(Thread IKs:
fart simpson)
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lollontee posted:no, i think its great, as i do not feel any sympathy towards people like jack ma. i am however concerned that the people going after him seem to be associated with other cliques exactly like his, like jack ma be representing how the business of party matter is just going to be done from now on you asked for examples and got one. i think its pretty solid proof that oligarchs don't dictate policy in china, and are rather dictated to by the state. the opposite is true in the west. quote:because periods of rapid economic growth never last. the western world as a whole is on the precipice of the economic disaster narrowly sidestepped in 2008 and 2014, except this time without the deep pockets that so far have saved them from the apocalypse. a/the major part of the chinese consumer base is about to fall on hard times, and thats going to have consequences for the class demands of those parts of chinese society that have so far been the beneficiaries of satisfying western demand for consumer products. namely, the number of new people entering the work force who can find meaningful, long-term employment is going to fall going forward, and that will create a new, urban proletariat this is going to be china's biggest challenge. there's already pretty big grumbling from urban workers over long hours, commutes, poo poo pay, lack of good opportunities these days and a big push for better welfare and higher wages. funny article on it here: https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1006336/young-chinese-bemoan-rat-race-with-tongue-in-cheek-memes quote:Many internet users say the video underscores grassroots workers’ gripes about stress and less-than-ideal working conditions, and uses terms like “laborer” — applied to all kinds of employees, from blue-collar workers and low-level staff to middle managers and top executives — in contexts that seem alternately uplifting, aspirational, and self-deprecating. current state policy seems to be going hard on domestic consumption though: https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-09-30/Rural-China-sees-robust-income-and-consumption-growth-UcOtY6qh2M/index.html quote:Policies to boost national and rural consumption quote:During the same period, the online retail sales in national poverty-stricken counties increased by 18.8 percent year on year, 11.5 percent higher than the national growth rate. Sales of appliances such as smart TVs, refrigerators, washing machines were popular goods sold in rural areas, with a year-on-year increase of over 60 percent. I think with increasing domestic consumption they can fulfill job growth targets, the problem as always is that consumption requires higher salaries and that cuts into capitalist profits - same problem the west ran into, we talked about it upthread mila kunis posted:Wanted to add that China is currently in a honeymoon period similar to the keynesian period in the west following WW2, where with the task of building productive capacities and rebuilding the (western bloc) world there was enough increase in profits that capitalists could allow the state / labor to take a share. When growth inevitably slowed (the larger an economy is, the harder it obviously is to grow) obviously that couldn't stand anymore without cutting into profit margins and the average rate of return, which led to all the consequent problems in the 70s.
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# ? Dec 20, 2020 23:24 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 19:20 |
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invade now xi
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# ? Dec 20, 2020 23:35 |
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mila kunis posted:this is going to be china's biggest challenge. there's already pretty big grumbling from urban workers over long hours, commutes, poo poo pay, lack of good opportunities these days and a big push for better welfare and higher wages. funny article on it here: https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1006336/young-chinese-bemoan-rat-race-with-tongue-in-cheek-memes Basically, it boils down to how much "firepower" the central government is going to be willing to spend to fuel the demand-side consumption. Admittedly, does have tools at its disposal (taxes/capital controls/direct coercion/large reserves etc) to make it possible but is just down to numbers since they need to both boost domestic demand (and birth rates) while gradually increasing the amount of imports into the country. One big issue is simply the cost of urban living and the fact that first-tier cities are largely already "built out" at this point and already have their own property bubbles. Ultimately, I do think there will be a relative growth crunch at a certain point as the PRC becomes urbanized in the next 10-15 years and from that point forward growth will have to increasingly depend on the state improving the lives of its urban populations to the point they want to continually spend more and continue families. Socialism or at least modified social democracy is going to be mandatory (essentially the Swedish model with more of an emphasis on state direct investment). In the end, Beijing is going to have to clamp down on stuff like "996" hours and harness revenue from its private industry. Workers need a "work-life" balance and appreciable income if they are going to keep the system going. Ardennes has issued a correction as of 00:13 on Dec 21, 2020 |
# ? Dec 20, 2020 23:58 |
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Loveshaft posted:
what's his 2nd account?
