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Who do you want to be the 2020 Democratic Nominee?
This poll is closed.
Joe "the liberal who fights busing" Biden 27 1.40%
Bernie "please don't die" Sanders 1017 52.69%
Cory "charter schools" Booker 12 0.62%
Kirsten "wall street" Gillibrand 24 1.24%
Kamala "truancy queen" Harris 59 3.06%
Julian "who?" Castro 7 0.36%
Tulsi "gay panic" Gabbard 25 1.30%
Michael "crimes crimes crimes" Avenatti 22 1.14%
Sherrod "discount bernie" Brown 21 1.09%
Amy "horrible boss" Klobuchar 12 0.62%
Tammy "stands for america" Duckworth 48 2.49%
Beto "whataburger" O'Rourke 32 1.66%
Elizabeth "instagram beer" Warren 284 14.72%
Tom "impeach please" Steyer 4 0.21%
Michael "soda is the devil" Bloomberg 9 0.47%
Joseph Stalin 287 14.87%
Howard "coffee republican" Schultz 10 0.52%
Jay "nobody cares about climate change :(" Inslee 13 0.67%
Pete "gently caress the homeless" Butt Man 17 0.88%
Total: 1930 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo
If age and health are irrelevant, I guess we don't need to worry about the Supreme Court anymore

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Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Unoriginal Name posted:

If age and health are irrelevant, I guess we don't need to worry about the Supreme Court anymore

Again, no one has said age or health are irrelevant. Please stop this.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Unoriginal Name posted:

If age and health are irrelevant, I guess we don't need to worry about the Supreme Court anymore

You're not too bright huh

Aside from this being a dumb strawman, when a president dies of old age we know who is next in line, their successor isn't suddenly appointed potentially by the opposing party

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo

VitalSigns posted:

You're not too bright huh

Aside from this being a dumb strawman, when a president dies of old age we know who is next in line, their successor isn't suddenly appointed potentially by the opposing party

Got a VP you believe will carry out Bernie's agenda?

Because if so, have I got a candidate for you!

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Unoriginal Name posted:

Got a VP you believe will carry out Bernie's agenda?

Because if so, have I got a candidate for you!

Are you under the impression I can Jedi mindmeld random politicians into running for president?

Even assuming they'd be equally likely to win, which they wouldn't because none of them have the name recognition Bernie built during,/since the 2016 primary

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

This argument is actually so dumb I'm having a hard time believing it's being made in good faith.

Like I think Stacey Abrams would be a good choice to take over if President Bernie died. She's also not running, so what good does it do to say "hey VS just vote Stacey for President" when she isn't running. How do I do that, kidnap her dog and threaten to send pieces of him back to her unless she files FEC paperwork?

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Majorian posted:

My single vote actually does. I just voted for Trump to avenge Seth Rich.:unsmigghh:


Or, here's a crazy idea - maybe you could just try to avoid making bizarre and unsubstantiated claims like "Bernie has a 1 in 3 chance of dying in his first term."

ok I'm sorry dear pep pep bernie exists beyond the mortal constraints of time and space and will live a thousand thousand ages amen

Morbus
May 18, 2004

brb calling my insurance company to address some truly bizarre and unsubstantiated claims they are making about me :(

King of Solomon
Oct 23, 2008

S S

Well, that's disappointing.

Cease to Hope posted:

Honestly, I'd rather vote for someone who isn't over 70, isn't white, and isn't a dude. Ideally all three. The symbolic qualities of electing someone who isn't an old white dude have a value of their own.

What about the symbolic value of the first Jewish president, a person who had family die in the Holocaust?

karthun
Nov 16, 2006

I forgot to post my food for USPOL Thanksgiving but that's okay too!

mcmagic posted:

Free Universal Pre-K.

Mark Dayton did that for the state of Minnesota, kids aged 4 and over are covered now. Gov Walz and the Democrats are pushing for coverage from infants through 3.

Freakazoid_
Jul 5, 2013


Buglord

Unoriginal Name posted:

Got a VP you believe will carry out Bernie's agenda?

