Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author
lol

https://twitter.com/trouw/status/1232664638908702720?s=20

All is well! So far, so good!

quote:

(A GGD is a local health agency for a small municipality, responsible for doing things like distributing vaccines in a certain city:)

The GGDs in the Netherlands are flooded with phone calls from citizens, healthcare providers and organizations that are concerned about the new corona virus. "We understand the concern, but panic is not necessary," says GJD team leader and infectious diseases doctor in Amsterdam Anja Schreijer. She speaks on behalf of GGD GHOR Nederland, the umbrella sector organization of the 25 Municipal Health Services (GGDs) and Medical Assistance Organizations in the Region (GHOR).

"To begin with, there is not yet one corona patient in the Netherlands, but we also have a very good and close-meshed system to curb the disease and, if that fails, to delay it as much as possible." According to her, restraint seems to work well in neighboring countries. The doctor also wants to urge people to check everything on the site of the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM): "It contains sufficient good information."

Notification obligation

Since the end of January, doctors have been obliged to report a suspicion of the virus. In such a case, the doctor calls the GGD and the service must investigate whether there really is a suspicion. This may be the case with fever and cough and / or shortness of breath in people who have been in contact with a proven patient in the past two weeks or who have stayed in areas where the virus is widespread. The GGD then consults with RIVM whether a test should be done.

The areas mentioned are of course China, but also certain municipalities in Italy. Although winter sports are practiced in Italy, just like in Austria, Schreijer emphasizes that this is not about all ski resorts where so many people are on holiday now.

If there is a corona infection in the Netherlands, an entire protocol will immediately take effect. The patient is isolated, it is immediately investigated with whom he or she was in contact from the moment this man or woman showed symptoms and was therefore contagious, a so-called ring contact examination. “We will call all those people and ask them to keep a close eye on their health for two weeks and to report symptoms. If someone is infected, the entire protocol starts again. "

According to Schreijer, the GGDs currently have enough capacity to carry out all the research.

German not yet sick in the Netherlands

The German corona patient who has been to Limburg appears not to have been ill during his stay in the Netherlands. This eliminates the need for further contact research in the Netherlands, reports the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM).

On Tuesday evening, RIVM announced that a German man who was tested positive for the new corona virus was staying in Limburg a week ago. The GGD therefore immediately launched so-called contact investigation. In the night from Tuesday to Wednesday, however, it became clear that the German patient was in Limburg on the weekend of 8 and 9 February, more than a week before the German had complaints in his own country, according to the RIVM.

Since he only got the first symptoms of illness more than a week after he was in the Netherlands, the RIVM considers there is no chance that the German has infected people in the Netherlands, says an RIVM spokesperson. “The vast majority of people who have fallen ill have been in contact with someone with symptoms of illness. Transmission often takes place via the picking up or coughing up of droplets in the nose or throat. You must have enough virus in you to be able to transfer it. "



Let’s see that “good information” that the RIVM has on their website....

RIVM posted:

How long can the new coronavirus survive outside the body?
A virus always needs a human or animal to "stay alive" and be able to share. The virus can only survive for a short time outside the body. How long that is exactly is still unknown.

Corona viruses cannot survive well outside the body. Certainly not on cardboard, packaging material or other items. Other coronaviruses do not spread in this way and we have no reason to believe that this is different for this new coronavirus (COVID-19).

:wrong:

https://www.journalofhospitalinfection.com/article/S0195-6701(20)30046-3/fulltext

“The analysis of 22 studies reveals that human coronaviruses such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) coronavirus, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) coronavirus or endemic human coronaviruses (HCoV) can persist on inanimate surfaces like metal, glass or plastic for up to 9 days”

RIVM posted:

Can contamination with the new corona virus (COVID-19) happen through a ventilation system?
The virus comes out of the nose, throat or lungs due to coughing and sneezing. The virus enters the air in small droplets. These droplets do not float in the air, but fall quickly. The sicker a person is, the more virus he can spread. There is no evidence yet that the virus can remain in the air for a long time and can spread through a ventilation system.

:wrong:

What?? Did they not hear that it is aerosolized?

https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2020/02/8cd9ef77bf8d-china-admits-aerosol-infection-possible-in-coronavirus-outbreak.html

“China's health authorities have admitted that people may contract the pneumonia-causing COVID-19 coronavirus by inhaling small virus-containing particles floating in the air, or so-called aerosol infection.

