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LeafHouse
Apr 22, 2008

That's what you get for not hailing to the chimp!



Ugh I’ve got so much tied up in Oil that I can’t sell and Robinhood takes forever to get more $$ loaded so I could only pick up one stinkin CZR put.

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Agronox
Feb 4, 2005

sleepy gary posted:

I guess that's true. I'm not anywhere near that stage yet so I don't have a good idea of what you're supposed to be in at that point.

Oscar Wild
Apr 11, 2006

It's good to be a G

Dwight Eisenhower posted:

Mental compartmentalization is a skill I had to cultivate in other contexts, it's really useful here too.

Every historical example shows that we get back to the prior highs again. It might be 4-5 years before we do, but we've just lost 20% off all time highs today. If you were in the game 11 years ago it was 60%. Any money in equities is gonna be tied up for a while but remember that if you buy at market tops only you still win on the 20-30 year haul, provided you don't sell.

Use what you've got in cash wisely and you'll have more cash to buy the bottom with.

Not an empty quote. Why do you think we went from super rich people to mega rich after 2007-2008? They stayed invested. It sucks to see a big red number but the market has seen a lot of big red numbers. Panic selling right now is really bad idea unless you really are looking down the barrel of your last 10 years on earth and even then you probably should hold.

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe

sleepy gary posted:

Sucks if you were planning to retire this year though.

My dad's already retired and his accounts are down $35k in the last month.

Doccykins
Feb 21, 2006

sleepy gary posted:

I guess that's true. I'm not anywhere near that stage yet so I don't have a good idea of what you're supposed to be in at that point.

before this bull market some long term wisdom says to keep your age in bond % so it gradually rises every year until stock market crashes dont affect what you've got put away for retirement. I've been doing that so my retirement accounts aren't as bad as they would be if they were 90 stocks / 10 bonds but I've been waiting for this recession since Trump took office so didn't get as much of the run up (not that it matters now)

e: this should probably be more for the Long Term investment thread

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005

Goddamn I should just take a day off and read O&G 10-ks. There might be some crazy bargains in the bonds coming up.

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe
Amazon down to $1750. Once it bottoms out that's gonna be a loving bargain.

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22

Bored As gently caress posted:

My dad's already retired and his accounts are down $35k in the laat month.

solution: don't draw down from your equities, it's paper money until you sell

he is in a balanced portfolio right?? right?? :ohdear:

The Clitoris
Jan 29, 2020

Finding it makes all of your dreams come true
So I bought the CZR put suggested in my degen Robinhood about and it's in danger of being in the money. Do I still just sell the contact?

jokes
Dec 20, 2012

Uh... Kupo?

Oscar Wild posted:

Not an empty quote. Why do you think we went from super rich people to mega rich after 2007-2008? They stayed invested. It sucks to see a big red number but the market has seen a lot of big red numbers. Panic selling right now is really bad idea unless you really are looking down the barrel of your last 10 years on earth and even then you probably should hold.

This is why, in a downturn, you never. stop. buying. stocks. At the very least never sell for 25-30, but buying stocks every single day is such a great way to get ahead during the inevitable recovery.

Never forget that the American government is essentially all-powerful. There is a vested, compelling, absolute interest for both the government and the oligarchy to have the stock market return a shitload of money in the long term and for american businesses to get stronger and stronger and bigger and bigger. This is why I think the stock market will never be defeated and I invest everything I can into it.

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe

KYOON GRIFFEY JR posted:

solution: don't draw down from your equities, it's paper money until you sell

he is in a balanced portfolio right?? right?? :ohdear:

Yeah he's still okay overall, just sucks that he's gonna be going down even more in the next few months. He's 72 so I feel like maybe he should take some out now before the real recession. Idk if he would do that though.

GramCracker
Oct 8, 2005

beauty by stroll

Bored As gently caress posted:

Same. Thank you Lote! I only wish I bought $5k worth!

I had 4/3 puts at $9.5 from his first post. Doubled down for 9/17 puts at $7 from his more detailed Effort Post

Dwight Eisenhower
Jan 24, 2006

Indeed, I think that people want peace so much that one of these days governments had better get out of the way and let them have it.
CZR puts are up 100%

sell button's shaking its sexy butt at me

Inner Light
Jan 2, 2020



sleepy gary posted:

I guess that's true. I'm not anywhere near that stage yet so I don't have a good idea of what you're supposed to be in at that point.

I thought you were Polyanna because of your av

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe
My early $100 Disney puts are up 400% overall. I should sell, right?

