Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

evilweasel posted:

I have heard a lot less about doc review automation recently than I was hearing five years ago, and my guess is it hit the same wall a lot of "ai" projects have been hitting. Beyond that, I'm not sure what stuff that associates do that would be automated - and the grunt doc review stuff is already outsourced to contract attorneys instead of associates (and the stuff that associates do in that circumstance isn't automatable yet and I have doubts it will be). What other tasks were going to be automated away in the future?

The main one discussed at the conference was client intake. In the nonprofit legal world a lot of grunt time is spent listening to the legally ignorant complain and figuring out if there is any remedy for their complaints. A lot of that could potentially be automated with sufficiently sophisticated tools.

Past that there are increasingly sophisticated legal research and drafting tools.

But yeah "within five years" in tech terms means "there is a problem nobody has solved yet but we think somebody might soon."

And you're correct about subcontracted legal work too.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Look Sir Droids
Jan 27, 2015

The tracks go off in this direction.

evilweasel posted:

You're not automating away what a paralegal does anytime soon without an actual robot. Legal assistants got largely automated away by the desktop computer and the remaining tasks are bespoke enough AI isn't gonna do poo poo there.

Sorry, didn’t mean to suggest it would be soon. But that’s who will eat it first. In like 20-30 yrs. And it’ll likely be arguable AI isn’t the primary driver, just one of many.

ActusRhesus
Sep 18, 2007

"Perhaps the fact the defendant had to be dragged out of the courtroom while declaring 'Death to you all, a Jihad on the court' may have had something to do with the revocation of his bond. That or calling the judge a bald-headed cock-sucker. Either way."
Stupid people are my job security.

homullus
Mar 27, 2009

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

The main one discussed at the conference was client intake. In the nonprofit legal world a lot of grunt time is spent listening to the legally ignorant complain and figuring out if there is any remedy for their complaints. A lot of that could potentially be automated with sufficiently sophisticated tools.

Past that there are increasingly sophisticated legal research and drafting tools.

But yeah "within five years" in tech terms means "there is a problem nobody has solved yet but we think somebody might soon."

And you're correct about subcontracted legal work too.

The client intake thing is already happening in British Columbia with their Civil Resolution Tribunal's Solution Explorer. Menus direct them through to see whether they have a legal issue, and the CRT itself prompts litigants to deal with each other directly first, then with a mediator, and then finally to an adversarial process. The CRT started with small claims, but is spreading into other kinds of cases. At no point (yet) is there an AI, though.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

Look Sir Droids posted:

Sorry, didn’t mean to suggest it would be soon. But that’s who will eat it first. In like 20-30 yrs. And it’ll likely be arguable AI isn’t the primary driver, just one of many.

I think it's an "on the order of ten years" type thing. It depends on when the tech problems get solved, but there could be a watershed moment next year, or not for twenty.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Look Sir Droids posted:

Sorry, didn’t mean to suggest it would be soon. But that’s who will eat it first. In like 20-30 yrs. And it’ll likely be arguable AI isn’t the primary driver, just one of many.

I can believe associates will be automated away to some degree, but the whole point of a paralegal is to be the gopher for all of the random stuff that needs to get done that isn't really a "lawyer" job so it's really not susceptible to automation.

sullat
Jan 9, 2012
Didn't a while bunch of the "automation breakthroughs" in the last few years turn out to be "hiring sub-minimum wage workers in another country?"

El_Elegante
Jul 3, 2004

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Biscuit Hider
It’s a shame amazon branded Mechanical Turk because of how applicable it is.

Look Sir Droids
Jan 27, 2015

The tracks go off in this direction.

evilweasel posted:

I can believe associates will be automated away to some degree, but the whole point of a paralegal is to be the gopher for all of the random stuff that needs to get done that isn't really a "lawyer" job so it's really not susceptible to automation.

In my experience, that depends a whole lot on the firm/organization, the practice group, and the paralegal themself. That said, there are still a lot of little duties that can get stripped away by a reliable AI. I can see an AI e-filing documents, sending mail (since that's accomplished by email a lot), doing legal and non-legal research to a certain degree, drafting documents, etc. In some firms, there won't be enough left to justify having a paralegal and those remaining duties can get reallocated to associates.

The point isn't that paralegals will go extinct. It's that the job duties leftover will mean there are fewer of them. This has already happened. Viable AI would just be another wave. It makes less sense to me that associates will be impacted because it's not just work they're there for. They're also there for the future of the firm. Some will have to end up partners. Paralegals, by comparison, are mostly overhead.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

Someone still has to make the binders.

Pinky Artichoke
Apr 10, 2011

Dinner has blossomed.

