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Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN

Pinterest Mom posted:

Social scientists very often don’t so much pick their data as do their best to answer questions with the data they can get, so I’m not sure that here it’s so much a contested idea as “well we have data for Seattle employers let’s see what we can answer”.

I say it is contested because they're arguing that their data set is a better indicator than the commonly used approach of treating fastfood workers as a proxy for minimum wage earners in general. I'd also say it is contested insofar as the entire debate about the impact of the minimum wage going back to Card and Krueger was understood as a serious challenge to neoclassical pricing theories, and many economists reacted to the Card and Krueger findings in exactly those terms, treating it as a sort of heresy that was wrong by necessity.

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Ron Paul Atreides
Apr 19, 2012

Uyghurs situation in Xinjiang? Just a police action, do not fret. Not ongoing genocide like in EVIL Canada.

I am definitely not a tankie.

The Cheshire Cat posted:

Plus you never really know. I mean, the voter turnout last election was 68% - if all of those non-voters decided to vote for the party that "had no chance", that party could potentially have won at least a plurality. How many of them do you think were discouraged from voting because they felt that there was no point if their party couldn't win?

So yeah, always vote, even if your preferred candidate seems like a longshot. By not voting you just guarantee it they won't win.

Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market.

The Butcher
Apr 20, 2005

Well, at least we tried.
Nap Ghost

Count Roland posted:

I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market.

please link directly to the cbc comment when you quote it

Normy
Jul 1, 2004

Do I Krushchev?


What massive interventions are they planning?

folytopo
Nov 5, 2013

Ron Paul Atreides posted:

Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized

Municipal governments routinely get elected with turnout in the twenties. Pretty hard to drop it much lower than that.

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Ron Paul Atreides posted:

Conversely, enough abstaining would destroy the legitimacy of the system and force some measure of change. But that really needs to be organized

When has that ever worked?

Starks
Sep 24, 2006

Is it strange that the liberal platform is not on their site yet? Are they just forgoing it this time since they ignored the last one after getting elected?

E: never mind. In my mind the election was closer than it actually is and I guess they’re saving it for the campaign to officially start

Starks fucked around with this message at 02:49 on Sep 1, 2019

Ron Paul Atreides
Apr 19, 2012

Uyghurs situation in Xinjiang? Just a police action, do not fret. Not ongoing genocide like in EVIL Canada.

I am definitely not a tankie.

zapplez posted:

When has that ever worked?

It would have to be combined with a general strike action. And it's never really been attempted. Usually things break down into civil war before hand or are already totalitarian

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
If I were registered to vote, I'd send these clowns a message by staying home on election day and dressing up like a clown.

xtal
Jan 9, 2011

by Fluffdaddy

The Cheshire Cat posted:

Plus you never really know. I mean, the voter turnout last election was 68% - if all of those non-voters decided to vote for the party that "had no chance", that party could potentially have won at least a plurality. How many of them do you think were discouraged from voting because they felt that there was no point if their party couldn't win?

So yeah, always vote, even if your preferred candidate seems like a longshot. By not voting you just guarantee it they won't win.

What if you don't have a preferred candidate?

berenzen
Jan 23, 2012

xtal posted:

What if you don't have a preferred candidate?

Then go to the voting station and void your ballot. Participate in the most basic form of political action that you, as an individual can take, even if your statement is "all these people suck".

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.
Alternatively, stay home and get trashed on Listerine.

TerminalSaint
Apr 21, 2007


Where must we go...

we who wander this Wasteland in search of our better selves?

infernal machines posted:

Alternatively, stay home and get trashed on Listerine.

Hey, you call it mouthwash, I call it 54 proof.

half cocaine
Jul 22, 2019


Count Roland posted:

I too am dropping the NDP this election. I'll probably vote Green. I have in the past anyway. Their pro-business messaging doesn't bother me. I contest that they're neoliberal though, I think that's fundamentally at odds with being an environmentalist party that plans massive interventions in the market.

vincentpricesboner
Sep 3, 2006

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

berenzen posted:

Then go to the voting station and void your ballot. Participate in the most basic form of political action that you, as an individual can take, even if your statement is "all these people suck".

This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil.

Vintersorg
Mar 3, 2004

President of
the Brendan Fraser
Fan Club



Voting green may as well be a spoiled ballot and you’re just handing the reigns to the cons.

just another
Oct 16, 2009

these dead towns that make the maps wrong now

zapplez posted:

This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil.

