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actionjackson posted:As a statistician I just want to comment that an R-squared of 0.20 is not very good yes quite
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Dec 13, 2019 17:53
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Serf posted:its getting harder to lmao as my material conditions continue to deteriorate It should be said i dont lmao much any more. I just assume everything is hosed and will get more hosed and we will all die to whatever new fascistic regimes usurp our standards while we sit and loving post and do nothing. Because thats whats gonna happen. Assuming climate change doesnt get us i suppose but yeah hosed. Proper hosed.
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Dec 13, 2019 17:55
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ZeusCannon posted:while we sit and loving post and do nothing. what if we didn't do that, though
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Dec 13, 2019 17:57
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To follow-up, R-squared is the square of the correlation coefficient (r) in the univariate case (i.e. one covariate), and it reflects the proportion of variance in the outcome that is due to a covariate. In this case, 20% of the variability in the outcome of turnout change can be explained by the swing. This is why when you build regression models by adding more covariates, the R-squared always increases. A good R-squared is typically at least 0.7.
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Dec 13, 2019 17:57
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Yinlock posted:the elites have succeeded in framing absolutely everything as brexit/not-brexit so they don't have to examine their poo poo policies for a while i wish i could be right about things that aren't horrible for once
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Dec 13, 2019 18:03
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Goodbye. I was hoping. It's over. No hope left. jose ban me. It's all over.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:03
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Brexit's not over, it's finally starting
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Dec 13, 2019 18:04
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How did this happen. Do people not actually see boris. I will not kill myself. The stupid need to die firsrt. (USER WAS BANNED FOR THIS POST)
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Dec 13, 2019 18:05
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Watching the twitter centrists cry about the "radical left" calling them tories and blairites and then demanding Labour go back to the middle is a pretty haunting vision of the US' 2020 elections.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:06
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so a second referendum definitely would have confirmed brexit right
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Dec 13, 2019 18:06
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Der Meister posted:so a second referendum definitely would have confirmed brexit right not sure, if you combine labour, snp and lib dem votes and green votes, I think you get over 50 percent for remain, but that assumes they would all back remain
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Dec 13, 2019 18:07
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Valko posted:Goodbye. hang in there comrade you need to outlive the bastards
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Dec 13, 2019 18:09
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Sedisp posted:Watching the twitter centrists cry about the "radical left" calling them tories and blairites and then demanding Labour go back to the middle is a pretty haunting vision of the US' 2020 elections. the usa doesn't have BREXIT blaring from every tv in the country boris' win is more of a repeat of trump's 2016 perfect storm of stupid. so many things went wrong all at once
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Dec 13, 2019 18:09
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Der Meister posted:so a second referendum definitely would have confirmed brexit right Sadly to say, on these results, it looks like it would have yes. Because apparently people want to 'Get Brexit Done' even though the next decade is likely to be taken up with trade negotiations and fears of leaving the withdrawal agreement with the EU without a deal. We are likely to get utterly hosed as we don't actually offer much apart from financial services which will just move camp to Frankfurt if their ability to make money is threatened in any way. I imagine it will be some time before a party feels brave enough to run on a platform of joining the EU again.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:10
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I blame the vegan greggs
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Dec 13, 2019 18:10
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Valko posted:Goodbye. you gotta keep fighting bud i know it loving sucks(i'm probably going to go through something similar next canadian election) but you can't just accept what these fuckers want to do to you
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Dec 13, 2019 18:13
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A Gnarlacious Bro posted:Brexit's not over, it's finally starting Do we know what Brexit actually is yet?