It's me, I'm gonna be Bernie's VP!

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

Morbus posted:

[Sanders's] mother died when she was 48, although I don't know the cause.

failed heart surgery to correct complications from childhood rheumatic fever, apparently

not really applicable to Sanders himself in any useful way

King of Solomon posted:

What about the symbolic value of the first Jewish president, a person who had family die in the Holocaust?

He's already my favorite for the primary :shrug:

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Morbus posted:

ok I'm sorry dear pep pep bernie exists beyond the mortal constraints of time and space and will live a thousand thousand ages amen

Mmmm yes, questioning your unsubstantiated claim that Bernie has a 1-in-3 chance of dying during his first term in office is clearly the same thing as claiming that someone will live to be a thousand.

You were talking out of your rear end and got called on it. No one's being unfair to you.

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Majorian posted:

Mmmm yes, questioning your unsubstantiated claim that Bernie has a 1-in-3 chance of dying during his first term in office is clearly the same thing as claiming that someone will live to be a thousand.

You were talking out of your rear end and got called on it. No one's being unfair to you.

Nobody's arguing with me but your dumb rear end on a bold quest to challenge the basic underpinnings of mortality risk assessment.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011
one of the big disadvantages of Sanders (or Warren or Biden) potentially dying in office is that the incumbency advantage seems to be much weaker when a VP takes over, whereas presidents don't usually lose reelection campaigns

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

Morbus posted:

Nobody's arguing with me but your dumb rear end on a bold quest to challenge the basic underpinnings of mortality risk assessment.

do you have a better candidate in mind, or are you just farting aggressively about how dare the socialist continue to be a threat

well, that's unfair of me. did you bother to invest in even the most perfunctory cover story for option b or no

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo

VitalSigns posted:

This argument is actually so dumb I'm having a hard time believing it's being made in good faith.

Like I think Stacey Abrams would be a good choice to take over if President Bernie died. She's also not running, so what good does it do to say "hey VS just vote Stacey for President" when she isn't running. How do I do that, kidnap her dog and threaten to send pieces of him back to her unless she files FEC paperwork?

Bernie hasn't announced for 2020 yet as far as I am aware, so if you're gonna push for someone you think is qualified, why start with the old guy?

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Unoriginal Name posted:

Bernie hasn't announced for 2020 yet as far as I am aware, so if you're gonna push for someone you think is qualified, why start with the old guy?

Because there's no one who is either running or likely to run with a better platform, or as good of a chance at beating Trump.

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:

do you have a better candidate in mind, or are you just farting aggressively about how dare the socialist continue to be a threat

well, that's unfair of me. did you bother to invest in even the most perfunctory cover story for option b or no

Do you maggots in your brain? I've mentioned no less than 3 times in the last page that I am going to vote for Sanders. I just mentioned offhand that the idea of Bernie dying in office is not "presumptuous" or speculative, it's a significant risk--almost assuredly worse than russian roulette odds no matter how you cut it. As I've said at least twice, "i'll take my loving chances" and "its not a huge deal if he dies anyway".

There are important ramifications for electing someone that old, though, and we should be prepared. We all hope that fucker lives to a ripe age of 120 and serves 4 consecutive terms but it's dumb to dismiss the very real chance that an 80 year old man dies when 80 year old men do. Noted brain genius Majoran insists numbers from actuarial tables of 95th income percentile (very assuredly white) American males are "unsubstantiated" for whatever dumbshit reason. Fine--if you are arguing in good faith go find me any life table, any survival curve, from *any* cohort anywhere in the world where the odds of a 79-80 year old person living to be 83-84 are better than russian roulette. "Substantiate" your bizzare claim that it's "presumptuous" to think there's a good chance he might not finish his first term, and pretty good odds he doesn't finish his 2nd.

reignonyourparade
Nov 15, 2012

Unoriginal Name posted:

Bernie hasn't announced for 2020 yet as far as I am aware, so if you're gonna push for someone you think is qualified, why start with the old guy?

Nobody else good would get any media coverage.

