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I think the end result is that a bunch of other metroplexes end up reopening and then following NYC's model: surge until about 20% infected, then slowly suppress cases. I think Americans are too stupid to suppress cases with 0% herd immunity advantage, but 20% or so seems to be about the proper amount of training wheels since an R(t) < 1.25 is good enough rather than needing < 1. This will probably peak in June and then be a slow burn down for at least a couple of months. Whether we learn our lesson or kick off another wave is probably region-dependent from there. Rural places probably linger until they let their guard down then go up in flames when a spark makes its way in.
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May 7, 2020 06:19
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shovelbum posted:oh man mississippi, what a fuckin place there are lots of leftists down here, and a very large minority(mostly black) population too. The demographics exist for it to be a blue state. But it is so brutally gerrymandered and suppressed that it will be red forever, no matter what. When I canvassed for a state senate candidate in my town, almost every black person who answered the door told me they couldn't vote because they have a felony conviction. Not one single white person said the same thing. It was loving wild
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May 7, 2020 06:20
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Wuhan Fish Flu
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May 7, 2020 06:21
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empty whippet box posted:there are lots of leftists down here, and a very large minority(mostly black) population too. The demographics exist for it to be a blue state. But it is so brutally gerrymandered and suppressed that it will be red forever, no matter what. When I canvassed for a state senate candidate in my town, almost every black person who answered the door told me they couldn't vote because they have a felony conviction. Not one single white person said the same thing. It was loving wild ive never been anywhere so segregated, it looms in a way it doesnt even in israel, which has literal looming apartheid surveillance balloons
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May 7, 2020 06:21
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:I think the end result is that a bunch of other metroplexes end up reopening and then following NYC's model: surge until about 20% infected, then slowly suppress cases. I think Americans are too stupid to suppress cases with 0% herd immunity advantage, but 20% or so seems to be about the proper amount of training wheels since an R(t) < 1.25 is good enough rather than needing < 1. I am not expected back in the office for the rest of the year, and if I were a religious man I'd thank God for that.
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May 7, 2020 06:22
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shovelbum posted:oh man mississippi, what a fuckin place yospos used to have a dude from Oxford Mississippi who posted about how great it is Amazon delivered a diving board for his pool in such a way that it kept his wife from pulling her Explorer directly into the garage, and he went on an apeshit tear about how irresponsible it was for them to make her step outside of her car and that was the end of his posts.
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May 7, 2020 06:24
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them be strange times, partner.
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May 7, 2020 06:24
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Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:yospos used to have a dude from Oxford Mississippi who posted about how great it is holy lmao, as in it was too dangerous for her to be in her own driveway in his racist fuckin mind?
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May 7, 2020 06:25
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shovelbum posted:holy lmao, as in it was too dangerous for her to be in her own driveway in his racist fuckin mind? yes. They delivered the board by leaning it against the garage door. She had to get out of the explorer and drag the board away from the garage door before getting back in and pressing the open button and pulling in. So, uh, 45 seconds work. He went completely apeshit about that in the yospos jobs forum and called amazon over and over to complain about it.
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May 7, 2020 06:26
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Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:yes. oxford is a nice college town iirc, i knew a lot of ppl who went to school there this is the most yospos thing i've ever heard
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May 7, 2020 06:27
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shovelbum posted:oxford is a nice college town iirc, i knew a lot of ppl who went to school there It's more yospos than yospos, he got made fun of for making such a big stink about it and never posted again iirc. he was in Oxford because he worked for Quicken I think
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May 7, 2020 06:28
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you fuckin goons something to consider. balkinIzation is a possibility. sacrificing the weak, poor and old is a possibility. consider multiple possible future scenarios and that each might have a chance of happening.
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May 7, 2020 06:29
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Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:It's more yospos than yospos, he got made fun of for making such a big stink about it and never posted again iirc. that's a pretty funny detail imo
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May 7, 2020 06:29
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Bar Ran Dun posted:you fuckin goons as a professional Odds Man I can tell you we either balkanize or we don't so it's 50/50
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May 7, 2020 06:30
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lol trump is a number truther after all
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May 7, 2020 06:31
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Stefan Prodan posted:as a professional Odds Man I can tell you we either balkanize or we don't so it's 50/50 oh word i was wondering what the over/under was
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May 7, 2020 06:31
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Bar Ran Dun posted:you fuckin goons I'm going with AppleBees after Sunday church.
