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Cerebral Bore posted:Literally basing it on people loving gambling lmao forever. Does he realise betting odds are literally calculated based on the company not losing money rather than based on the chances now? It’s why when everyone turns up to dog pile a horse it goes from like 1:2 to 12:1 and still loses anyway.
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Nov 27, 2019 18:41
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https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1199739477297635330 I bet she's appreciative that she can just type his name instead of 'No 10 source' now
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Nov 27, 2019 18:42
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https://twitter.com/adamboultonSKY/status/1199744818030792705?s=20
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Nov 27, 2019 18:44
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they've finally got round to briefly discussing it 45 minutes into PM, although they made sure to lead in with antisemitism and are leaning on "well nobody actually said they would sell the NHS they're just negotiating on it" they've found time for two 10 minute sections on Clive James dying, a man who apparently had terminal leukaemia for 10 years loving disgusting
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Nov 27, 2019 18:46
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Cerebral Bore posted:Literally basing it on people loving gambling lmao forever. Wait people absolutely realize that PredictIt is a trailing indicator at best and can be very easily manipulated due by anyone with enough money in the system or the fluctuations of the news cycle, right
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Nov 27, 2019 18:47
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Apraxin posted:https://twitter.com/SebastianEPayne/status/1199716484689383424 Wtf are these numbers? +34 from what? It's not the seats Con had at close of parliament. 54 majority with 352 seats? 352 seats gets a 32 majority ordinarily. Kinda think this is total garbarge
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Nov 27, 2019 18:48
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It is possible sebastian payne doesn't know northern ireland exists or that it has MPs.
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Nov 27, 2019 18:50
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https://twitter.com/krishgm/status/1199747544680718342?s=20
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Nov 27, 2019 18:52
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One more positive factor for Labour is that, from Q3 2017 to Q2 2019, nearly 100k EU citizens were granted British citizenship according to government statistics (link). They don't tend to vote for Brexit 
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Nov 27, 2019 18:55
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Drone_Fragger posted:Does he realise betting odds are literally calculated based on the company not losing money rather than based on the chances now? It’s why when everyone turns up to dog pile a horse it goes from like 1:2 to 12:1 and still loses anyway. plus with political betting there's a ton of people who put money on the outcome they're not voting for just so there'll be some upside
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Nov 27, 2019 19:00
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Sigh, nothing is sacred. https://twitter.com/EricIdle/status/1199749382129631233 Big John coming out swinging though https://twitter.com/johnmcdonnellMP/status/1199747642412208128
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Nov 27, 2019 19:05
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Well yeah, all the pythons are bellends.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:07
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OwlFancier posted:Well yeah, all the pythons are bellends. I refuse to believe this about Palin
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Nov 27, 2019 19:08
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OwlFancier posted:Well yeah, all the pythons are bellends. The dead gay comedy
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Nov 27, 2019 19:09
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The relative hype around this MRP release is crazy.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:11
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Jaeluni Asjil posted:Hi thanks for remembering!
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Nov 27, 2019 19:12
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OwlFancier posted:Well yeah, all the pythons are bellends. Colloquially, yes.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:14
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https://twitter.com/EricIdle/status/1199497946674298882
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Nov 27, 2019 19:15
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OwlFancier posted:Well yeah, all the pythons are bellends. Terry Jones was good or did he do something terrible Im not aware of? Palin seems ok. The rest are obvious knobs.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:15
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 Didn't he used to be subversive?
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Nov 27, 2019 19:18
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Chuff McNothing posted:The relative hype around this MRP release is crazy. https://twitter.com/owenjones84/status/1199749058132402177?s=21 Here’s Owen Jones’ take on it, which seems a little worrying
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Nov 27, 2019 19:21
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Whenever I get down I just remember all these same people tripping up over themselves to predict 100+ Tory majorities in 2017, why they think they have any right to expect to be taken seriously now I do not know
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Nov 27, 2019 19:23
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I can't believe the rich, famous oxbridge grad doesn't support Corbyn.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:23
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https://twitter.com/jrschlosberg/status/1199450735345360896 loving shocked.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:23
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As the official Jeremy Corbyn retweeter I just have to say: Poetry https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1199749767464701954 Also lmao https://twitter.com/bat020/status/1199686746235162624
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Nov 27, 2019 19:24
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u brexit ukip it posted:One more positive factor for Labour is that, from Q3 2017 to Q2 2019, nearly 100k EU citizens were granted British citizenship according to government statistics (link). They don't tend to vote for Brexit I have bad news for you, many of them were Polish and they absolutely will vote for Brexit now they're secure here.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:25
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ThomasPaine posted:Whenever I get down I just remember all these same people tripping up over themselves to predict 100+ Tory majorities in 2017, why they think they have any right to expect to be taken seriously now I do not know For many of them, that has applied for years, and will never stop applying in their minds 
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Nov 27, 2019 19:27
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https://mobile.twitter.com/Maxkhalifa96/status/1199745401320017922 I got Hbomb to retweet me. Could all of you do the same?
