoms. You are now at 57.7% of your original investment, I'm still at 92.3%.
4. Dow goes back up to 18,000 and I re-enter. You're at 69.2% of original investment, and I am still at 92.3%, but now I have 122.2 units of index fund.
5. Dow goes back up to 26,000. You are now at the break even point and are back at 100% of original investment (neglecting continued contributions for easy math). I'm at 122.2% of my original investment.

Yes, there is risk that I misjudge when to leave or come back in. You never do this in the short term, but if I have a reasonable evidence that the market is going into a recession at some point within the next year or so, the numbers tell me to move my 401k stocks to 401k securities or money market and wait for the fall to happen. Please explain to me what I'm missing.

Tibalt posted:

Preemptive post: do not look at your 401k. Do not change your contribution to your 401k. DO NOT TAKE MONEY OUT OF YOUR 401K.

Mayor Dave
Feb 20, 2009

Bernie the Snow Clown
How in the gently caress is Warren still planning on running holy poo poo he would crush her so hard

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene


You might say he's short on cash

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002



Jesus gently caress he’s good.

shyduck
Oct 3, 2003


That's actually good

Thoguh
Nov 8, 2002

College Slice

I luv my 239 pound not obese President.

campfire
Feb 19, 2008

Snoo Zertnert

:rip:

skaboomizzy
Nov 12, 2003

There is nothing I want to be. There is nothing I want to do.
I don't even have an image of what I want to be. I have nothing. All that exists is zero.
now that's what I call TMUTP

ass cobra
May 28, 2004

by Azathoth
2019 the best year in human history

Thoguh
Nov 8, 2002

College Slice

ASenileAnimal posted:

lmfao help im dead and also a skeleton

And also gay.

Mons Hubris
Aug 29, 2004

fanci flup :)



oh my

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



incredible

A Handed Missus
Aug 6, 2012


lock her up lol

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
way

https://twitter.com/realDailyWire/status/1080859670837846016

shyduck
Oct 3, 2003


:rip: Warren bid 1/3/2019

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


Bernie will win

Mayor Dave
Feb 20, 2009

Bernie the Snow Clown

A Handed Missus
Aug 6, 2012


https://twitter.com/nytpolitics/status/1080859352976756737

:cabot:

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


shyduck posted:

:rip: Warren bid 1/3/2019

punchymcpunch
Oct 14, 2012



Joementum posted:

that's certainly one way to report the statistic



over 25% of officers have in fact stopped beating their spouse

Thom and the Heads
Oct 27, 2010

Farscape is actually pretty cool.
she needs some milk

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002


god drat he just loving murdered someone via Twitter

punished milkman
Dec 5, 2018

would have won

this is a devastating own

white sauce
Apr 29, 2012

by R. Guyovich
If you don’t vote for Warren you’re a sexist white supremacist

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1080858959404240896

holy poo poo

a helpful bear
Aug 18, 2004

Slippery Tilde

Hahahahahahahahaahha yesssssss

Bearjew
Apr 18, 2017



Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002


sitting at a beach just looking at that tweet.

Thoguh
Nov 8, 2002

College Slice

Joementum posted:

that's certainly one way to report the statistic



lol, that's, well, that's one way to announce that almost half of police beat their spouses.

ass cobra
May 28, 2004

by Azathoth
only 2208 days left of big boy presidency

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



whos chargin their jo crystals to that tweet

Bearjew
Apr 18, 2017



A Handed Missus posted:

lock her up lol

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



rear end cobra posted:

only 2208 days left of big boy presidency

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.
that is some loving impressive twitter right there

punchymcpunch
Oct 14, 2012



hey barron do you know how to use The Photo Store?

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Mayor Dave
Feb 20, 2009

Bernie the Snow Clown

shyduck posted:

:rip: Warren bid 1/3/2019

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