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Pinterest Mom posted:Social scientists very often don’t so much pick their data as do their best to answer questions with the data they can get, so I’m not sure that here it’s so much a contested idea as “well we have data for Seattle employers let’s see what we can answer”. I say it is contested because they're arguing that their data set is a better indicator than the commonly used approach of treating fastfood workers as a proxy for minimum wage earners in general. I'd also say it is contested insofar as the entire debate about the impact of the minimum wage going back to Card and Krueger was understood as a serious challenge to neoclassical pricing theories, and many economists reacted to the Card and Krueger findings in exactly those terms, treating it as a sort of heresy that was wrong by necessity.
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# ? Aug 31, 2019 22:55 |
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# ? Jun 7, 2024 09:07 |
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The Cheshire Cat posted:Plus you never really know. I mean, the voter turnout last election was 68% - if all of those non-voters decided to vote for the party that "had no chance", that party could potentially have won at least a plurality. How many of them do you think were discouraged from voting because they felt that there was no point if their party couldn't win? Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 00:52 |
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I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 01:53 |
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Count Roland posted:I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market. please link directly to the cbc comment when you quote it
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 02:03 |
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What massive interventions are they planning?
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 02:14 |
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Ron Paul Atreides posted:Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized Municipal governments routinely get elected with turnout in the twenties. Pretty hard to drop it much lower than that.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 02:39 |
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Ron Paul Atreides posted:Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized When has that ever worked?
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 02:42 |
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Is it strange that the liberal platform is not on their site yet? Are they just forgoing it this time since they ignored the last one after getting elected? E: never mind. In my mind the election was closer than it actually is and I guess they’re saving it for the campaign to officially start Starks fucked around with this message at 02:49 on Sep 1, 2019 |
# ? Sep 1, 2019 02:43 |
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zapplez posted:When has that ever worked? It would have to be combined with a general strike action. And it's never really been attempted. Usually things break down into civil war before hand or are already totalitarian
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 03:31 |
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If I were registered to vote, I'd send these clowns a message by staying home on election day and dressing up like a clown.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 03:38 |
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The Cheshire Cat posted:Plus you never really know. I mean, the voter turnout last election was 68% - if all of those non-voters decided to vote for the party that "had no chance", that party could potentially have won at least a plurality. How many of them do you think were discouraged from voting because they felt that there was no point if their party couldn't win? What if you don't have a preferred candidate?
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 03:42 |
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xtal posted:What if you don't have a preferred candidate? Then go to the voting station and void your ballot. Participate in the most basic form of political action that you, as an individual can take, even if your statement is "all these people suck".
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 03:50 |
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Alternatively, stay home and get trashed on Listerine.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 04:02 |
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infernal machines posted:Alternatively, stay home and get trashed on Listerine. Hey, you call it mouthwash, I call it 54 proof.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 04:57 |
Count Roland posted:I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 05:21 |
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berenzen posted:Then go to the voting station and void your ballot. Participate in the most basic form of political action that you, as an individual can take, even if your statement is "all these people suck". This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 05:24 |
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Voting green may as well be a spoiled ballot and you’re just handing the reigns to the cons.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 05:36 |
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zapplez posted:This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil. First principles. I'd rather abstain than endorse the least worst Overton Window candidate. If your political aspirations are to contain the excesses of your ideological opponents then they've already won; they're dictating the rules of the game.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 06:52 |
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The gambit is to wait this election out then hopefully pick the NDP up off the scrap heap and turn it into a vehicle for change like we’re seeing with the DSA/Bernie/AOC/etc in the US. If post election it becomes clear the NDP are unsuitable for such a purpose (say, by retaining Singh or failing to purge the centrist party leadership), then it’s time to get serious about starting a new political party. Right now the NDP are too screwed up to be worth supporting, and there’s too little time to build an entirely new leftist political party and expect to make any sort of impact.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 07:43 |
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Revive the CCF from the scrapheap of history and mould it into everything the NDP and Greens should be e: "No CCF Government will rest content until it has eradicated capitalism and put into operation the full programme of socialized planning which will lead to the establishment in Canada of the Co-operative Commonwealth." loving GOALS
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 09:01 |
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I don't think we have the luxury to suffer another Liberal or Conservative government. We need to just loving get on board with sending a message of change and then making sure it happens as soon as possible. I think the NDP would be the most amenable to letting necessary changes happen after the election is done, but sadly no one is bold enough to run on that.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 09:10 |
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zapplez posted:This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil. Voting for the least worst likely outcome last election got us Justin "what first nations communities need are boat houses for their canoes!" Trudeau. He bought us a failing pipeline so we can poison BC with bitumen and not much else. Won't get fooled again.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 13:28 |
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Bilirubin posted:OMG Andrew Scheer has such a punchable voice They're not the heroes we need and I'm not even sure that we deserve them, but they're here:
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 14:04 |
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 14:11 |
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Starks posted:Is it strange that the liberal platform is not on their site yet? Are they just forgoing it this time since they ignored the last one after getting elected? More importantly, the Government of Canada is still making suspiciously timed funding announcements all around the country, and the LPC dropping their platform would distract from that.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:07 |
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Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP?
