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theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Jarmak posted:

Yes, and while I'm sure they will try it will be even less effective and their ability to do it has been degraded.

The voter roll purges have been pretty nasty over the last handful of years.

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OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Angry_Ed posted:

"Hang on I need to check with the propaganda minister to see if he's trying to influence Dear Leader again"

Well, it's pretty much axiomatic that whoever is on the glowy fox box, Trump parrots.

Though maybe these days he might be hitting the harder stuff at OANN more.

FizFashizzle
Mar 30, 2005







Tibalt posted:

I'm really looking forward to how senators react to "we're shutting down the government until the impeachment ends."

One of them should probably point out that shutting down the government does nothing to Congress.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

FizFashizzle posted:

One of them should probably point out that shutting down the government does nothing to Congress.

Which is why I hope Trump does it.

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

FizFashizzle posted:

One of them should probably point out that shutting down the government does nothing to Congress.

Not the point--it's the millions of people who will be going without paychecks that will be used as a bludgeon, not directly cutting off Congress.

Trump is a terrorist/wannabe mobster; he has no issues taking and shooting hostages if he perceives he can get leverage.

Kale
May 14, 2010

OAquinas posted:

Well, it's pretty much axiomatic that whoever is on the glowy fox box, Trump parrots.

Though maybe these days he might be hitting the harder stuff at OANN more.

I almost wonder if Fox News didnt cock suck Trump and push him towards his more terrible impulses if he'd be a moderately less lovely president. Like wasnt there something horrible he was about to back off of one time and then they basically called him a coward and he was all like "Well I can't have Judge Jeanine saying Judge Jeanine stuff about me, better blindside em' and reverse course". I think it was the direct lead in to the shutdown last year but could have been anything

ryde
Sep 9, 2011

God I love young girls
The hope would be that people blame the Democrats, but I'm guessing people would blame Trump instead because thats what happened last time and its even less of a good look for a president to use it to shut down impeachment than to achieve some policy goal.

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012
Discussion of policies and records are allowed in this thread. Most we just want to keep campaigning for a particular candidate and discussing polling and primary debates and idiot pundit takes on the horserace in the primary thread.

Biden is one of the most business friendly dems and has a terrible record on racial justice. He's also aggressive opposed to healthcare reform, and only even supports obamacare on sufferance.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

ryde posted:

The hope would be that people blame the Democrats, but I'm guessing people would blame Trump instead because thats what happened last time and its even less of a good look for a president to use it to shut down impeachment than to achieve some policy goal.

If Trump shuts the government down he will voluntarily take credit by literally saying point blank that he’s doing it himself to shut down the illegal witch hunt against him.

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Kale posted:

I almost wonder if Fox News didnt cock suck Trump and push him towards his more terrible impulses if he'd be a moderately less lovely president. Like wasnt there something horrible he was about to back off of one time and then they basically called him a coward and he was all like "Well I can't have Judge Jeanine saying Judge Jeanine stuff about me, better blindside em' and reverse course". I think it was the direct lead in to the shutdown last year but could have been anything

It was the shutdown for wall funding, and it was Ann Coulter who called him a coward.


ryde posted:

The hope would be that people blame the Democrats, but I'm guessing people would blame Trump instead because thats what happened last time and its even less of a good look for a president to use it to shut down impeachment than to achieve some policy goal.

The public have consistently done a great, great job of identifying the most proximate cause to any shutdown, and they blame them. They forgive too easily, but he doesn't need the reputation hit he'd take from a shutdown while he's being impeached.

Jarmak
Jan 24, 2005

theflyingorc posted:

The voter roll purges have been pretty nasty over the last handful of years.

Sure but it didn't stop historic turnout in 2018 and that's a well you can only go to so often.

Fart Amplifier
Apr 12, 2003

Jarmak posted:

Sure but it didn't stop historic turnout in 2018 and that's a well you can only go to so often.

There is no reason to assume that the votes can't simply be changed

Random Stranger
Nov 27, 2009



A GIANT PARSNIP posted:

Also Trump doesn’t believe he’s had any consequences from shutting down the government so he will absolutely do it to try and stop the impeachment.

Not only will I not be shocked if this happens, I have been fully expecting it to happen since they started the proper inquiry. Trump couldn't engage with Congress in a meaningful way when they were covering up his crimes. There's zero chance he doesn't try to use a shutdown as leverage and almost no chance that he doesn't go through with it. And it's iffy on whether he'll back down when the country is about to start burning like what happened last time.

