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Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
The cruise missiles don’t have to fly a straight‐line course the whole way there.

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Doctor Grape Ape
Aug 26, 2005

Dammit Doc, I just bought this for you 3 months ago. Try and keep it around for a bit longer this time.
Do cruise missiles usually travel in a straight line? I know they have the ability to be steered/programmed to go places, but flying a direct path from launch to target seems like a pretty dumb thing to do.

Sperglord
Feb 6, 2016

Here's a Twitter post showing imagery of the refinery at Abqaiq:
https://twitter.com/DionNissenbaum/status/1173325850323890178

[/quote]

My question is if the points targeted were uniquely important - did they manage to hit 17 key points or just 17 points that looked impressive? If the former, that would indicate somebody with industry knowledge to provide the targeting.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Doctor Grape Ape posted:

Do cruise missiles usually travel in a straight line? I know they have the ability to be steered/programmed to go places, but flying a direct path from launch to target seems like a pretty dumb thing to do.

If you're firing them at max range you kind of have to, but other than that...

Lake of Methane posted:


Here's a Twitter post showing imagery of the refinery at Abqaiq:
https://twitter.com/DionNissenbaum/status/1173325850323890178

And here's the same site in Google Maps:
https://www.google.com/maps/@25.9276617,49.6843327,403m/data=!3m1!1e3

It looks like the strikes on the tank are all from the west-northwest. Extend a straight line and you get Israel 1000 miles away :tinfoil:, or screw up the direction measurement by 15 degrees and you get the Iraq border 300 miles away.

Israel's cruise missiles only have a 48 mile range but that won't stop conspiracy theorists. (they have subs afterall!)

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

hobbesmaster posted:

Israel's cruise missiles only have a 48 mile range but that won't stop conspiracy theorists. (they have subs afterall!)

They also have the Delilah.

And yeah, there's going to be a lot of :tinfoil: here. Just last week the Saudis said they're going to start enriching uranium, and now this happens.

Ice Fist
Jun 20, 2012

^^ Please send feedback to beefstache911@hotmail.com, this is not a joke that 'stache is the real deal. Serious assessments only. ^^

So that image. What exactly am I looking at? I see the holes in the tanks, but there seems to be a significant lack of "boom" from the damage.

Mortabis
Jul 8, 2010

I am stupid
Clearly this calls for JLENS.

Splode
Jun 18, 2013

put some clothes on you little freak
Greenpeace fired them to increase the cost of oil

Smiling Jack
Dec 2, 2001

I sucked a dick for bus fare and then I walked home.

Splode posted:

Greenpeace fired them to increase the cost of oil

I think I read that Clive Cussler novel

edit: eh that's more a Clancy novel

Clive would be something like neo-nazis using a Chinese secret sonic weapon to alter Florida orange futures while Dirk Pitt saves the day using a paddle boat full of Confederate re-enactors and i think that actually happened in one book

Smiling Jack fucked around with this message at 04:06 on Sep 16, 2019

Doctor Grape Ape
Aug 26, 2005

Dammit Doc, I just bought this for you 3 months ago. Try and keep it around for a bit longer this time.
Don't gotta worry about global warming if we just burn all the oil now so nobody can have any in the future :smugbert:

Gnoman
Feb 12, 2014

Come, all you fair and tender maids
Who flourish in your pri-ime
Beware, take care, keep your garden fair
Let Gnoman steal your thy-y-me
Le-et Gnoman steal your thyme




Smiling Jack posted:


Clive would be something like neo-nazis using a Chinese secret sonic weapon to alter Florida orange futures while Dirk Pitt saves the day using a paddle boat full of Confederate re-enactors and i think that actually happened in one book

Close! The paddle-boat full of confederate reenactors was in the book where the Russians brainwashed the President to dissolve Congress and give them all of America's money and shut down NATO. Also had something to do with some Chinese company being involved with illegal nerve gas dumping, nautical insurance fraud, and hijacking Russian plots.

Mortabis
Jul 8, 2010

I am stupid
Clancy did have an ecoterrorist book and it was way, way better than blowing up oil facilities. It had greenpeace stand-ins genetically engineering Ebola to be more virulent and spreading it through the ventilation at the 2000 Sydney Olympics in order to kill humanity to save the planet

That book was so outrageously stupid and I love it.

Flikken
Oct 23, 2009

10,363 snaps and not a playoff win to show for it

Mortabis posted:

Clancy did have an ecoterrorist book and it was way, way better than blowing up oil facilities. It had greenpeace stand-ins genetically engineering Ebola to be more virulent and spreading it through the ventilation at the 2000 Sydney Olympics in order to kill humanity to save the planet

That book was so outrageously stupid and I love it.

And it spawned a super successful video game series

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Now I am become Borb, Destroyer of Seeb.