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

Morbus posted:

Do you maggots in your brain? I've mentioned no less than 3 times in the last page that I am going to vote for Sanders. I just mentioned offhand that the idea of Bernie dying in office is not "presumptuous" or speculative, it's a significant risk--almost assuredly worse than russian roulette odds no matter how you cut it. As I've said at least twice, "i'll take my loving chances" and "its not a huge deal if he dies anyway".

There are important ramifications for electing someone that old, though, and we should be prepared. We all hope that fucker lives to a ripe age of 120 and serves 4 consecutive terms but it's dumb to dismiss the very real chance that an 80 year old man dies when 80 year old men do. Noted brain genius Majoran insists numbers from actuarial tables of 95th income percentile (very assuredly white) American males are "unsubstantiated" for whatever dumbshit reason. Fine--if you are arguing in good faith go find me any life table, any survival curve, from *any* cohort anywhere in the world where the odds of a 79-80 year old person living to be 83-84 are better than russian roulette. "Substantiate" your bizzare claim that it's "presumptuous" to think there's a good chance he might not finish his first term, and pretty good odds he doesn't finish his 2nd.

this is an awful lot of words for "no," friend.

if he dies on the campaign trail this topic becomes worth discussing. until then it's aimless jerking off at the possibility people don't have to worry about him.

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:

this is an awful lot of words for "no," friend.

if he dies on the campaign trail this topic becomes worth discussing. until then it's aimless jerking off at the possibility people don't have to worry about him.

I dunno, if he dies on the campaign trail I don't think there would be much left to discuss re: life expectancy of Bernie Sanders.

Heck Yes! Loam!
Nov 15, 2004

a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.

Morbus posted:

I dunno, if he dies on the campaign trail I don't think there would be much left to discuss re: life expectancy of Bernie Sanders.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

Cease to Hope posted:

one of the big disadvantages of Sanders (or Warren or Biden) potentially dying in office is that the incumbency advantage seems to be much weaker when a VP takes over, whereas presidents don't usually lose reelection campaigns

That's what AOC is for.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes
to suggest that bernie sanders is not immortal is counter-revolutionary

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

morbus is pro sanders, cool your fuckin jets

Ghost Leviathan posted:

That's what AOC is for.

AOC is shaping up to be a really good member of the house, and is chummy with pelosi. the downside of being president is that it's more or less the end of your elected political career, while a new york congresswoman can serve for a real long time.

none of this is relevant to 2020, admittedly.

Verviticus
Mar 13, 2006

I'm just a total piece of shit and I'm not sure why I keep posting on this site. Christ, I have spent years with idiots giving me bad advice about online dating and haven't noticed that the thread I'm in selects for people that can't talk to people worth a damn.
has a person ever served as president without being disgraced for some reason and attempted to run for office again only to fail?

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Verviticus posted:

has a person ever served as president without being disgraced for some reason and attempted to run for office again only to fail?

rooservelt 1912

Verviticus
Mar 13, 2006

I'm just a total piece of shit and I'm not sure why I keep posting on this site. Christ, I have spent years with idiots giving me bad advice about online dating and haven't noticed that the thread I'm in selects for people that can't talk to people worth a damn.
i guess i should have said "run for non-presidential office". i mean the thing roosevelt did isnt even allowed anymore i think so he probably isnt a great example

SeANMcBAY
Jun 28, 2006

Look on the bright side.



Verviticus posted:

i guess i should have said "run for non-presidential office". i mean the thing roosevelt did isnt even allowed anymore i think so he probably isnt a great example

A few early presidents became congressmen or senators after serving as president. Taft joined SCOTUS after being president.

MSDOS KAPITAL
Jun 25, 2018





Cease to Hope posted:

AOC is shaping up to be a really good member of the house, and is chummy with pelosi.
After today this is a total and categorical negative. This thing with Rep. Omar is loving shameful. AIPAC has subverted American sovereignty, and the Democratic leadership is in on it.

She has many positive qualities - being "chummy" with someone as blatantly corrupt as Pelosi is not one of them.

