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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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Antonymous
Apr 4, 2009

It’s basically all the us can come up with and always has been

Political theory in the west is stuff like two democracies don’t go to war or two countries with McDonald’s don’t go to war etc but even if it were true the history shows the countries with McDonald’s are the aggressors in every conflict lol

And anyway it’s just hegemon and it’s suzerains vs periphery no matter how you slice it

Antonymous has issued a correction as of 22:25 on Mar 29, 2021

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THS
Sep 15, 2017

Atrocious Joe posted:

https://twitter.com/Sifill_LDF/status/1375150224432316424?s=20
https://twitter.com/brhodes/status/1375150887060992001?s=20
This is pretty much the party line in the US, competition with China and the new cold war is about Democracy confronting Autocracy.

lol the last line of that NYT article i linked is :wow:

quote:

With each new twist in relations, however, clearer camps are emerging. “The Chinese mirror all the time,” Ms. Fallon said. “They always accuse people of Cold War thinking because I think that’s really, deep down, how they think.”

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

interesting to see who last year was saying the Autocracy vs Democracy line

New York Times writers
https://twitter.com/Abihabib/status/1273847619479990272?s=20

Michael McFaul talking about century long struggles
https://twitter.com/McFaul/status/1223350722927849472?s=20

Pelosi
https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1229064567910785025?s=20

Hong Kong activists
https://twitter.com/nathanlawkc/status/1341331021665619969?s=20

but just in 2019 even Foreign Affairs was saying this was a dumb analysis
https://twitter.com/ForeignAffairs/status/1148237067329114112?s=20

Grapplejack
Nov 27, 2007

also lol at the US picking india and being like 'ooh we support democracy'

man gently caress you Modi is a fascist

THS
Sep 15, 2017

Atrocious Joe posted:

Michael McFaul talking about century long struggles
https://twitter.com/McFaul/status/1223350722927849472?s=20

buddy i’ll give you 15 years and that’s being incredibly generous

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I am sure the GOP don't care about the democracy pitch, but what's the percentage of DEM who actually believe this poo poo? How do they explain the unholy alliance with Saudi Arabia? It was Jimmy Carter's idea too.

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?

Dreddout
Oct 1, 2015

You must stay drunk on writing so reality cannot destroy you.

Grapplejack posted:

also lol at the US picking india and being like 'ooh we support democracy'

man gently caress you Modi is a fascist

Yes but he's a democratically elected fascist, which makes him good.

whatever you do do not google 1932 german election

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





stephenthinkpad posted:

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?

Weaponised racism?

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

stephenthinkpad posted:

I am sure the GOP don't care about the democracy pitch, but what's the percentage of DEM who actually believe this poo poo? How do they explain the unholy alliance with Saudi Arabia? It was Jimmy Carter's idea too.

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Crusades

Not all the European crusades were against Abrahamic religions

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

stephenthinkpad posted:

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?

jihad

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

stephenthinkpad posted:

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?
i think it's just a crusade but the trap that china would fall into is to become just like their enemy to defeat him, mirroring the religion like the soviet union did. but if there are other gods and countries that worship those gods and they're not going to hell because of it, then the universalism of the crusading ideology that there is only one god (white jesus even though jesus wasn't actually white) will be destroyed because that universal god will become downgraded to a tribal god or perhaps a super saiyan



stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I was going to make a joke about the Chinese worship the atheist god of Karl Marx. On second thought, the Chinese should carry the torch of Yu the Great who was the original Chinese ancestor and essentially the God of Engineering. The great infrastructure of the east shall withstand the great financial shenanigans of the west.

stephenthinkpad has issued a correction as of 00:38 on Mar 30, 2021

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

stephenthinkpad posted:

I am sure the GOP don't care about the democracy pitch, but what's the percentage of DEM who actually believe this poo poo? How do they explain the unholy alliance with Saudi Arabia? It was Jimmy Carter's idea too.

Is there a word for crusade, but not against another Abrahamic religion, but against a different civilization?

Cuppy Tea was banned for saying the phrase "abrahamic religion," because apparently that phrase is antisemetic

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*
almost got me to check in on d&d's take on china.

not this time satan

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

Atrocious Joe posted:



but just in 2019 even Foreign Affairs was saying this was a dumb analysis
https://twitter.com/ForeignAffairs/status/1148237067329114112?s=20

i know of one country that has a history of actually doing this and its not china

quote:

a strategy to destroy democracy and promote autocracy

VideoTapir
Oct 18, 2005

He'll tire eventually.
I feel like the New Cold War propaganda against the autocratic enemy is not going to be as effective as the Old Cold War's was.

Like the material conditions for its complete mass acceptance just aren't there.