Updated diagnostic and treatment guidelines published Wednesday say a person can be infected if they are "exposed to a high concentration of aerosol in a relatively closed environment for a long time."

This is the sixth edition of the guidelines for treating patients of the new virus in China. The guidelines posit that the main routes of transmission are "droplets from the respiratory system" and "close contact."

Previous versions of the guidelines said the possibility of aerosol infection had yet to be clearly established.”

RIVM posted:

What can we say about infectivity during the incubation period?
The new corona virus is transmitted by coughing and sneezing. So far, the transmission of the virus during the incubation period, so before any complaints arise, seems to play a very limited role. It is known that the sicker a person is, the more virus he spreads.

loving :wrong:

https://academic.oup.com/jid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/infdis/jiaa077/5739751

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/02/08/national/secondary-infections-coronavirus-study/#.XlaLvi8o_xx

“ At least one of every two instances of human-to-human transmission of the new coronavirus is believed to occur while the first patient is not yet showing symptoms, according to an Japanese university research estimate.‘

the NIVM sucks man

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Tei
Feb 19, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 7 days!

Rectal Death Adept posted:

loving internet. How does that work?

I don't know, a serie of tubes.

If the internet gets down, we will be have to share ethernet cables and create small lan's. We would need games that are offline friendly. Ages of Empire. Diablo2. Quake 1,2,3. Unreal. People will need access to large collections of movies, music and porn. We could use these lan's to share whatever collections people have of these things. Hopefully your neighbors are into quality warez.

Remember, in a outbreak the health of the mind is has important the health of the body.

SchrodingersCat
Aug 23, 2011

That fatality rate also doesn't take into account the collateral damage that will arise if the system is swamped and other people cant get access to care.

There is also the fact that people in the US don't go to the hospital until they are 90% dead because a trip to the ER costs at least 300$. So the system is going to get swamped pretty quick.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

Tei posted:

I don't know, a serie of tubes.

If the internet gets down, we will be have to share ethernet cables and create small lan's. We would need games that are offline friendly. Ages of Empire. Diablo2. Quake 1,2,3. Unreal. People will need access to large collections of movies, music and porn. We could use these lan's to share whatever collections people have of these things. Hopefully your neighbors are into quality warez.

Remember, in a outbreak the health of the mind is has important the health of the body.

i knew i was smart to only get single player games on ps4 to avoid the monthly internet fee, i can happily play (horizon, yakuzas, dmcv, bloodborne, nioh) forever

Scrub-Niggurath
Nov 27, 2007

SchrodingersCat posted:

That fatality rate also doesn't take into account the collateral damage that will arise if the system is swamped and other people cant get access to care.

There is also the fact that people in the US don't go to the hospital until they are 90% dead because a trip to the ER costs at least 300$. So the system is going to get swamped pretty quick.

the fatality rate is also inflated by all the uncounted people who get a 2-3 day cold and recover at home without reporting it

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author

cool

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

Dog Toothbrush posted:

I hope you're right I just don't trust Trump's (or any American) government to do the right or smart thing

They will not initially, and it will only happen after a loving outbreak kills a few thousand old people in NYC or Atlanta or some other airline hub city and then they will have to bumble their way into doing it.

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

https://apnews.com/be5e247f9c23e22ddebd9c278e7c7ca5

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

WoodrowSkillson posted:

They will not initially, and it will only happen after a loving outbreak kills a few thousand old people in NYC or Atlanta or some other airline hub city and then they will have to bumble their way into doing it.

The American people are going to have to learn how to handle this at a community level

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets
It may also be that the definition of symptomatic is so broad that any cough, runny nose, sore throat gets counted as symptomatic even though those alone won’t keep anyone from work. Can’t stay home for 14 days every time you cough once.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

WoodrowSkillson posted:

They will not initially, and it will only happen after a loving outbreak kills a few thousand old people in NYC or Atlanta or some other airline hub city and then they will have to bumble their way into doing it.

if cold weather influences it, chicago's going to be the epicenter with it being a convention and travel hub

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

https://twitter.com/starsandstripes/status/1232445670302326791?s=19

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



whoa 230 or so new posts

i am harry
Oct 14, 2003

triple sulk posted:

whoa 230 or so new posts

A large portion of the posts are about large portions of beans for dinner and lunch and breakfast.

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

gradenko_2000 posted:

The American people are going to have to learn how to handle this at a community level

It can't be, so eventually the govt will be forced to deal with it or face riots, and Trump did not disband FEMA or the CDC, they gutted the leadership. The path of least resistance will be to actually manage the crisis as opposed to trying to convince cops to deal with crowds of sick people as though the pigs will risk their lives to protect anyone but themselves.

