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Shifty Pony posted:a Magic Wand is forming off of the coast of Africa is that a significant occurrence or what
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Aug 31, 2020 21:09
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The ‘tip’ of the wand dissipated as of the 2 PM update
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Aug 31, 2020 21:17
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FlamingLiberal posted:The ‘tip’ of the wand dissipated as of the 2 PM update 3.6 tropical waves. Not great, but not terrible either.
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Aug 31, 2020 21:18
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JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:is that a significant occurrence or what it looks like a dildo. that is the joke they were making.
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Aug 31, 2020 21:23
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To be clear, the Hitachi Magic Wand is NOT intended as a sex toy because that would be illegal in Japan
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Aug 31, 2020 21:57
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anything can be a sex toy if youre brave enough
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Aug 31, 2020 22:37
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FlamingLiberal posted:To be clear, the Hitachi Magic Wand is NOT intended as a sex toy because that would be illegal in Japan women are not allowed to feel pleasure over there
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Aug 31, 2020 23:34
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Still laughing about last year's hurricane that hosed off to Ireland
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Sep 1, 2020 01:44
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Look, sometimes even tropical cyclones want to get hammered
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Sep 1, 2020 01:53
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feels good to swim in though  Can't have a nice beach day without a few apocalyptic hurricanes, I suppose!
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Sep 1, 2020 03:18
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Sep 1, 2020 03:29
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Stairmaster posted:I'm going to become a hurricane. is this the new I identify as an attack chopper?
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Sep 1, 2020 03:30
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is that huge west coast hot spot el nino or la nina or some el otro idk about
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Sep 1, 2020 03:30
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you guys do know that the link between climate change and hurricanes is largely only in models for when the warming really accelerates in a few decades? I mean I'm all into doomerism but hurricanes haven't really born fruit in that department
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Sep 1, 2020 03:47
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Thesaurus posted:feels good to swim in though The first time I waded into the gulf of mexico in late August I thought "uhhh this doesn't seem right". Possibly because my only other experience with beeches was New England but anyways...
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Sep 1, 2020 03:59
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oxsnard posted:you guys do know that the link between climate change and hurricanes is largely only in models for when the warming really accelerates in a few decades? I mean I'm all into doomerism but hurricanes haven't really born fruit in that department Tropical cyclones are notoriously hard to draw conclusions on, but there's already evidence that we're having more intense hurricanes at the rate of 8% per decade; a study suggesting that hurricanes are already a third wetter than they used to be, and an independent study showing that Harvey's ridiculous rainfall was made three times more likely by global warming.
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Sep 1, 2020 04:23
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Luneshot posted:Tropical cyclones are notoriously hard to draw conclusions on, but there's already evidence that we're having more intense hurricanes at the rate of 8% per decade; a study suggesting that hurricanes are already a third wetter than they used to be, and an independent study showing that Harvey's ridiculous rainfall was made three times more likely by global warming. yeah the rainfall one makes a ton of sense, but those 8% type studies have such a huge margin of error for a thing that only happens a handful of times per year. NOAA remains much more skeptical on any short term proclimiations fwiw
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Sep 1, 2020 04:26
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shut it down, idiots. there can be no doomerism in this thread for decades
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Sep 1, 2020 04:42
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oxsnard posted:yeah the rainfall one makes a ton of sense, but those 8% type studies have such a huge margin of error for a thing that only happens a handful of times per year. NOAA remains much more skeptical on any short term proclimiations fwiw It seems to me this is one of those fields where the trend seems clear and "consensus" could be reached within 5-10 years, but we're not there yet and it's prudent for a large organization like NOAA (or the IPCC) to avoid making those sorts of claims until the statistics are rock-solid. It'll be interesting to see future analyses with 2020 included, assuming it lives up to the seasonal predictions.
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Sep 1, 2020 05:11
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redleader posted:shut it down, idiots. there can be no doomerism in this thread for decades no I love doomerism with all my heart but hurricanes are one of those terrors of nature that have always been bigger than humans and yet we fight them and continue to build more and more where they strike. That's much more interesting than blaming it on climate change
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Sep 1, 2020 05:13
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wouldn't increased rainfall actually be the real worst case scenario, though? like mega hurricane winds are scary and all, but more frequent and severe flooding just makes areas totally uneconomical for human habitation
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Sep 1, 2020 05:16
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What year will Seattle get it’s first ever category 4 or 5 hurricane?