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

  • Soon *sensor* technology will improve to the point that it will be possible for AI to listen in on a deposition and then tell the deposing attorney things like “80% chance of veracity” or “take a break now and then resume after lunch, 14% increase in chance of successful litigation” – in many cases results-driven AI is getting better at predicting human behavior than humans are (although AI often cannot explain why such rules are the case; it might be able to tell you that breaking for lunch increases odds of success, but not be able to explain why).

Looking forward to the future where the secret weapons vs. AI-assisted opponents are hiring as many POC as possible and encouraging enterprise-wide intermittent fasting.

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

The main one discussed at the conference was client intake. In the nonprofit legal world a lot of grunt time is spent listening to the legally ignorant complain and figuring out if there is any remedy for their complaints. A lot of that could potentially be automated with sufficiently sophisticated tools.

That's "easy" if the system can understand natural language well enough (or the client can be guided into structured answers) since it's just a rules engine. Getting to something that can full-on understand a person who may not speak the most standard educated English is a long way off, especially since just getting good training samples is probably a challenge.

Maybe this exists already, but low-hanging fruit to me is project management software for litigation with built-in civil procedure intelligence. It's another rules engine and there is probably enough of an application for machine learning in there somewhere to put the buzzword on the investor deck.

sullat posted:

Didn't a while bunch of the "automation breakthroughs" in the last few years turn out to be "hiring sub-minimum wage workers in another country?"

The problem is that machine learning systems need known-quantity training data to learn on, and for a lot of use cases (if not all) that data needs to be sorted and tagged by humans. So that introduces human grunt-work into your AI development process and a bunch of related issues.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

euphronius posted:

Someone still has to make the binders.

and then remake them

ActusRhesus
Sep 18, 2007

"Perhaps the fact the defendant had to be dragged out of the courtroom while declaring 'Death to you all, a Jihad on the court' may have had something to do with the revocation of his bond. That or calling the judge a bald-headed cock-sucker. Either way."
I make my own binders. :(

Pook Good Mook
Aug 6, 2013


ENFORCE THE UNITED STATES DRESS CODE AT ALL COSTS!

This message paid for by the Men's Wearhouse& Jos A Bank Lobbying Group
Automation taking my job as a prosecutor is basically a Rise of the Machines/Terminator situation where we're all dead anyway. Which I welcome.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

ActusRhesus posted:

I make my own binders. :(

Jesus

ActusRhesus
Sep 18, 2007

"Perhaps the fact the defendant had to be dragged out of the courtroom while declaring 'Death to you all, a Jihad on the court' may have had something to do with the revocation of his bond. That or calling the judge a bald-headed cock-sucker. Either way."
Follow up on my bitch OC. Motion for extension of time granted. I got a week more than I asked for. That’s some shade from the bench right there.

Also follow up on mister in patient sex offender treatment as a condition of probation is a violation of the 8th amendment. Another jurisdiction just got a warrant for his arrest for raping a cell mate prior to his release. Can’t violate his probation Bc it predates his release. But it sure as hell spoonfeeds me my “no really. He needs treatment”’argument.

Sab0921
Aug 2, 2004

This for my justices slingin' thangs, rib breakin' kings / Truck, necklace, robe, gavel and things / For the solicitors seein' them dissents spin and grin / That robe with the lace trim that win.
Pretty sure a lot of junior level corporate work can be automated - most due diligence, negotiating NDAs, corporate formations and other menial tasks related to the transaction can and should go away.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


Charles Star, channeling that big Mic Dicta energy, did a rundown of the best of Larry Klayman’s bar discipline.

https://twitter.com/Ugarles/status/1156231330495119362

Check the thread.

Kawasaki Nun
Jul 16, 2001

by Reene
Well today I learned an important lesson in why you write emails detailing the contents of in person discussions every time you have them

ActusRhesus
Sep 18, 2007

"Perhaps the fact the defendant had to be dragged out of the courtroom while declaring 'Death to you all, a Jihad on the court' may have had something to do with the revocation of his bond. That or calling the judge a bald-headed cock-sucker. Either way."

Kawasaki Nun posted:

Well today I learned an important lesson in why you write emails detailing the contents of in person discussions every time you have them

Details.

blarzgh
Apr 14, 2009

SNITCHIN' RANDY
Grimey Drawer

Admit you liked Under the Skin

Alaemon
Jan 4, 2009

Proctors are guardians of the sanctity and integrity of legal education, therefore they are responsible for the nourishment of the soul.
My office is seriously overloaded with binders. Scheduling order says anything over 50 pages (including exhibits) goes in a binder with exhibits tabbed. Then there are the people who do that but don't follow the order or court rules in some other fashion (court rules changed in the last year so filed transcripts have to be one page of text per sheet of paper, not mini-script). So they have to send a SECOND binder.

