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you love to see it
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Jan 11, 2020 00:13
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Vox Nihili posted:Older folks seeing his ads every 30 seconds who also aren't particularly engaged otherwise.
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Jan 11, 2020 00:14
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Aggro posted:Who the goddamn gently caress is actively considering Tom Steyer actively considering what a loving dickhead he is
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Jan 11, 2020 00:15
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Vox Nihili posted:Older folks seeing his ads every 30 seconds who also aren't particularly engaged otherwise. Someone who watches TV and doesnt really follow the news, could even be forgiven for thinking Steyer is the only candidate. I have only ever seen ads for him.
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Jan 11, 2020 00:17
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How are u posted:you love to see it 
Groovelord Neato fucked around with this message at 00:46 on Jan 11, 2020 |
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Jan 11, 2020 00:19
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Bernie in first on https://electionbettingodds.com/ There was a 10% Biden lead 30 minutes ago Also, Nate Bronze gave Bernie a 67% chance of getting the nomination if he wins Iowa: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/biden-is-the-front-runner-but-there-is-no-clear-favorite/
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Jan 11, 2020 00:26
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President Bernie Sanders, get used to saying it everyone
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Jan 11, 2020 00:26
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https://twitter.com/SeanMcElwee/status/1215725445141975041
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Jan 11, 2020 00:28
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Bernie finishing first would obviously be fantastic, but Biden finishing 4th might just be a dagger to his electability myth.
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Jan 11, 2020 00:29
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Now the question becomes what billionaire is going to spoil his run to prove that moving left doesn't work.
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Jan 11, 2020 00:32
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https://twitter.com/CNMneews/status/1215739892598108160
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Jan 11, 2020 00:43
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https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1215771944659845120?s=19 A 9 point drop is actually good news for Butterbar!
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Jan 11, 2020 00:50
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^e: He's got to be focusing in on the jump in "no first choice", unless he's got a set of actual crosstabs. Which I'd kill for. There are a few interesting notes once you get past the topline numbers. The biggest: If I'm the Sanders campaign, I'm thrilled with this lead in a poll with only 27% first time caucusgoers (2008 was 57%, 2016 was 42% per NBCNews). Also with the drop under 30% unfavorable for the first time in months. Those without a first choice nearly doubled to 13%, which I hope is the AnybodyButBiden brigade. 'Uniting the country' was most frequently ranked as extremely important for a candidate, easily outstripping electability, agreeing with their policies, and inspiring first time voters. Inspiring voters did narrowly beat inspiring Republicans, so that's cool. Also nobody gives a gently caress about friend and family preference which makes sense since Iowa seems like a hellscape. Sanders voters are much more likely to see the candidate's health as an issue (the only one of the top 4 to be negative, though Biden trails Pete and Warren by a bunch). Warren and Sanders rank worst (according to their supporters) on military issues as well. Finally, I was surprised that Warren had the most supporters who prefer her despite believing another candidate is more likely to beat Trump, while Biden doubles up her and Bernie with voters holding their noses in hopes of the best chance against Trump. Paracaidas fucked around with this message at 00:55 on Jan 11, 2020 |
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Jan 11, 2020 00:53
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rscott posted:https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1215771944659845120?s=19 yeah i saw this, loving  Nate has a slightly better take https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1215771863944761344
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Jan 11, 2020 00:53
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Paracaidas posted:^e: He's got to be focusing in on the jump in "no first choice", unless he's got a set of actual crosstabs. Which I'd kill for. Reading his other tweet, I think he's basically saying that as people's first choices die off, they'll all move to Butt or Biden.
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Jan 11, 2020 00:58
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1215784163414020098
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Jan 11, 2020 01:01
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mutata posted:Reading his other tweet, I think he's basically saying that as people's first choices die off, they'll all move to Butt or Biden. enten is an idiot hth
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Jan 11, 2020 01:02
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mutata posted:Reading his other tweet, I think he's basically saying that as people's first choices die off, they'll all move to Butt or Biden. https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1215786347249721344 here's his full post
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Jan 11, 2020 01:05
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rscott posted:https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1215771944659845120?s=19
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Jan 11, 2020 01:05
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Enten is horrendously bad.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:05
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weird how pelosi is sending over the impeachment articles in a way that will assure the trial is going on during the Iowa caucuses 
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Jan 11, 2020 01:09
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I mean, I'm totally new to following this poo poo, so y'all know better than I but it just seems like he's adding up the numbers of people who aren't sure or prefer losers and those numbers specifically favor Butt and Biden, right? I mean it's all soothsaying but is that not what those numbers say?
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Jan 11, 2020 01:10
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Jan 11, 2020 01:12
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Enten had Sanders at 7th (and Beto in 2nd or 3rd) in his pre-primary power rankings. He's a moron.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:13
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Lol @ Bloomberg @ 10%.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:14
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How much longer until Iowa?
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Jan 11, 2020 01:16
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Nissin Cup Nudist posted:How much longer until Iowa? 24 days
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Jan 11, 2020 01:17
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Does anybody think Bernie is going to announce Nina Turner as his VP soon, to make it have an effect on the primary? Edit: Maybe at the debate?
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Jan 11, 2020 01:17
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Does anybody think Bernie is going to announce Nina Turner as his VP soon, to make it have an effect on the primary? No. Doing an early VP pick always screams desperation.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:20
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There's no point in nominating a VP until after you wrap up the primary, unless you're really desperate for press
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Jan 11, 2020 01:20
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rscott posted:There's no point in nominating a VP until after you wrap up the primary, unless you're really desperate for press I mean it could be used to shore up black support, but it's probably not worth the tradeoff
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Jan 11, 2020 01:22
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Forgot he was CNN now, so he does have the crosstabs, the fucker. Based on the questions they didn't include in the summary but have been putting on the blog (enthusiasm about first choice candidate, mind made up about first choice candidate, candidate voted for in the 2016 primary), the actually interesting pieces aren't public. mutata posted:I mean, I'm totally new to following this poo poo, so y'all know better than I but it just seems like he's adding up the numbers of people who aren't sure or prefer losers and those numbers specifically favor Butt and Biden, right? Cpt_Obvious posted:Does anybody think Bernie is going to announce Nina Turner as his VP soon, to make it have an effect on the primary?
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Jan 11, 2020 01:22
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More on Sanders' support from the Iowa poll: A near majority (49%) say they are extremely enthusiastic about him. For the other top tier candidates (Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren), 32% or less say they are extremely enthusiastic about their choice. A majority (59%) of Sanders' supporters say their mind is made up on who they are caucusing for. Less than a majority say that for the other top tier candidates.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:27
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I just watched the Sanders interview on Colbert last night and he loving killed it. He's gonna loving win
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Jan 11, 2020 01:30
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Concerned Citizen posted:presumably the same staffer who, having neglected to look it up in the first place, proceeded to book her for the same place she stayed the last time. A friend of mine was volunteering for a dem candidate in a house race. He printed a bunch of flyers at a union shop but forgot to add the critical union bee. He described the next meeting he had with union constituents as "hostile" as in "I barely made it out alive". Mistakes happen all the time but you've got to address them.
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Jan 11, 2020 01:39
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poo poo, is this what hope feels like? I don't think my heart can take it. Please win Bernie
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Jan 11, 2020 01:54
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Heck Yes! Loam! posted:I just watched the Sanders interview on Colbert last night and he loving killed it. Another amazing interview to watch is when Desus and Mero talked with him. Love those guys https://youtu.be/Q8XdL1nZrIU
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Jan 11, 2020 02:12
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:Another amazing interview to watch is when Desus and Mero talked with him. Love those guys "she might be a billionaire (that you have to guillotine)" love it
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Jan 11, 2020 02:22
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rscott posted:https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1215771944659845120?s=19 Cause his supporters will... Redouble their efforts!!!
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Jan 11, 2020 02:27
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I haven't seen a Butt dance video in a while. They gotta step up 2 it to regain those lost points.
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Jan 11, 2020 02:30
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