Mortabis posted:

Clancy did have an ecoterrorist book and it was way, way better than blowing up oil facilities. It had greenpeace stand-ins genetically engineering Ebola to be more virulent and spreading it through the ventilation at the 2000 Sydney Olympics in order to kill humanity to save the planet

That book was so outrageously stupid and I love it.

I thought that despite how scary it appears, most people know Ebola is actually pretty bad at being a successful virus?

tangy yet delightful
Sep 13, 2005



Flikken posted:

And it spawned a super successful video game series

Yeah don't worry I saved the world on that mission.

Stravag
Jun 7, 2009

The book went into detail about how most of the work was making the virus be mistaken for a cold for weeks and the sheathing for the virus to make it survivable in water and air. Plus they had the support of this chick in the presidents cabinet i believe? Some high scientific position in the government

Mortabis
Jul 8, 2010

I am stupid

Captain Log posted:

I thought that despite how scary it appears, most people know Ebola is actually pretty bad at being a successful virus?

Ebola only spreads through bodily fluids (blood and semen I think) but in the book they modify it to spread via airborne droplets like the flu.

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost

Mortabis posted:

Ebola only spreads through bodily fluids (blood and semen I think)

If it were just blood and semen, it'd be way less awful. Add feces and vomit. There's your main problem area when dealing with people who initially don't look deathly ill. At least it doesn't really pass through saliva or sweat.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Captain Log posted:

I thought that despite how scary it appears, most people know Ebola is actually pretty bad at being a successful virus?

The way a virus becomes successful is the same way you get to Carnegie Hall.

And Ebola Reston, even though it's not *currently* lethal to humans, is still transmissible to us and has shown evidence of airborne transmission.

Ice Fist posted:

So that image. What exactly am I looking at? I see the holes in the tanks, but there seems to be a significant lack of "boom" from the damage.

Most oil tanks - and especially the tanks that'd be at that facility - are designed to 'blow out and burn' rather than explode. Look up oil tank fires on Youtube. You'll find *some* explosions, but most of them just show a tank burning from the top like a big tea candle.

BIG HEADLINE fucked around with this message at 05:13 on Sep 16, 2019

Flikken
Oct 23, 2009

10,363 snaps and not a playoff win to show for it

BIG HEADLINE posted:

The way a virus becomes successful is the same way you get to Carnegie Hall.

And Ebola Reston, even though it's not *currently* lethal to humans, is still transmissible to us and has shown evidence of airborne transmission.


Most oil tanks - and especially the tanks that'd be at that facility - are designed to 'blow out and burn' rather than explode. Look up oil tank fires on Youtube. You'll find *some* explosions, but most of them just show a tank burning from the top like a big tea candle.

I thought a no bullshit cure/vaccination for Ebola was developed recently?

Doctor Grape Ape
Aug 26, 2005

Dammit Doc, I just bought this for you 3 months ago. Try and keep it around for a bit longer this time.

tangy yet delightful posted:

Yeah don't worry I saved the world on that mission.

You and Ding.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Flikken posted:

I thought a no bullshit cure/vaccination for Ebola was developed recently?

Vaccination's just one step. There's still no 'cure' for Ebola once you're infected other than palliative care and bolstering/support of the immune system. There are also now *six* different strains of Ebola.

Merck's vaccine originally claimed 70-100% efficacy in preventing transmission. Recently they're claiming as high as 97.5%. I'm fairly sure it does *something*, but anyone who's willing to be vaccinated against Ebola in the areas currently under threat of it is also probably following guidelines on how to reduce their risk of infection, too.

C.M. Kruger
Oct 28, 2013

Dante80 posted:

God is great, death to the US, death to Israel, curse the Jews, and victory for Islam.*

*We don't really mean that literally.

For anybody just joining us that's the Houthi flag:

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Now I am become Borb, Destroyer of Seeb.

C.M. Kruger posted:

For anybody just joining us that's the Houthi flag:


:stare:

I also think Ebola has more of a spy thriller mega weapon ring to it then, "Antibiotic Resistant Cold."

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
Arm Control Wonk discusses the attacks on Saudi Arabia

That Works
Jul 22, 2006

Every revolution evaporates and leaves behind only the slime of a new bureaucracy


Splode posted:

Greenpeace fired them to increase the cost of oil

Shell oil fired them.


As your resident infectious disease specialist just want to chime in and say that Big Headline is correct on everything so far.

aphid_licker
Jan 7, 2009


The bubbleshaped things with the holes in them are gas storage tanks, right? Wouldn't it have made a lot of sense to hit the mess of pipes in the upper half of the picture instead? Those seem like they're probably the actual refinery and they did go for the one in the left of the image.

That Works
Jul 22, 2006

Every revolution evaporates and leaves behind only the slime of a new bureaucracy


aphid_licker posted:

The bubbleshaped things with the holes in them are gas storage tanks, right? Wouldn't it have made a lot of sense to hit the mess of pipes in the upper half of the picture instead? Those seem like they're probably the actual refinery and they did go for the one in the left of the image.

