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Mandibular Fiasco posted:Oh, we rent a nice house - it's close to my wife's work, close to SkyTrain for me to get downtown. Modern appliances (SubZero fridge, etc.), great landlord, but our family has grown since we moved in, and we're ready to upgrade to something bigger with more room and with more accessible schools (our house is a hike to the nearest elementary school). Problem is anything we like is $1.6M, which is just insane considering the income required to afford such a thing. Now these houses aren't extreme luxury by any stretch, but are decent upper middle class sort of places. Given our incomes, we should be able to afford something like this, but the market is non-functional for anyone that didn't inherit massive wealth, or is a 1%er, or is bringing money in from overseas. Our rent is also really low by current standards, so finding something nicer is likely going to double our costs, but give us none of the security of tenure (landlord owns the house right next door) or a proportionally better place for the cost. What's astonishing is that there's a national election in a month and this stuff that's impacting millions seems barely on the radar of priorities to talk about.
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 06:20 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 20:19 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:On a side note, I was listening to CBC Radio 1's town hall yesterday on the opioid crisis and the homelessness crisis on the DTES...where we are now is a logical outcome of treating housing as a commodity and allowing foreign money to distort the market. If families like mine, that twenty years ago used to live on the west side or North Vancouver are no longer able to, and we move to Burnaby/New Westminster, where are the people who used to live in Burnaby/New Westminster going to go? It's trickledown homelessness. The influx of foreign wealth has accelerated the process, but the trend we've experienced of the 'upper middle class' being 'displaced' from the west side was always going to happen. As I posted earlier there's only 40k detached homes in CoV and so even less so in the relatively larger lot west side. *puts on YIMBY hat* The dominant trend that is displacing people from certain neighbourhoods is the fact that it's simply not allowed to build any new housing in those neighbourhoods. In the last few years Vancouver has dumped heaps of condo development into Mount Pleasant and none in the west side and accordingly you can see in the census that population is declining in the west side and increasing in Mount Pleasant. There's no way that any middle class people will ever get to live in the west side of Vancouver until at the very least Vancouver changes the rules and allows people to build at a minimum fourplexes and small apartment buildings. Until that happens the only way to live there is to 1) buy a single family house for multi-millions of dollars or 2) rent a basement suite. *takes off YIMBY hat* Of course the financialization of housing has made all of this worse and made it increasingly difficult for developers to be able to build anything that is affordable even if such apartments were allowed by zoning. Even if the government was gung ho about creating its own affordable housing, the situation has been made more difficult because the financialization of housing has increased the value of the land so much, and so the government has to pay more simply to buy the land. It's a Kerry Gold article so quoting all the usual folks saying the same thing and pushing the same view you've read a thousand times before, but I thought this article was a bit extra interesting since there's some straight talk quotes from developers saying how absurdly broken the market is for them. Basically no one makes enough money to afford what the final price of these projects would be. No wonder everyone builds condos. The core thing driving this is that land values have spiked so much due to that financialization of housing. quote:Vancouver builders sour on rental
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 17:36 |
So are Canadians finally coming to the realization that the free market isn't going to make housing affordable?
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 20:33 |
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Give it 15-20 years.
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 20:52 |
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ALL WE NEED TO DO IS KEEP BUILDING MORE UNITS AND THEN LANDLORDS WILL FINALLY LOWER THEIR RENTS!! TRUST ME GUYS THEY DEFINITELY WILL
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 21:22 |
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half cocaine posted:So are Canadians finally coming to the realization that the free market isn't going to make housing affordable? Lol no. Well, younger and poorer Canadians maybe. Housing was a huge electoral issue in the Vancouver municipal elections. Federally? I don't think enough people have put two and two together in that a big part of the housing crisis was the federal government ceasing to build social housing since the 90s. Also there are a lot of boomers holding property they got cheap 30-40 years ago, who want prices to keep going up. And guess who tends to vote more?
