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Crazyweasel
Oct 29, 2006
lazy

Joementum posted:

probably true and worth mentioning that amy had no operation in NH. way too much media effect in this primary.

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1227419373696057354

Bernie could definitely win the nom but just objectively thinking it is starting to get hard to think that a majority of Americans will vote for a democratic socialist. It is just really easy to spook people with the S word

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But Rocks Hurt Head
Jun 30, 2003

by Hand Knit
Pillbug
https://twitter.com/GarbageApe/status/1227419899200507905?s=20

PyPy
Sep 13, 2004

by vyelkin
I swear to god I will vote teump if it’s not bernie. don’t make me do this

Son of Rodney
Feb 22, 2006

ohmygodohmygodohmygod

Zokari posted:

theyre lying genious

It's like 3.30 here I'm tired and very confused who's lying is bernie the president yet??

Deified Data
Nov 3, 2015


Fun Shoe
This is going to sound dumb but some arzys need the reminder - the gap began Bernie and Butt gets harder and harder for Butt to bridge the closer he gets and the more votes come in.

Yes, the media will declare him the winner, so does it matter if his second place is comfy or narrow? Beating the Buttmentum narrative is the essential task here and denying him 1st, by whatever means necessary, is key to that.

bebop esq
Apr 17, 2006

hi boys

The people whose top issues are beating Trump and climate change went to loving Pete? lol

DACK FAYDEN
Feb 25, 2013

Bear Witness
I'm kinda surprised by the climate change voters breaking for Butt. What's the likely crosstab there? They're all rich and have healthcare from their fancy white collar job? I would have expected it to skew young.

Animal-Mother
Feb 14, 2012

RABBIT RABBIT
RABBIT RABBIT

these are av material

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


Joementum posted:

not totally sure about this take. a lot depends on how much cash amy can raise in the next couple weeks and when warren and biden's bank runs dry.

another counterpoint: buttchug

TowerofOil
May 22, 2007

You don't need a doctor, I'm a christian scientist.

Bread Liar

Yinlock posted:

are any numbers real if you think about it

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Honestly Trump's posting ability puts all of us to shame

Serf
May 5, 2011



lol posting this dude

En Garde Motherfuckers
Apr 29, 2009

Hey. Is it just me, or do my balls itch?

its the only way his campaign could end

Thoguh
Nov 8, 2002

College Slice

But Rocks Hurt Head posted:

where's the lie?

Iowa didn't happen so this was the first contest. Biden is now officially dead and Warren's campaign is headed that way. We have no idea where people will consolidate.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
thing to keep in mind: if you're a big money guy who do you throw money at after tonight: pete, bloomberg, or amy?


i think amy is the least likeliest of those three and she has basically no cash on hand as is

ShutteredIn
Mar 24, 2005

El Campeon Mundial del Acordeon

loving dumb take

Communist Thoughts
Jan 7, 2008

Our war against free speech cannot end until we silence this bronze beast!


pre-op bebop posted:

The weird video she made with her husband early in the race. She drinks a beer with him and says "I'm glad you're here" and trump has made fun of this ever since. ("He should be there. It's his house!")

hahaha this is actually quite funny

lol i had to go through so many live primary streams to find one actually playing biden talking

The Muppets On PCP
Nov 13, 2016

by Fluffdaddy

PyPy posted:

I swear to god I will vote teump if it’s not bernie. don’t make me do this

vote bernie ya dummy whether or not he's on the ballot

Polo-Rican
Jul 4, 2004

emptyquote my posts or die

Pollyanna posted:

another counterpoint: buttchug

Buttigieg has practically 0 support in most of the country, unlike biden

Dreylad
Jun 19, 2001
It seems like a mistake to try to project the total number of delegates from two primaries that can't anticipate things like momentum and people dropping out. Also I really wonder if Biden is going to be able to get any support once he's trounced in all the primaries leading up to it.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



pre-op bebop posted:

The people whose top issues are beating Trump and climate change went to loving Pete? lol

That's the advantage of being the media darling riding an unearned bump while also being a totally blank slate

Bearjew
Apr 18, 2017



Crazyweasel posted:

Bernie could definitely win the nom but just objectively thinking it is starting to get hard to think that a majority of Americans will vote for a democratic socialist. It is just really easy to spook people with the S word

Dems and lean dems have been called socialists long enough that it’s meaningless

Bernie will win

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Crazyweasel posted:

Bernie could definitely win the nom but just objectively thinking it is starting to get hard to think that a majority of Americans will vote for a democratic socialist. It is just really easy to spook people with the S word

Literally every Democratic candidate ever since FDR has been called a dirty evil socialist.

