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etalian
Mar 20, 2006

gh0stpinballa posted:

oh man wasbappin is gonna be so upset

Brown Moses to post blurry google images to predict that Assad's government will collapse tomorrow morning

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gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/bringerofrot/status/1229001662154575872?s=21

etalian
Mar 20, 2006


New excuse for Israeli guys when their girlfriend finds pics of other women on their Iphone?

Hamas did it, I'm innocent!

etalian has issued a correction as of 02:32 on Feb 17, 2020

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

israel dickfence force

Real hurthling!
Sep 11, 2001




if hamas had compromised idf media accounts i would hope theyd have a better plan than a random teenagers bathroom mirror photo

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_v19cqO_Pt0

sum
Nov 15, 2010

Does anyone know any good resources that explain the overall strategic picture in Syria, preferably not from a vampiric neocon perspective? All the news coming out about the Idlib offensive is mostly either a hyper-zoomed in Twitter perspective about how a barn was liberated in Al Rami or useless Reuters crap about how Idlib is a province in northwest Syria. Basically I'd like to know the actual political and military conditions that are shaping the course of events.

Fast Luck
Feb 2, 1988

The SyrianCivilWar reddit is actually not bad for catalogueing all the latest developments, which btw includes Erdogan insanely threatening to imminently invade Idlib and directly confront Syrian state forces.

sum
Nov 15, 2010

Yeah the subreddit is where I get a lot of my Syria news from, but they tend to be pretty narrowly focused on recent developments. I'm thinking more like coverage from a strategic/operational perspective. For example I'd like to know how serious Turkey is about intervening in Idlib, why the latest offensive in Idlib is apparently so much more successful than the SAA's earlier attempts, why Assad is apparently now willing to risk a confrontation with Turkey etc.

thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth
Turkey blatantly invading kurdish held northern Syria twice now probably has something to do with it. Syria can't just let their neighbour continually annex its territory.

E: 3 times actually, forgot about the time Turkey the abandoned Islamic State and invaded their territory to prevent the kurdish held territories from linking.

thatfatkid has issued a correction as of 20:46 on Feb 19, 2020

sum
Nov 15, 2010

Ok sure but Turkey's also threatening a war to "rescue" their garrisons so presumably Syria/Russia would only launch the operation if they thought either Erdogan was bluffing or that the Syrian army could resist the Turkish military (doesn't seem likely to me)

thatfatkid
Feb 20, 2011

by Azathoth
Turkey are bluffing imo, they're not going to start an actual war with Syria backed by Russia. Erdogan can't appear weak domestically, he did only narrowly survive a coup a few years ago.

Turkey are shitscared of having to finally deal with the consequences of letting a million displaced jihadist sympathising people on their border.

Kurnugia
Sep 2, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo
the jihadists have already been driven to the turkish border. the peninsula projecting into idlib only exists because of the border connection with turkey and what erdogan is afraid of is having to deal with their imminent defeat in syria, for having supported the jihadists, the ones now demanding the victory promised to them by erdogan. he will fall, ultimately because he cant deliver to these murderers what they see as promised to them, ergo all the rhetoric about idlib. PKK is the future

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Kurnugia posted:

the jihadists have already been driven to the turkish border. the peninsula projecting into idlib only exists because of the border connection with turkey and what erdogan is afraid of is having to deal with their imminent defeat in syria, for having supported the jihadists, the ones now demanding the victory promised to them by erdogan. he will fall, ultimately because he cant deliver to these murderers what they see as promised to them, ergo all the rhetoric about idlib. PKK is the future

wait really? i haven't been keeping track for a few months, what happened to the "buffer zone" along that northern strip of rojava?

