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Who do you wish to win the Democratic primaries?
This poll is closed.
Joe Biden, the Inappropriate Toucher 18 1.46%
Bernie Sanders, the Hand Flailer 665 54.11%
Elizabeth Warren, the Plan Maker 319 25.96%
Kamala Harris, the Cop Lord 26 2.12%
Cory Booker, the Super Hero Wannabe 5 0.41%
Julian Castro, the Twin 5 0.41%
Kirsten Gillibrand, the Franken Killer 5 0.41%
Pete Buttigieg, the Troop Sociopath 17 1.38%
Robert Francis O'Rourke, the Fake Latino 3 0.24%
Jay Inslee, the Climate Alarmist 8 0.65%
Marianne Williamson, the Crystal Queen 86 7.00%
Tulsi Gabbard, the Muslim Hater 23 1.87%
Andrew Yang, the $1000 Fool 32 2.60%
Eric Swalwell, the Insurance Wife Guy 2 0.16%
Amy Klobuchar, the Comb Enthusiast 1 0.08%
Bill de Blasio, the NYPD Most Hated 4 0.33%
Tim Ryan, the Dope Face 3 0.24%
John Hickenlooper, the Also Ran 7 0.57%
Total: 1229 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Epicurius posted:

It's not. Supporting opt outs (except for special medical reasons, like the person is immunocompromised) is a bad idea and bad public policy, for the aforementioned herd immunity. It's a bad position. But generally when people say "anti-vax", they mean that they think vaccines themselves are bad things or dangerous or cause autism or whatever. You can support vaccine optouts and not at the same time think vaccines are bad or dangerous.

It is. The only excuse is medical. That's it. Otherwise, you're antivax. My man Pete supports(ed?) non-medical exemptions.

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Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Epicurius posted:

He's not an antivaxxer. He made a statement saying he supported letting people opt out for religious reasons unless there's a public health crisis that would override that. After he got criticism for it, he "walked it back"...ie, changed his position. But you can support letting people opt out of vaccination and not yourself be antivax.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/441537-buttigieg-campaign-says-he-supports-some-vaccine-exemptions

IDK this seems like an anti-vax position to most people in this thread:

quote:

I understand that many vaccines are important and save lives. I recognize there are epidemics around the world that are stopped by vaccines. I also understand some of the skepticism that abounds today about drugs which are rushed to market by Big Pharma. I am sorry that I made comments which sounded as though I question the validity of life-saving vaccines. That is not my feeling and I realize that I misspoke.

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo
As with most Democratic compromise positions, it doesn't matter why they are giving way to idiocy: the end result is dead children

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Epicurius posted:

It's not. Supporting opt outs (except for special medical reasons, like the person is immunocompromised) is a bad idea and bad public policy, for the aforementioned herd immunity. It's a bad position. But generally when people say "anti-vax", they mean that they think vaccines themselves are bad things or dangerous or cause autism or whatever. You can support vaccine optouts and not at the same time think vaccines are bad or dangerous.

That's still anti-vax.

Nothing else is treated this way, if you support motorcycle helmet 'opt-outs' you're anti-helmet even if you're careful to say helmets are good, if you support anti-discrimination law 'opt-outs' you're anti-civil rights even if you're careful to say it's good to not discriminate.

Epicurius
Apr 10, 2010
College Slice

Judakel posted:

It is. The only excuse is medical. That's it. Otherwise, you're antivax. My man Pete supports(ed?) non-medical exemptions.

Clearly we have a different definition of "antivax".

VitalSigns posted:

That's still anti-vax.

Nothing else is treated this way, if you support motorcycle helmet 'opt-outs' you're anti-helmet even if you're careful to say helmets are good, if you support anti-discrimination law 'opt-outs' you're anti-civil rights even if you're careful to say it's good to not discriminate.

I wouldn't say nothing else is treated that way. Nobody says you're anti-Social Security if you don't want to repeal the Amish opt-out.

I mean, it's kind of a moot point anyway, because it's not a federal issue. Vaccination laws are state matters.

Epicurius fucked around with this message at 03:39 on Jul 3, 2019

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
It doesn't matter literally at all whether you call Pete antivax, as long as we know his position and that his position is bullshit and actively harmful. You can say he is or isn't antivax, but it depends on your definition of the word and I don't really see what's to be gained from arguing over that.

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003

VitalSigns posted:

if you support motorcycle helmet 'opt-outs' you're anti-helmet

lol. It's not even close to the same thing. wearing a helmet on your head or not has absolutely no impact on others

MrFlibble
Nov 28, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Fallen Rib

oxsnard posted:

lol. It's not even close to the same thing. wearing a helmet on your head or not has absolutely no impact on others

Until you crash in front of an eight year old child.

The difference between a difficult talk and a future pizza themed batman villain.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf
https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/1146246213500620800

:lol:

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003

MrFlibble posted:

Until you crash in front of an eight year old child.

The difference between a difficult talk and a future pizza themed batman villain.