First principles.

I'd rather abstain than endorse the least worst Overton Window candidate. If your political aspirations are to contain the excesses of your ideological opponents then they've already won; they're dictating the rules of the game.

BGrifter
Mar 16, 2007

Winner of Something Awful PS5 thread's Posting Excellence Award June 2022

Congratulations!
The gambit is to wait this election out then hopefully pick the NDP up off the scrap heap and turn it into a vehicle for change like we’re seeing with the DSA/Bernie/AOC/etc in the US.

If post election it becomes clear the NDP are unsuitable for such a purpose (say, by retaining Singh or failing to purge the centrist party leadership), then it’s time to get serious about starting a new political party. Right now the NDP are too screwed up to be worth supporting, and there’s too little time to build an entirely new leftist political party and expect to make any sort of impact.

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





Revive the CCF from the scrapheap of history and mould it into everything the NDP and Greens should be

e: "No CCF Government will rest content until it has eradicated capitalism and put into operation the full programme of socialized planning which will lead to the establishment in Canada of the Co-operative Commonwealth." loving GOALS

Normy
Jul 1, 2004

Do I Krushchev?


I don't think we have the luxury to suffer another Liberal or Conservative government. We need to just loving get on board with sending a message of change and then making sure it happens as soon as possible. I think the NDP would be the most amenable to letting necessary changes happen after the election is done, but sadly no one is bold enough to run on that.

EvilJoven
Mar 18, 2005

NOBODY,IN THE HISTORY OF EVER, HAS ASKED OR CARED WHAT CANADA THINKS. YOU ARE NOT A COUNTRY. YOUR MONEY HAS THE QUEEN OF ENGLAND ON IT. IF YOU DIG AROUND IN YOUR BACKYARD, NATIVE SKELETONS WOULD EXPLODE OUT OF YOUR LAWN LIKE THE END OF POLTERGEIST. CANADA IS SO POLITE, EH?
Fun Shoe

zapplez posted:

This is also dumb. Just because all of the candidates suck somewhat, doesn't mean there aren't easy and obvious choices that are less evil.

Voting for the least worst likely outcome last election got us Justin "what first nations communities need are boat houses for their canoes!" Trudeau.

He bought us a failing pipeline so we can poison BC with bitumen and not much else.

Won't get fooled again.

Precambrian Video Games
Aug 19, 2002



Bilirubin posted:

OMG Andrew Scheer has such a punchable voice

I'm not going to make it through the campaign

They're not the heroes we need and I'm not even sure that we deserve them, but they're here:

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.

:kiss:

Pinterest Mom
Jun 9, 2009

Starks posted:

Is it strange that the liberal platform is not on their site yet? Are they just forgoing it this time since they ignored the last one after getting elected?

E: never mind. In my mind the election was closer than it actually is and I guess they’re saving it for the campaign to officially start

More importantly, the Government of Canada is still making suspiciously timed funding announcements all around the country, and the LPC dropping their platform would distract from that.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP?

flakeloaf
Feb 26, 2003

Still better than android clock

Only the ones who've been paying attention to our government.

So, by and large, I guess that's a no.

infernal machines
Oct 11, 2012

we monitor many frequencies. we listen always. came a voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. it played us a mighty dub.

Grouchio posted:

Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP?

Our government is not very good. It's not as terrible as it could be or potentially will be, but it's still bad. Our choices are two variations on the status quo or regression.

The absolute best case scenario is we don't follow the Americans going rear end-over-breakfast into xenophobic fascism*. This tends to limit our enthusiasm somewhat.






*This election. We are attached to them by a three to five year tether, it will happen sooner or later. With the added bonus of seeing exactly what the outcome will be as it happens.

infernal machines fucked around with this message at 15:41 on Sep 1, 2019

Pinterest Mom
Jun 9, 2009

Helsing posted:

I say it is contested because they're arguing that their data set is a better indicator than the commonly used approach of treating fastfood workers as a proxy for minimum wage earners in general. I'd also say it is contested insofar as the entire debate about the impact of the minimum wage going back to Card and Krueger was understood as a serious challenge to neoclassical pricing theories, and many economists reacted to the Card and Krueger findings in exactly those terms, treating it as a sort of heresy that was wrong by necessity.

I think that’s a misreading of where the Jardim paper fits in the literature, and of why fast-food workers were used as a proxy. The methodology here has a clear throughline from CK and is philosophically quite similar despite some of the being different - they both identify a group of workers affected by the minimum wage increase, define a control group, and just compare the difference in outcomes between the two.