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Fart Amplifier posted:

There is no reason to assume that the votes can't simply be changed
This is the ultimate :nothingmatters:, if you believe this you shouldn't pay attention to anything at all, because the Republicans will be able to install their million-year-reich at any time.

Decrepus
May 21, 2008

In the end, his dominion did not touch a single poster.


Have enough boomers died to save America 🇺🇸?

Ate My Balls Redux
Aug 2, 2018

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Fart Amplifier posted:

There is no reason to assume that the votes can't simply be changed

Well then why even try

This is literally the Kurt Eichenwald take the other day of "Trump will suspend elections so it's important to vote blue no matter who"

Ate My Balls Redux fucked around with this message at 19:58 on Nov 4, 2019

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Decrepus posted:

Have enough boomers died to save America 🇺🇸?

Are you a bad enough dude to kill the boomers and save America?

ryde
Sep 9, 2011

God I love young girls

theflyingorc posted:

The public have consistently done a great, great job of identifying the most proximate cause to any shutdown, and they blame them. They forgive too easily, but he doesn't need the reputation hit he'd take from a shutdown while he's being impeached.

I would hope that it would tip the balance enough that actual removal from office would start seeming like an OK way to break the logjam, but I don't have any faith in the Senate.

Old James
Nov 20, 2003

Wait a sec. I don't know an Old James!

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-loses-appeal-new-york-tax-case-must-hand-over-n1076061

NBC News posted:

Trump loses appeal in New York tax case, must hand over returns

Nov. 4, 2019, 9:52 AM CST / Updated Nov. 4, 2019, 10:42 AM CST
By Allan Smith and Tom Winter

A federal appeals court ruled Monday that President Donald Trump's tax returns must be turned over to Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance, who had subpoenaed the documents from Trump's accounting firm as part of an investigation into the pre-election payoffs to two women who alleged affairs with Trump.

Trump's lawyer Jay Sekulow said he would appeal the case to the Supreme Court. Trump had earlier lost the initial case before a federal district court, and it was since fast-tracked.

"The decision of the Second Circuit will be taken to the Supreme Court," Sekulow said. "The issue raised in this case goes to the heart of our Republic. The constitutional issues are significant."

The three-judge panel wrote in their decision that "any presidential immunity from state criminal process does not extend to investigative steps like the grand jury subpoena at issue here," affirming the lower court's ruling on that question.

Vance is seeking to obtain eight years of Trump's tax documents through his account firm, Mazars USA, to evaluate the Trump Organization's role in the payouts to porn star Stormy Daniels and ex-Playboy model Karen McDougal, as well as the reimbursements made to Trump's former longtime attorney Michael Cohen, who is now serving a three-year federal prison sentence for a litany of crimes, including campaign finance violations.

Because the tax documents were requested under a grand jury subpoena, it's unlikely they will become public if turned over. Trump is engaged in a series of legal battles across the country to keep his tax returns private.

Download the NBC News app for breaking news and politics

In this case, the president has argued that state authorities cannot investigate a sitting president — even if he were to shoot someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue in New York City — and that the immunity provides blanket coverage for his business, family members and business associates. Last week, one of the three federal judges, Denny Chin, asked Trump attorney William Consovoy if local authorities could investigate Trump for shooting someone in the middle of Manhattan while he's in office. "No," Consovoy said.

"This appeal does not require us to consider whether the president is immune from indictment and prosecution while in office, nor to consider whether the President may lawfully be ordered to produce documents for use in a state criminal proceeding," the judges wrote in Monday's ruling. "We accordingly do not address those issues. The only question before us is whether a state may lawfully demand production by a third party of the President’s personal financial records for use in a grand jury investigation while the President is in office."

"With the benefit of the district court’s well‐articulated opinion, we hold that any presidential immunity from state criminal process does not bar the enforcement of such a subpoena," they continued.

The Constitution does not provide explicit guidance on whether a president can be charged with a crime while in office, though a Nixon-era Justice Department Office of Legal Counsel memo that has proven influential in past investigations involving Trump states a president cannot be charged while in office. That memo does not explicitly cover the act of investigating a sitting president. And Vance, who is a state official, is not bound by that guidance.

The judges said that neither the Nixon-era memo nor a Clinton-era one conclude "that a sitting president may not be investigated."

"Moreover, the president concedes that his immunity lasts only so long as he holds office and that he could therefore be prosecuted after leaving office," the judges wrote. "There is no obvious reason why a state could not begin to investigate a president during his term and, with the information secured during that search, ultimately determine to prosecute him after he leaves office."