Wonder if they were hoping those would detonate maybe?

aphid_licker
Jan 7, 2009


That Works posted:

Wonder if they were hoping those would detonate maybe?

Yeah but they seem like they're pretty far from the complicated-engineering-looking stuff. Just for basic OSHA / insurance / whatever reasons it would make sense to place storage so it can't take out the entire facility even in a bad scenario. I'd totally have hit those mutated pipe organ looking things rather than the tanks.

MrYenko
Jun 18, 2012

#2 isn't ALWAYS bad...

Doctor Grape Ape posted:

Do cruise missiles usually travel in a straight line? I know they have the ability to be steered/programmed to go places, but flying a direct path from launch to target seems like a pretty dumb thing to do.

If you’re speaking about actual state-actor cruise missiles, almost always no. Since you can’t launch them all simultaneously, they’ll have waypoints coordinated so that you achieve a very short time-on-target window, both for surprise, and to overwhelm defenses. This also serves to mask the inbound bearing to the launch platform, in the case of a submarine or ship launch. The target might eventually figure out where they came from, given a few hours to review radar tapes, but a snapshot down the inbound bearing won’t do much.

Not in any way implying that this was or was not a state actor though. I don’t think even the Iranians are this loving stupid.

The revolutionary guard probably is though...

Buttcoin purse
Apr 24, 2014

Mortabis posted:

Clancy did have an ecoterrorist book and it was way, way better than blowing up oil facilities. It had greenpeace stand-ins genetically engineering Ebola to be more virulent and spreading it through the ventilation at the 2000 Sydney Olympics in order to kill humanity to save the planet

That book was so outrageously stupid and I love it.

He had more than one book with weaponized Ebola in it? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Orders is the one I remember.

MrYenko
Jun 18, 2012

#2 isn't ALWAYS bad...

Buttcoin purse posted:

He had more than one book with weaponized Ebola in it? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Orders is the one I remember.

Rainbow Six, as well.

Cooked Auto
Aug 4, 2007

MrYenko posted:

Rainbow Six, as well.

That was the book they were referring to in the first place. :v:

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

aphid_licker posted:

Yeah but they seem like they're pretty far from the complicated-engineering-looking stuff. Just for basic OSHA / insurance / whatever reasons it would make sense to place storage so it can't take out the entire facility even in a bad scenario. I'd totally have hit those mutated pipe organ looking things rather than the tanks.
Piping is both a smaller and more robust target. If you're only packing a small warhead and GPS guidance aiming for a big tank that will burn like a mofo when you hit it is probably a lot more bang for your buck.

winnydpu
May 3, 2007
Sugartime Jones

aphid_licker posted:

The bubbleshaped things with the holes in them are gas storage tanks, right? Wouldn't it have made a lot of sense to hit the mess of pipes in the upper half of the picture instead? Those seem like they're probably the actual refinery and they did go for the one in the left of the image.

That level of targeting accuracy seems like it would be tough for even a tomahawk. I've only seem the one photo of the damage, but wouldn't 2nd tier Iranian cruise missiles basically rain down at random around the whole refinery? It doesn't seem like too much of a stretch to imagine that some determined people could sneak into place a few miles away and use shorter range drones with visual targeting.

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22

aphid_licker posted:

Yeah but they seem like they're pretty far from the complicated-engineering-looking stuff. Just for basic OSHA / insurance / whatever reasons it would make sense to place storage so it can't take out the entire facility even in a bad scenario. I'd totally have hit those mutated pipe organ looking things rather than the tanks.

I'm guessing those tanks are a bit complex/important since they're spherical but I know jack poo poo about refining.

EvilMerlin
Apr 10, 2018

Meh.

Give it a try...

Cyrano4747 posted:

The historical examples that always get cited involve people up to their eyeballs in debt. It’s one of those things where when you’re a month away from your life imploding a low rent life preserver gets appealing.

This is one of the questions and reviews that always happen when you need to re-up your clearance. They run a FULL and I mean full credit check.

If you have lovely finances its a good possibility you will lose your clearance...

ThisIsJohnWayne
Feb 23, 2007
Ooo! Look at me! NO DON'T LOOK AT ME!



EvilMerlin posted:

This is one of the questions and reviews that always happen when you need to re-up your clearance. They run a FULL and I mean full credit check.

If you have lovely finances its a good possibility you will lose your clearance...

something, something, entire Trump administration

Nebakenezzer
Sep 13, 2005

The Mote in God's Eye

The Globe and Mail has several articles on this Canadian senior spy, but they are naturally behind the paywall

The person in question was apparently on a committee dealing with money laundering; it wouldn't surprise me to learn he was taking bribes to keep someone in the loop

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Nebakenezzer
Sep 13, 2005

The Mote in God's Eye

Also can I just say that the disease for depopulation is obviously smallpox? After all, you need about $100,000 and some specialized equipment and knowledge to reconstitute it, but the skills are those of a microbiological undergrad----

BRB, somebody's knocking at the door

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