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A Bakers Cousin posted:Hurricane season should be interesting this year It's been cool here on the mid-atlantic coast, for what it's worth. a couple of years ago it was already in the 90s but i don't think we've been in the 80s yet. i know weather doesn't equal climate but maybe the atlantic waters aren't as warm this year?
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May 7, 2020 18:46
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| # ? May 31, 2024 07:30 |
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May 7, 2020 18:47
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nate silver is a real dumb-dumb https://twitter.com/AnEpidemiolgst/status/1258433065933824008
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May 7, 2020 18:47
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Woofer posted:It's been cool here on the mid-atlantic coast, for what it's worth. a couple of years ago it was already in the 90s but i don't think we've been in the 80s yet. Tropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico waters are both above normal. Atmospheric patterns are optimal for hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin (neutral tending toward la nina). The statistical guidance is about as good as it gets for a busy season. Now we just need to see how that plays out when the hurricanes start forming.
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May 7, 2020 18:49
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facetoucher cat posted:Yeah that's kinda weird to me, who is spending a grand on their hair? I haven't had my hair cut professionally in 4 years its p much mandatory for professional women to put at least several hundy a month into hair maintenance, like avg 500 to keep the color right and stuff? color is expensive and no one has natural color anymore bc its flat and doesnt photo well
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May 7, 2020 18:49
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shovelbum posted:its p much mandatory for professional women to put at least several hundy a month into hair maintenance, like avg 500 to keep the color right and stuff? color is expensive and no one has natural color anymore bc its flat and doesnt photo well everything about this is depressing
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May 7, 2020 18:51
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brugroffil posted:nate silver is a real dumb-dumb jesus christ what a loving moron https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1257717253698719745?s=20
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May 7, 2020 18:53
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Spergin Morlock posted:what the hell is DAD? diffuse arterial disease maybe
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May 7, 2020 18:53
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NY is benefitting from their morgues overflowing two weeks ago
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May 7, 2020 18:55
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nate silver is a dogshit moron, good god
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May 7, 2020 18:56
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I thought partial herd immunity was a real thing tho, like having 20% immune provides a significant boost to the efficacy of measures to suppress r0?
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May 7, 2020 18:56
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i hope the insurance company sees this and then denies the ferarri owner because its covid related
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May 7, 2020 18:56
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kaleedity posted:1000% the military memo to preclude any apps w/ any history of covid is to keep minorities and poors out of the military, hth The amount of posters that think the military could exist without minorities is loving hilarious
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May 7, 2020 18:57
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shovelbum posted:I thought partial herd immunity was a real thing tho, like having 20% immune provides a significant boost to the efficacy of measures to suppress r0? Yeah, Nate Silver is a dipshit but I'm confused about why 20% of people being immune (assuming long term immunity is real) wouldn't help reduce transmission, even if it didn't reduce it below one.
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May 7, 2020 18:59
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shovelbum posted:I thought partial herd immunity was a real thing tho, like having 20% immune provides a significant boost to the efficacy of measures to suppress r0? herd immunity is determined by the percentage of people it takes to keep the R < 1 so that a disease doesn't spread throughout the population. it's a specific definition. increasing the number of people immune doesn't change the herd immunity threshold and calling it "partial herd immunity" doesn't mean anything.
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May 7, 2020 19:01
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Iron Crowned posted:Just got an email, all of engineering is back in the office starting the 18th. WFH was fun for a whole month. rip Friend
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May 7, 2020 19:01
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Woofer posted:It's been cool here on the mid-atlantic coast, for what it's worth. a couple of years ago it was already in the 90s but i don't think we've been in the 80s yet. the Arctic is so hot it is pushing cold air down the North American continent
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May 7, 2020 19:02
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Bernie Panders posted:this is a great time to set up bird feeders and hummingbird feeders. got a jar of expired peanuts, shelled or unshelled? got a bag of white sugar? make some bird food and feed the got drat birds! it's great. even if you only get trash birds in your area, you can feel a sense of communion with them because we're just trash animals ourselves I set up one in our tiny concrete rear yard and it was pretty much trash birds like pigeons and starlings for the first month. But word seems to travel round the berbnet after a while, and we've started seeing birds you wouldn't normally see in a dense urban area coming to feed. I think it's because there's a small wild wetland reserve about 0.5km away.
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May 7, 2020 19:03
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Spergin Morlock posted:what the hell is DAD? Diffuse alveolar damage Basically that "lung damage that makes it hard to breathe" that the roni is known for. The "ground glass opacity" thing. Bird chat: a dumb-looking mourning dove turned a gutter into a nest, the dumb thing I'm not helping it if it rains, RULES OF NATURE JACK 
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May 7, 2020 19:06
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We haven't heard from A Horny Swearingen for a while...  Bird chat, the rufous hummingbirds all had their babies and drink at least a liter and a half of nectar a day. The juncos are all nesting in the long grass on the side of the road and my neighborhood raven recently started saying hello back to me. Birds are great. I really should just have a bird crazies tag, I fkn love the ornery little dinosaurs.
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May 7, 2020 19:09
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Iron Crowned posted:Just got an email, all of engineering is back in the office starting the 18th. WFH was fun for a whole month. lol, owned my wfh won't be done until san jose opens back up
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May 7, 2020 19:09
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shovelbum posted:I thought partial herd immunity was a real thing tho, like having 20% immune provides a significant boost to the efficacy of measures to suppress r0? herd immunity is a binary thing but yes as the proportion of immunity increases r_t decreases ; at herd immunity it's always below 1
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May 7, 2020 19:09
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Admiral Ray posted:jesus christ what a loving moron An R(t) of 1.25 with 20% infected has the same transmission rate as an R(t) of 1 with 0% infected. I'd call it "social distancing training wheels" instead of partial herd immunity. This is also why I think that everywhere else will burn to somewhere around 20% infected in the US. We're too dumb to get under 1, but we can manage getting under 1.25.
