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It's not. It doesn't use constituency-based polling, also trying to apply polling figures to seats is sketchy at best.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:04
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Bobby Deluxe posted:Are we going with Fess Jillips or the usual JessFlips? Jepp Filliss Also there's no way the Conservatives are on 38% - and I think we've long established over the past 3 months that all of these polls are dogshit. So if we could stop posting them as if it's the be all end all of what will happen pls kthx.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:04
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Bobby Deluxe posted:Are we going with Fess Jillips or the usual JessFlips? Jiss Phlaps
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Oct 5, 2019 22:07
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Opinium has been bullish about the Tories for a while. Their model is weighted heavily towards older voters, since they don't think younger ones will show up. Think of them as presenting the 'older electorate' outcome, and look to other pollsters like Survation for 'younger electorate' models. This isn't to say either of them is right or wrong, only that youth turnout is going to be really important in determining the outcome and that these polls provide a snapshot of what particular demographics are thinking. So, for instance, this one tells us that the Lib Dems are losing their older voters, which makes sense since they've been making GBS threads on their traditional base extremely hard lately. Darth Walrus fucked around with this message at 22:10 on Oct 5, 2019 |
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Oct 5, 2019 22:08
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Pablo Bluth posted:By the power of Just around the corner from where I grew up; weird to see it on a fading internet humour forum.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:08
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Bobstar posted:EVERY MORNING I WAKE UP AND OPEN PALM SLAM MYSELF INTO MY SEAT. IT'S THE SPEAKER'S CHAIR, AND RIGHT THEN AND THERE I START DOING THE MOVES ALONGSIDE THE MAIN CHARACTER, HER MACEJESTY THE QUEEN. I CALL ON EVERY MEMBER AND I CALL ON EVERY MEMBER HARD. MAKING WORKING-CLASS BOOING SOUNDS WHEN I SLAM DOWN SOME TORY BASTARDS OR EVEN WHEN I MESS UP MY BIRMINGHAM ACCENT. NOT MANY CAN SAY THEY ESCAPED THE MIDLANDS' MOST DEPRIVED STREETS. I CAN. I SAY IT AND I SAY IT OUT LOUD TO PEOPLE IN MY PARTY AND ALL THEY DO IS PROVE PEOPLE IN A SENSIBLE MODERATE CENTRE-LEFT PARTY CAN STILL BE SOCIALISTS AND JERKS. I'VE LEARNED ALL THE PARLIAMENTARY PROCEDURES AND I'VE LEARNED HOW TO MAKE MYSELF AND MY HOUSE OF COMMONS MORE CIVIL BY SHOUTING AT EM ALL. 10 HOURS INCLUDING DIVISION EVERY Day baka kaba posted:EVERY MORNING I WAKE UP AND OPEN PALM SLAM A VHS INTO THE SLOT. ITS ME ON DAILY POLITICS AND RIGHT THEN AND THERE I START DOING THE MOVES ALONGSIDE WITH THE MAIN CHARACTER, ME, JESS PHILLIPS. I DO EVERY TAKE AND I DO EVERY TAKE HOT. MAKIN WHOOSHING SOUNDS WHEN I SLAM DOWN JEREMY CORBYN OR EVEN WHEN I TELL PEOPLE TO gently caress OFF DIANE. NOT MANY CAN SAY THEY ESCAPED THE GALAXYS MOST WORKING CLASS UPBRINGING. I CAN. I SAY T' AND I SAY T' OUTLOUD EVERYDAY TO PEOPLE IN THE MEDIA AND ALL THEY DO IS PROVE HOW INSPIRATIONAL AND BOLD I AM. AND IVE LEARNED ALL THE LABOUR POSITIONS AND IVE LEARNED HOW TO MAKE MYSELF AND MY TWITTER FEED LESS LONELY BY CONTRADICTING EM ALL. 2 HOURS INCLUDING LBC EVERY MORNIng Never stop these 
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Oct 5, 2019 22:13
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https://twitter.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/1180589487383965696?s=21 The Arcuri thing's not going away. This dude is with the Sunday Times.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:14
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So exactly what level of wrist-slap can BSJ expect if he was engaging in Ugandan discussions with her?
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Oct 5, 2019 22:18
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Darth Walrus posted:https://twitter.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/1180589487383965696?s=21 thats cool but no one cares on this stupid loving island
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Oct 5, 2019 22:20
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All this was disproven in the place where all things are settled, a car park
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Oct 5, 2019 22:21
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Darth Walrus posted:https://twitter.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/1180589487383965696?s=21 You see, "lover" is just Eton slang for "tech support"
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Oct 5, 2019 22:22
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https://twitter.com/Orwell_Fan_Fan/status/1180452881725607936?s=20
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Oct 5, 2019 22:26
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Wachter posted:You see, "lover" is just Eton slang for "tech support"
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Oct 5, 2019 22:27
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Hahaha loving hell. What is he trying to achieve here? There's no way he'll win.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:29
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Rust Martialis posted:So exactly what level of wrist-slap can BSJ expect if he was engaging in Ugandan discussions with her? Exactly loving zero, because the entire system is completely incapable of dealing with people who don't feel any shame whatsoever.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:36
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To be fair, he did say he spends his time going to Pret a Manger.