Then when the case settles or the motion gets adjudicated, I toss out the guts but I'm left with a perfectly good binder. And I can't just throw it away, because it's in near-mint condition. So here I am knowing that my county's pension plan is grossly underfunded but at least I have my retirement binders.

The Dagda
Nov 22, 2005

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

The main one discussed at the conference was client intake. In the nonprofit legal world a lot of grunt time is spent listening to the legally ignorant complain and figuring out if there is any remedy for their complaints. A lot of that could potentially be automated with sufficiently sophisticated tools.


I think screening tools are good and can be helpful, but they are deeply limited. Over the years I’ve worked a lot in systems that have tried to mimic this through a kind of labor arbitrage, where big law pro bonos, non-attorney navigators, and even limited computer tools are used to triage cases before referring to actual non-profit lawyers.

It’s better than nothing, but not by much. Typically if someone has a muddy fact pattern at all, I will have to do a whole second screening with them. A good volunteer or non-attorney intake person will err on the side of over-inclusivity, which is good, but means I get a lot of people who I could have identified at the outset as lacking relief.

It’s not useless — some people have absolutely no claim and it’s easy to tell. But I would be able to identify that person in 20 minutes or less. And the non-profit is paying me, an attorney from a top law school with five years of experience, $25 per hour, so it’s only gonna cost them like $8 to have me weed that guy out anyway. Less for a good non-attorney staff person.

joat mon
Oct 15, 2009

I am the master of my lamp;
I am the captain of my tub.

Ani
Jun 15, 2001
illum non populi fasces, non purpura regum / flexit et infidos agitans discordia fratres

Sab0921 posted:

Pretty sure a lot of junior level corporate work can be automated - most due diligence, negotiating NDAs, corporate formations and other menial tasks related to the transaction can and should go away.
Agree. There's also a lot of transactional stuff that I don't know if you could completely automate, but you could make much more efficient - eg., conforming defined terms across multiple related documents and such takes a lot of junior associate time but could be largely automated away.

Toona the Cat
Jun 9, 2004

The Greatest
MBE felt way easier than it should. Then again, I did just over 2400 practice questions.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

bone shaking.
soul baking.
Just got offered a graduate assistanceship position with the school of business. I can be either a TA or research assistant this fall if I accept.

blarzgh
Apr 14, 2009

SNITCHIN' RANDY
Grimey Drawer
My Wife: we just had a baby two days ago, so let's not have too much company over too soon, I don't want it to be hectic around here

Also My Wife: I like that house let's buy it and move this month

Phil Moscowitz
Feb 19, 2007

If blood be the price of admiralty,
Lord God, we ha' paid in full!

blarzgh posted:

My Wife: we just had a baby two days ago, so let's not have too much company over too soon, I don't want it to be hectic around here

Also My Wife: I like that house let's buy it and move this month

Checks out

Arcturas
Mar 30, 2011

blarzgh posted:

My Wife: we just had a baby two days ago, so let's not have too much company over too soon, I don't want it to be hectic around here

Also My Wife: I like that house let's buy it and move this month

Yeah, my second kid was just born a month ago and my wife has already looked at four houses with our realtor...

Whitlam
Aug 2, 2014

Some goons overreact. Go figure.
I actually met with an agent on Monday, because she emailed me to ask if I wanted to come to her office and discuss a property I looked at two months ago. She was 40 minutes late, and when she got there, she told me the seller hadn't budged on price and there were no developments.

I was pretty pissed off so I said to her if the vendor would come down to $640k, maaaaybe I would consider it but I don't even know if I'd get approved for that loan (probably not), and I'd have to talk to my mortgage broker first but she's overseas for a month, and I still think that's too high a price so probably wouldn't be interested even for that amount. Yesterday she emailed me go say the vendor had accepted my offer of $640k :downs:.

G-Mawwwwwww
Jan 31, 2003

My LPth are Hot Garbage
Biscuit Hider
I got into a yelling match outside the courtroom with a pro se over whom Jesus loved more.

My client also demanded to say something three times during the court hearing, and the third time he demanded to say something, I told him to "Fire me so I can get out of here."

It was audible.



I took the case because another attorney begged me to get her rear end out of the fire for not appearing and getting a default judgment against her client.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

Whitlam posted:

I actually met with an agent on Monday, because she emailed me to ask if I wanted to come to her office and discuss a property I looked at two months ago. She was 40 minutes late, and when she got there, she told me the seller hadn't budged on price and there were no developments.

I was pretty pissed off so I said to her if the vendor would come down to $640k, maaaaybe I would consider it but I don't even know if I'd get approved for that loan (probably not), and I'd have to talk to my mortgage broker first but she's overseas for a month, and I still think that's too high a price so probably wouldn't be interested even for that amount. Yesterday she emailed me go say the vendor had accepted my offer of $640k :downs:.

