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Small White Dragon
Nov 23, 2007

No relation.

SeaWolf posted:

I've always contributed to a Roth IRA so I never did forms for the IRS (whoops maybe??). But in 2019 I switched to a traditional, and now it's tax time... Vanguard says forms won't be available until AFTER 4/15 because I can contribute for last year until then even though I'm definitely already way maxed... How do I do my taxes without this??
Don't you know how much you contributed?

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withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
P. sure the only purpose of the form in question is to report the amount that you contributed to your IRA this year. So if you know how much you put in this year (spoiler alert: it's $6k) then you don't need their form. You can report your non-deductible contributions without that form.

withak fucked around with this message at 03:38 on Feb 2, 2020

SeaWolf
Mar 7, 2008
Of course, but don't I need some kind of 1099?
I also did 4k Roth 2k traditional ... It was a weird year

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
no




edit: You have to file form 8606 to document non-deductible contributions to an IRA.

SeaWolf
Mar 7, 2008
So a word doc in helvetica 12pt saying

I CONTRIBUTED TWO THOUSAND AMERICAN DOLLARS TO A TRADITIONAL IRA

is enough?







Oh

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
the pdf version of the 8606 might let you use helvetica 12, idk

SeaWolf
Mar 7, 2008
On that note non deductible... The past 6 years I've been doing Roth IRA I haven't done anything... So I kinda hosed up?

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
I think you can retroactively report it. You might have to pay a fee if you can't think of a good excuse why you hosed up tho.

edit: LMGTFY https://www.google.com/search?q=late+8606

withak fucked around with this message at 03:48 on Feb 2, 2020

SeaWolf
Mar 7, 2008
Ignorance is a good excuse, right?? RIGHT??

Small White Dragon
Nov 23, 2007

No relation.

SeaWolf posted:

On that note non deductible... The past 6 years I've been doing Roth IRA I haven't done anything... So I kinda hosed up?
I don't think you actually have to report Roth IRA contributions. You do, however, have to report traditional contributions and any conversions from traditional to Roth.

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
Reporting non-deductible TIRA contributions is how you avoid paying taxes on them if/when you convert to a Roth IRA.

Boof Bonser
Jan 26, 2015

nvj is touched by your generosity!

timn posted:

You have reframed what you posted into something completely different from what people were taking exception to.

O?

I initially said "restricting the access of poor people to bad consumer credit products" and later said "restricting predatory lending." This is... the same thing. Banning payday lending or capping the interest rates on unsecured consumer loans amounts to... restricting the access of poor people to bad consumer products (unless you think there are a bunch of rich people out there taking out auto title loans)

DaveSauce
Feb 15, 2004

Oh, how awkward.

Boof Bonser posted:

O?

I initially said "restricting the access of poor people to bad consumer credit products" and later said "restricting predatory lending." This is... the same thing. Banning payday lending or capping the interest rates on unsecured consumer loans amounts to... restricting the access of poor people to bad consumer products (unless you think there are a bunch of rich people out there taking out auto title loans)

lol loving hell, this poo poo right here.

Jesus Christ, listen to yourself. No, it's not the same thing, you ignorant twat waffle.

Your motive here is to punish the poor for being poor, rather than punish criminals for being criminals. THAT'S what everyone's problem is. If you want to ban payday loans, why not just loving ban them? I mean, you're not necessarily wrong about the demand drying up, but god drat you're taking the most rear end backwards approach here.

edit:

Of course none of this even addresses the root causes of WHY people take these loans, and what the effect of banning them would be, but that's a WAY more complicated discussion.

DaveSauce fucked around with this message at 14:17 on Feb 3, 2020

Orange DeviI
Nov 9, 2011

by Hand Knit
Don't waste your time reading someone's posts when they don't understand or care about what they're saying

People should have stopped responding at 'I don't think there is a moral imperative for redistributing wealth so long as people aren't dying in the streets.'

WithoutTheFezOn
Aug 28, 2005
Oh no
But then you would have missed “net worth requirements for getting a credit card”.

Kylaer
Aug 4, 2007
I'm SURE walking around in a respirator at all times in an (even more) OPEN BIDENing society is definitely not a recipe for disaster and anyone that's not cool with getting harassed by CHUDs are cave dwellers. I've got good brain!
Would you kindly take this topic to where it belongs in CSPAM and leave this thread as the one safe space for moneyhavers in this dead gay communist forum?

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

DaveSauce posted:

Of course none of this even addresses the root causes of WHY people take these loans, and what the effect of banning them would be, but that's a WAY more complicated discussion.