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy
america cant do a cold war with china and import cheap consumer goods to suppress the wages of the working class at the same time. i wonder which one will crack first

Prince Myshkin
Jun 17, 2018

Rutibex posted:

america cant do a cold war with china and import cheap consumer goods to suppress the wages of the working class at the same time. i wonder which one will crack first

The "right-wing populists" are trying to square this circle by decoupling the economy and bringing the starvation wages back home.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

stephenthinkpad posted:

I was going to make a joke about the Chinese worship the atheist god of Karl Marx. On second thought, the Chinese should carry the torch of Yu the Great who was the original Chinese ancestor and essentially the God of Engineering. The great infrastructure of the east shall withstand the great financial shenanigans of the west.
well i mean... if there is a giant karl marx head floating through the clouds, like zardoz

see:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovAoo4sMK0Y



you know what this says:

BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 02:14 on Mar 30, 2021

comedyblissoption
Mar 15, 2006

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

crepeface posted:

almost got me to check in on d&d's take on china.

not this time satan
goons are still making winnie the pooh jokes, like reddit. it's so played out at this point. what, he looks like an adorable teddy bear who children want to hug?

look at these guys, they're tripping out:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHUlLrjzj08&t=144s

BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 03:00 on Mar 30, 2021

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019
singing and clapping and choreography and joy and poo poo? no thanks I'll stick to good ol' american drab nihilism and stoic detachment

BaldDwarfOnPCP
Jun 26, 2019

by Pragmatica

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

goons are still making winnie the pooh jokes, like reddit. it's so played out at this point. what, he looks like an adorable teddy bear who children want to hug?

look at these guys, they're tripping out:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHUlLrjzj08&t=144s

nobody makes those jokes because they think it is the height of wit

they do it because at one point it was really getting under his skin

apparently he got better

e: like making fun of trump's baby hands

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

did it get under Xi's skin, or did some mid-level censor freak out about it and overreact

who knows

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
i don't think any of that winnie the pooh poo poo happened. whatever. you know i'm interested in aesthetics and political ethical systems though and i think communist leaders can be kinda maternalistic, in a way, their presentation is not xi as a top-down strongman. the party is presented as a nurturing, comforting, protective thing. mike pompeo when he called the CPC a "marxist-leninist regime" is closer to the truth than a lot of leftists are, which is why xi jinping shows up and tells soldiers that he's so proud of them for how brave they are, and how they're doing such a good job

it filled those guys with sunshine, because it's springtime:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7AShT1_3xDQ

and everyone will be big, beautiful flowers:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cBUdOVKFRqo

i don't think a lot of people know these references points though and where these traditions come from. the communist bloc during the cold war might've been mordor as far as most people outside it were concerned.

people also say china is going fascist? this was being broadcast on american T.V. last year:





https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRKzpp7w58o

BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 04:26 on Mar 30, 2021

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/DerekJGrossman/status/1376713914155556868

in the words of Mark Wahlberg in The Other Guys, this case is heating up faster than a junkie's spoon

SSJ_naruto_2003
Oct 12, 2012



bedpan posted:

Cuppy Tea was banned for saying the phrase "abrahamic religion," because apparently that phrase is antisemetic

That's what theyre called though

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

SSJ_naruto_2003 posted:

That's what theyre called though

CSPAM has many political prisoners.

Some Guy TT
Aug 30, 2011

https://mobile.twitter.com/BaaghiTV/status/1376786670167728131

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

gradenko_2000 posted:

https://twitter.com/DerekJGrossman/status/1376713914155556868

in the words of Mark Wahlberg in The Other Guys, this case is heating up faster than a junkie's spoon

It's all empty symbolic dick-waving and naval/aero brinksmanship until someone gets stupid enough to actually fire a shot, or cross a diplomatic red line. And I'm still skeptical of the latter.

Maximo Roboto posted:

That said, it's kind of funny because at this point I have to wonder if Taiwan declaring independence would mean anything. Forget materially- it wouldn't be even worth a drat diplomatically. The majority of nations will refuse to recognize an independent Taiwan for fear of upsetting China, and China as a P5 member will just block any attempt at U.N. recognition. Just ask Kosovo what international recognition is worth when that happens:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_Kosovo

Not that the PRC wouldn't use it as pretext for war, though. It's just funny how meaningless it is now, even symbolically.

Let's say both the governments of the ROC and the U.S. lose their heads. Taiwan declares independence and the U.S. recognizes them. Then what? They're not getting a U.N. seat with China's veto. They're not even getting an WHO seat. Neither NATO nations nor the Anglo cousins will join in on this. Unless the U.S. starts basing in Taiwan again, nothing would actually happen. I mean, China would probably get angry over it and use it as a pretext for military action, but no material consequence would have happened otherwise.

studio mujahideen
May 3, 2005

BaldDwarfOnPCP posted:

nobody makes those jokes because they think it is the height of wit

they do it because at one point it was really getting under his skin

apparently he got better

e: like making fun of trump's baby hands

yeah and the trump hands thing was funny for like 12 hours before it became extremely embarrassing

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

Maximo Roboto posted:

It's all empty symbolic dick-waving and naval/aero brinksmanship until someone gets stupid enough to actually fire a shot, or cross a diplomatic red line. And I'm still skeptical of the latter.