In the earlier district court ruling, U.S. District Court Judge Victor Marrero called Trump's claim to immunity from investigation "unqualified and boundless," writing that the argument was "repugnant to the nation's governmental structure and constitutional values."

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

ryde posted:

I would hope that it would tip the balance enough that actual removal from office would start seeming like an OK way to break the logjam, but I don't have any faith in the Senate.

My guess is that the more likely result is that the THREAT of it moving that way would cause Trump to back down.

If Trump absolutely refused to back down from a shutdown there is a legitimate chance he'd be removed, but I think he'd find a way out like last time.

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

ryde posted:

I would hope that it would tip the balance enough that actual removal from office would start seeming like an OK way to break the logjam, but I don't have any faith in the Senate.

The Senate will force him to reopen, if only because if this shutdown goes on for much longer than the last one they are going to find themselves personally in real physical danger from angry mobs.

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

haveblue posted:

The Senate is probably going to pick the economy not utterly imploding over loyalty, if only because if this shutdown goes on for much longer than the last one they are going to find themselves personally in real physical danger from angry mobs.

Yeah, a shutdown blowing up the economy would do things like "Guarantee that John Cornyn loses in 2020"

Fart Amplifier
Apr 12, 2003

theflyingorc posted:

This is the ultimate :nothingmatters:, if you believe this you shouldn't pay attention to anything at all, because the Republicans will be able to install their million-year-reich at any time.

The problems with electronic voting machines are well documented and accepted and attempts to fix it have been stonewalled by Mitch McConnell. I am not sure why this would even be up for debate

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Sub Par posted:

The 2nd Circuit upheld the subpoena for Trump's accounting firm to provide his tax records to a New York grand jury. The opinion really obliterates Trump's arguments. He has 10 days to appeal to SCOTUS which he will certainly do. I know I'm probably in the minority here on this question but I think SCOTUS will issue a per curiam decision here quickly upholding the 2nd circuit's ruling or simply deny cert. Here's hoping.

I think they will quickly and quietly deny cert, Trump's argument that not even a secret grand jury can have his taxes is pure crazytown nonsense.

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen
Trump is hosting the World Series champion Washington Nationals today, and is getting a little.....handsy.

Also god drat them for stealing my erotic fanfiction.

https://twitter.com/_JakeRussell/status/1191428042704470016?s=20

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit
Y'all there are good reasons to be concerned about the Integrity of our voting system, there's good evidence that the Republican Party successfully stole the 2000 and 2004 elections I am using vulnerabilities and voting machines.

And now on top of that the political party that was stealing elections for itself a couple decades ago has been largely compromised by a hostile foreign power looking to sow chaos in any way it can- we shouldn't simply hand wave away these concerns. We need to be realistic about the situation.

I will reitterate again my firm belief that the system is not capable of solving problems that were intentionally created in order to benefit the administrators of the system. We need to start thinking in terms of raw people-power instead of thinking of better ways to play a game that is clearly rigged against us.

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Fart Amplifier posted:

The problems with electronic voting machines are well documented and accepted and attempts to fix it have been stonewalled by Mitch McConnell. I am not sure why this would even be up for debate
1. They aren't used everywhere. You can't rig my state (NC) this way - we use scanned paper ballots
2. Most of them aren't networked even in the worst places

Again, we absolutely, positively, should not use electronic voting machines without paper backups that the voter themselves see. It opens up to risk, just not the kind of risk where you can throw a presidential election.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

theflyingorc posted:

My guess is that the more likely result is that the THREAT of it moving that way would cause Trump to back down.

If Trump absolutely refused to back down from a shutdown there is a legitimate chance he'd be removed, but I think he'd find a way out like last time.

An override of his veto requires the same number of votes in the Senate. They'll just do that if they have to.

Solaris 2.0
May 14, 2008

fool_of_sound posted:

Discussion of policies and records are allowed in this thread. Most we just want to keep campaigning for a particular candidate and discussing polling and primary debates and idiot pundit takes on the horserace in the primary thread.

Biden is one of the most business friendly dems and has a terrible record on racial justice. He's also aggressive opposed to healthcare reform, and only even supports obamacare on sufferance.

Is it ok to discuss polling if only related to Trump or is it best to just sequester all of it in the primary thread?

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Rigel posted:

An override of his veto requires the same number of votes in the Senate. They'll just do that if they have to.