I went all the way as far as typing up the WHY but decided to leave that can of worms closed. Sometimes you just gotta let it go.

doingitwrong
Jul 27, 2013
Does anyone have any good resources for understanding the RANGE of expected returns? All the retirement calculators go "it's hard to calculate ranges so put in some assumptions; here are some overly reassuring curves that behave as if 'expected return' is a precise number, rather than the middle of a pretty wide band".

Also, does anyone have any good ideas on how to project forwards for bonds, given that their recent past good performance is largely a consequence of interest rates steadily dropping towards zero, and—since we're running out of numbers—that trend seems unlikely to continue.

I'm trying to give my wife and I some mental models for getting a feel for what we are getting ourselves in to.

Xguard86
Nov 22, 2004

"You don't understand his pain. Everywhere he goes he sees women working, wearing pants, speaking in gatherings, voting. Surely they will burn in the white hot flames of Hell"
Some retirement tools give you a range via multiple simulations. Usually, a dollar amount for best and worst case scenario at the top 10% and bottom %10 of expected outcome. Is that what you're looking for?

Personal capital does that and I think there's a browser based tool that many people like. Something with FIRE in the title.

spwrozek
Sep 4, 2006

Sail when it's windy

You need to utilize a Monte Carlo simulation to get the combinations. Some systems will then give you the odds of meeting your goals. Personal capital had a pretty good one I think.

Hoodwinker
Nov 7, 2005

doingitwrong posted:

Does anyone have any good resources for understanding the RANGE of expected returns? All the retirement calculators go "it's hard to calculate ranges so put in some assumptions; here are some overly reassuring curves that behave as if 'expected return' is a precise number, rather than the middle of a pretty wide band".

Also, does anyone have any good ideas on how to project forwards for bonds, given that their recent past good performance is largely a consequence of interest rates steadily dropping towards zero, and—since we're running out of numbers—that trend seems unlikely to continue.

I'm trying to give my wife and I some mental models for getting a feel for what we are getting ourselves in to.
One thing to keep in mind is that over a sufficiently long time frame, stuff like the S&P has a variance of like +/- 2%. For long-term planning purposes this is Good Enough.

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


doingitwrong posted:

Does anyone have any good resources for understanding the RANGE of expected returns? All the retirement calculators go "it's hard to calculate ranges so put in some assumptions; here are some overly reassuring curves that behave as if 'expected return' is a precise number, rather than the middle of a pretty wide band".

Also, does anyone have any good ideas on how to project forwards for bonds, given that their recent past good performance is largely a consequence of interest rates steadily dropping towards zero, and—since we're running out of numbers—that trend seems unlikely to continue.

I'm trying to give my wife and I some mental models for getting a feel for what we are getting ourselves in to.

Fidelity's FullView offers you three different long-term market condition choices with this explanation (it's a Monte Carlo sim):

quote:

Significantly Below Average Market
A significantly below average market is defined as the 90% confidence level of estimated future balances and/or estimated future income. The 90% confidence level represents significantly below average market conditions with 10% of all hypothetical scenarios tested performing worse. This means that in 90 out of 100 market scenarios tested a hypothetical portfolio similar to yours performed at least as well as the results shown and 10 out of 100 performed worse than the results shown.

Below Average Market
A below average market is defined as the 75% confidence level of estimated future balances and/or estimated future income. The 75% confidence level represents below average market conditions with 25% of all hypothetical scenarios tested performing worse. This means that in 75 out of 100 market scenarios tested a hypothetical portfolio similar to yours performed at least as well as the results shown and 25 out of 100 performed worse than the results shown.

Average Market
An average market is defined as the 50% confidence level of estimated future balances and/or estimated future income. The 50% confidence level represents average market conditions with 50% of all hypothetical scenarios tested performing worse. This means that in 50 out of 100 market scenarios tested a hypothetical portfolio similar to yours performed at least as well as the results shown and 50 out of 100 performed worse than the results shown.

quote:

Historical Performance Analysis
The historical performance analysis is performed in several steps.