CK didn’t use fast food workers as a proxy because they had a strong opinion that it was a good thing to do, they did it because it was convenient. They didn’t have access to administrative data so they decided to call up fast food establishments on the NJ/PA border themselves, with the kinda handwavey assumptions that fast food workers were representative of all minimum wage workers (or would be hit hardest by minimum wage increases) and that NJ and PA fast food establishments would have similar employment trends absent the minimum wage increase.

That Jardim et al use administrative data from all employers isn’t in conflict with or questioning Card Krueger, they just have better data on more workers. And their results are consistent with CK! They find ~0 effect for the first, smaller increase, and then a slight negative effect for the second increase. CK found a zero effect for a 4.25->5.05 (1992 dollars - ~7.25 to 8.50 in 2015 dollars) increase, which is a small increase. For an increase about the same size, 9.50 to 11, Jardim et al find an effect on employment indistinguishable from zero, and only with an increase twice the size do they find a slight negative effect on employment. It’s entirely consistent with Card Krueger both in methodology and in results, and viewing that paper as attempting to refute it isn’t really right. They just had better data, a different setting, and the fortune to have a policy change that operated in two steps.

Postess with the Mostest
Apr 4, 2007

Arabian nights
'neath Arabian moons
A fool off his guard
could fall and fall hard
out there on the dunes

Grouchio posted:

Are you Canadians usually this depressed? As badly as the OP?

P sure OP is a canadian living in the US so they get some of the blame there. Most canadians are happy, this thread just attracts the sadbrains. We are the 7th happiest country on the planet, https://s3.amazonaws.com/happiness-report/2018/WHR_web.pdf but watch the gently caress out netherlands, we're comin for you next year.

Tighclops
Jan 23, 2008

Unable to deal with it


Grimey Drawer
A happy Canadian is an oblivious Canadian

EvilJoven
Mar 18, 2005

NOBODY,IN THE HISTORY OF EVER, HAS ASKED OR CARED WHAT CANADA THINKS. YOU ARE NOT A COUNTRY. YOUR MONEY HAS THE QUEEN OF ENGLAND ON IT. IF YOU DIG AROUND IN YOUR BACKYARD, NATIVE SKELETONS WOULD EXPLODE OUT OF YOUR LAWN LIKE THE END OF POLTERGEIST. CANADA IS SO POLITE, EH?
Fun Shoe

infernal machines posted:

Our choices are two variations on the status quo or regression.

The status quo is regression. Never forget that. Those who support the status quo are supporting the inevitable slide back to fascism and imperialism. No matter how friendly a face they try to put on it, the centrists know very well that the course theyre steering us on is going to take us down the same path as the far right, it'll just take a little while longer to get there.

Syfe
Jun 12, 2006


I tend to see our bouncing between the babiest of steps and evil regression as worse. We clearly aren't getting closer to the great revolution here in Canada, we're waiting for the perfect leader for the NDP (we had it once, he died :smith:) and then either pout voting green or 'strategic' voting liberal. Then cons win or lose based on that and voter apathy. We like to think that by constantly allowing the cons be evil we'll somehow overtake them with a superior NDP candidate that arose from those ashes, or ???? profit.

Tighclops
Jan 23, 2008

Unable to deal with it


Grimey Drawer
Jack Layton sucked and if more politicians like him would have the temerity to just loving die we'd all be better off

Hexigrammus
May 22, 2006

Cheech Wizard stories are clean, wholesome, reflective truths that go great with the marijuana munchies and a blow job.

Postess with the Mostest posted:

P sure OP is a canadian living in the US so they get some of the blame there. Most canadians are happy, this thread just attracts the sadbrains. We are the 7th happiest country on the planet, https://s3.amazonaws.com/happiness-report/2018/WHR_web.pdf but watch the gently caress out netherlands, we're comin for you next year.

Weed's legal now - it's all due to the drugs.

Lassitude
Oct 21, 2003

I'm sadbrained that the NDP sucks but I volunteer for them and poo poo still because if we're going to get a leftist leader in Canada, it's going to be through them. We just need someone we can rally around, even if it's an AOC-like person who has good ideas but not much actual power. Or something. I am maybe bad at politics and ignorant of how implacable the inner core of the centre-left NDP we know and abide may be.

shades of eternity
Nov 9, 2013

Where kitties raise dragons in the world's largest mall.

just another posted:

First principles.

