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May 17th Cum. Deaths Update C-SPAM University Model vs Epidemiologists:  C-SPAM vs C-SPAM 
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May 18, 2020 01:57
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lol that they're successfully shoving all the deaths under the floorboards, somehow
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May 18, 2020 01:59
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all too many states willing to make the mortuaries run on time
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May 18, 2020 02:02
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But Rocks Hurt Head posted:lol that they're successfully shoving all the deaths under the floorboards, somehow history will wonder why we were so worried about covid when a mysterious pneumonia pandemic was decimating the populace
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May 18, 2020 02:03
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Note that this Sunday is above last Sunday by 15%.
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May 18, 2020 02:04
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shovelbum posted:its killing overwhelmingly dems and nonvoters give it a month
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May 18, 2020 02:05
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I think that the numbers in general are accurate (or at least consistent across our collection period), but I think C-SPAM in general has made some estimation errors mostly around: - effect lag - areas of highest transmission risk. In general we had the right idea of a rebound, but we underestimated time lag of adding and removing interventions and we believed that opening outdoor areas like beaches and parks would have much more of an impact than they actually did.
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May 18, 2020 02:08
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facetoucher cat posted:
My partner loves these things like nothing else and it has tripled her coffee intake. It also cost me a bit of money too because she would hand whisk them for ages and complain the whole time hoping to get me to take over so I bought an electric whisk.
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May 18, 2020 02:11
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eric ciaramella posted:all too many states willing to make the mortuaries run on time 
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May 18, 2020 02:12
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:I think that the numbers in general are accurate (or at least consistent across our collection period), but I think C-SPAM in general has made some estimation errors mostly around: Yeah, pretty much anything outside seems fine as long as you aren't packed in. I wish that there was more info about how much transmission is from surfaces so we'd know how much to care about groceries and such. This thing is gonna roll through churches, bars, and restaurants as we open back up though. Probably gyms too.
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May 18, 2020 02:13
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:Still waiting on the outbreak from. Florida beaches. Surely any day now. maybe it really doesn't spread outdoors for whatever reason and its all about either places with heavy exertion (meatpacking, gyms, choir) or recirculated air where you're sitting for a while (buses, trains, restaurants, bars) i don't really get how it spread at funerals so easily but not at beaches - were wakes happening afterwards? if so that could be where it spread, not at the quiet funeral home for a fairly short service mastershakeman has issued a correction as of 02:15 on May 18, 2020 |
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May 18, 2020 02:13
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I went for a hike way in the middle of nowhere the other day and on the drive passed a funeral home. There were people sitting on the porch just chilling in the rocking chairs and others just milling about on the porch, about 10 or 13 people. No masks, no attempts made to socially distance That's how the outbreak in Albany started
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May 18, 2020 02:13
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i guess it's also that NY and NJ, with over half the total US deaths, are over the hump MA (third in deaths) may be on the other side of the death curve, but our total % infection rate is a lot lower and if we begin to open back up it'll come roaring back 
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May 18, 2020 02:14
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I'm going to the hairdresser this arvo, it'll be the only place apart from home and the local supermarket that I've been to in 3 months. Is the Aussie CovidSafe app working properly on iphones now, does anyone know?
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May 18, 2020 02:14
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Thoguh posted:Yeah, pretty much anything outside seems fine as long as you aren't packed in. I wish that there was more info about how much transmission is from surfaces so we'd know how much to care about groceries and such. Yeah disinfecting groceries is a fuckin chore and I never feel like I get all the nooks and crannies in the poo poo that needs to go in the fridge
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May 18, 2020 02:15
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:Note that this Sunday is above last Sunday by 15%.
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May 18, 2020 02:18
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Inceltown posted:My partner loves these things like nothing else and it has tripled her coffee intake. It also cost me a bit of money too because she would hand whisk them for ages and complain the whole time hoping to get me to take over so I bought an electric whisk. I started to do this by hand then said, "lmao f that" and moved to the hand blender with whisk attachment. I normally do drip bag pour over coffee or chemex but this is like crack and I'm hooked
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May 18, 2020 02:19
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Google Butt posted:Yeah disinfecting groceries is a fuckin chore and I never feel like I get all the nooks and crannies in the poo poo that needs to go in the fridge I'm still doing this but it is definitely one part of my vigilance I feel wearing down the most. With the abundance of food delivery operations running now, I feel like we should have traced some typhoid mary style outbreaks by now, but none have been reported to my knowledge.
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May 18, 2020 02:20
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Google Butt posted:Yeah disinfecting groceries is a fuckin chore and I never feel like I get all the nooks and crannies in the poo poo that needs to go in the fridge It makes it be like five loving hours of total decontamination time once getting home, I wish we had a clearer answer on surfaces I'm getting better at it though. Put away everything that doesn't need refrigeration and don't gently caress with it for a few days instead of cleaning. Leave fruit and some vegetables in the bag, just fill the bag with soap water and slosh around instead of washing it by hand. Rinse and dry.