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 21:33 |
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mila kunis posted:What's astonishing is that there's a national election in a month and this stuff that's impacting millions seems barely on the radar of priorities to talk about. But enough about catastrophic climate change
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 21:46 |
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This is really sad to say but an actual free market would probably be an improvement over the current Canadian housing market which is deliberately engineered to produce higher prices year by year forever. Suffice it to say that is not intended as an endorsement of a free market in housing.
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 21:53 |
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Housing market failures are pretty localized to a few markets. Now those markets are huge and should be prime Liberal voting ground, but instead the election is going to be about pipelines, maintaining property values in Winnipeg (or other white bread substitute town in the middle) and some racist thing happening in Quebec.
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 22:47 |
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A 75 year old explained to me yesterday they're probably going to live in their RV doing circuits around friends parking spots till they die because because they can't find a town in Southern Ontario where they can afford a one bedroom rent.
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# ? Sep 9, 2019 23:11 |
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ocrumsprug posted:Housing market failures There's kind of a problem in terminology, too. Most news articles about property prices use a ton of negative emotive language around price decreases ("sluggish", "battered market", etc), and positive emotive language around price increases ("recovery", "hope", "light at the end of the tunnel"). So to a lot of people, anything but a perpetual increase in prices is a "failure".
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 02:34 |
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Speaking of not helpful interventions in the housing market, lets see what everyone's favourite Vancouver East NDP MP, Jenny Kwan, thinks we should do:
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 03:29 |
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RBC posted:ALL WE NEED TO DO IS KEEP BUILDING MORE UNITS AND THEN LANDLORDS WILL FINALLY LOWER THEIR RENTS!! TRUST ME GUYS THEY DEFINITELY WILL Is this only in reference to truly affordable housing? Because I'm not sure why this kind of thing is treated as some crazy fantasy in this thread even though it actually happens. A disbelief that it can't be maintained in the long run perhaps?
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 03:47 |
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Lobok posted:Is this only in reference to truly affordable housing? Because I'm not sure why this kind of thing is treated as some crazy fantasy in this thread even though it actually happens. A disbelief that it can't be maintained in the long run perhaps? Yeah it does happen but only when folks gently caress up in the short term. Then the market corrects and developers simply stop building. No developer is going to keep building in an environment where there is surplus housing and landlords are having to offer deep incentives to rent a unit. Cities of course always need to constantly be building more housing but that doesn't mean there's going to be a surplus. The solution is for the government to fund a housing agency that does constantly build new housing regardless of the market conditions.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 03:55 |
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Lobok posted:Is this only in reference to truly affordable housing? Because I'm not sure why this kind of thing is treated as some crazy fantasy in this thread even though it actually happens. A disbelief that it can't be maintained in the long run perhaps? Yeah the issue is that developers building more units is necessary but not sufficient for rents (or owning) to become affordable. The feds getting back into building social housing would be a start.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 04:28 |
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Femtosecond posted:Yeah it does happen but only when folks gently caress up in the short term. Then the market corrects and developers simply stop building. No developer is going to keep building in an environment where there is surplus housing and landlords are having to offer deep incentives to rent a unit. And Landlords would rather a unit sit vacant for months than lower the rent.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 11:44 |
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And new construction drives up rents because they're always marketed as premium and luxury builds.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 12:27 |
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Femtosecond posted:There's no way that any middle class people will ever get to live in the west side of Vancouver until at the very least Vancouver changes the rules and allows people to build at a minimum fourplexes and small apartment buildings. Until that happens the only way to live there is to 1) buy a single family house for multi-millions of dollars or 2) rent a basement suite. On the basis of income, my family is nowhere near middle class and the west side is miles out of reach. More supply won't fix anything as long as land value is used as a speculative instrument by foreign investors who don't live in their houses.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 20:30 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:On the basis of income, my family is nowhere near middle class and the west side is miles out of reach. More supply won't fix anything as long as land value is used as a speculative instrument by foreign investors who don't live in their houses. At this point any discussion about real estate in BC can be distilled into a dichotomy between those who won't admit publicly that real estate is an integral component of BC's economy and not just a commodity that serves a basic necessity and those who who don't care. The former really aren't ready confront inequality nor do they care. The latter condemned to be economically marginalized, probably for their lifetimes unless they leave.