Fate Accomplice
Nov 30, 2006




Dwight Eisenhower posted:

CZR puts are up 100%

sell button's shaking its sexy butt at me

Thanks to lote I bought 10 9/17 $8p for $790. Wish I’d gotten more!

1st_Panzer_Div.
May 11, 2005
Grimey Drawer

Bored As gently caress posted:

My early $100 Disney puts are up 400% overall. I should sell, right?

Are they weeklies or what? And what strike price. I bailed on my 3.27 $40 puts today with a nice lift, but I am an insane person doing weeklies outside of plausible ranges.

cr0y
Mar 24, 2005



If I wanted to place my first ever put/call on something affordable today what would you guys do? I am mostly looking to understand how it works as well as strike while this craziness is going on

Baddog
May 12, 2001

Oscar Wild posted:

unless you really are looking down the barrel of your last 10 years on earth

Well, the way this is rolling out in the US, we gonna lose a few million people in the next year.

Will we get an actual plan for containment tonight? I'm honestly wondering if the joint chiefs step in at some point and say "ok buddy, we need to actually do something not related to tax breaks here"

Bored As Fuck
Jan 1, 2006
Fun Shoe

1st_Panzer_Div. posted:

Are they weeklies or what? And what strike price. I bailed on my 3.27 $40 puts today with a nice lift, but I am an insane person doing weeklies outside of plausible ranges.

Bought them early March. Both are $DIS. 1 contract $100p 3/20 expiry, 1 $100p 4/17 expiry.

DeadFatDuckFat
Oct 29, 2012

This avatar brought to you by the 'save our dead gay forums' foundation.


drat its a loving massacre.

dpkg chopra
Jun 9, 2007

Fast Food Fight

Grimey Drawer
So I've been comparing CZR and SPY puts and it seems you make more money from DOTM SPY puts than from almost ITM CZR puts even after a the stock fell about 17% (compared to SPY's 7%)

I'm seeing almost double the gain for much less of a premium.

Feeling a bit less sad about not going in now.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Ur Getting Fatter posted:

So I've been comparing CZR and SPY puts and it seems you make more money from DOTM SPY puts than from almost ITM CZR puts even after a the stock fell about 17% (compared to SPY's 7%)

I'm seeing almost double the gain for much less of a premium.

Feeling a bit less sad about not going in now.
Yeah I don’t know why I didn’t get those CZR puts. Spreads are too wide to get in now.

fart barterer
Aug 24, 2006


David Byrne - Like Humans Do (Radio Edit).mp3

jokes posted:

This is why, in a downturn, you never. stop. buying. stocks. At the very least never sell for 25-30, but buying stocks every single day is such a great way to get ahead during the inevitable recovery.

I've been heavy on cash for a looong time and feeling like an rear end in a top hat (this is after generally maxing retirement so still in a good spot) and have been buying in a little every day since the first 10% drop. Didnt' max my Roth at beginning of year, thankfully, and my brother just reminded me to maybe use that instead of my brokerage, so that's the move today. Also, because I changed companies I haven't had access to a 401k for the first part of the year and plan on contributing extra now.]

I agree with your overall assessment, in that I don't see anything fundamentally changing about the American economy in response to the virus or the current political landscape (rip bernie), so it's a solid investment. Just been waiting for prices to make more sense.

cr0y posted:

If I wanted to place my first ever put/call on something affordable today what would you guys do? I am mostly looking to understand how it works as well as strike while this craziness is going on

Aren't there sites that let you paper trade options for a bit to figure out how they work? Probably the MarketWatch game site.

Comrayn
Jul 22, 2008
I’m pounding on my desk chanting “BLOOD! BLOOD! BLOOD!”

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002
S&P futures header back toward 2500...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwiTs60VoTM

edit: I now have 20+ emails about COVID-19. Everyone from Hilton, to JetBlue, to the regional grocery store chain... "Please please please don't leave us! It'll be fine! We're washing our hands more! Please! We can change...!"

FreelanceSocialist fucked around with this message at 16:32 on Mar 12, 2020

Dwight Eisenhower
Jan 24, 2006

Indeed, I think that people want peace so much that one of these days governments had better get out of the way and let them have it.

androo posted:

I've been heavy on cash for a looong time and feeling like an rear end in a top hat (this is after generally maxing retirement so still in a good spot) and have been buying in a little every day since the first 10% drop. Didnt' max my Roth at beginning of year, thankfully, and my brother just reminded me to maybe use that instead of my brokerage, so that's the move today. Also, because I changed companies I haven't had access to a 401k for the first part of the year and plan on contributing extra now.]