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May 7, 2020 19:10
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Thoguh posted:Yeah, Nate Silver is a dipshit but I'm confused about why 20% of people being immune (assuming long term immunity is real) wouldn't help reduce transmission, even if it didn't reduce it below one. Admiral Ray posted:herd immunity is determined by the percentage of people it takes to keep the R < 1 so that a disease doesn't spread throughout the population. it's a specific definition. increasing the number of people immune doesn't change the herd immunity threshold and calling it "partial herd immunity" doesn't mean anything. he's correct though. the sir model is stupid simple and r_t decreases over time as more people get infected
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May 7, 2020 19:10
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Iron Crowned posted:Just got an email, all of engineering is back in the office starting the 18th. WFH was fun for a whole month. *emptyquotes all your posts while Sarah McLachlan's "I Will Remember You" plays on loop*
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May 7, 2020 19:11
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lol if antibodies for this thing last only a few months and by fall people will be getting sick a second time
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May 7, 2020 19:12
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Gringostar posted:lol, owned I'm looking forward to the second wave where they don't lollygag on letting me work from home for two weeks.
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May 7, 2020 19:12
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This is a win/win for incompetent leadership. Lots of people died because of their incompetence & lack of action? Clearly we're in a crisis, you've gotta rally around the flag and suppress bad news, where's your sense of patriotism? Not many people died because of their incompetence & lack of action? See, people are just overreacting, it's just the flu bro. Justice would be ugly public trials, loud politicians getting thrown in prison, it's all very messy. What if we just paper mâché over the gaping holes and move on? So much easier.
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May 7, 2020 19:12
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so nate hosed up the terminology bigly but had a point ish? but also hes a moron
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May 7, 2020 19:12
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Spergin Morlock posted:what the hell is DAD? Dead as (a) doornail.
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May 7, 2020 19:13
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Isnt thrombosis just embolisms (ie clots) that don't happen in the lungs I know nothing
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May 7, 2020 19:18
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Hair and nail salons open in ohio on the 15th. 
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May 7, 2020 19:19
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https://twitter.com/ShereeWLWT/status/1258461193041313795?s=20
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May 7, 2020 19:19
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shovelbum posted:its p much mandatory for professional women to put at least several hundy a month into hair maintenance, like avg 500 to keep the color right and stuff? color is expensive and no one has natural color anymore bc its flat and doesnt photo well but you can do it yourself super easy, I used to color my hair myself and it looked good because you can do it yourself if you're not a total moron. I've kept every color from black to blue to red and if I needed a hand of course I had my husband but that was super rare and only if I was about to make a mess because I was being dumb. The main reason you would go somewhere for 500$ a pop is if you were getting it done for the first time or changing colors and went to a super high end place and got a cut and blow dry. Upkeep on hair should only be like 200$ max if you're going in for a touch up and trim with getting it blow dried and styled. People are just wasting money on stuff because they can at that point. facetoucher cat has issued a correction as of 19:23 on May 7, 2020 |
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May 7, 2020 19:19
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facetoucher cat posted:http://georgiawildlife.com/Camps Nytimes Sunday had a big spread about it. Camps gonna be open nationwide this summer, thats how much parents need to offload their kids for a few weeks
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May 7, 2020 19:21
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lmao just setting arbitrary dates with absolutely no regard for any progress or metrics, sounds like some soviet style poo poo to me
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May 7, 2020 19:22
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facetoucher cat posted:but you can do it yourself super easy, I used to color my hair myself and it looked good because you can do it yourself if you're not a total moron. I've kept every color from black to blue to red and if I needed a hand of course I had my husband but that was super rare and only if I was about to make a mess because I was being dumb. The main reason you would go somewhere for 500$ a pop is if you were getting it done for the first time or changing colors and went to a super high end place and got a cut and blow dry. Upkeep on hair should only be like 200$ max if you're going in for a touch up and trim without getting it blow dried and styled. People are just wasting money on stuff because they can at that point. i wish i knew what the "expected" level of attention to hair was for "professional" men, all mines gonna fall out in a few years anyway and i guess i should be taking a million hair pills and poo poo but whatever
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May 7, 2020 19:23
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:An R(t) of 1.25 with 20% infected has the same transmission rate as an R(t) of 1 with 0% infected. I'd call it "social distancing training wheels" instead of partial herd immunity. Malcolm XML posted:he's correct though. the sir model is stupid simple and r_t decreases over time as more people get infected he's correct that as the susceptible population is reduced r_t decreases, but that's not partial herd immunity because that's just a term he made up.
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May 7, 2020 19:23
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GATES FOUNDATION posted:lmao just setting arbitrary dates with absolutely no regard for any progress or metrics, sounds like some soviet style poo poo to me COVID-19 is over! Time to throw a parade!
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May 7, 2020 19:23
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Shageletic posted:Nytimes Sunday had a big spread about it. Camps gonna be open nationwide this summer, thats how much parents need to offload their kids for a few weeks like, I knew my parents hated me but I always thought my friend's parents loved them but I guess they really didn't seeing how much parents are really sick of their kids after just a few days into this
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May 7, 2020 19:23
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