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Who do you want to be the 2020 Democratic Nominee?
This poll is closed.
Joe "the liberal who fights busing" Biden 27 1.40%
Bernie "please don't die" Sanders 1017 52.69%
Cory "charter schools" Booker 12 0.62%
Kirsten "wall street" Gillibrand 24 1.24%
Kamala "truancy queen" Harris 59 3.06%
Julian "who?" Castro 7 0.36%
Tulsi "gay panic" Gabbard 25 1.30%
Michael "crimes crimes crimes" Avenatti 22 1.14%
Sherrod "discount bernie" Brown 21 1.09%
Amy "horrible boss" Klobuchar 12 0.62%
Tammy "stands for america" Duckworth 48 2.49%
Beto "whataburger" O'Rourke 32 1.66%
Elizabeth "instagram beer" Warren 284 14.72%
Tom "impeach please" Steyer 4 0.21%
Michael "soda is the devil" Bloomberg 9 0.47%
Joseph Stalin 287 14.87%
Howard "coffee republican" Schultz 10 0.52%
Jay "nobody cares about climate change :(" Inslee 13 0.67%
Pete "gently caress the homeless" Butt Man 17 0.88%
Total: 1930 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Kraftwerk posted:

I'm not saying we shouldn't fight for it, I'm just saying that in this post factual society it seems like an extremely difficult fight and one which I can't visualize a path to victory for.

Yeah it's not going to be easy, but what's the alternative.

If a President proposes the kind of public option that people in here are assuming Buttigieg means, a Medicare-like public option so superior to private insurance that it collapses the industry, the insurance companies will fight it just as hard and run all the same Super Bowl ads and lobby behind the scenes to get the bill amended into something that can "compete on a level playing field" (ie make the public option so lovely that no one wants it).

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Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

That works. Any public option is functionally equivalent to single payer, as the public option will outcompete in the market place.

That's untrue, at least as far as the current Medicare for Some proposals. They would do little to ameliorate healthcare costs, they would require more "skin in the game" and hike Medicare out-of-pocket costs, they would impose ACA-type means-testing on Medicare, and they would leave private insurers and their profits intact (especially since private insurers make more profits on administering Medicaid/Medicare plans than they do on subsidized ACA plans). They would also create risk pools so small that any cost differentials would be essentially meaningless to consumers.

Further, the insurance industry is as opposed to Medicare for Some as it is to Medicare for All (yes, that's counterintuitive bc Medicare for Some would line their pockets; I guess it's a slippery-slope sort of thing). I signed up for The Partnership for America's Health Care Future's mailing list, and the group is currently celebrating the 10-year anniversary of the ACA while dissing both M4A and any public option. So why not shoot for the real deal?

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Realistically Manchin will torpedo any climate bill so a century of war and plague is a reasonable policy goal.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Kraftwerk posted:

I'm not saying we shouldn't fight for it, I'm just saying that in this post factual society it seems like an extremely difficult fight and one which I can't visualize a path to victory for. M4A is complicated and when you try to explain the technicalities of how it works or how you pay for it you lose a lot of people. People want sound bytes and easy to digest stuff and only one side of this argument has the financing and industry influence to fight this battle and it isn't ours. People are so indoctrinated against UHC that I can visualize a scenario where someone gets a healthcard that lets them go and get healthcare for free and they simply refuse to use it on principle because its socialist.

I really don't think explaining "you get to go to the doctor and not have to pay anything and never have to deal with an insurance company if you don't want to" is gonna be nearly as hard as you imagine. We have the sound bites on our side for once. Medicare For All! Fight for 15! Free College! These are bold sound bites that attract attention, we should not be scared of embracing them.

Contrary to D&D consensus, most normal voters DO NOT GIVE A poo poo about the policy details of how stuff will be implemented, so anyone concern trolling about "but will the bill be perfectly perfect in every way?" can be safely ignored in the context of winning elections by appealing to voters.

And if people avoid using their free healthcare because they're scared of socialism? Well that's a pretty self correcting problem right there.

ETA: Also I think it's possible because a large chunk of capital actually would love for the government to take over healthcare costs, it's just the healthcare industry that we have to fight (and really only the griftiest parts of it). I'm not convinced of the "companies love to use healthcare to keep people tied to their jobs" argument because food and rent costing money keeps people tied to their jobs, even if they had free healthcare.