First, asset class percentages of an asset mix similar to the current asset mix of your selected account or of another target asset mix that you select for modeling purposes, as appropriate, are identified. Then, using the expected returns for each asset class (i.e., stocks, bonds, and short-term investments, but not those classified as "other" or "unknown") and their historical correlations and volatilities derived from running a minimum of 250 hypothetical financial market return scenarios or simulations, the Tool estimates the performance of that asset mix to create a range of potential returns. The expected returns for the asset classes are based on historical returns. Finally, the Tool graphs results of the analysis based on how that asset mix may have performed in a certain percentage of the simulated market scenarios. These percentages are called "confidence levels." For example, the default confidence level is 90%, which we consider "very conservative" market performance. This means that in 90% of the historical market scenarios run, a target asset mix similar to the current asset mix of your selected account or of another target asset mix that you select for modeling purposes, as appropriate, performed at least as well as the results shown. Conversely, in only 10% of the historical market scenarios run, a target asset mix similar to the current asset mix of your selected account or of another target asset mix that you select, as appropriate, failed to reach the results shown. Fidelity uses this 90% figure so as to err on the side of a more conservative estimation of future market performance. Your results will be available for viewing at the 50%, 75% and 90% confidence levels.

they do this rather than giving you a drop down of x% annual return. It's nice because you can see hypothetical assets or monthly income for each confidence interval pretty easily. Their sim has me anywhere from about 7% short of my monthly income goal at retirement with lifetime assumptions etc. etc. to 88% over, to give you the idea of the ranges of the sim.

e:

Xguard86 posted:

Some retirement tools give you a range via multiple simulations. Usually, a dollar amount for best and worst case scenario at the top 10% and bottom %10 of expected outcome. Is that what you're looking for?

Personal capital does that and I think there's a browser based tool that many people like. Something with FIRE in the title.

https://www.firecalc.com/

it's not very intuitive at all, at least it wasn't for me, but once you understand the structure it's easy to use.

brugroffil fucked around with this message at 18:49 on Feb 3, 2020

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
firecalc is the only one that's remotely any good. user interface is lousy and you have to have a rudimentary understanding of mathematics but it's the only one that gives you enough output to make a decision imo

doingitwrong
Jul 27, 2013

Hoodwinker posted:

One thing to keep in mind is that over a sufficiently long time frame, stuff like the S&P has a variance of like +/- 2%. For long-term planning purposes this is Good Enough.

Thinking in 25 year period. The worst historical 25 year period was ~2.7% the best was ~10.8% (inflation adjusted). Given the magic of compound interest, you can see just how big a range that might be. Even at 40 years, I am seeing ~4% to ~9.5%. That's still huge range.

Playing with this calculator. https://dqydj.com/sp-500-historical-return-calculator/

doingitwrong
Jul 27, 2013

brugroffil posted:


https://www.firecalc.com/

it's not very intuitive at all, at least it wasn't for me, but once you understand the structure it's easy to use.

Thank you this is very helpful.

Sundae
Dec 1, 2005

doingitwrong posted:

Thank you this is very helpful.

Make sure to go through all the tabs and get your spending accounted for / everything set to appropriately conservative values. Like any other calculator, its output is only as good as the data you put into it.

greasyhands
Oct 28, 2006

Best quality posts,
freshly delivered
the QQQs traded back and forth in a .50 range for 5 hours straight. loving machines man

argeto
Apr 30, 2004
Spammer
My fiancée changed teaching jobs a couple years ago. When she changed jobs the retirement plan asked her to choose what to do with the money she had put in there so far. I recently learned that she chose to put this money (~19k) in a Rollover IRA account with Vanguard, and it has been sitting there ever since. What are some of the options she could explore with this money?

Relevant (maybe) Details:
• She’s a teacher currently earning less than 45k a year.
• We’re getting married this year, so our filing status is changing.
• Our combined gross (?) income will be around 140k.

Motronic
Nov 6, 2009

argeto posted:

My fiancée changed teaching jobs a couple years ago. When she changed jobs the retirement plan asked her to choose what to do with the money she had put in there so far. I recently learned that she chose to put this money (~19k) in a Rollover IRA account with Vanguard, and it has been sitting there ever since. What are some of the options she could explore with this money?

Relevant (maybe) Details:
• She’s a teacher currently earning less than 45k a year.
• We’re getting married this year, so our filing status is changing.
• Our combined gross (?) income will be around 140k.

Are you saying it was put into there as cash and never invested? Pick the appropriate target date retirement fund and put it all in that.

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


A Vanguard Roth IRA is a great place for that money to sit, like Motronic said just park it in the appropriate target date fund and forget about it for a few decades

Boof Bonser
Jan 26, 2015

nvj is touched by your generosity!

DaveSauce posted:

lol loving hell, this poo poo right here.

Jesus Christ, listen to yourself. No, it's not the same thing, you ignorant twat waffle.

Your motive here is to punish the poor for being poor, rather than punish criminals for being criminals. THAT'S what everyone's problem is. If you want to ban payday loans, why not just loving ban them? I mean, you're not necessarily wrong about the demand drying up, but god drat you're taking the most rear end backwards approach here.

edit:

Of course none of this even addresses the root causes of WHY people take these loans, and what the effect of banning them would be, but that's a WAY more complicated discussion.