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Oct 5, 2019 22:43
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As well as what everyone else has said, the BBC and papers have been saying basically all week that Boris fixed Brexit with his amazing new proposal and isn't he great which is clearly sloppy fetid horse poo poo but does somehow have an impact. I don't know if anyone remembers but the Tories under TM got a fairly hefty bump in approval a few times when several similar events happened and they got to say "look we did a negotiation we are competent"
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Oct 5, 2019 22:45
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Guavanaut posted:Eton's in the West Country now? So many people refuse to believe me that that's actual slang in Bristol/west country. Prolly because I'm a forrign. e: Also one time I overheard a heated discussion among a couple from London who were getting off the bus at Broadmead and became mildly scandalised when the driver told them "you're welcome my lover". e2: VVVV Brings back memories. I want some cider now. Private Speech fucked around with this message at 22:57 on Oct 5, 2019 |
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Oct 5, 2019 22:46
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alrite my luvver
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Oct 5, 2019 22:51
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I'm from the West Country and I somehow never heard "alright my cocker?" until I was like 16. That was a bit of a shock
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Oct 5, 2019 22:57
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God I just watched the Mash Report and it was Geoff loving Norcott just deliberately bullshitting about Labour's brexit position. I want to punch existence.
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Oct 5, 2019 23:00
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Wachter posted:I'm from the West Country and I somehow never heard "alright my cocker?" until I was like 16. That was a bit of a shock I didn't get "alright me babbers" till I was 14 and in a chippie, she also told me her chips are "as hot as thee 'lympic torch my love"
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Oct 5, 2019 23:06
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 Look at this pic of Rory Stewart in the newspaper today wtf
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Oct 5, 2019 23:29
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Bardeh posted:
The more people call him a sensible moderate, the further he leans right.
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Oct 5, 2019 23:31
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He looks like Kramer mid door entrance.
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Oct 5, 2019 23:32
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Bardeh posted:
Is there a medical condition that could make him lean like that all the time? Some sort of ear issue?
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Oct 5, 2019 23:34
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"'I hate politics, I hate politics', I scream as I decide to run for London Mayor"
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Oct 5, 2019 23:40
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Bardeh posted:
If he’d only lean the other way his face would be actually level with everyone else’s.
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Oct 5, 2019 23:41
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He's clearly lifted his leg to guff
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Oct 5, 2019 23:44
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Bobby Deluxe posted:God I just watched the Mash Report and it was Geoff loving Norcott just deliberately bullshitting about Labour's brexit position. I want to punch existence. Yeah I was loving raging about that. Just so utterly poo poo and wilfully misrepresenting the position.
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Oct 6, 2019 00:16
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Reason #9652 why I would never be a successful politician: because I'd answer "I just stay home" Seriously, what does going to bars have to do with politics? And why would you go to a pub to have a non alcoholic drinks? Whenever I have a soda in an environment when everyone is drinking, it's the most awkward feeling imaginable. AceOfFlames fucked around with this message at 00:23 on Oct 6, 2019 |
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Oct 6, 2019 00:19
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Bardeh posted:
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Oct 6, 2019 00:25
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Polls are bollocks etc but honestly that poll is probably true, every establishment shithead and traditional media source making GBS threads on us every single day has an effect, that's why they do it. All we can do is give our time and energy to help push the idea that maybe old women shouldn't literally die in puddles of their own poo poo and blood so the finance cunts can get another tax cut in that brief pre-election period when the press is allowed to lie less and then we just hope enough people are convinced. The libs infesting this thread excluded, we are taking on the most powerful systemic social powers that exist, and they are in fight mode all the time just throwing money. The period right before an election is a darkest before dawn moment don't get discouraged by it being extremely loving dark, the sun can still rise if we're willing to give it a wee push.
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Oct 6, 2019 00:34
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https://twitter.com/TheGlenlivet/status/1179447297807147009 The gently caress
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Oct 6, 2019 00:38
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No VAT, no duty, no aging. The poitín whiskey collection is redefining how you can enjoy still spirits in your own home on your own gas stove.
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Oct 6, 2019 00:42
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Vitamin P posted:Polls are bollocks etc but honestly that poll is probably true, every establishment shithead and traditional media source making GBS threads on us every single day has an effect, that's why they do it. All we can do is give our time and energy to help push the idea that maybe old women shouldn't literally die in puddles of their own poo poo and blood so the finance cunts can get another tax cut in that brief pre-election period when the press is allowed to lie less and then we just hope enough people are convinced. So close, but yet so far. Polls. Don't. Mean. poo poo. Seriously, just ask Theresa May how her crushing went. Nice weird underdog film synopsis tho
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Oct 6, 2019 00:43
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i'm the 'sustainable product' in an unsustainable market. read as: overpriced gimmick
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Oct 6, 2019 00:45
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Looke posted:alrite my luvver whoa, don't doxx me man... i was just goin down kwarps for my lottories
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Oct 6, 2019 00:47
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Angrymog posted:Is there a medical condition that could make him lean like that all the time? Some sort of ear issue? Dope fiend lean.
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Oct 6, 2019 00:50
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So it's because they did the Wonder Woman movie?
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Oct 6, 2019 01:00
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