WampaLord fucked around with this message at 22:58 on Mar 25, 2019

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Trabisnikof posted:

Realistically Manchin will torpedo any climate bill so a century of war and plague is a reasonable policy goal.

in the past the way to assuage him would be to pork the crap out of WV until he can't say no

but we can't do that anymore so :shrug: onwards towards apocalypse I guess

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Willa Rogers posted:

That's untrue, at least as far as the current Medicare for Some proposals. They would do little to ameliorate healthcare costs, they would require more "skin in the game" and hike Medicare out-of-pocket costs, they would impose ACA-type means-testing on Medicare, and they would leave private insurers and their profits intact (especially since private insurers make more profits on administering Medicaid/Medicare plans than they do on subsidized ACA plans). They would also create risk pools so small that any cost differentials would be essentially meaningless to consumers.

His argument seems to be that, obviously, Buttigieg or Beto doesn't mean any of those proposals.

What does Buttigieg mean exactly? Who knows!

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

That amounts to a debate over the exact content of the specific proposed public option. Like, technically speaking ,Medicare is a "public option," because you can buy private insurance on top of it. Sabotage isn't guaranteed and literally any health care proposal is vulnerable to this same kind of "well, it won't work because corporate interests will sabotage it" attack. :shrug: ("We can't have single payer because the corporations will never let it pass," etc.)

Either it's good or it isn't, but that's a policy debate to have on the merits of a specific proposed policy, not something you can just knee-jerk and dismiss.

1. As I noted above, the insurance industry opposes a public option with the same vehemence it opposes M4A. Sabotage is guaranteed.

2. You cannot purchase a private insurance policy while on Medicare. You can purchase a government-regulated supplemental policy administered by private insurance, but costs of the insurance and the providers you see are regulated by the federal government.

3. A public option will be intentionally structured to be financially competitive with private insurers, and private insurers will likely respond by cutting premium prices for a year or two until the public option becomes financially unsustainable, as happened under the ACA with the non-profit co-ops.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

VitalSigns posted:

OK so what can we conclude about the fact that anytime specifics for a public option have been proposed it's been a corporate wet dream that is so crippled as to be useless, and all the candidates proposing a public option refuse to give any specifics and are deliberately vague. If your argument is "we need to argue about the merits of a specific proposed policy" only one exists and that's Medicare-for-All, everything else is just buying a pig-in-a-poke.

Also if any proposal is an equally difficult fight to pass over corporate lobbying, then the logical conclusion is to fight for the best proposal, as worse proposals are not easier to pass and come with other drawbacks like higher costs.

All of the above--with the added bonus that once Medicare Extra or Medicare for Anyone becomes the failure as intended, they will have negatively branded Medicare for All.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Willa Rogers posted:

All of the above--with the added bonus that once Medicare Extra or Medicare for Anyone becomes the failure as intended, they will have negatively branded Medicare for All.

Then we can promise that full privatization will fix the markets that have been wrecked by government interference!

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Tir McDohl posted:

A reminder: even countries with nationalized healthcare have optional private insurance. It is not contradictory to support both.

Again: Every other country regulates insurance, pharma and provider pricing. It's silly to say "other countries have private insurance" without acknowledging this basic fact.

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

Kraftwerk posted:

Explain to me exactly how a US president can end a multi billion dollar health insurance industry with tons of lobbyists and influence and big pharma backing them up?
In what realm can you do this without being assassinated? Or in the best case scenario you have showdowns with congress/senate about it leading to a similar scenario to how Trump tried to build the wall.

HMO contributed to the death of my father, almost killed my wife.

I live to see their end.

Wraith of J.O.I.
Jan 25, 2012


lol

https://twitter.com/SenKamalaHarris/status/1110301531306409986
https://twitter.com/theseantcollins/status/1110313222349967361

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

she's so fuckin bad

SeANMcBAY
Jun 28, 2006

Look on the bright side.