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May 7, 2020 06:32
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Bar Ran Dun posted:you fuckin goons doin fluid dynamics simulations in my head when some maskless goon walks by me, doin monte carlo simulations in my head before i post. covid using up all my brainpower.
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May 7, 2020 06:32
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fosborb posted:oh word i was wondering what the over/under was yea the over/under is 50
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May 7, 2020 06:32
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:doin fluid dynamics simulations in my head when some maskless goon walks by me, doin monte carlo simulations in my head before i post. covid using up all my brainpower. forgot to breathe due to simulating in brain, died of hypoxia covid negative
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May 7, 2020 06:32
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Stefan Prodan posted:yea the over/under is 50 the OTHER sex number foine!
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May 7, 2020 06:33
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shovelbum posted:forgot to breathe due to simulating in brain, died of hypoxia died trying to hold my breath up the entire elevator ride
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May 7, 2020 06:33
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GATES FOUNDATION posted:I don’t blame them. this country has gone mad with ideology, but even a seemingly unstoppable meme machine will hit an immovable force eventually America is so far off the deep end that The Great Mattering will have a death toll of several megadeaths
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May 7, 2020 06:35
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Bar Ran Dun posted:you fuckin goons sir this is a wendy's and we're out of meat
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May 7, 2020 06:35
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Just realized that my wife hasn't seen anyone who isn't me since March 19th no wonder she's depressed
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May 7, 2020 06:35
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neutral milf hotel posted:lol trump is a number truther after all Has fox jumped on this yet?
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May 7, 2020 06:37
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low key hoping trump took a liking to those goggles and keeps wearing them. no prescription either, still as blind as ever.
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May 7, 2020 06:40
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honestly it's remarkable how fast humans normalize stuff 4 months ago if I'd have told you "we will have daily 9/11s and chuds wouldn't care one single bit because their hair is 0.75 inches too long" you would've called me insane
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May 7, 2020 06:43
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this economic downturn is definitely going to accelerate US fascism regardless if trump wins or not
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May 7, 2020 06:46
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SKULL.GIF posted:honestly it's remarkable how fast humans normalize stuff hell, even 2 months ago
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May 7, 2020 06:47
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SKULL.GIF posted:honestly it's remarkable how fast humans normalize stuff I told a guy in the first thread that this would eclipse 9/11 in the american consciousness and he called me insane lol
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May 7, 2020 06:50
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power word- Jeb! posted:hell, even 2 months ago pretty much, this didn't truly dawn on your average american until about the second or third week of march
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May 7, 2020 06:51
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:doin fluid dynamics simulations in my head when some maskless goon walks by me, doin monte carlo simulations in my head before i post. covid using up all my brainpower. bet the discretion of your simulation volume is just a rubics cube. my powerful mind is going down to the plank length each time I execute a extremely coordinated move to avoid roni bearers
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May 7, 2020 06:53
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Salt Fish posted:I told a guy in the first thread that this would eclipse 9/11 in the american consciousness and he called me insane lol lol that guy might still be right open it back up!
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May 7, 2020 06:53
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we OPENED IT UP and i went to walmart and some lady I had to walk around had vomited while waiting in line. I was then glad I wore my half face respirator and switched glove pairs like 3x during the trip and then mopped the floors in the house just in case any had gotten on my shoes
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May 7, 2020 06:54
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:May 6th Cum. Deaths Update
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May 7, 2020 06:54
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Stefan Prodan posted:as a professional Odds Man I can tell you we either balkanize or we don't so it's 50/50 How about we all just make bingo cards?
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May 7, 2020 06:55
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9/11 could have been easily normalized, just lost a few office buildings and some firefighters, nothing to worry about
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May 7, 2020 06:55
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everyone in florida is going to die if the CFR isn't under 1%
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May 7, 2020 06:56
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I don't mean "everyone". I just mean like, all the old people and it's going to be loving insane
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May 7, 2020 06:56
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