Trump will slink off and delegate to idiots, who will get overwhelmed and swamped and eventually compentant people will take over, and Trump and his idiot crew will just be happy to shift the burden away from themselves and onto the shoulders of others. Anyone whose had an incompetant and stupid boss has seen that pattern play out.

And during this whole thing a bunch of people will loving die for no reason.

Lote
Aug 5, 2001

Place your bets

triple sulk posted:

whoa 230 or so new posts

This is the aftermath of the first “wave” of people traveling back from China in mid January. The next wave will be from the visitors from countries like Italy, Iran, South Korea, and Japan where there’s unknown community transmission. That’s such a diverse set of countries that they should be widespread testing of pneumonia without a cause for hospitalized people in the US, IMO. Healthcare associated spread is going to be huge for this disease IMO. Those ventilators / breathing machines kick up a lot of stuff because you’re inserting a tube down to where the infection is the worst. That’s probably why the first doc that noticed it was an ENT doc who got it. They’re the doctors that get called to intubate people if the first or second doc can’t get it.

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author
https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1232687603587174400?s=20

orange sky
May 7, 2007

Doctor: "So, sir we need to check up on everyone you had contact with - can you please write down the names here"

Infected guy: *writes down "Everyone"*

Doctor: "Sir this isn't helpful. Can you give us an approximate figure, the number of people you touched?"

Infected guy:https://twitter.com/2019nCoVwatcher/status/1232664376139747328?s=19

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

RIP

Pope Francis Age 83 years
14% fatality rate

The Alpha Centauri
Feb 15, 2019

lmao

The Alpha Centauri
Feb 15, 2019

orange sky posted:

Doctor: "So, sir we need to check up on everyone you had contact with - can you please write down the names here"

Infected guy: *writes down "Everyone"*

Doctor: "Sir this isn't helpful. Can you give us an approximate figure, the number of people you touched?"

Infected guy:https://twitter.com/2019nCoVwatcher/status/1232664376139747328?s=19

I'd be skeptical of any of these twitter news feeds popping up with the virus

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

WoodrowSkillson posted:

People can be put up in hotels right by their workplace to minimize exposure, get hazard pay and bonuses funded by the govt to compensate them, etc.
lol

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

The Alpha Centauri posted:

I'd be skeptical of any of these twitter news feeds popping up with the virus

It has a citation at the bottom, what's to be skeptical about? I just checked with my main dude Salt Fish and he said its legit.

Rosalind
Apr 30, 2013

When we hit our lowest point, we are open to the greatest change.

Lote posted:

MPH or MD/MPH or PHD?

My highest degree conferred is an MPH. I'm currently a doctoral candidate (PhD) in epidemiology.

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*


yes, after tons of people die and the cops refuse to stop rioters because they could get sick too, we will temporarily do things right and then learn nothing from the experience

Honj Steak
May 31, 2013

Hi there.

The Alpha Centauri posted:

I'd be skeptical of any of these twitter news feeds popping up with the virus

The quoted article confirms that claim.

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

why do i have a feeling that the primary trump response to the corona virus is going to be the fed printing more money and lowering interest rates and following other financial shenanigans foreign central banks have done to keep Number Up

Feldegast42
Oct 29, 2011

COMMENCE THE RITE OF SHITPOSTING

mastershakeman posted:

RIP

Pope Francis Age 83 years
14% fatality rate

Lol really going to be great in nationalist Europe when the reactionaries in the church choose a Pope Pius XII again

Iron Crowned
May 6, 2003

by Hand Knit

WoodrowSkillson posted:

yes, after tons of people die and the cops refuse to stop rioters because they could get sick too, we will temporarily do things right and then learn nothing from the experience

:patriot:

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

WoodrowSkillson posted:

Thats not what i said but go off king. I said that once an actual response is initiated the govt will have a vested interest in keeping those services running and will provide help because it does more harm than good to NOT keep poo poo running and people in their homes. People can be put up in hotels right by their workplace to minimize exposure, get hazard pay and bonuses funded by the govt to compensate them, etc. Not every single town in america will face a full on Wuhan level outbreak, just like Beijing and Shanghai have not seen outbreaks of that scale.

And we were not just discussing the internet but power, water, etc. And power plants are indeed extremely automated as is water treatment.