I get that we need to act like it's a big deal whenever someone isn't a democratic socialist but this is a preposterous overreaction to a semantic distinction. Prohibiting poor people from taking out payday loans and banning payday lending are literally the same thing. I have no problem with allowing rich people to go borrow $200 at 2,500% APR if they want to, but of course none of them would, so the net result is exactly the same. You're just freaking out because the semantic emphasis seems to imply that I am blaming poor people instead of lenders. If you people freak out like this when presented with a policy proposal that you like but want rephrased I can only imagine how you'd react if someone proposed, like, scaling back Medicaid to fund a dividend tax cut.

DaveSauce
Feb 15, 2004

Oh, how awkward.
It's not semantics. You're using income/wealth as the sole determining factor for financial responsibility. If you can't see what's wrong with that then I don't know what to tell you.

Orange DeviI
Nov 9, 2011

by Hand Knit
People do this thing which is clearly bad in the long term in order to get by? We must stop them from doing the thing. I am very intelligent

MJP
Jun 17, 2007

Are you looking at me Senpai?

Grimey Drawer

Boof Bonser posted:

lol smh @ these goony goons who think homeless people are dying in the streets. it's not possible to die in the streets, if you were in the streets you'd have phased into solid mass and be instantly crushed by it as your molecular structure is displaced by the asphalt.

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
also yeah, people die in the streets with alarming regularity in this, the wealthiest country in the world

i mean they're homeless, or drug addicts, or the mentally ill, or some combination so it's not like they're really people right boof?

Orange DeviI
Nov 9, 2011

by Hand Knit
Or diabetic children

Giganticon
Mar 10, 2010

Pillbug
Well it was nice while it lasted. Good luck to you all.

Space Gopher
Jul 31, 2006

BLITHERING IDIOT AND HARDCORE DURIAN APOLOGIST. LET ME TELL YOU WHY THIS SHIT DON'T STINK EVEN THOUGH WE ALL KNOW IT DOES BECAUSE I'M SUPER CULTURED.

Boof Bonser posted:

Prohibiting poor people from taking out payday loans and banning payday lending are literally the same thing. I have no problem with allowing rich people to go borrow $200 at 2,500% APR if they want to, but of course none of them would, so the net result is exactly the same.

I mean, we could do the simple thing, but if we do the complicated one then we get the same result and also get to shame poor people more! Why aren't you guys all on board with this?

Kylaer posted:

Would you kindly take this topic to where it belongs in CSPAM and leave this thread as the one safe space for moneyhavers in this dead gay communist forum?

Hi. I have some money and a job that pays me enough to save significant amounts, so I guess I still get to post unless you mean generational wealth or something.

If you can have significant wealth in the developed world (even just a retirement fund and a few grand in emergency savings), have personal experience with the way it can make what would be terrifying, life-altering problems for other people utterly trivial, and not hate the system that makes your life easy and others' lives incredibly hard for no real reason, then you might just be broken inside.

Space Gopher fucked around with this message at 16:05 on Feb 4, 2020

spwrozek
Sep 4, 2006

Sail when it's windy

This thread is about investing and retirement. Take whatever the gently caress you are arguing about somewhere else.

To try to get on track here....

I am pretty sure I am going to be mostly responsible for my mom's well being and retirement. I have put money into a Roth IRA for her (it has about $5k in it),I have a 1 year CD @ 2.05% with about $11500 in it (matures in January 2021) and a savings account that I put $300 a month in with Ally (it has about $900). Usually I would say I should be investing the money but my mom is 63 and I am not really sure exactly when she will need the money but my guess is at 65 ish.

Any thoughts on what I should/could do differently?

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H110Hawk
Dec 28, 2006

spwrozek posted:

This thread is about investing and retirement. Take whatever the gently caress you are arguing about somewhere else.

spwrozek posted:

To try to get on track here....

I am pretty sure I am going to be mostly responsible for my mom's well being and retirement. I have put money into a Roth IRA for her (it has about $5k in it),I have a 1 year CD @ 2.05% with about $11500 in it (matures in January 2021) and a savings account that I put $300 a month in with Ally (it has about $900). Usually I would say I should be investing the money but my mom is 63 and I am not really sure exactly when she will need the money but my guess is at 65 ish.

Any thoughts on what I should/could do differently?

Why isn't your mom going to keep working?

If she' isn't taking social security, she shouldn't until 67 unless she has something that is going to shorten her life. Does she literally have no savings? What are her expenses? Etc. Same basic questions as if you came to us asking wtf to do with your budget, but your mom.

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