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George Zimmer
Jun 28, 2008
Going on a small shopping spree as I expect a pump this week (as other posters have stated). Railroad and trucking stocks are real cheap, though they might be worth holding.

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Shammypants
May 25, 2004

Let me tell you about true luxury.

The markets are going lower this week brother.

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002
My town FB page has a bunch of posts about neighborhood walking groups right now. People who are working from home are meeting up to go walking together each morning. Like groups of two dozen or more. Mostly elderly women. My guess is there will be a shitload of houses on the market here in about two months. We really are the dumbest country.

Moonshine Rhyme
Mar 26, 2010

Hate Hate Hate Hate Hate
Unfi going nuts for no discernable reason

GramCracker
Oct 8, 2005

beauty by stroll

Ur Getting Fatter posted:

Just saw this. Maybe I'm missing something but $290 is much deeper IN the money than $250 so naturally it would be more expensive to buy. Did you mean to say 3/20 calls?

No, for a second I thought I might have mistyped when you noted that, but I just checked again for 3/20 puts and the $275p is $28 where as the $255p is $15

pmchem
Jan 22, 2010


I'm impressed with SWAN weathering this so well -- anyone know of similar funds/ETFs?

https://etfdb.com/etf/SWAN/#etf-ticker-profile
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?SPY%2CSWAN

SWAN is designed to track the S&P500 and somehow uses treasuries as a hedge. Downside is high expense ratio and presumably lower return in normal market conditions.

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002
Anyone have any insight into $USO or oil in general? Been trying to follow that market a bit but there's been too many other things going on. Anyone long $USO at this price?

Also -

quote:

Starbucks Corp. said Monday it will begin to offer 20 free therapy sessions a year for all of its employees, including part-time workers, as part of a broader mental-health benefit plan.

Odd time to be rolling that out...

FreelanceSocialist fucked around with this message at 16:04 on Mar 16, 2020

dpkg chopra
Jun 9, 2007

Fast Food Fight

Grimey Drawer

GramCracker posted:

No, for a second I thought I might have mistyped when you noted that, but I just checked again for 3/20 puts and the $275p is $28 where as the $255p is $15

Again, this is normal. When you buy a put, the deeper in the money it is (ie: the lower the current value of the underlying stock is below the option strike price) then the higher the premium is.

So a contract where someone has the right to sell to SPY equities $275 when the current value is ~$250 is logically going to be more expensive than a contract where you have the right to sell them at $255, since there are less chances that SPY's value might recover.

GramCracker
Oct 8, 2005

beauty by stroll

Ur Getting Fatter posted:

Again, this is normal. When you buy a put, the deeper in the money it is (ie: the lower the current value of the underlying stock is below the option strike price) then the higher the premium is.

So a contract where someone has the right to sell to SPY equities $275 when the current value is ~$250 is logically going to be more expensive than a contract where you have the right to sell them at $255, since there are less chances that SPY's value might recover.

Got it, makes sense. Thanks for taking a moment to explain that.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Moonshine Rhyme posted:

Unfi going nuts for no discernable reason
Kroger up 7%

Tokyo Sex Whale
Oct 9, 2012

"My butt smells like vanilla ice cream"

Ur Getting Fatter posted:

Again, this is normal. When you buy a put, the deeper in the money it is (ie: the lower the current value of the underlying stock is below the option strike price) then the higher the premium is.

So a contract where someone has the right to sell to SPY equities $275 when the current value is ~$250 is logically going to be more expensive than a contract where you have the right to sell them at $255, since there are less chances that SPY's value might recover.

Yeah but the original question was why he could get a $290 put for $35 when SPY was in the $240s. That’s $20+ of free money a share. In times of trouble there’s no actual ask, you’re just seeing the last quote.

mbt
Aug 13, 2012

GramCracker posted:

Got it, makes sense. Thanks for taking a moment to explain that.

do not trade options

GramCracker
Oct 8, 2005

beauty by stroll

Meyers-Briggs Testicle posted:

do not trade options

too late :shrug:

Garfu
Mar 6, 2008

Much like buttholes, families are meant to be tight.
ty lote

Kashwashwa
Jul 11, 2006
You'll do fine no matter what. That's my motto.

FreelanceSocialist posted:

Anyone have any insight into $USO or oil in general? Been trying to follow that market a bit but there's been too many other things going on. Anyone long $USO at this price?

Interested in this as well... was looking at pembina pipelines (PPL tsx, PBA nyse), but honestly could see it still going down a ways.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


What’s up with this drift higher this morning? If we don’t actually close down a bunch, I feel like there wasn’t really capitulation.

FreelanceSocialist
Nov 19, 2002

Garfu posted:

ty lote



poo poo. Congrats. Send that dude a pizza or something.

Josh Lyman
May 24, 2009


Garfu posted:

ty lote



I wanted to get in Friday but again, spreads for ATM piys are upwards of 50% :(

Fate Accomplice
Nov 30, 2006




Garfu posted:

ty lote



did you make $30K off that? hard to read without the column headers.

if so, nice.

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005
Pretty nice rebound here, under the circumstances.

WalletBeef
Jun 11, 2005

jnug up 57%, noice.

Jack Daniels
Nov 14, 2002

FreelanceSocialist posted:

Anyone have any insight into $USO or oil in general? Been trying to follow that market a bit but there's been too many other things going on. Anyone long $USO at this price?