I agree with your overall assessment, in that I don't see anything fundamentally changing about the American economy in response to the virus or the current political landscape (rip bernie), so it's a solid investment. Just been waiting for prices to make more sense.


Aren't there sites that let you paper trade options for a bit to figure out how they work? Probably the MarketWatch game site.

You can use paper money on TD Ameritrade and get access to thinkorswim for a deposit of like $200 IIRC. Or maybe no deposit at all.

Driving one of the better trading platforms as your paper trading tool is a leg up on learning IMO.

cr0y
Mar 24, 2005



androo posted:


Aren't there sites that let you paper trade options for a bit to figure out how they work? Probably the MarketWatch game site.

This is probably a better idea. I should prob stick to good old buying/selling shares for now.

With that being said anyone got any cheap picks that might see a pop with more federal involvement probably coming?

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


Good place here to avg down on few longs and reroll puts.

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002
Personally I am expecting banks to get a handout at some point. BAC. WFC.

DeadFatDuckFat
Oct 29, 2012

This avatar brought to you by the 'save our dead gay forums' foundation.


Hey theres your GILD buying opportunity I suppose

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog

Ulio posted:

Good place here to avg down on few longs and reroll puts.

What's that mean exactly, sorry? My 7/17 $275 Put is up 3x so I wouldn't mind doing the Smart Thing

Baddog
May 12, 2001

Ulio posted:

Good place here to avg down on few longs and reroll puts.

I've been thinking that today.... but my original thesis was we don't see a bottom until videos of people falling over dead in walmarts are all over facebook.

Don't time the market lol. I think I'm holding all these loving puts.

Dwight Eisenhower
Jan 24, 2006

Indeed, I think that people want peace so much that one of these days governments had better get out of the way and let them have it.
Trump said insurance companies would cover treatment with no co-pays. AHIP spokeswoman corrects to only diagnosis with no copays: https://twitter.com/owermohle/status/1237922717699014658

Pattern to watch for: Trump doubles down on treatment, health insurers stocks take a nosedive, they cry boohoo, get check from Fed.

GoGoGadgetChris posted:

What's that mean exactly, sorry? My 7/17 $275 Put is up 3x so I wouldn't mind doing the Smart Thing

You can sell a vertical to roll that down to 7/17 $252 PUT and pull ~$11.90 out of the position into cash. That's probably a substantial chunk of your buy in that you can't lose now.

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog

Baddog posted:



Don't time the market lol.

Agreed, fellow bad dog, but this is certainly a fun use for the play money!

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


Baddog posted:

I've been thinking that today.... but my original thesis was we don't see a bottom until videos of people falling over dead in walmarts are all over facebook.

Don't time the market lol. I think I'm holding all these loving puts.

Ya I am adding longs exactly cause I can't time the market. Not sure where it will go so I avg down a bit and rerolled the puts.


GoGoGadgetChris posted:

What's that mean exactly, sorry? My 7/17 $275 Put is up 3x so I wouldn't mind doing the Smart Thing

Basically I had march 20 Spy 260 puts, I sold for profit and bought another put for the same day but lower strike. . Lets say I made net profit of $100 on my first trade, I will buy a put that costs me less than my previous net profit so even if I am wrong I am still profit. Since I can't know if the move will continue toward this direction but I want to take my profits at the same time

This strategy is great when there is momentum and volatility because with OTM puts this has some insane risk/reward ratio.

Sepist
Dec 26, 2005

FUCK BITCHES, ROUTE PACKETS

Gravy Boat 2k

Dwight Eisenhower posted:

You can use paper money on TD Ameritrade and get access to thinkorswim for a deposit of like $200 IIRC. Or maybe no deposit at all.

Driving one of the better trading platforms as your paper trading tool is a leg up on learning IMO.

Paper trading options doesnt work by default FYI. You have to apply for a level 2 margin account which will ask some personal info. Don't say you have 0 years options experience and $20 to your name otherwise you'll be denied

bollig
Apr 7, 2006

Never Forget.
This is absolutely nuts

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002
gently caress this. I'm moving to cash for a few days. Godspeed, degenerates.

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Popete
Oct 6, 2009

This will make sure you don't suggest to the KDz
That he should grow greens instead of crushing on MCs

Grimey Drawer
I'm the idiot who tried to time the markets and it's working out and I will learn nothing but terrible habits from this.

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