Lamo owned

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

blarzgh posted:

My Wife: we just had a baby two days ago, so let's not have too much company over too soon, I don't want it to be hectic around here

Also My Wife: I like that house let's buy it and move this month

Make sure to tell her that she just had a child and isn't thinking rationally.

Eminent Domain
Sep 23, 2007



GrandmaParty posted:

I got into a yelling match outside the courtroom with a pro se over whom Jesus loved more.

My client also demanded to say something three times during the court hearing, and the third time he demanded to say something, I told him to "Fire me so I can get out of here."

It was audible.



I took the case because another attorney begged me to get her rear end out of the fire for not appearing and getting a default judgment against her client.

No good deed goes unpunished.

I've had smooth sailing on my cases so far, stipulations and agreements as far as the eye can see.

I'm sure after my vacation I'll have a client lose their poo poo on the judge again.

Kawasaki Nun
Jul 16, 2001

by Reene

Had a probation revocation case where I had previously discussed with the DA that they were happy to defer to what probation would recommend. A few weeks ago I didn't object to a continuance in the day of the revo hearing when the PO was out of town despite being under subpoena because I had spoken with him and he said he would pull the complaint.

Fast forward to Tuesday and I have a personal issue and ask a coworker to cover, thinking that the hearing was simply going to be a formality. A new DA is on the case and the guy I asked to cover says they aren't interested In pulling the complaint and instead wanted to revoke and reinstate the terms of his probation. I get a phone call at 4:30 asking wtf is going on and proceed to scour all my prior emails to find where we had specifically agreed in writing to abide by probations recommendation and come up short.

My understanding is that my coworker was unable to get a continuance and instead agreed to revoke and reinstate. I don't completely understand why this was the case but it was a suboptimal outcome for the client and a solid "oh gently caress" moment at the end of my internship

SlyFrog
May 16, 2007

What? One name? Who are you, Seal?

Ani posted:

Agree. There's also a lot of transactional stuff that I don't know if you could completely automate, but you could make much more efficient - eg., conforming defined terms across multiple related documents and such takes a lot of junior associate time but could be largely automated away.

This stuff has been around for a while. E.g. https://legal.thomsonreuters.com/en/products/drafting-assistant/transactional

"Quickly identify, assess, and address potential issues, such as defined-term and cross-reference discrepancies."

Used to be a product called "DealProof" that I think got sucked into Thomson Reuters/Westlaw, for example, that would search for all defined terms, flag if there was a defined term that was undefined, flag if there was a defined term that was not used in the document, discrepancies between defined terms, section reference discrepancies, etc.

One of the hilarious aspects of billing hourly is that you really don't get a lot of benefit from having things come along that reduce the time it takes you to do things, other than the arms race between law firms to call themselves more efficient (which really isn't much of an arms race). There is a decided disincentive to a profession to innovate, when that innovation simply costs the profession money but where the productivity gains really don't matter due to hourly billing rates.

I mean I theoretically suppose that it is these productivity gains that support increasing hourly rates, but I highly doubt that is the real reason for increasing hourly rates.

Kimsemus
Dec 4, 2013

by Reene
Toilet Rascal
Honestly though -- for every law firm that won't adopt programs for efficiency's sake, another firm will. A lot of the firms popping up now are boutique firms that rely on their focus and specialty over just amassing tons of hours to survive.

Clients are more value conscience now and they want to see what they're paying for. The tolerance for inefficiency will continue to decrease as time goes on.

Organza Quiz
Nov 7, 2009


We just charge fixed fee so anything that makes us more efficient is awesome :shrug:

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Ani
Jun 15, 2001
illum non populi fasces, non purpura regum / flexit et infidos agitans discordia fratres
That looks pretty useful - but I've literally never heard of anyone actually using it. Maybe my practice area (lev fin) is very backwards? EDIT: also the real value add is working across multiple related documents. Within one document we have tools that can help do a defined terms check that I think people do use, but we still burn a lot of junior time fixing all the other docs once the main agreement or prospectus is cleaned up.

quote:

One of the hilarious aspects of billing hourly is that you really don't get a lot of benefit from having things come along that reduce the time it takes you to do things, other than the arms race between law firms to call themselves more efficient (which really isn't much of an arms race). There is a decided disincentive to a profession to innovate, when that innovation simply costs the profession money but where the productivity gains really don't matter due to hourly billing rates.

I mean I theoretically suppose that it is these productivity gains that support increasing hourly rates, but I highly doubt that is the real reason for increasing hourly rates.
On the transactional side, it doesn't feel like clients are necessarily that sensitive to hourly rates, just to total fees charged. As long as we bill the same for each acquisition financing, I don't think anyone would care too much what our hourly rate was (assuming no complaints about the work).

Ani fucked around with this message at 06:38 on Aug 1, 2019

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply