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SKULL.GIF posted:Viral genome has been sequenced code:
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Jan 28, 2020 02:11
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Egg Moron fucked around with this message at 02:17 on Jan 28, 2020 |
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Jan 28, 2020 02:12
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Looking at the numbers further, out of Wuhan's 2,714 cases they have had 100 deaths, and currently 563 cases are serious and 127 critical. That's 3.68% dead, 20.74% serious, 4.68% critical.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:13
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gh0stpinballa posted:reminded of the war nerd article about nukes, the glorious release from this cycle of pain and suffering. coronavirus is shouldering the burden of guilt, doing what we lack the courage to do, releasing us to blissful nothing, easing our passing not so much into but through death, to radiant nirvana. hail corona, latin for "sun". crown
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Jan 28, 2020 02:13
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Captain Gordon posted:Its funny how we continue to let one garbage country with a totalitarian government (thats obsessed with not looking bad) nearly kill the human race with deadly viruses over and over again but enough about the US,
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Jan 28, 2020 02:14
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Charlz Guybon posted:Looking at the numbers further, out of Wuhan's 2,714 cases they have had 100 deaths, and currently 563 cases are serious and 127 critical. That's 3.68% dead, 20.74% serious, 4.68% critical. not good, not terrible whats considered serious? requires hospitalization-but-not-ventilator?
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Jan 28, 2020 02:14
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well that's that new hospital filled up i guess
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Jan 28, 2020 02:14
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Friends, at work today I overheard that not only is this virus most certainly engineered by the government, but that the newly-created Space Force holds the patent to it. This is from the same guy two cubicles down from me that also thinks that the Rothschilds started the PG&E wildfires last year so, you know, he definitely has well-connected sources.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:15
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things don't look that bad, yet
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Jan 28, 2020 02:17
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ok guys i updated the graph!
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Jan 28, 2020 02:17
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nikosoft posted:Friends, at work today I overheard that not only is this virus most certainly engineered by the government, but that the newly-created Space Force holds the patent to it. mods, give me the space flu
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Jan 28, 2020 02:17
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Xaris posted:not good, not terrible I assume critical needs a ventilator given the main killing symptom is pneumonia. So, if the numbers get out of control like it seems they will, all those poor folks will die because there won't be enough ventilators to go around.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:20
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SKULL.GIF posted:Viral genome has been sequenced
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Jan 28, 2020 02:20
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we will start having eerie dreams, in one a tall dark stranger by the name of pete buttigieg will call us to join his army in south bend, in another hillary clinton will be playing acoustic guitar on the porch of jeffrey epstein's temple, there is no good side to join
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Jan 28, 2020 02:22
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Still can't believe that the fish flu reads the thread Wish it was a better poster though. Like gently caress I'd even be okay with it hitting classic memes like Brett Stevens is a bedbug at this point
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Jan 28, 2020 02:22
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:ok guys i updated the graph! thank you, ghoeberx
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Jan 28, 2020 02:23
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we're literally all gonna loving get sick lmao
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Jan 28, 2020 02:23
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gh0stpinballa posted:we will start having eerie dreams, in one a tall dark stranger by the name of pete buttigieg will call us to join his army in south bend, in another hillary clinton will be playing acoustic guitar on the porch of jeffrey epstein's temple, there is no good side to join Biden spells MOON
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Jan 28, 2020 02:24
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Minrad posted:thank you, ghoeberx im saving some room for tomorrows update 
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Jan 28, 2020 02:26
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:im saving some room for tomorrows update
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Jan 28, 2020 02:30
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A quick google search says 10-25% of the population gets the flu each year. Using the Wuhan numbers I quoted earlier as a base (3.68% dead, 20.74% serious, 4.68% critical) If 10% get sick that's 27,600,000 dead world wide, 35,100,000 critical and 155,550,000 serious. If 15% get sick that's 41,400,00 dead world wide, 52,650,000 critical and 233,325,000 serious If 20% get sick that's 55,200,000 dead world wide, 70,200,000 critical and 311,100,000 serious. If 25% get sick that's 69,000,000 dead world wide, 87,750,000 critical and 388,875,000 serious. Obviously hospitals would be overwhelmed by these numbers and if critical cases necessitates a respirator or ventilator nearly all of them would die since there aren't nearly enough.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:35
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Jesus, imagine if we lose a world war's worth of people in a month or two. What a nightmare.
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Jan 28, 2020 02:38
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Please stop taking the number who have died and dividing it by the current number of known cases to try and get a mortality rate. The only way you can calculate a mortality rate is by dividing the number who died by the number of people who are no longer sick (either because they are dead or they got better). Because we won't know the number who were sick but are now better but never went to a hospital, it's going to take a while before we can even vaguely get an idea about the mortality rate, we just have to wait until diagnosis rates go up to a high enough percentage of the people sick, then we can actually see how many of them die
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Jan 28, 2020 02:42
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:im saving some room for tomorrows update 
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Jan 28, 2020 02:42
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Captain Gordon posted:Its funny how we continue to let one garbage country with a totalitarian government (thats obsessed with not looking bad) nearly kill the human race with deadly viruses over and over again yeah i remember when president Xi said "complete global saturation" at the end of RE5 too
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Jan 28, 2020 02:45
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Mantis42 posted:Jesus, imagine if we lose a world war's worth of people in a month or two. What a nightmare. Malthusianists smile in approval
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Jan 28, 2020 02:47
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if, like me, you're feeling freaked out by this talk of "preventing the spread" and "finding a vaccine", i would like to share this by dr dolan. i hope it brings you the same comfort it brought me (swap out nukes for "allowing the virus to spread"):quote:Life on earth hit its peak during the Ice Ages, and we are now killing off the few species from that period who survived our first coup, ten thousand years ago...The lives of all the horrible humans in Houston are not worth even one Columbia Mammoth. gh0stpinballa fucked around with this message at 02:52 on Jan 28, 2020 |
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Jan 28, 2020 02:47
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Xaris posted:not good, not terrible acute respiratory symptoms, so basically yes
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Jan 28, 2020 02:48
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the whole "serious" v "critical" thing is always a bit messy but it can usually be eyeballed as admitted vs. ICU or similar
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Jan 28, 2020 02:50
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:ok guys i updated the graph! number go up!!
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Jan 28, 2020 02:50
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Schnorkles posted:the whole "serious" v "critical" thing is always a bit messy but it can usually be eyeballed as admitted vs. ICU or similar good question is whether people are critical because of lack of ventilators, doctors, etc that would otherwise be serious
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Jan 28, 2020 02:53
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for now this is officially the best thread on cspam
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Jan 28, 2020 02:53
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:im saving some room for tomorrows update for real we both need to start taking bets but also start a thread tontine for the last surviving after the quelling
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Jan 28, 2020 02:53
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love too track the wuhan flu with my posting friends
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Jan 28, 2020 02:53
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Bip Roberts posted:for real we both need to start taking bets but also start a thread tontine for the last surviving after the quelling How long will it take to infect Baghdad? 2 days Will Trump be killed? Yes Total chinese civillian casualties: 5000000 dead
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Jan 28, 2020 02:55
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Real hurthling! posted:crown your move!
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Jan 28, 2020 02:59
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there's like a lot of things to be concerned about right now we basically have a significantly less dangerous version of SARS in the absolute (i.e. outcomes are better in those who get it) but its significantly more contagious and will likely have significantly more cases when everything is said and done. What I would really, really caution people about right now is taking the reported number as absolute. Reported cases are those that have been tested and confirmed in a laboratory. They are going to hedge towards the cases that are serious enough to be prone to hospitalization. There are likely significant observed community cases that will not be reported because the people are asymptomatic. Coronaviruses, as a rule, are more dangerous the older you get. One of the postulations good virologists throw around is that we're seeing them more and more because the population of the world is getting older. The deaths in 2019-nCoV from the literature we have all hedge towards being older and immune compromised. Basically: there are a lot of people who are getting the virus who aren't getting sick. The total mortality isn't known, and right now its tracking towards CAP. While that's real bad, it's not "end planet earth" bad. Likely if you're under 40 and in decent shape, even if you get this it won't be worse than a normal run-in with the flu.
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Jan 28, 2020 03:00
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Sheng-Ji Yang posted:How long will it take to infect Baghdad? 2 days
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Jan 28, 2020 03:00
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gh0stpinballa posted:if, like me, you're feeling freaked out by this talk of "preventing the spread" and "finding a vaccine", i would like to share this by dr dolan. i hope it brings you the same comfort it brought me (swap out nukes for "allowing the virus to spread"): Nirvana is achieved through patient optimism, diligence in following the eightfold path, and practice such virtues as giving and kindness until perfect wisdom is achieved not through nihilistic lust formlessness which only leads to you being reborn as at best a preta or at worse nalanka. Namaste.
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Jan 28, 2020 03:00
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Doc Walrus posted:
Oh, but working too hard can give you a heart a-tactactactactactactac
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Jan 28, 2020 03:00
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