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Dec 13, 2019 18:14
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Today we are all brexit
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Dec 13, 2019 18:14
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Stoatbringer posted:Do we know what Brexit actually is yet? bracksit
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Dec 13, 2019 18:15
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They should call it brickshit because the Brits are going to be making GBS threads bricks when they see their healthcare bill. I'll be here all week folks
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Dec 13, 2019 18:16
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Stoatbringer posted:Do we know what Brexit actually is yet? more money for me; gently caress you
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Dec 13, 2019 18:16
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I hope that Scotland secedes Limmy is too precious to be dragged down by the UK and he must be protected
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Dec 13, 2019 18:16
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Dravs posted:Sadly to say, on these results, it looks like it would have yes. Because apparently people want to 'Get Brexit Done' even though the next decade is likely to be taken up with trade negotiations and fears of leaving the withdrawal agreement with the EU without a deal. We are likely to get utterly hosed as we don't actually offer much apart from financial services which will just move camp to Frankfurt if their ability to make money is threatened in any way. The only consolation.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:17
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berxit means death
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Dec 13, 2019 18:17
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Valko posted:Goodbye. stay good and don't give up
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Dec 13, 2019 18:18
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lol bojo has apparently squirreled away a clause in the manifesto that commits the party to block any attempts at parliamentary scrutiny of any trade deals etc so glad this was talked about during the election
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Dec 13, 2019 18:20
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what are the tories gonna do about the eels??? https://twitter.com/gusthefox/status/1204912514598920197
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Dec 13, 2019 18:20
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Dravs posted:Sadly to say, on these results, it looks like it would have yes. Because apparently people want to 'Get Brexit Done' even though the next decade is likely to be taken up with trade negotiations and fears of leaving the withdrawal agreement with the EU without a deal. We are likely to get utterly hosed as we don't actually offer much apart from financial services which will just move camp to Frankfurt if their ability to make money is threatened in any way. We have only something like 50 years left until the planet loses the ability to sustain vertebrates and British society wants to spend half of it's time left on Earth with trying to leave the EU and the other half with trying to join it again. One hell of bucket list
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Dec 13, 2019 18:22
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actionjackson posted:What is the main reason why a Labour supporter would be in favor of Brexit? So I work for a union and while I live in the US and thus only have Trump to deal with I can say with absolute certainty why this would be the case. Obviously a huge element is wanting to pave a road with brown people as cobbles but for the not overtly racist people it's a simple matter of not understanding that the causes of suffering are very bad. The EU like immigration doesn't provide an immediate and obvious benefit to someone working class. Like in the US immigration is very good at making number go up, it massively increases our productivity and is super good for the capitalist class. The downside is it does have a negative aspect (albeit very small) on wages in certain blue collar sectors. This could easily be offset by economic policies to give us free healthcare, better retirement options free internet the whole nine yards but we are a guilty guilty land so we don't do that. The result is an easy scapegoat in immigrants being the reason for wages going down and then allows the overt racist and subconscious racist to have their odious beliefs justified to themselves as survival. It's the same story with the whole NHS poo poo. The EU is expensive so lets just use that money for the NHS. Easy peasy. What? Use the money the capitalists gain from being in the EU to do the same thing? gently caress off.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:22
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Der Meister posted:so a second referendum definitely would have confirmed brexit right iirc, pre-election polls like a month or two ago put leave as still having a slim majority (like 51-49 or something)
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Dec 13, 2019 18:22
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Traditional strongholds falling to the enemy as the blue collar voters follow the siren song of xenophobic populism. I feel like I've seen that before...
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Dec 13, 2019 18:25
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it's pretty crazy to have watched Bojo do the "kevin spills his chilli and falls in it repeatedly" scene over and over, watch people screaming at him to his face that he's a liar and a fool, and then know that actually people were totally down with him the whole time and love Bojo and actively choose him to be their champion.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:26
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mrmcd posted:Out of curiosity do the Irish have a plan for if their Brexit wish comes true and they get the six counties back, but ones that are, uh, as I understand it, not in great shape economically? nobody has a plan, man.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:26
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Yinlock posted:boris' win is more of a repeat of trump's 2016 perfect storm of stupid. so many things went wrong all at once I mean. Yes this is true. But the Democrats response to that has been to shout about going to far left as a more progressive wing of the party tries to take the reigns. If Bernie gets the shot and then Bloomberg goes third party it's going to look exactly like this election afterwards. Huh. The US and the UK are forever stuck in a Third Way worship time loop.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:30
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Sedisp posted:I mean. Yes this is true. But the Democrats response to that has been to shout about going to far left as a more progressive wing of the party tries to take the reigns. If Bernie gets the shot and then Bloomberg goes third party it's going to look exactly like this election afterwards. Actually Bernie will squish the big gulp thief underfoot and run the table
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Dec 13, 2019 18:31
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Vox Nihili posted:Today we are all brexit Je suis Jeremy
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Dec 13, 2019 18:32
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Sedisp posted:I mean. Yes this is true. But the Democrats response to that has been to shout about going to far left as a more progressive wing of the party tries to take the reigns. If Bernie gets the shot and then Bloomberg goes third party it's going to look exactly like this election afterwards. bloomberg would pull more votes from trump than from bernie, it's not the same
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Dec 13, 2019 18:35
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Lawman 0 posted:Actually Bernie will squish the big gulp thief underfoot and run the table Venom Snake posted:bloomberg would pull more votes from trump than from bernie, it's not the same You two have far FAR more faith in liberals than I think you should.
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Dec 13, 2019 18:36
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Dec 13, 2019 18:36
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jammy reveal thyself
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Dec 13, 2019 18:36
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