Relevant

https://abcnews.go.com/US/york-rider-dies-protesting-motorcycle-helmet-law/story?id=13993417

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

lol @ that post that is like "all the dem candidates are like various quirky professor stereotypes, except for Warren, who has all the other professors' strengths and none of their weaknesses and is basically the perfect person."

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love
https://twitter.com/saddamshaikh1/status/1146248682725158913

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012

eke out posted:

out of curiosity, i looked up your craziest example here and RCP only has a single poll, conducted 3 months before the primary, of 310 registered voters in one of the hardest-to-poll states there is (and sanders over performed by 40 points, not 66). so it's not really much of an average

anyways, i support your efforts to Unskew The Polls but i think your methodology could be a little more sophisticated

I mean, I only scraped the top two rows which are results and average. And I am talking about overperfoming in the margin of victory. That poll was clinton +3 and he won +63. I'm not going to spend any time vetting the average or manually opening the page and counting polls for a post on D&D, but a quick look shows that WI, MI, NH all had over 10 polls, so even if you're going to ignore all the ones that are rarely polled the argument is still the same.

joepinetree fucked around with this message at 03:59 on Jul 3, 2019

JIZZ DENOUEMENT
Oct 3, 2012

STRIKE!
Stop linking that lovely dudes twitter threads on why the candidates are bad. Somebody in the comments pointed out he just copy pasted an article from medium.

https://medium.com/@westonpagano/a-guide-to-the-2020-democratic-candidates-you-should-not-vote-for-c1c6e4c9c26

Marxalot
Dec 24, 2008

Appropriator of
Dan Crenshaw's Eyepatch

MSDOS KAPITAL posted:

lol I'm not going to defend Nate but I think there's a difference between that and just saying "actually polls do matter." Like I've gone out of my way to explain why I think the polling is going to systematically underrate Bernie (and for that matter, though probably to a lesser extent, Warren) but you ignored all that poo poo in favor of the zinger. Good on you :)

But, I think if the polls did show Bernie with a clear and commanding lead up to this point with no sign of faltering, you probably wouldn't be in here talking about how polls don't matter quite so much.

I wasn't even dunking on you, stop being so defensive lmao

Also I've told nerds in the past to stop trying to extrapolate ~bernie's gonna win!~ out of mildly favourable polls too so vOv





smg77 posted:

We're going to get stuck with Biden or Harris as the nominee because Bernie cares more about damaging the Democratic Party than anything else.

what the christ does this even mean

KIM JONG TRILL
Nov 29, 2006

GIN AND JUCHE

Gripweed posted:

If Bernie dropped out all establishment support for Warren would instantly vanish

It’s 100% going to go behind Kamala over the next couple of months now that she has shown herself capable of knifing Biden. He’s going to nosedive and quietly bow out for “health concerns” after another debate or two.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

KIM JONG TRILL posted:

It’s 100% going to go behind Kamala over the next couple of months now that she has shown herself capable of knifing Biden. He’s going to nosedive and quietly bow out for “health concerns” after another debate or two.

Thank gently caress, Biden was the absolute worst case scenario

oxsnard
Oct 8, 2003
Harris winning would be only tolerable because of how upset the Nazis will be about a black woman being president

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!

Epicurius posted:

Clearly we have a different definition of "antivax".


I wouldn't say nothing else is treated that way. Nobody says you're anti-Social Security if you don't want to repeal the Amish opt-out.

I mean, it's kind of a moot point anyway, because it's not a federal issue. Vaccination laws are state matters.

You have to take a hardline position on things that kill children man.

Halloween Fingers
Jun 15, 2019

by R. Guyovich

oxsnard posted:

Harris winning would be only tolerable because of how upset the Nazis will be about a black woman being president

And then you get to spend 4-8 years watching that president capitulate to almost every demand they make. Sounds great.

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.

Halloween Fingers posted:

And then you get to spend 4-8 years watching that president capitulate to almost every demand they make. Sounds great.

Yeah President Harris lets everyone pretend everything is great now as we continue to murder children in concentration camps and launch a war against Iran while the poor and downtrodden in the US continue to circle the drain. But hey at least we'll get lots of slay kween gifs.

ded redd
Aug 1, 2010

by Fluffdaddy
Harris is for people who want Biden’s evil while pretending they aren’t throwing their support to the indefensible right-wing cause.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Wait till kamala harris pardons every cop who shots a black or mexican kid. Then youll all be gooning abuut how you shoulda picked tree stump biden

the_steve
Nov 9, 2005

We're always hiring!

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

Wait till kamala harris pardons every cop who shots a black or mexican kid. Then youll all be gooning abuut how you shoulda picked tree stump biden

Good point. We may as well head all that off at the pass and just vote for Bernie. That'd save us all a lot of grief in the long run.

Condiv
May 7, 2008

Sorry to undo the effort of paying a domestic abuser $10 to own this poster, but I am going to lose my dang mind if I keep seeing multiple posters who appear to be Baloogan.