Holy poo poo she sucks.

mandatory lesbian
Dec 18, 2012
as much as i hate her, its a pretty good bit of lawyering to completely adhere to the letter of the law of saying you're not going to AIPAC, while deliberately flaunting your disregard of the spirit of it

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


come the gently caress on. really.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



mandatory lesbian posted:

as much as i hate her, its a pretty good bit of lawyering to completely adhere to the letter of the law of saying you're not going to AIPAC, while deliberately flaunting your disregard of the spirit of it
I mean she's welcome to do that if she doesn't just put a picture of that on her official account. What was the point of her not going then?

KingNastidon
Jun 25, 2004

Willa Rogers posted:

3. A public option will be intentionally structured to be financially competitive with private insurers, and private insurers will likely respond by cutting premium prices for a year or two until the public option becomes financially unsustainable, as happened under the ACA with the non-profit co-ops.

Competitive with what level of private insurance though? Won't some companies still have an incentive to buy private insurance given they can count premiums as an expense to minimize tax exposure?

Even if a public option ended up being superior for 50% of consumers and inferior for the remaining 50% would there not be incremental gains? Like private insurance would then be largely relegated to the more affluent, but you're still offering people something better than they can currently get on the ACA market place.

It's certainly incrementalism and no more likely to be supported by the insurance industry nor republicans, but don't see why a public option must be pegged to the lowest-level private insurance plan.

bowser
Apr 7, 2007

https://twitter.com/SenKamalaHarris/status/1110301531306409986?s=19

Not surprising.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


FlamingLiberal posted:

I mean she's welcome to do that if she doesn't just put a picture of that on her official account. What was the point of her not going then?

she's dumb.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Oh and literally at the same time she was doing that, the IDF was beginning a full-on assault on Gaza because one rocket hit a house. Like they've called up the reserves and everything. This will probably go on for awhile since it's election season in Israel.

Doom Rooster
Sep 3, 2008

Pillbug
I think Harris is terrible and needs to go away, and that meeting with AIPAC is dumb, especially now but... There's a huge difference between Having a meeting in your office with AIPAC during business hours and attending a multiday circle jerk conference espousing the imperative of AIPAC's goals.

Edit: The caption is pretty terrible, but still, not nearly as bad as attending the conference IMO.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


not really. you can't say i'm not going to the conference...but i AM gonna have them hang out in my office.

MrFlibble
Nov 28, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Fallen Rib

Groovelord Neato posted:

not really. you can't say i'm not going to the conference...but i AM gonna have them hang out in my office.

But have you considered that you can?

:thunk:

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

If this is her reaction move to being in fourth place behind Mayor Pete in that Iowa poll I don't think it's gonna work

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


MrFlibble posted:

But have you considered that you can?

:thunk:

well yeah she did it. but it kinda defeats the purpose of not going to the conference.

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo

MrFlibble posted:

But have you considered that you can?

:thunk:

You can, but good luck getting people who wanted you to reduce your contact with AIPAC to vote for you

MrFlibble
Nov 28, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Fallen Rib
Yes, I was completely serious in my post, which is why I used a very serious emoticon to convey the seriousness of what I was saying seriously.

Thank you for explaining to me the drawbacks of doing what she did, that were not obvious to me or anyone with a functioning brain.

MrFlibble fucked around with this message at 01:27 on Mar 26, 2019

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo

MrFlibble posted:

Yes, I was completely serious in my post, which is why I used a very serious emoticon to convey the seriousness of what I was saying seriously.

satire is dead and irony isnt real

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


MrFlibble posted:

Yes, I was completely serious in my post, which is why I used a very serious emoticon to convey the seriousness of what I was saying seriously.

Thank you for explaining to me the drawbacks of doing what she did, that were not obvious to me or anyone with a functioning brain.

that's usually the "i'm mocking your dumb take" emoji.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Doom Rooster posted:

I think Harris is terrible and needs to go away, and that meeting with AIPAC is dumb, especially now but... There's a huge difference between Having a meeting in your office with AIPAC during business hours and attending a multiday circle jerk conference espousing the imperative of AIPAC's goals.

Edit: The caption is pretty terrible, but still, not nearly as bad as attending the conference IMO.

Let me fire up the electron microscope and the ol' ultraviolet laser to split that hair

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 02:10 on Mar 26, 2019

MrFlibble
Nov 28, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Fallen Rib

Groovelord Neato posted:

that's usually the "i'm mocking your dumb take" emoji.