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:12 |
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Only the ones who've been paying attention to our government. So, by and large, I guess that's a no.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:14 |
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Grouchio posted:Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP? Our government is not very good. It's not as terrible as it could be or potentially will be, but it's still bad. Our choices are two variations on the status quo or regression. The absolute best case scenario is we don't follow the Americans going rear end-over-breakfast into xenophobic fascism*. This tends to limit our enthusiasm somewhat. *This election. We are attached to them by a three to five year tether, it will happen sooner or later. With the added bonus of seeing exactly what the outcome will be as it happens. infernal machines fucked around with this message at 15:41 on Sep 1, 2019 |
# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:32 |
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Helsing posted:I say it is contested because they're arguing that their data set is a better indicator than the commonly used approach of treating fastfood workers as a proxy for minimum wage earners in general. I'd also say it is contested insofar as the entire debate about the impact of the minimum wage going back to Card and Krueger was understood as a serious challenge to neoclassical pricing theories, and many economists reacted to the Card and Krueger findings in exactly those terms, treating it as a sort of heresy that was wrong by necessity. I think that’s a misreading of where the Jardim paper fits in the literature, and of why fast-food workers were used as a proxy. The methodology here has a clear throughline from CK and is philosophically quite similar despite some of the being different - they both identify a group of workers affected by the minimum wage increase, define a control group, and just compare the difference in outcomes between the two. CK didn’t use fast food workers as a proxy because they had a strong opinion that it was a good thing to do, they did it because it was convenient. They didn’t have access to administrative data so they decided to call up fast food establishments on the NJ/PA border themselves, with the kinda handwavey assumptions that fast food workers were representative of all minimum wage workers (or would be hit hardest by minimum wage increases) and that NJ and PA fast food establishments would have similar employment trends absent the minimum wage increase. That Jardim et al use administrative data from all employers isn’t in conflict with or questioning Card Krueger, they just have better data on more workers. And their results are consistent with CK! They find ~0 effect for the first, smaller increase, and then a slight negative effect for the second increase. CK found a zero effect for a 4.25->5.05 (1992 dollars - ~7.25 to 8.50 in 2015 dollars) increase, which is a small increase. For an increase about the same size, 9.50 to 11, Jardim et al find an effect on employment indistinguishable from zero, and only with an increase twice the size do they find a slight negative effect on employment. It’s entirely consistent with Card Krueger both in methodology and in results, and viewing that paper as attempting to refute it isn’t really right. They just had better data, a different setting, and the fortune to have a policy change that operated in two steps.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:41 |
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Grouchio posted:Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP? P sure OP is a canadian living in the US so they get some of the blame there. Most canadians are happy, this thread just attracts the sadbrains. We are the 7th happiest country on the planet, https://s3.amazonaws.com/happiness-report/2018/WHR_web.pdf but watch the gently caress out netherlands, we're comin for you next year.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 15:56 |
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A happy Canadian is an oblivious Canadian
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 16:52 |
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infernal machines posted:Our choices are two variations on the status quo or regression. The status quo is regression. Never forget that. Those who support the status quo are supporting the inevitable slide back to fascism and imperialism. No matter how friendly a face they try to put on it, the centrists know very well that the course theyre steering us on is going to take us down the same path as the far right, it'll just take a little while longer to get there.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:08 |
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I tend to see our bouncing between the babiest of steps and evil regression as worse. We clearly aren't getting closer to the great revolution here in Canada, we're waiting for the perfect leader for the NDP (we had it once, he died ) and then either pout voting green or 'strategic' voting liberal. Then cons win or lose based on that and voter apathy. We like to think that by constantly allowing the cons be evil we'll somehow overtake them with a superior NDP candidate that arose from those ashes, or ???? profit.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:24 |
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Jack Layton sucked and if more politicians like him would have the temerity to just loving die we'd all be better off
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:26 |
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Postess with the Mostest posted:P sure OP is a canadian living in the US so they get some of the blame there. Most canadians are happy, this thread just attracts the sadbrains. We are the 7th happiest country on the planet, https://s3.amazonaws.com/happiness-report/2018/WHR_web.pdf but watch the gently caress out netherlands, we're comin for you next year. Weed's legal now - it's all due to the drugs.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:27 |
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I'm sadbrained that the NDP sucks but I volunteer for them and poo poo still because if we're going to get a leftist leader in Canada, it's going to be through them. We just need someone we can rally around, even if it's an AOC-like person who has good ideas but not much actual power. Or something. I am maybe bad at politics and ignorant of how implacable the inner core of the centre-left NDP we know and abide may be.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:34 |
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just another posted:First principles. Then I'll ask point blank, what can we do to change the rules of the games? Hiding in the back woods and pretending voting does nothing only guarantees powerlessness and I'd rather vote for the lesser evil because it's less evil by default.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:36 |
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Tighclops posted:Jack Layton sucked and if more politicians like him would have the temerity to just loving die we'd all be better off https://www.straight.com/article-164139/layton-releases-ndp-platform-lots-promises in 2008 posted:The NDP platform also includes: What was your beef with Layton? Like it's not the best, he was police friendly, but for 10 years ago a lot of that would've done fairly well for us.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:44 |
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That's a good platform but Layton's centralising of the party message and imposing more discipline in the caucus meant that we no longer had further left voices in the discourse. Because of Jack, the bounds of discourse from elected officials shrank from "whatever the furthest flank of the party is willing to push" to "whatever the official NPD position is", which was a short-term electoral boon but probably long term loss for the movement.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:49 |
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# ? Jun 7, 2024 09:07 |
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Lassitude posted:I'm sadbrained that the NDP sucks but I volunteer for them and poo poo still because if we're going to get a leftist leader in Canada, it's going to be through them. We just need someone we can rally around, even if it's an AOC-like person who has good ideas but not much actual power. Or something. I am maybe bad at politics and ignorant of how implacable the inner core of the centre-left NDP we know and abide may be. Even if the NDP completely collapses and a new party takes its place, at least you would have some practice doing politics. Building up a new party or movement from the ground up takes a long time. It would be more akin to QS who spent a decade getting it together.
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# ? Sep 1, 2019 17:52 |