With love,
a mod


It’s pretty great that Bootyjudge is now objectively even more of a joke-tier candidate than the crystal queen thanks to him being an anti-vaxxer. Any other anti-vaxx “respectable” candidates?

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


seeing biden falling is good but it sucks it's harris that's skyrocketing.

https://twitter.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/1145575260810633221

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018

oxsnard posted:

Harris winning would be only tolerable because of how upset the Nazis will be about a black woman being president

*hate crimes go up by 1000%* "heh, triggered?"

Divot
Dec 23, 2013
New ABC / Wapo poll that looks quite a bit different than some others already posted ITT.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1146359918460583936

Son of Thunderbeast
Sep 21, 2002
Wow yeah that's quite different. I find that both a little frustrating and a little reassuring somehow.

8 more months of this until Iowa augh

VH4Ever
Oct 1, 2005

by sebmojo

Divot posted:

New ABC / Wapo poll that looks quite a bit different than some others already posted ITT.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1146359918460583936

Biden down to a 6 point lead from what, like over 15 or whatever before? After one debate.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


it rules that mayor pete can't crack 5 percent but raised as much as sanders. very real, grassroots support.

Skippy McPants
Mar 19, 2009

Groovelord Neato posted:

it rules that mayor pete can't crack 5 percent but raised as much as sanders. very real, grassroots support.

What's really gonna suck is when he comes back 4-12 years down the line and runs as a serious contender.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

Skippy McPants posted:

What's really gonna suck is when he comes back 4-12 years down the line and runs as a serious contender.

By then America will be either socialist or fascist and either way he will not be viable.


VH4Ever posted:

Biden down to a 6 point lead from what, like over 15 or whatever before? After one debate.

Yeah, thing is about Biden's popularity is that once it goes down it's almost certainly going to stay down, because it's a mix of name recognition and 'electability', both of which are extremely flaky and will flee the moment someone else appears remotely viable or says something that actually gets their attention. And Biden has failed miserably in every single competitive election he's run in even when he wasn't obviously senile.

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018

Skippy McPants posted:

What's really gonna suck is when he comes back 4-12 years down the line and runs as a serious contender.

There's no way. Either Bernie will have won and Mayor Pete style robots will no longer be leaders in the Democrat party, Trump will have won and there will no longer even be the illusion of free elections in a bunch of states so who cares, or Harris will have won, served one term, and been replaced by a King/Crenshaw ticket after which elections are formally canceled

VH4Ever
Oct 1, 2005

by sebmojo

Ghost Leviathan posted:

By then America will be either socialist or fascist and either way he will not be viable.


Yeah, thing is about Biden's popularity is that once it goes down it's almost certainly going to stay down, because it's a mix of name recognition and 'electability', both of which are extremely flaky and will flee the moment someone else appears remotely viable or says something that actually gets their attention. And Biden has failed miserably in every single competitive election he's run in even when he wasn't obviously senile.

I agree. Once you lose "Oh, Biden...Obama...better times..." what is there to bring a person back? Especially if what's turning people off is the fact that your brain no longer works correctly?

Breakfast All Day
Oct 21, 2004

Divot posted:

New ABC / Wapo poll that looks quite a bit different than some others already posted ITT.

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1146359918460583936

The two with Bernie in fourth are getting all the press and will continue to do so. There's articles everywhere about him falling behind the pack after months of not mentioning he was at #2 or just outright omitting him from results (like MSNBC).

Polls are garbage and speculating about them is sniffing the garbage but that's what we're here to do, so my take is the two with him in fourth are more representative of polling "politically engaged" types who are already treating the debates like gameday who've realized Biden's not going to be a publicly acceptable choice long term, so you'll see his support start to fracture between Harris, Buttigieg and Warren. This means Bernie is going to continue to be further back in the ranks in some polls from now on, but doesn't really indicate any loss of support or momentum for him. Of course it doesn't help, either, and he's not going to capture anyone from those camps until/unless primaries begin and he's picked up 3 or 4 wins.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Gripweed posted:

There's no way. Either Bernie will have won and Mayor Pete style robots will no longer be leaders in the Democrat party, Trump will have won and there will no longer even be the illusion of free elections in a bunch of states so who cares, or Harris will have won, served one term, and been replaced by a King/Crenshaw ticket after which elections are formally canceled

King? Steven King? He could barely win his own house district. He would need Pete Davidson to tell literally thousands of anodyne jokes about him to improve his national profile enough. And probably also go back in time and be a Troop.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.
Kind of the point is that 2016 made it very clear that the neoliberal political order was always unsustainable and is now a rotting, tilting mess waiting to keel over at the slightest pressure, and everything since then has gone on to prove it.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

Ghost Leviathan posted:

By then America will be either socialist or fascist and either way he will not be viable.

You're talking as if the Dem establishment wouldn't go full Quisling the moment that the fash take over.

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Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

Cerebral Bore posted:

You're talking as if the Dem establishment wouldn't go full Quisling the moment that the fash take over.

Which isn't gonna stop Republicans taking absolute glee in publicly persecuting them.

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