Let's say both the governments of the ROC and the U.S. lose their heads. Taiwan declares independence and the U.S. recognizes them. Then what? They're not getting a U.N. seat with China's veto. They're not even getting an WHO seat. Neither NATO nations nor the Anglo cousins will join in on this. Unless the U.S. starts basing in Taiwan again, nothing would actually happen. I mean, China would probably get angry over it and use it as a pretext for military action, but no material consequence would have happened otherwise.

The civil war will resume regardless. This poo poo is not getting resolved in the UN.

The only difference is how many country will support Taiwan. You pretty much know ASEAN and MENA will not take a side. US will take a side but probably only limited military support, Japan will provide logistic support. So really the main unknown are, will Europe take a side? And will US actually send the navy.

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

gradenko_2000 posted:

https://twitter.com/DerekJGrossman/status/1376713914155556868

in the words of Mark Wahlberg in The Other Guys, this case is heating up faster than a junkie's spoon

Yeah, but he is the US ambassedor to Palau. I am sure he has to explain to every person what "Palau" is in every party.

TeenageArchipelago
Jul 23, 2013


Varinn posted:

yeah and the trump hands thing was funny for like 12 hours before it became extremely embarrassing

It was really funny when Rubio brought it up in a debate and Trump said actually I have a big dick

Doktor Avalanche
Dec 30, 2008

little marco

america revitalizing democracy by devitalizing a whole lot of people all over the world

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

stephenthinkpad posted:

The civil war will resume regardless. This poo poo is not getting resolved in the UN.

Yeah, of course. My point is that even if it happened, the only impact on China is a loss of face. Economically and diplomatically other countries wouldn't pick Taiwan over the PRC. And sure, a loss of face and national pride is something significant enough to go to war over, but it's still all symbolism at the end and not an actual material threat to China.

I suppose someone could argue that if Taiwan was independent, it would be a pretext for the U.S. trying to subvert China further to carve out Tibet, Xinjiang, etc. as independent anti-Beijing states, but domino theory in Asia hasn't exactly turned out to be real.

stephenthinkpad posted:

The only difference is how many country will support Taiwan. You pretty much know ASEAN and MENA will not take a side. US will take a side but probably only limited military support, Japan will provide logistic support. So really the main unknown are, will Europe take a side? And will US actually send the navy.

Taiwan declaring independence would trigger enough of a reaction from the PRC government to declare war, but I still can't quite imagine how the average Chinese would feel about it. Even if the war is justified under China's diplomatic standards, it would be a very War on Iraq situation where a hostile state is preemptively invaded by a greater power. Taiwan declaring independence doesn't actually mean they fire the first shot or otherwise become a military threat to China more than they already are, unless they started basing U.S. troops.

While there would be a lot of patriotism, undoing the Century of Humiliation, etc., Chinese society would still end up having to wrestle with why two wealthy globally-integrated countries are choosing to blow each other up. And there's the fraternal element too, the PRC would label the Taiwanese hanjian and all that but at the end of the day everyone involved speaks Mandarin, shares the same customs, and are mostly the same ethnicity- there would be a weird dissonance there. Finally the CPC is all about stability- war anywhere is disruptive towards their development goals.

Ultimately I'm not saying a Sino-Taiwanese war is impossible, I just don't think anyone has any idea what it would look like. And the PRC government is probably less motivated towards it than their bluster would indicate.

Dreddout
Oct 1, 2015

You must stay drunk on writing so reality cannot destroy you.

Maximo Roboto posted:

Yeah, of course. My point is that even if it happened, the only impact on China is a loss of face. Economically and diplomatically other countries wouldn't pick Taiwan over the PRC. And sure, a loss of face and national pride is something significant enough to go to war over, but it's still all symbolism at the end and not an actual material threat to China.

I suppose someone could argue that if Taiwan was independent, it would be a pretext for the U.S. trying to subvert China further to carve out Tibet, Xinjiang, etc. as independent anti-Beijing states, but domino theory in Asia hasn't exactly turned out to be real.


Taiwan declaring independence would trigger enough of a reaction from the PRC government to declare war, but I still can't quite imagine how the average Chinese would feel about it. Even if the war is justified under China's diplomatic standards, it would be a very War on Iraq situation where a hostile state is preemptively invaded by a greater power. Taiwan declaring independence doesn't actually mean they fire the first shot or otherwise become a military threat to China more than they already are, unless they started basing U.S. troops.