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 00:50 |
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Gaupo Guacho posted:says the tankie who follows me around replying to all of my posts in between caping for genocidal regimes lol. projection much? THS is right tho
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 01:08 |
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China's capitalist system is as crushing and bullshit as any but when your parent had 6 out of his 9 siblings die as kids vs. western counterpart parents having affordable college access, homeownership and retirement your bitterness and willingness to accept it is vastly different as a chinese vs. westerner also the culture of work and pay are very different in China than USA
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 01:32 |
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If you didn't live in asia 10-30 years ago you don't know what insane economic growth feels like, you can easily imagine things will get better, you can work hard and get rich you cannot imagine that in USA
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 01:34 |
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It's not that American puritans are inheritedly lazier than East Asians, the reason Americans are lazy nowadays because the capitalist elites systematically move the manufacturing industries out of the country since Reagan. And the petroldollar system needed to continuously send USD put of the country in the form of trade conficit.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 01:48 |
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mila kunis posted:... Whether or not the CCP has studied this and sees it a something to avoid is very much not a question--it's a problem which has been discussed since before the reforms of Deng Xiaoping. But that doesn't mean, when the time comes, they will actually throw the ring into mount doom...
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 01:54 |
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lollontee posted:because periods of rapid economic growth never last. the western world as a whole is on the precipice of the economic disaster narrowly sidestepped in 2008 and 2014, except this time without the deep pockets that so far have saved them from the apocalypse. a/the major part of the chinese consumer base is about to fall on hard times, and thats going to have consequences for the class demands of those parts of chinese society that have so far been the beneficiaries of satisfying western demand for consumer products. namely, the number of new people entering the work force who can find meaningful, long-term employment is going to fall going forward, and that will create a new, urban proletariat Yeah which is why china is explicitly focusing on building a geopolitical in consumer base that cuts out the west to shore up this issue. Westerners might no longer be a strong support base but the Chinese have the rest of Eurasia and Africa to work with. I suspect China is gonna ride out the next few decades fine, at least in comparison to every other developed nation.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 04:42 |
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stephenthinkpad posted:It's not that American puritans are inheritedly lazier than East Asians, the reason Americans are lazy nowadays because the capitalist elites systematically move the manufacturing industries out of the country since Reagan. And the petroldollar system needed to continuously send USD put of the country in the form of trade conficit. This has nothing to do with national character, which is bourgeois nonsense, but effective political leadership coupled with economic opportunity China has these aformentioned qualities while America lacks them. Therefore america's fortunes will decline both domestically and internationally while China's rises America might've been able to avoid this fate but our ruling class decided to dig it's heels in instead of reforming an ossified system.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 04:49 |
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https://twitter.com/nigel_farage/status/1340639648876523520?s=21
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 12:15 |
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I just can't stop looking at this tweet. The absolute balls of a brit demanding the Chinese pay them reparations
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 12:42 |
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https://twitter.com/chenweihua/status/1340800382419800066?s=19
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 12:42 |
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it's gonna be so good when chen weihua goes up against the biden administration he'll probably be banned outright
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 12:56 |
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Why do reporters even bother with regular news printed on dead tree. It's 2020. Just stop write text based news and open a twitch account and commentate news in the kitkot/facebook/twitter tabs. If Rubio start doing it now he still has a chance to win 2024.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 14:33 |
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Nigel is one to talk when the UK is going through super rona right now and their populace is so dumb they are trying to flee the epicenter of it to spread it to other parts.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 14:42 |
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https://twitter.com/MikeIsaac/status/1340890368779251712
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 18:10 |
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wow, President Freddy Lim!