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# ? Sep 10, 2019 23:39 |
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https://twitter.com/benrabidoux/status/1171572503778680832?s=21
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 03:15 |
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incontinence 100 posted:At this point any discussion about real estate in BC can be distilled into a dichotomy between those who won't admit publicly that real estate is an integral component of BC's economy and not just a commodity that serves a basic necessity and those who who don't care. The former really aren't ready confront inequality nor do they care. The latter condemned to be economically marginalized, probably for their lifetimes unless they leave. The sad reality is that without real estate and the associated money laundering, this province caves in on itself. There is simply nothing else keeping the place afloat. The Feds sure aren't interested in shutting the money laundering down, but maybe a recession, debt spike, and higher interest rates will encourage them. As for us, we are actively searching for jobs outside the Lower Mainland. We shouldn't have to spend $1.5M to have a half-decent house an hour away from the city centre.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 04:14 |
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Further reason that this country is hosed. To put the R&D in perspective, there are three major granting agencies for researchers who are university affiliated - SSHRC, CIHR, and NSERC. I had a successful CIHR grant go through...the success rate was 14%. Not because I'm brilliant and the others suck, it's because there is so little money, only the top three to five applications in a given field get approved. The others are good too but just not as good. Those researchers get no funding, do no research, and don't earn a living. It's over for them. And we train lots of PhDs to do research who don't do research, because there's no money anywhere (government or otherwise) who funds it. Instead, we sell houses to each other and pretend that's the basis for an advanced economy.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 04:17 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:Further reason that this country is hosed. Why would you want to be a scientist? All the smart people know to get a career in real estate.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 04:24 |
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Actually I have a Master's in Property Science with a minor in Real Estate Analysis.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 04:30 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:The sad reality is that without real estate and the associated money laundering, this province caves in on itself. There is simply nothing else keeping the place afloat. The Feds sure aren't interested in shutting the money laundering down, but maybe a recession, debt spike, and higher interest rates will encourage them. I'm buying a move-in ready 5 bedroom house on 1/3 acre within city limits in the BC interior for 400k. You can do it. Check out government jobs, or jobs with natural resource sector companies. They operate in the interior. If you do consider applying for a government job, especially provincial government, I may be able to give you some insights into the hiring process. toe knee hand fucked around with this message at 04:51 on Sep 11, 2019 |
# ? Sep 11, 2019 04:48 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:On the basis of income, my family is nowhere near middle class and the west side is miles out of reach. More supply won't fix anything as long as land value is used as a speculative instrument by foreign investors who don't live in their houses. At this point we have a foreign buyer tax, City of Vancouver vacant housing tax, an Airbnb tax, a City of Vancouver Airbnb regulation (ban on whole condo rentals) and a speculation tax that is essentially another vacant housing tax. With all that in mind do you think foreign investors owning empty homes is still a problem going forward? Have we not halted this issue? So long as vacancy remains as low as it is in Vancouver there will be people, whether they're locals or not, that will think becoming a landlord is a good investment (it's not). Building luxury condos in the west side that get rented out at high market prices doesn't directly help regular income people, but maintaining the status quo in the west side of Vancouver as an exclusive millionaire district doesn't help regular people either. The only direct way to help Vancouverite renters with normal incomes is via publicly owned below market rental housing. Until that publicly owned housing solution arrives I don't see the harm in allowing private apartments now that there exists an array of policies designed to ensure that these units are actually being rented long term for locals.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:00 |
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Everyone is trying to escape Kamloops, not move to it.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:00 |
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McGavin posted:Why would you want to be a scientist? All the smart people know to get a career in real estate. Yes, because contributing to knowledge that will keep you from getting dead is of no value to anyone. Closing a deal on that 3BR-2Bath fixer-upper in north Burnaby for that sweet commission on the other hand, now *that* is contributing!