Kurnugia
Sep 2, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

i say swears online posted:

wait really? i haven't been keeping track for a few months, what happened to the "buffer zone" along that northern strip of rojava?

its the border? its just the border with turkish troops marching around makin sure one of their feet lands on a displaced kurdish border town on every other step

Kurnugia
Sep 2, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo
and the "buffer zone" is mostly in the east of syria, beginning about where the western jihadist control ended and SDF control started. erdogan made that buffer butt push since he thought that assad would just stand by and let them take rojava

gh0stpinballa
Mar 5, 2019

https://twitter.com/MarkSleboda1/status/1230480880126320640?s=19

seems like turkey have been humiliated here

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
Erdogan threatens 'imminent' Turkish operation in Syria

quote:

Turkish leader says talks with Russia over northwest Syria failed to achieve 'desired result'.

i think erdogan might be bluffing. is he really willing to ruin turkey's relationship with russia over a rump state of jihadists on his border? i could see him panicking over the subsequent humanitarian crisis of refugees fleeing idlib for turkey but if the turks hit the saa russia will pretty much be forced to respond and protect them. this is a no-win for erdogan.

Darkman Fanpage has issued a correction as of 16:30 on Feb 20, 2020

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1230505151284285447?s=20

Egg Moron
Jul 21, 2003

the dreams of the delighting void

https://twitter.com/Samir_Madani/status/1230637131120463875?s=20

https://twitter.com/LizSly/status/1230664131684032513?s=20

Corky Romanovsky
Oct 1, 2006

Soiled Meat

Just a coincidence.

Spergin Morlock
Aug 8, 2009

Corky Romanovsky posted:

Just a coincidence.

Wouldn't it be funny if it turned out to be the US that hit the Saudi oil refinery last year, and it was a tactic to increase weapon sales to SA?

Smirking_Serpent
Aug 27, 2009

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/alexkantrowitz/how-saudi-arabia-infiltrated-twitter

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
https://twitter.com/WASBAPPIN/status/1230694152641249280?s=09

:stare:

cool dance moves
Aug 27, 2018



:rip: klob

etalian
Mar 20, 2006


Who must go?

Smirking_Serpent
Aug 27, 2009

Dreylad
Jun 19, 2001
was that guy intentionally trying to inflict her with the curse?

Victory Position
Mar 16, 2004

Dreylad posted:

was that guy intentionally trying to inflict her with the curse?

no

this is what he craves

Smirking_Serpent
Aug 27, 2009

Amy Klbappuchar

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014



Finally we know wa bappin, it was my this whole time

Lambert
Apr 15, 2018

by Fluffdaddy
Fallen Rib
Remember when Trump called her snowwoman and she viciously clapped back?

Laterite
Mar 14, 2007

It's Gutfest '89
Grimey Drawer

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005

Smirking_Serpent posted:

Amy Klbappuchar

Edna Krabappuchar

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer
this is a cool twitter thread

https://twitter.com/Hezbolsonaro/status/1218971434208247808?s=20

gh0stpinballa
Mar 5, 2019

any syria updates? i'm seeing rumours that russia hit some turk guardposts and tanks

Kurnugia
Sep 2, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

gh0stpinballa posted:

any syria updates? i'm seeing rumours that russia hit some turk guardposts and tanks

wait what? russia probably wouldnt bomb turkish troops except by accident, and i doubt erdogan actually wants to get into a real shooting match with either assad or russia so... where did you see those rumours?

Dante80
Mar 23, 2015

This is from yesterday. I think.

https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1231610685316091905

https://twitter.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/1231605577429721090

Kurnugia
Sep 2, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo
okay so i've not seen anything further beyond those vids about this, but if you send an armored column into a city under assault, you cant really blame anyone when you get slapped by an airstrike. erdogan knew that his non-agression pact with russia and assad only applied to the observation posts, so unless he was testing the russian response to going all in on idlib, i dont really see what the point of all this was. i guess erdogan just wanted to see if an armored human shield would simply stop assad dead in his tracks? doesnt seem to be working out too well

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Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold
its killing the fundamentalist militiamen erodogan doesn't want to house any more so its win-win for him

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