Yes, thats why everyone, including me, has been encouraging people to prepare for such interruptions. And yes, if your modem breaks you likely wont be able to get a tech in to fix it, but you may be able to just go get one from the actual cable company office.

I have worked in cable internet and power utility business. I just don't see the cable companies will give a drat if their internet outage last longer than usual due to the virus outbreak. Their users don't pay for this kind of up time. And if the field repair union demand masks before they can work I think it's entirely within reason.

In case you haven't noticed, there is no mask to be brought anywhere. Most of the mask in the world are made and exported from China, and China has placed a ban on mask export. 3M can keep making masks in their China factories, they just can't sell them to any buyer outside of China.

FistEnergy
Nov 3, 2000

DAY CREW: WORKING HARD

Fun Shoe

WoodrowSkillson posted:

Also a poo poo ton of that stuff is automated and they can function with a skeleton crew if the only goal is maintaining service.

It's this. If/when poo poo hits the fan, my power transmission company will probably cancel all non-essential work (maintenance, testing, grid modernization, etc) and just man every substation with 1 or 2 guys and just focus on keeping the lights on. I'll be here, shitposting while watching the displays and colored lights.

SchrodingersCat
Aug 23, 2011

Yeah, none of that will happen in US. I am a health professional and many of the places I have worked have policies that you get written up and/or fired if you call in more than 6 times in a half-year period. I imagine the treatment of replaceable minimum wage workers will be even worse.

The US response will likely be voluntary quarantine for the sick with immediate "voluntary" resignation from their "right to work" employment. They won't get unemployment since their failure to report will be considered quitting. The CEOs and upper management will sequester themselves in their isolated second/third mansions and "telework".

The US government doesn't consider people making under 500k a year to be human. Once you take that into account the protocol becomes clear.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

orange sky posted:

Doctor: "So, sir we need to check up on everyone you had contact with - can you please write down the names here"

Infected guy: *writes down "Everyone"*

Doctor: "Sir this isn't helpful. Can you give us an approximate figure, the number of people you touched?"

Infected guy:https://twitter.com/2019nCoVwatcher/status/1232664376139747328?s=19
Why settle for super spreader, when you can be a hyper spreader?

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.
Trump is playing this about as badly as a president can and I shouldn't be surprised but its still kind of surprising.

GABA ghoul
Oct 29, 2011

Welp, stonk market is out of control going up uP UP. Looks like this is over, good job everyone. Please close the thread now.

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1232685500806225922?s=20

can I get a uhhhhhh

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author
https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1232683005824708608?s=20

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

SchrodingersCat posted:

Yeah, none of that will happen in US. I am a health professional and many of the places I have worked have policies that you get written up and/or fired if you call in more than 6 times in a half-year period. I imagine the treatment of replaceable minimum wage workers will be even worse.

The US response will likely be voluntary quarantine for the sick with immediate "voluntary" resignation from their "right to work" employment. They won't get unemployment since their failure to report will be considered quitting. The CEOs and upper management will sequester themselves in their isolated second/third mansions and "telework".

The US government doesn't consider people making under 500k a year to be human. Once you take that into account the protocol becomes clear.

Thats when the riots start then, cause then you have sick and desperate people with literally nothing to lose. And good luck convincing the cops to stop them when they also dont have masks and are scared. So then the choice is to let the sick and poor literally string up the those CEOs or actually manage the crisis.

SchrodingersCat
Aug 23, 2011

WoodrowSkillson posted:

Thats when the riots start then, cause then you have sick and desperate people with literally nothing to lose. And good luck convincing the cops to stop them when they also dont have masks and are scared. So then the choice is to let the sick and poor literally string up the those CEOs or actually manage the crisis.

I always reference Kent State.

US police and military forces are a lot more willing to kill US citizens than we would like to believe.

Most of this is hypothetical, though. Based on the fatality rate across age ranges, this is going to register as a really, really bad cold for most of the population. It's going to absolutely suck for people with pre-existing conditions.

My doctor gives me inhalers on request and I have a stockpile of Prednisone. Since most of the worst of the illness seems to be from runaway inflammatory processes resulting in excess fluid production in the lungs, limiting that inflammatory response and keeping the airway dilated should help limit complications.

SchrodingersCat fucked around with this message at 17:27 on Feb 26, 2020

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

pnumoman
Sep 26, 2008

I never get the last word, and it makes me very sad.

SchrodingersCat posted:

I always reference Kent State.

US police and military forces are a lot more willing to kill US citizens than we would like to believe.

They're not people, they're problems.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5