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Sep 1, 2020 05:35
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ratbert90 posted:What year will Seattle get it’s first ever category 4 or 5 hurricane? Let's put it this way, if the water off the coast of Washington were warm enough to maintain a Cat 4 hurricane, we'd probably be dead for other reasons.
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Sep 1, 2020 06:02
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Seattle has more to fear from atmospheric river storms than tropical cyclones.
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Sep 1, 2020 06:27
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Seattle has more to fear from atmospheric river storms than tropical cyclones. but really it's the giant overdue earthquake that's the really fun scenario
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Sep 1, 2020 06:45
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Paradoxish posted:wouldn't increased rainfall actually be the real worst case scenario, though? well, that depends. Aside from Houston and Tampa there's not that much population on susceptible flood plains. also, water from storm surges causes several times more in monetary damages than rain floods because of the salt. Regardless, Harvey is probably the only storm you could probably at least credibly point the finger at climate change for. And that's a bit of a question mark since we've only really been studying hurricanes at a high level for a few decades. And as I said earlier, there aren't that many storms per year and less than 2 huge storms per year on average
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Sep 1, 2020 06:50
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Uh, pretty sure you could point the finger at Sandy, too. Just because it didn't have triple-digit wind speeds doesn't mean a 900 mile wide storm still isn't  territory.
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Sep 1, 2020 07:46
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There's also the effect of stronger storms further poleward which puts, say, 15-20' storm surge in places not typically designed to deal with 15-20' storm surge but instead designed to handle 15-20' seas which the public may wrongly believe is sufficient protection. Also Boston is starting to get regular tidal flooding like Miami you just don't hear about it because nobody wants to hear what someone in Boston has to say about themselves.
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Sep 1, 2020 08:02
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we'll I live above the second floor of my apartment building, so I don't have to worry about any of this for many years. Once the surge starts encroaching, I'll just move up another floor 
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Sep 1, 2020 16:39
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Thesaurus posted:we'll I live above the second floor of my apartment building, so I don't have to worry about any of this for many years. Once the surge starts encroaching, I'll just move up another floor don't forget to have an axe or hatchet on hand so you can chop through your ceiling to get on the roof
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Sep 1, 2020 16:41
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Luneshot posted:Tropical cyclones are notoriously hard to draw conclusions on, but there's already evidence that we're having more intense hurricanes at the rate of 8% per decade; a study suggesting that hurricanes are already a third wetter than they used to be, and an independent study showing that Harvey's ridiculous rainfall was made three times more likely by global warming. drat trump was right about it being wet from the standpoint of water
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Sep 1, 2020 16:50
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A rising tide (due to global warming) lifts all boats!
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Sep 1, 2020 17:56
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I mean we know that avg. SST has increased by pretty high margins and we know that hurricanes are worse/more frequent when the oceans are hotter so I'm kind of missing where there's a question as to whether or not climate change makes hurricanes worse or more frequent.
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Sep 1, 2020 18:02
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that is a wet rear end pressure system
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Sep 1, 2020 18:08
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oxsnard posted:well, that depends. Aside from Houston and Tampa there's not that much population on susceptible flood plains. Pretty much any river would be at risk if hurricanes are gonna make a habit of zooming inland to dump their rain there For that matter, let's not forget rainfall-induced landslides. you don't have to be on a floodplain to be in danger
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Sep 1, 2020 18:32
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Ayin posted:The Mississippi? yeah, p much any urban area that's not designed for it is gonna have problems with abnormally intense rainfall events and the ones that are designed for it, like new orleans, still have pumping capacities that can be exceeded
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Sep 1, 2020 19:03
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oxsnard posted:but really it's the giant overdue earthquake that's the really fun scenario Hey don't leave Mr. Rainier erupting off the list of potential cataclysms hanging over western WA's head. Bonus points for if it's kicked off by the big earthquake.
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Sep 1, 2020 19:33
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Ayin posted:The Mississippi? Pretty much any major river system in the eastern part of the country, yeah. What we saw with the Mississippi and other rivers in Louisiana with their levees being overtopped/breaking is something that could happen in other parts of the country too. Many of the rivers in the South and Midwest had flood control measures (levees/locks/dams) put in during the early 20th century, and of course they're only built for a certain amount of flood control.
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Sep 1, 2020 19:42
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https://twitter.com/lockingitin/status/1300870556267556866
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Sep 1, 2020 20:00
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Well at least those aren't very strong *looks more closely at the leftmost one* what the gently caress
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Sep 1, 2020 20:08
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