Oh! Sorry, I didn't mean that.

I was mocking that take, made by myself, for comedy.

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

overmind2000 posted:

If this is her reaction move to being in fourth place behind Mayor Pete in that Iowa poll I don't think it's gonna work

nah they explained to her israel runs an entire country as a prison and she got hard

heel turn
Jan 6, 2004

Some boy tried to step to me at the county fair. I said son u clearly have no ideal what creek im from

Trabisnikof posted:

Realistically Manchin will torpedo any climate bill so a century of war and plague is a reasonable policy goal.

I have a sneaking suspicion that Manchin is going to challenge Jim Justice for governor in 2020. It's been rumored for a while now, and he attacked him directly in a radio interview on one of the statewide media outlets a couple weeks ago. It's our one real hope to get rid of him in the Senate and replace him with someone that's an actual Democrat.

quote:

“He just won’t work,” Manchin said today. “Doesn’t show up. You can’t run the state from The Greenbrier. That’s just not the way it works. And you lead by example. All I’ll say is this, the state of West Virginia deserves and needs a full-time governor,” Manchin said. “I’ve held that position and I know what it takes. You’ve got to live it. You’ve got to eat it. You’ve got to breathe it and it’s 24/7. And you don’t have a surrogate running it for you. What I’m seeing now is not right. We’ll see what happens in the future.”

http://wvmetronews.com/2019/03/14/manchin-and-justice-exchange-fire-again-over-w-va-road-conditions/

Kobayashi
Aug 13, 2004

by Nyc_Tattoo

Doom Rooster posted:

I think Harris is terrible and needs to go away, and that meeting with AIPAC is dumb, especially now but... There's a huge difference between Having a meeting in your office with AIPAC during business hours and attending a multiday circle jerk conference espousing the imperative of AIPAC's goals.

Edit: The caption is pretty terrible, but still, not nearly as bad as attending the conference IMO.

Congratulations, you're a low information voter and a rube, taken by an audaciously obvious con.

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love
https://twitter.com/iramiof/status/1110337964347928576?s=21

GyroNinja
Nov 7, 2012

heel turn posted:

I have a sneaking suspicion that Manchin is going to challenge Jim Justice for governor in 2020. It's been rumored for a while now, and he attacked him directly in a radio interview on one of the statewide media outlets a couple weeks ago. It's our one real hope to get rid of him in the Senate and replace him with someone that's an actual Democrat.


http://wvmetronews.com/2019/03/14/manchin-and-justice-exchange-fire-again-over-w-va-road-conditions/

lol Trump won West Virginia by over 40%, if Joe Manchin leaves the Senate he isn't getting replaced with a Democrat.

:edit: By comparison, Alabama only went Trump by 28% and the Republicans had to nominate a literal sex offender to lose that seat by 2%.

reignonyourparade
Nov 15, 2012

GyroNinja posted:

lol Trump won West Virginia by over 40%, if Joe Manchin leaves the Senate he isn't getting replaced with a Democrat.

:edit: By comparison, Alabama only went Trump by 28% and the Republicans had to nominate a literal sex offender to lose that seat by 2%.

Looks like West Virginian takes care of its vacancies by appointment so I believe he'd be getting to select his own replacement if he won.

Grammarchist
Jan 28, 2013

reignonyourparade posted:

Looks like West Virginian takes care of its vacancies by appointment so I believe he'd be getting to select his own replacement if he won.

My understanding is that the legislature would rush through emergency measures to counteract that, should Manchin go through with it.

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The Kingfish
Oct 21, 2015


Doom Rooster posted:

I think Harris is terrible and needs to go away, and that meeting with AIPAC is dumb, especially now but... There's a huge difference between Having a meeting in your office with AIPAC during business hours and attending a multiday circle jerk conference espousing the imperative of AIPAC's goals.

Edit: The caption is pretty terrible, but still, not nearly as bad as attending the conference IMO.

Uh no. It would have been better for her to attend AIPAC and remain ostensibly neutral than for her to just openly state: “Israel has the right to defend itself”—the 7 Words of Israeli fascism.

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