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Nov 27, 2019 19:33
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wocobob posted:https://twitter.com/owenjones84/status/1199749058132402177?s=21 https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1199750739213668354 Which would mean if labour continues apace they'd presumably be into decent numbers by polling day, and boris has Neill and the climat debate to either get through or run away from in the interim. And the trump visit lol.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:37
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https://twitter.com/dansabbagh/status/1199666548539117568
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Nov 27, 2019 19:40
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does anyone have a handy list of the bbc's "mistakes"? feel like we need to make sure we have a list
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Nov 27, 2019 19:41
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Also while a hung parliament isn't ideal I think it's gonna hurt the tories more than us. If Johnson can't get his deal done he's hosed.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:41
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 I believe Boris! It was the squirrels! I will never glue together a teapot with Jeremy Corbyn!
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Nov 27, 2019 19:43
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loving hell https://twitter.com/theousherwood/status/1199722617156100097?s=19
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Nov 27, 2019 19:43
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Fumble posted:The 13th will be a national remembrance day after the NHS ran out of Stents and Statins as the greater gammon frothed themselves into oblivion. It's like a reverse rapture innit?
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Nov 27, 2019 19:44
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Just lollin at the state of this, labour isn’t the police, if the guy resigned there’s literally nothing else they can do
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Nov 27, 2019 19:46
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Jedit posted:I have bad news for you, many of them were Polish and they absolutely will vote for Brexit now they're secure here. Yah all dem EU migrants pushing for Brexit with their filthy foreign ways, it's a disgrace. Did you even see what they get up to in their own countries? Can't even push through an EU exit there so they come to do it over here. And don't even get me started on the Black, Latino and Muslim migrants, Tories the lot of them, the things they get up to in their homelands. e: I don't think that post warrants a serious reply, so. Private Speech fucked around with this message at 20:11 on Nov 27, 2019 |
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Nov 27, 2019 19:47
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I know there's a lot of focus on the polls due to not much else new happening, but it's getting a wee silly. What we do know is that more people registered to vote in the last week than ever before. There's been multiple stories and reports, both first and second hand, of lifelong Tories not voting for Johnson. I know there's been a big push for the anti-semitism story the last couple of days, but beyond the media huffing each others farts about it it's not really a talking point beyond press conferences and interviews - it seems more of an issue for the right that Corbyn will tax rich people rather than any claims of anti-semitism. Just over 2 weeks to go, we're going to smash it. In the meantime, have a night off, do some non-pol stuff, have a bath.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:47
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wocobob posted:https://twitter.com/owenjones84/status/1199749058132402177?s=21 Owen's a good lad, but he's actually pretty bad at reading where the political winds are blowing so I wouldn't put too much stock into this.
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Nov 27, 2019 19:48
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figures to keep in mind for the 12th: con: 13,636,684 total voters lab: 12,877,918 total voters turnout: 68.8% # of total voters: 46.8m Electoral Commission 2017: quote:Across the UK, an estimated 1.3 million electors (2.7% of the electorate) were added to the electoral register during the weeks leading up to the election. 2015: 2,962,446 2017: 3,268,288 2019: 4,466,970 if the % of new regs via the electoral commission (1.3/2.4 = 54.19%) is the same are the same we're looking at 2.4m new voters postal ballots accounted for 18% of all votes, 2.4% of the postal ballots were rejected https://www.electoralcommission.org...eneral-election https://researchbriefings.parliament.uk/ResearchBriefing/Summary/CBP-8060
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Nov 27, 2019 19:49
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