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 19:13 |
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Maximo Roboto posted:Has anyone in the past decade criticized Foxconn/Hon Hai as sort of Taiwanese colonialist exploitation of mainland Chinese labor? I've never seen that politicized angle mentioned in English media, but if you kinda squint at it it's pretty ironic, at least at the beginning of the 2010s, for a wealthy Taiwanese corporation running industrial sweatshops in the PRC to make iPhones and other electronics for American consumers. now a different Taiwanese firm is imperializing another big country https://twitter.com/ajplus/status/1338605951767769089 https://twitter.com/SDey83/status/1340509548654645249
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 19:17 |
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Cao Ni Ma posted:Nigel is one to talk when the UK is going through super rona right now and their populace is so dumb they are trying to flee the epicenter of it to spread it to other parts. Reparations talk has been dead in the water as soon as the US and UK decided they could just live with the virus and spread it to everyone they love for herd immunity.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 19:18 |
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Anime Schoolgirl posted:it's gonna be so good when chen weihua goes up against the biden administration https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJaQBjMlhyk
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 20:02 |
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:the ballad of chen weihua. the red detachment of chinese boomer twitter shitposters telling nigel farage to shut the hell up this world is full of evil and western civilization is nothing but organized cannibalism
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 20:09 |
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Maximo Roboto posted:
A lot of Taiwanese businessmen operating factories in mainland have pretty fluid loyalty. There was a Israeli diplomat hosted event for the major "Chinese business investors", Terry Guo showed up and acted like he was representing China FDI. I don't know how often he did it but he didn't mind being photographed for it. China really wouldn't give Foxconn a hard time because people like Terry Guo and Tim Cook represent the international capital/WTO interest. Beijing want to present world trade friendly image when she is fighting a trade war with the US. And I also know that some Taiwanese businessmen pretended they support "1 country 2 systems" when they were in mainland but donated to DPP when they went back to Taiwan. Just recently Beijing is talking about making a "black list" for the major Taiwan independence supporters.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 20:47 |
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anyone know who this lady is? works for the marshall fund (so cia) and has been making rounds on an elder of zion type book about china and i have no idea if she even speaks mandarin https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJsn6LHxaCE
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 22:33 |
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it's funny that the litmus test on if china 'experts' (people who report on it or write books on it are acting as experts) might have ulterior motives is if they can speak chinese which is such an insanely low bar lmao my russian buddy would get so pissed if you brought up that the experts on russian history who are cited most often are all brits and americans some of whom don't speak russian white power is insane
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 22:43 |
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https://twitter.com/binarycode86/status/1341104090382815236?s=20
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 22:43 |
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stephenthinkpad posted:A lot of Taiwanese businessmen operating factories in mainland have pretty fluid loyalty. There was a Israeli diplomat hosted event for the major "Chinese business investors", Terry Guo showed up and acted like he was representing China FDI. I don't know how often he did it but he didn't mind being photographed for it. China really wouldn't give Foxconn a hard time because people like Terry Guo and Tim Cook represent the international capital/WTO interest. Beijing want to present world trade friendly image when she is fighting a trade war with the US. Well, Guo did run for the KMT presidential nomination. But the irony I'm pointing out is that communist China was letting Taiwanese capitalists run sweatshop-condition factories, at least a few years ago. And the irony of the vast power differentials between the two countries. It's almost like reverse-colonialism.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 22:46 |
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Antonymous posted:it's funny that the litmus test on if china 'experts' (people who report on it or write books on it are acting as experts) might have ulterior motives is if they can speak chinese which is such an insanely low bar lmao I read Russian history in Russian and the difference night and day. its the difference between reading 2nd hand summary and a detailed novel. the woman literally wrote a book called the Hidden Hand about China engaging in diplomacy
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 22:47 |
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Antonymous posted:it's funny that the litmus test on if china 'experts' (people who report on it or write books on it are acting as experts) might have ulterior motives is if they can speak chinese which is such an insanely low bar lmao Orlando Figes (People's Tragedy) is infamous for not knowing any meaningful about of Russian and never setting foot in an archive. He had assistants do the little original research that was in the book. It is why it is barely sourced and he just throws out random statements that are neither here nor there. Kotkin actually knows Russian quite well, but he is obviously so biased and dogmatic that it sort of doesn't matter. Top City Homo posted:I read Russian history in Russian and the difference night and day. I would say it depends on the Russian historian you are talking about. In recent years, most of Russian academia has been nearly hollowed out by declining budgets. There is Khlevniuk but I got my opinions. Chinese history is going to have a boom of "experts' who are either completely biased, don't know Mandarin at all and/or complete charlatans. The Chinese archives are about as open as the Soviet archives were before 1992, so they are quite clearly not doing original research on anything from 1949 to 2020. Ardennes has issued a correction as of 23:03 on Dec 21, 2020 |