Evrart Claire
Jan 11, 2008

pre-op bebop posted:

The people whose top issues are beating Trump and climate change went to loving Pete? lol

Climate change I don't get, but the media has drilled in their heads for the past 4 years that we need a pragmatic moderate to beat Trump.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

The Muppets On PCP posted:

vote bernie ya dummy whether or not he's on the ballot

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

DACK FAYDEN posted:

I'm kinda surprised by the climate change voters breaking for Butt. What's the likely crosstab there? They're all rich and have healthcare from their fancy white collar job? I would have expected it to skew young.

you have to be doing pretty well in america to list climate change #1 over healthcare or economic concerns

But Rocks Hurt Head
Jun 30, 2003

by Hand Knit
Pillbug

Joementum posted:

thing to keep in mind: if you're a big money guy who do you throw money at after tonight: pete, bloomberg, or amy?


i think amy is the least likeliest of those three and she has basically no cash on hand as is

by 'throw money at bloomberg' you mean 'not throw money, because honestly why?' right?

CharlestheHammer
Jun 26, 2011

YOU SAY MY POSTS ARE THE RAVINGS OF THE DUMBEST PERSON ON GOD'S GREEN EARTH BUT YOU YOURSELF ARE READING THEM. CURIOUS!
I think Bernie supporters downplaying a victory in N.H. is weird and very counterproductive

ArmedZombie
Jun 6, 2004

Joementum posted:

thing to keep in mind: if you're a big money guy who do you throw money at after tonight: pete, bloomberg, or amy?


i think amy is the least likeliest of those three and she has basically no cash on hand as is

all in on the butt of course

Chuka Umana
Apr 30, 2019

by sebmojo
I'M NOT HERE

THIS ISN'T HAPPENING

really queer Christmas
Apr 22, 2014

Deified Data posted:

This is going to sound dumb but some arzys need the reminder - the gap began Bernie and Butt gets harder and harder for Butt to bridge the closer he gets and the more votes come in.

Yes, the media will declare him the winner, so does it matter if his second place is comfy or narrow? Beating the Buttmentum narrative is the essential task here and denying him 1st, by whatever means necessary, is key to that.

100% agreed.

BoldFace
Feb 28, 2011
Bernie needs to start preparing for a third party run soon. I doubt there's any other path left now.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005
imagine going from being named after the worst gun in goldeneye 64 to being potus

But Rocks Hurt Head
Jun 30, 2003

by Hand Knit
Pillbug
lol thinking about donating money to the michael bloomberg campaign and instantly stroking out

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

But Rocks Hurt Head posted:

by 'throw money at bloomberg' you mean 'not throw money, because honestly why?' right?

right

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




Mayor Dave posted:

counterpoint: the dnc will do their best to throw it this way

noted achievers of their goals, the dnc

Serf
May 5, 2011


to be clear if they ratfuck bernie, that's fine. the democrats will be dead and we will be free to build a movement without them

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


Polo-Rican posted:

Buttigieg has practically 0 support in most of the country, unlike biden

he's got fuckin 23% of the vote in nh

MeatwadIsGod
Sep 30, 2004

Foretold by Gyromancy

Crazyweasel posted:

Bernie could definitely win the nom but just objectively thinking it is starting to get hard to think that a majority of Americans will vote for a democratic socialist. It is just really easy to spook people with the S word

Even people who hate the s-word love Bernie

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Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Dreylad posted:

It seems like a mistake to try to project the total number of delegates from two primaries that can't anticipate things like momentum and people dropping out. Also I really wonder if Biden is going to be able to get any support once he's trounced in all the primaries leading up to it.

The more people drop out the more likely a contested convention becomes so we're against that

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