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:18 |
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toe knee hand posted:I'm buying a move-in ready 5 bedroom house on 1/3 acre within city limits in the BC interior for 400k. You can do it. Check out government jobs, or jobs with natural resource sector companies. They operate in the interior. If you do consider applying for a government job, especially provincial government, I may be able to give you some insights into the hiring process. I lived in the northern interior for quite a few years. I got enough of a taste of the culture there to last me a good long while. It wasn't bad, and I made a good number of friends, but it wasn't my scene. I'm definitely not in the hunter/4x4er set, but for the right gig, who knows. We haven't ruled it out.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:20 |
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Femtosecond posted:At this point we have a foreign buyer tax, City of Vancouver vacant housing tax, an Airbnb tax, a City of Vancouver Airbnb regulation (ban on whole condo rentals) and a speculation tax that is essentially another vacant housing tax. With all that in mind do you think foreign investors owning empty homes is still a problem going forward? Have we not halted this issue? No. There are too many dodges on the vacant homes tax, and for foreign millionaires, the fees are still a drop in the bucket. AirBnB regulations are not being enforced. The speculation tax needs to be province wide and needs to be higher. AirBnB is probably the most egregious of these problems, because City of Vancouver documentation shows they weren't serious about enforcement and notwithstanding that Twitter guy, there has been really no enforcement of any consequence. At least the others are an effort to do something. Remember, social housing owned by government isn't going to be affordable to government unless land values come crashing down. Maybe that'll happen, but it hasn't happened yet, and until it does, governments won't be able to build enough places for a price that is politically palatable, so they'll choose to do little to nothing instead, because they'll lose for trying.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:23 |
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incontinence 100 posted:Everyone is trying to escape Kamloops, not move to it. Do they still have the Kamloops sign on the hillside?
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:24 |
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eXXon posted:Actually I have a Master's in Property Science with a minor in Real Estate Analysis. TRU grad spotted.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:24 |
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Mandibular Fiasco posted:TRU grad spotted. It's weird how TRU grads can spot one another.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:39 |
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McGavin posted:It's weird how TRU grads can spot one another. Well played. Edit: Just for the record, I thought eXXon was making a joke, and I was riffing off that. Apologies for any offence caused. Mandibular Fiasco fucked around with this message at 05:44 on Sep 11, 2019 |
# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:42 |
Mandibular Fiasco posted:TRU grad spotted. Couldn't get into Sauder undergraduate real estate program huh?
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:42 |
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half cocaine posted:Couldn't get into Sauder undergraduate real estate program huh? Oh, I got in, but I snarked off Tsur Sommerville on the first day challenging his academic integrity and was ejected from the program.
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# ? Sep 11, 2019 05:46 |
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If you want to listen to two FIRE wankers whine about not being able to build another half million nanocondos in downtown Toronto against the reasonable objections of decent city councillors, here you go : https://www.tvo.org/video/how-high-can-toronto-go
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# ? Sep 12, 2019 02:16 |
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eXXon posted:If you want to listen to two FIRE wankers whine about not being able to build another half million nanocondos in downtown Toronto against the reasonable objections of decent city councillors, here you go : I wonder how people like this sleep at night. In a world of finite resources, greed only destroys.
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# ? Sep 12, 2019 17:51 |
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So there is talk of taxing capital gains on primary residences now. https://ipolitics.ca/2019/09/13/tory-allegation-of-secret-trudeau-tax-plan-a-blatant-misrepresentation-liberal-incumbent-says/ About bloody time we started taking steps to modify the gross misallocation of capital the absence of a tax on property capital gains for primary residences causes. This was a given once the ownership registry started.
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# ? Sep 14, 2019 04:58 |
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# ? May 24, 2024 20:19 |
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gently caress yes.
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# ? Sep 14, 2019 05:16 |