While there would be a lot of patriotism, undoing the Century of Humiliation, etc., Chinese society would still end up having to wrestle with why two wealthy globally-integrated countries are choosing to blow each other up. And there's the fraternal element too, the PRC would label the Taiwanese hanjian and all that but at the end of the day everyone involved speaks Mandarin, shares the same customs, and are mostly the same ethnicity- there would be a weird dissonance there. Finally the CPC is all about stability- war anywhere is disruptive towards their development goals.

Ultimately I'm not saying a Sino-Taiwanese war is impossible, I just don't think anyone has any idea what it would look like. And the PRC government is probably less motivated towards it than their bluster would indicate.
Honestly even if Taiwan declared independence I think the PRC would stick to its current timetables for integration. The island ain't going anywhere, and the people on the island aren't gonna stop speaking mandarin.

What I could see happening is a doubling down of the 1 China policy. Countries that maintain unofficial diplomatic relations with taiwan might be strong armed into withdrawing by China.

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

Maximo Roboto posted:

Yeah, of course. My point is that even if it happened, the only impact on China is a loss of face. Economically and diplomatically other countries wouldn't pick Taiwan over the PRC. And sure, a loss of face and national pride is something significant enough to go to war over, but it's still all symbolism at the end and not an actual material threat to China.

I suppose someone could argue that if Taiwan was independent, it would be a pretext for the U.S. trying to subvert China further to carve out Tibet, Xinjiang, etc. as independent anti-Beijing states, but domino theory in Asia hasn't exactly turned out to be real.

I think the US of A as in 2021, the most powerful toolkit is in the financial sector. If the "unification of Taiwan island"happens, US IMO will not use her military asset but instead use her financial toolkit. Basically whatever US is doing to Huawei now, but do to half of the Chinese companies, if not all of them.


quote:

Taiwan declaring independence would trigger enough of a reaction from the PRC government to declare war, but I still can't quite imagine how the average Chinese would feel about it. Even if the war is justified under China's diplomatic standards, it would be a very War on Iraq situation where a hostile state is preemptively invaded by a greater power. Taiwan declaring independence doesn't actually mean they fire the first shot or otherwise become a military threat to China more than they already are, unless they started basing U.S. troops.

While there would be a lot of patriotism, undoing the Century of Humiliation, etc., Chinese society would still end up having to wrestle with why two wealthy globally-integrated countries are choosing to blow each other up. And there's the fraternal element too, the PRC would label the Taiwanese hanjian and all that but at the end of the day everyone involved speaks Mandarin, shares the same customs, and are mostly the same ethnicity- there would be a weird dissonance there. Finally the CPC is all about stability- war anywhere is disruptive towards their development goals.

Ultimately I'm not saying a Sino-Taiwanese war is impossible, I just don't think anyone has any idea what it would look like. And the PRC government is probably less motivated towards it than their bluster would indicate.

If you follow Chinse news of both side of the strait, you would know the mainlanders are pretty onboard with any reunification action because the DPP has said some pretty disrespectful things to the people of china. However, "it" is being proceed according the Xi Jinping schedule so it doesn't matter what the DPP is saying right now.

As for how it will unfold, IMO it will be done way more high tech than people think, just look at the recent Nagorno-Karabakh war.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Look at the "trade war", the reason the US didn't decouple its economy in the first place was because way way too many US businesses still source their goods from Chinese factories and I don't think Taiwanese unification would change that. Maybe some more tariffs/sanctions would be in place but ultimately business is business.

Also, again, the PRC would only need a blockade if it was really interested in action.

(Btw as far as the trade war goes, US-Chinese trade dipped in early 2020 due to the lockdown but now seems to be trending to somewhere between where it was in 2018/2019. Ultimately, the US-Chinese trade deficit may have been cut around 15% in total.)

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 19:27 on Mar 30, 2021

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Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

stephenthinkpad posted:

If you follow Chinse news of both side of the strait, you would know the mainlanders are pretty onboard with any reunification action because the DPP has said some pretty disrespectful things to the people of china. However, "it" is being proceed according the Xi Jinping schedule so it doesn't matter what the DPP is saying right now.

It's one to support it as a hypothetical, it's another to see ruined cities full of fellow Chinese and needless suffering spurred on not by actual military attack but a quixotic diplomatic move that only the U.S. and maybe the Vatican, at most, recognize. Taiwan as a "rogue state" looks very different from the actual "rogue states" that great powers have been loving with since the end of the Cold War, from Iraq to Ukraine.

stephenthinkpad posted:

As for how it will unfold, IMO it will be done way more high tech than people think, just look at the recent Nagorno-Karabakh war.

Yeah, it's possible. It would be pretty unprecedented in that it's an amphibious war + involve two sides that are both very developed industrialized countries, though.

Ardennes posted:

Also, again, the PRC would only need a blockade if it was really interested in action.

Yeah, agreed.

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