I'd rather abstain than endorse the least worst Overton Window candidate. If your political aspirations are to contain the excesses of your ideological opponents then they've already won; they're dictating the rules of the game.

Then I'll ask point blank, what can we do to change the rules of the games?

Hiding in the back woods and pretending voting does nothing only guarantees powerlessness and I'd rather vote for the lesser evil because it's less evil by default.

Syfe
Jun 12, 2006


Tighclops posted:

Jack Layton sucked and if more politicians like him would have the temerity to just loving die we'd all be better off

https://www.straight.com/article-164139/layton-releases-ndp-platform-lots-promises

in 2008 posted:

The NDP platform also includes:

* withdraw Canadian forces from the Afghanistan combat mission with reasonable advance notice and in consultation with our allies

* a uniform 22.12 percent tax rate and a refusal to reduce corporate tax rates, unlike the Conservative and Liberal parties

* an end on special tax breaks for oil-sands projects

* a prohibition on Canadian corporations avoiding taxes by running financial operations through international tax havens

* limit interest rates and fees charged by payday loan companies and cap credit-card interest rates at five percent over prime

* monitoring and regulating fuel prices at the pumps

* mandatory labelling of farmed fish and genetically engineered food

* maintain a moratorium on oil and gas drilling off the coast of B.C.

* give a $1,000 grant to all undergraduate or equivalent students who qualify for student loans

* create 150,000 child-care spaces in the first year, rising to 220,000 spaces per year by the fourth year

* establish a poverty-elimination office within Human Resources Development Canada

* establish a national prescription drug program and maintain a strict ban on direct-to-consumer drug advertising

* create 2,500 new police officer positions and reclassify auto theft as a stand-alone indictable violent offence

* transfer the Canadian Coast Guard to the Ministry of Public Safety

* meet the commitments of the Kelowna accord by investing $5 billion over five years in First Nations, Metis, and Inuit communities

* ratify the UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples, which the Harper government rejected at the UN

* ensure that residential-school survivors left out of the current agreement will be compensated

* reverse efforts to legislate censorship in film and television production, as the Harper Conservatives have tried to do with Bill C-10

* implement net neutrality

* end the 2007 Canada-U.S. softwood lumber agreement

* renegotiate Chapter 11 of NAFTA, which currently gives companies the right to challenge legislation

* renegotiate Chapter 6 of NAFTA, which limits Canadian sovereignty over energy resources

* stop the decline in family reunification under Canada's immigration system and work to meet the target of allowing immigration to reach one percent of the population per year

* implement an appeal division under the Immigration Act go give refugee claimants an opportunity to have decisions reviewed without going straight to the Federal Court of Canada

* prohibit MPs from crossing the floor without first winning a seat in a by-election

* a $750-million per year "Green Collar Jobs Fund" to train workers and retrain displaced workers as well as a job-protection commissioner to investigate major layoffs and shutdowns

* invest part of the GST collected (one cent, according to the platform) into cities and communities to help address a growing infrastructure deficit

* revamp ecoEnergy programs to provide low-interest loans and grants to enhance energy efficiency; add conservation and energy efficiency to the Canada Building Code, working with the provinces; and set a target of retrofitting seven percent of Canada's housing stock each year

What was your beef with Layton?
Like it's not the best, he was police friendly, but for 10 years ago a lot of that would've done fairly well for us.

Pinterest Mom
Jun 9, 2009

That's a good platform but Layton's centralising of the party message and imposing more discipline in the caucus meant that we no longer had further left voices in the discourse.

Because of Jack, the bounds of discourse from elected officials shrank from "whatever the furthest flank of the party is willing to push" to "whatever the official NPD position is", which was a short-term electoral boon but probably long term loss for the movement.

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folytopo
Nov 5, 2013

Lassitude posted:

I'm sadbrained that the NDP sucks but I volunteer for them and poo poo still because if we're going to get a leftist leader in Canada, it's going to be through them. We just need someone we can rally around, even if it's an AOC-like person who has good ideas but not much actual power. Or something. I am maybe bad at politics and ignorant of how implacable the inner core of the centre-left NDP we know and abide may be.

Even if the NDP completely collapses and a new party takes its place, at least you would have some practice doing politics. Building up a new party or movement from the ground up takes a long time. It would be more akin to QS who spent a decade getting it together.

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