# ? Dec 21, 2020 23:00 |
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kotkin is very anti-russian but he actually does the work so if you can stand the bias and read through the lines he's pushing he's very informative.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 23:13 |
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mila kunis posted:kotkin is very anti-russian but he actually does the work so if you can stand the bias and read through the lines he's pushing he's very informative. Eh, sort of yes and no, there are valid points he makes, but he has been caught before using misleading or incorrect statistics (and then threw a tantrum about it) after he published Magnetic Mountain. On the other hand, in his Stalin book, though even he admitted the 1932-1933 famine doesn't seem to have been intentional genocide/peasantcide. Basically, you got to slowly comb through his work and pick out: what is fine, what is unsourced, and what is complete bs. It is hard to recommend him to any sort of layperson. As for modern Chinese history at this point, it is even harder because there isn't really access to actual archival evidence and there is a reason you get circular citations. Ironically, the best way to study modern Chinese history (particularly from 1949 to the early 1960s) at this point is probably again learning Russian (alongside Mandarin obviously) and clawing through the Soviet archives and see what spills out.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 23:22 |
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Ardennes posted:Eh, sort of yes and no, there are valid points he makes, but he has been caught before using misleading or incorrect statistics (and then threw a tantrum about it) after he published Magnetic Mountain. On the other hand, in his Stalin book, though even he admitted the 1932-1933 famine doesn't seem to have been intentional genocide/peasantcide. Basically, you got to slowly comb through his work and pick out: what is fine, what is unsourced, and what is complete bs. It is hard to recommend him to any sort of layperson. there's a goon doing translations of soviet works in this thread. it got unsticked for some reason: https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3934654 i've been reading peng duhai's memoirs, pretty rollicking
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 23:29 |
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Why bother, just have Adrian Zenz make up poo poo. From what I can tell, even in HK there is barely any commentator who study the CCP and understand the CCP party speak in the annual plenum documents. You do get a number of good CCP analysts in Taiwan who understand how different branches of CCP work. Though I am not sure if any of them is advising Tsai Eng Wen.
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# ? Dec 21, 2020 23:40 |
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https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2018/10/mark-ames-shamiwitness-bellingcat-neocons-collaborated-influential-isis-propagandist-twitter.html I saw this in another thread and it smacks of the same issues, a twitter handle posting in english that claims to be ISIS gets boosted by brown moses's scam Bellingcat and other 'experts' even though it's just some guy in India posing as an isis member and writing some sensationalist nonsense his tweets are in english&well written tho so if you search for #isis and only speak english it's going to be a great source for you and your audience if you're not embedded in the culture or speak the language the odds that you'll look in the right place for the story and not try to craft a narrative and seek out sources / get sucked in by sensationalism is basically 0 how could you cover the US's covid response if you just read official US press releases translated into another language and had a couple american contacts whose opinion you asked, it'd be nonsense
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# ? Dec 22, 2020 00:03 |
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sincx has issued a correction as of 05:32 on Mar 23, 2021 |
# ? Dec 22, 2020 04:03 |
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sincx posted:Taiwan is a pawn in the geopolitical game between China and the US. As a pawn, Taiwan's ability to control its own destiny is limited. I'm not sure there's much Tsai can do to change Taiwan's future, one way or another, regardless of how well she understands mainland politics. The problem is the PRC is going to only gain more of an advantage in the future and you can only make "TAIWAN" so big on your passport. It doesn't help that support for independence is still pretty soft on a societal level, and even at the height of Tsai's popularity in the spring/summer, it was around 55%. China watchers want the PRC to do something drastic because the alternative is to let economic and geopolitical reality take over. Ardennes has issued a correction as of 05:23 on Dec 22, 2020 |
# ? Dec 22, 2020 05:16 |
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in a stunning reverse-psychology gambit Taiwan recognizes Beijing's sovereignty over them. Xi never sees it coming
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# ? Dec 22, 2020 05:19 |
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It would be funny to try to make one country, two systems in the wake of all that's happen in Hong Kong. It wouldn't last very long, but it'd be very funny if they called Beijing's bluff and took their promises at face value.
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# ? Dec 22, 2020 05:27 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 19:20 |
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Protagorean posted:in a stunning reverse-psychology gambit Taiwan recognizes Beijing's sovereignty over them. Xi never sees it coming is that not an actual strategy? like if the KMT said “ok we’re in” would the CCP then immediately vaporize all the Taiwanese politicians?
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# ? Dec 22, 2020 09:25 |