*raises paw*

Garfu
Mar 6, 2008

Much like buttholes, families are meant to be tight.

ketchup vs catsup posted:

did you make $30K off that? hard to read without the column headers.

if so, nice.

Yes, sorry didn't want to show all my other poo poo, but I filtered it:

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005
On the shopping list, if you presume continued long-term low interest rates AND the bottom not dropping out of the financial sector, there are some bank preferreds out there that are starting to look pretty nice.

mbt
Aug 13, 2012

FreelanceSocialist posted:

Anyone have any insight into $USO or oil in general? Been trying to follow that market a bit but there's been too many other things going on. Anyone long $USO at this price?

Oil is cheap now but wont be forever

The question is do you think oil is a better buying opportunity than everything else

pmchem
Jan 22, 2010


FreelanceSocialist posted:

Anyone have any insight into $USO or oil in general? Been trying to follow that market a bit but there's been too many other things going on. Anyone long $USO at this price?

Careful with USO, it may behave weirdly in rising oil markets:
https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/25/snake-oil-why-the-3-billion-dollar-uso-etf-is-down-this-year-even-as-crude-has-surged.html

LLCoolJD
Dec 8, 2007

Musk threatens the inorganic promotion of left-wing ideology that had been taking place on the platform

Block me for being an unironic DeSantis fan, too!
BUD
TOT
BP

What else should I put in my shopping basket? MO refuses to stay down. :argh:

DevCore
Jul 16, 2003

Schooled by Satan


Garfu posted:

Yes, sorry didn't want to show all my other poo poo, but I filtered it:



Nice

Mine expires 9/18, should I sell them now (or soon) or wait for the expiration. Is there a penalty to selling them early?
(Sorry for all the Q's, an absolute newborn idiot when it comes to anything besides buying/selling stocks)

Dwight Eisenhower
Jan 24, 2006

Indeed, I think that people want peace so much that one of these days governments had better get out of the way and let them have it.

Josh Lyman posted:

What’s up with this drift higher this morning? If we don’t actually close down a bunch, I feel like there wasn’t really capitulation.

The Fed announced a rate cut to 0% and we're still down 150 pts on S&P 500 from Friday's pump close.

We're also up 100 pts from the open, but if that news comes out and the market continued to trade flat, wouldn't that be a negative sign? If that news comes out and the market trades lower than flat, isn't that worse than the market trading flat?

Kirios
Jan 26, 2010




TFW the Dow is as volatile as bitcoin.

orange sky
May 7, 2007

DevCore posted:

Nice

Mine expires 9/18, should I sell them now (or soon) or wait for the expiration. Is there a penalty to selling them early?
(Sorry for all the Q's, an absolute newborn idiot when it comes to anything besides buying/selling stocks)

There's no penalty, the price you sell them for is the price they go for.

DevCore
Jul 16, 2003

Schooled by Satan


orange sky posted:

There's no penalty, the price you sell them for is the price they go for.

Awesome! Thanks
(I wish I had bought more than one :gonk:)

jokes
Dec 20, 2012

Uh... Kupo?

Dwight Eisenhower posted:

The Fed announced a rate cut to 0% and we're still down 150 pts on S&P 500 from Friday's pump close.

We're also up 100 pts from the open, but if that news comes out and the market continued to trade flat, wouldn't that be a negative sign? If that news comes out and the market trades lower than flat, isn't that worse than the market trading flat?

I think the Fed poo poo just isn't treating the heart of the panic, which is coronavirus/supply chain poo poo. If it did work, I'd probably be more surprised-- at this point the Fed is just trying to make sure liquidity issues (a real, real, real, real problem) don't make a bad situation worse.

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005
I still think E&P is a massive bull trap. Even if oil was still at $50 a lot of these guys were going to have problems. How long is it going to sit there at $30? It's not like there's a lot of incremental demand here in the US or in Europe--hell, half my building skipped the commute today and is working from home.

The dividends aren't safe and they're still fuckin' drilling everywhere blowing through cap ex. Cash flow sucks.

Just a dissenting opinion on that. I may be wrong. I'm neither long nor short it.

(edit: thanks for correction JL :))

Agronox fucked around with this message at 17:11 on Mar 16, 2020

Ulio
Feb 17, 2011


Massive rally on Cat, which topped out on 17 of January around the time the outbreak became massive in China.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

1st_Panzer_Div. posted:

For real. Is 12 years since 2008.
My dad doesn't think his 401k has fully recovered from 2008.

jokes
Dec 20, 2012

Uh... Kupo?

Grouchio posted:

My dad doesn't think his 401k has fully recovered from 2008.

Did he start his 401k right before the crash or something?

1st_Panzer_Div.
May 11, 2005
Grimey Drawer

Grouchio posted:

My dad doesn't think his 401k has fully recovered from 2008.

He's wrong. Like even if he managed it intentionally poorly that's not possible.

Trump has an announcement set for today? What time?

mbt
Aug 13, 2012

Grouchio posted:

My dad doesn't think his 401k has fully recovered from 2008.

100% LEH in 2008? lol

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DevCore
Jul 16, 2003

Schooled by Satan


jokes posted:

Did he start his 401k right before the crash or something?

I started mine right before this crash and have lost about 3k. I honestly think if I had more going in it would've been worse.
I just raised my monthly contributions by 14% to 20% buying low bay-bee.

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