Morbus
May 18, 2004

Cease to Hope posted:

...
none of this is relevant to 2020, admittedly.

Here's my simple 3 point plan for AOC 2020:

1. Launch AOC into orbit
2. Strap giant ACME rockets to Earth and spin it up close to the speed of light
3. Slow rotation of Earth back down to original speed and return AOC

Due to relativistic effects she will now be 5 years older and can run for office.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

Unoriginal Name posted:

Bernie hasn't announced for 2020 yet as far as I am aware, so if you're gonna push for someone you think is qualified, why start with the old guy?

"The old guy" consistently polls as the most popular politician in America, and is the only plausible candidate currently pushing a broad leftist agenda, which incidentally might help slow or avert the literal end of life on Earth.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

Morbus posted:

Nobody's arguing with me but your dumb rear end on a bold quest to challenge the basic underpinnings of mortality risk assessment.

Actuarial tables give you an accurate picture when you're talking about a population, but they obviously don't when you're talking about an individual, you absolute buffoon. This is literally the most basic statistics 101 poo poo possible.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

MSDOS KAPITAL posted:

After today this is a total and categorical negative. This thing with Rep. Omar is

USPOL material. Omar and Ocasio-Cortez aren't running for president and none of the presidential candidates have waded into the AIPAC quagmire.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Unoriginal Name posted:

Bernie hasn't announced for 2020 yet as far as I am aware, so if you're gonna push for someone you think is qualified, why start with the old guy?

If you don't think he's going to announce, why are you worried about his age

i am the bird
Mar 2, 2005

I SUPPORT ALL THE PREDATORS
I bet we can find a random 35 year old socialist who has high name recognition, a national campaign infrastructure, and a presidential platform ready to go.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
Basically from the perspective of anyone actually on the left, pretty much every Democrat between Bernie Sanders and AOC has been trained wrong, on purpose, as a joke, and for all intents and purposes is completely useless electorally and is controlled opposition for the Republicans.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

i am the bird posted:

I bet we can find a random 35 year old socialist who has high name recognition, a national campaign infrastructure, and a presidential platform ready to go.

Sorry we all posted too much about Bernard Sanders and missed the unicorn candidate who totally would have appeared if we hadn't said "Bernard Sanders" on the internet

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BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

Morbus posted:

Do you maggots in your brain? I've mentioned no less than 3 times in the last page that I am going to vote for Sanders. I just mentioned offhand that the idea of Bernie dying in office is not "presumptuous" or speculative, it's a significant risk--almost assuredly worse than russian roulette odds no matter how you cut it. As I've said at least twice, "i'll take my loving chances" and "its not a huge deal if he dies anyway".

There are important ramifications for electing someone that old, though, and we should be prepared. We all hope that fucker lives to a ripe age of 120 and serves 4 consecutive terms but it's dumb to dismiss the very real chance that an 80 year old man dies when 80 year old men do. Noted brain genius Majoran insists numbers from actuarial tables of 95th income percentile (very assuredly white) American males are "unsubstantiated" for whatever dumbshit reason. Fine--if you are arguing in good faith go find me any life table, any survival curve, from *any* cohort anywhere in the world where the odds of a 79-80 year old person living to be 83-84 are better than russian roulette. "Substantiate" your bizzare claim that it's "presumptuous" to think there's a good chance he might not finish his first term, and pretty good odds he doesn't finish his 2nd.

No-one seems to understand the rapid drop-off in health most people experience in their '80s. In your 70's, if you keep fit and take care of yourself there's no reason you can't be climbing mountains and doing everything you did when you were 30 when you are 70, but then in your '80s, your health tends to drop off a cliff. See: Ruth Bader Ginsberg, arrogant enough to believe that her perfect health in her '70s meant she should not resign in favor of a younger liberal justice. And now we are all hosed as she gets health issue after health issue and who knows if she can live 2 years (definitely not 6.)

Sanders and Biden are not my first choice due to this, particularly Biden who offers nothing that Kamala Harris or Kirsten Gillbrand can't.

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