Openly rebelling against him like that would be dropping the mask that he's a great leader, and that would almost (but not quite!) guarantee that enough would then vote for removal.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

rkajdi posted:

First off, you're comparing organized groups with the stochastic terrorism that seems to be the current issue. The government is really poor at stopping conspiracies of one. We saw the same thing with Hinckley's assassination attempt on Reagan-- our secret service does a poor job at stopping a conspiracy when only one of the people is real. I don't even know how to stop these attacks ahead of time except for strict gun control to keep some rando from being able to enforce his will on society at large. I'm all for that level of gun control (total confiscation from the general public), but good luck getting it done.

Second, the thing that keeps the FBI out of doing this right now is the president as other posters have mentioned above. You might get a change to that with Warren or even possibly Sanders. But I don't see Biden coming down like a sack of bricks on these guys. They're the kind of people he's directly trying to appeal to for his election. No matter who wins the election, it's going to be by the barest of margins given the busted nature of the electoral college. That's not going to translate into fixing this stuff (or really anything), no matter how much it actually needs to get done.

Truly random terrorism is difficult to stop. However, terrorism that's inspired by violent ideologies and groups can be massively reduced by suppressing those ideologies and cracking down on the groups that spread them. Even if the actual attackers aren't directly conspiring with those groups, they're still being radicalized by those groups and the rhetoric that those groups spread.

Ate My Balls Redux
Aug 2, 2018

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Solaris 2.0 posted:

Is it ok to discuss polling if only related to Trump or is it best to just sequester all of it in the primary thread?

I think anything with food or vapes is acceptable

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Solaris 2.0 posted:

Is it ok to discuss polling if only related to Trump or is it best to just sequester all of it in the primary thread?

Head-to-heads should go in the primary thread. Thing things like Trump approval and such can go here.

Fart Amplifier
Apr 12, 2003

theflyingorc posted:

1. They aren't used everywhere. You can't rig my state (NC) this way - we use scanned paper ballots
2. Most of them aren't networked even in the worst places

Again, we absolutely, positively, should not use electronic voting machines without paper backups that the voter themselves see. It opens up to risk, just not the kind of risk where you can throw a presidential election.

Even with zero ability to be hacked, they can just simply not count votes.


https://www.theroot.com/exclusive-thousands-of-black-votes-in-georgia-disappea-1832472558

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit

theflyingorc posted:

1. They aren't used everywhere. You can't rig my state (NC) this way - we use scanned paper ballots
2. Most of them aren't networked even in the worst places

Again, we absolutely, positively, should not use electronic voting machines without paper backups that the voter themselves see. It opens up to risk, just not the kind of risk where you can throw a presidential election.

This is so completely wrong that it borders on willful self-deception. I que'd this up to a specific scene: the 2004 election was stolen and Kerry knew that for certain before he conceded:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZLWPleeCHE&t=2288s

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

so supreme court now? or will they get his stuff.

Rigel
Nov 11, 2016

Dapper_Swindler posted:

so supreme court now? or will they get his stuff.

Supreme Court will roll their eyes and deny cert. Then the NY Grand Jury will get his taxes, possibly setting up an indictment of Trump in the middle of the campaign next year.

haveblue
Aug 15, 2005



Toilet Rascal

Dapper_Swindler posted:

so supreme court now? or will they get his stuff.

They're going to file an appeal to SCOTUS either way. Most court watchers believe that they are not willing to rule in his favor here (which would mean that the president is entirely immune to any kind of investigation and that's a bridge too far for Roberts) so the most likely outcome is that the appeal is denied and the taxes are handed over. This will take at a minimum several days to unfold.

theflyingorc
Jun 28, 2008

ANY GOOD OPINIONS THIS POSTER CLAIMS TO HAVE ARE JUST PROOF THAT BULLYING WORKS
Young Orc

Fart Amplifier posted:

Even with zero ability to be hacked, they can just simply not count votes.


https://www.theroot.com/exclusive-thousands-of-black-votes-in-georgia-disappea-1832472558

I'm aware that something may have happened in Georgia - I don't deny that everything there looks fishy. There's a reason that it's the only serious example given, again and again.

But again - if you just think the final vote totals can be changed - we're done, the only potential outcome is massive civil war to fix things.

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Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit

theflyingorc posted:

I'm aware that something may have happened in Georgia - I don't deny that everything there looks fishy. There's a reason that it's the only serious example given, again and again.

But again - if you just think the final vote totals can be changed - we're done, the only potential outcome is massive civil war to fix things.

What about the example of New Mexico in 2004?

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