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May 18, 2020 02:22
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Could you answer this survey about your experience first?
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May 18, 2020 02:22
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:I'm still doing this but it is definitely one part of my vigilance I feel wearing down the most. With the abundance of food delivery operations running now, I feel like we should have traced some typhoid mary style outbreaks by now, but none have been reported to my knowledge. if you eliminate people a) packed together b) spending large times in groups indoors you're 99% of the way there but offices gotta office and churches gotta church
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May 18, 2020 02:26
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gonna be honest and say this looks fine Even beaches up here in CT get more crowded than this during a normal summer, and myrtle beach can be a hellish sea of humanity during the really busy parts of the season. If beaches keep capacity low and people stay pretty well apart like they are in this video it's hard to imagine how it's going to be a problem. It's all the tourist trap restaurants and poo poo nearby that are going to cause the real problem.
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May 18, 2020 02:27
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Trumo's betting it all that they can half-rear end something that looks enough like a vaccine that he can throw a victory over COVID parade for himself right before the election.
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May 18, 2020 02:28
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Paradoxish posted:gonna be honest and say this looks fine yeah, they all gotta funnel through somewhere
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May 18, 2020 02:32
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:I'm still doing this but it is definitely one part of my vigilance I feel wearing down the most. With the abundance of food delivery operations running now, I feel like we should have traced some typhoid mary style outbreaks by now, but none have been reported to my knowledge. can most people honestly trace who/what they got covid from?
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May 18, 2020 02:33
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https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1262189686325276673quote:Japan dived into its first recession since 2015, according to official data Monday, with the world's third-largest economy contracting by 0.9 percent in the first quarter as it wrestles with the fallout from the coronavirus.
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May 18, 2020 02:33
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What the gently caress would it take to get to another depression in his eyes?
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May 18, 2020 02:36
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snoo posted:can most people honestly trace who/what they got covid from? Not in the US but other countries that are doing proper contact tracing are providing good info on how outbreaks spread. Which is why I'm stunned by people who want to crowd in to bars and restaurants since that's exactly the kind of environment that is perfect for this thing.
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May 18, 2020 02:37
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snoo posted:can most people honestly trace who/what they got covid from? That's the entire point of contact tracing. The US is failing miserably at it, but we can look at studies from places like ROK and China to get a good idea of what is causing outbreaks.
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May 18, 2020 02:41
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the funniest thing is facebooks entire platform is effectively built on creating shadow profiles via contact tracing, but somehow that's too hard for america to do.
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May 18, 2020 02:41
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Zil posted:What the gently caress would it take to get to another depression in his eyes?
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May 18, 2020 02:41
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Radirot posted:lets do another flyover to honor the sacrifices from the first failed flyover. Too dangerous. No more flying. Build a tunneling machine to Tunnel Underground and thank them for their sacrifice there. think of it as a parade route for dead people
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May 18, 2020 02:42
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I still kinda freak out over what if the nba didn’t shutdown when they did. like what would even be a comparable at all event to convince people poo poo was real
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May 18, 2020 02:43
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kater posted:I still kinda freak out over what if the nba didn’t shutdown when they did. like what would even be a comparable at all event to convince people poo poo was real we'd be at herd immunity by now tho lmao
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May 18, 2020 02:45
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Helith posted:I'm going to the hairdresser this arvo, it'll be the only place apart from home and the local supermarket that I've been to in 3 months. As far as I'm aware no one in the govt knows how to use it and while it is working better it's still useless.
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May 18, 2020 02:46
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It's always a worry here when a case isn't able to be traced. Latest outbreak here caused a bunch of McDonalds to shut down due to a asymptomatic delivery driver, so far the symptomatic nursing home nurse who worked for over a week hasn't caused any.
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May 18, 2020 02:50
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https://twitter.com/cnbc/status/1262171361633542144
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May 18, 2020 02:53
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mastershakeman posted:maybe it really doesn't spread outdoors for whatever reason and its all about either places with heavy exertion (meatpacking, gyms, choir) or recirculated air where you're sitting for a while (buses, trains, restaurants, bars) lots of hugging at funerals, and sitting around next to other people, often inside also i wonder if tears can spread the roni lol
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May 18, 2020 02:57
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If you lick them
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May 18, 2020 03:01
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| # ? May 31, 2024 14:31 |
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been mulling over all afternoon if it's worthwhile to take my job at the restaurant. I'm not getting unemployment berniebux so that's not part of the calculus, so it's pretty much "do I want covid?" vs "can I squeeze higher pay and full time hours out of this?"
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May 18, 2020 03:02
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