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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Posting articles and links without any kind of editorial viewpoint is huhwhat's whole gimmick, and it's the weirdest thing anybody does on this forum.

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BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/SpokespersonCHN/status/1422927791230570501

"brezhnev biden" following in hitler's footsteps in seeking world hegemony. compare the americans' words and deeds with the soviet revisionists and you can see that they are not only indulging in a hitler-like pipe dream of world domination but are behaving in a strikingly similar manner to achieve this wild ambition.

Not So Fast
Dec 27, 2007


Cao Ni Ma posted:

hey dude, I thought you were banned from this thread for doing the exact same thing already

I'd love to know how much of the "Chinese crackdown on feminism" is real, but a dump of random links out of nowhere is not a great way to start a conversation on it.

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

genericnick posted:

Did I miss anything, or where does this come from?





Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





idk if this video from 2017 of Mark Blyth speaking about China has been posted before, but I keep coming back to it, because I honestly feel like he's the only capitalist who actually knows what the gently caress he's talking about regarding Chinese economics (tho if there are others I would be glad to see them)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYgY7Jflz9w

I'm not quite as doompilled about the US economy as other folks itt, but I do feel like the US has absolutely no idea of what to do about China short of going to war with them, and if they haven't started poo poo by the time the GOP retakes the White House in 2024, then I'm pretty certain there'll be a hot war in the first few months of 2025

basically, we're all hosed

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
the disunity and incoherence and irrationality that keeps American capitalists tied to Chinese markets that can serve as a discouragement from an escalation into a war is also the same irrationality that could drive America to a series of uncontrolled escalations that triggers war anyway

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019
the economic interdependence theory didn’t stop WW1

genericnick
Dec 26, 2012


Ah thanks

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

Centrist Committee posted:

the economic interdependence theory didn’t stop WW1

Agreed, but think of WW1 and WW2 as continuation of one big war that was only stopped by the invention of nuclear bomb. There was slightly smaller scaled european war before WW1 anyway.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
I would say it is unlikely beyond just nuclear weapons, but it would require an actual flash point. The war games showed if anything Taiwan wouldn’t be much of a flashpoint simply because the conflict would be over before the US reacted. The only other thing I would for the USN to block access to the Indian Ocean but that is not really that workable on a long term basis.

HerraS
Apr 15, 2012

Looking professional when committing genocide is essential. This is mostly achieved by using a beret.

Olive drab colour ensures the genocider will remain hidden from his prey until it's too late for them to do anything.



economic interdependence meant jack poo poo when you had a bunch of neighboring powers who all had grudges with each other and quite a few of them were run by complete dipshit monarchs

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

HerraS posted:

economic interdependence meant jack poo poo when you had a bunch of neighboring powers who all had grudges with each other and quite a few of them were run by complete dipshit monarchs

The "economic interdependence" was also vastly overstated when these were directly competitive imperialist blocs. The Entente and the Central Powers all had ongoing competing interests all over the world, and bordering territories that could spark a conflict at any moment.

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
Was there actual large scaled world trade between the world powers pre ww1? Like the serious natural gas trade between Russia and Western Europe now that persuade nations not use war to settle conflicts? I have no idea what world trade was like before container shipping.

I am sure the elites were all buying Rolex watches and LV luggage cases, but that's nothing compare to today's trade volume.

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

The "economic interdependence" was also vastly overstated when these were directly competitive imperialist blocs. The Entente and the Central Powers all had ongoing competing interests all over the world, and bordering territories that could spark a conflict at any moment.

Competition over colonial prospects and geo political power balance games were directly responsible for creating the alliances that went to war with each other.

Buck Wildman
Mar 30, 2010

I am Metango, Galactic Governor



sounds p serious op

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018

The china thread has a huhwhat problem.

Southpaugh
May 26, 2007

Smokey Bacon


huhwhataboutisms

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010


I've seen that urban planning place he talks about, the model city is pretty cool ngl

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

Saw this on a different forum:

quote:

Lloyds of London will defeat the PRC. No shipping insurance in the warzone = no ship based imports exports into China. Economic crash ensues.

The PRC probably has some contingency for formalities like that but goes to show how complicated war can be when you're dealing with hugely interlocked advanced economies.

Scrree
Jan 16, 2008

the history of all dead generations,

Maximo Roboto posted:

Saw this on a different forum:

The PRC probably has some contingency for formalities like that but goes to show how complicated war can be when you're dealing with hugely interlocked advanced economies.

drat, I can't see any way out of that other than china massively investing in land-based transportation infrastructure

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
There still obviously was trade before World War 1 but it was also obviously more protectionist and most of the empires focused on inside their own territorial spaces.

That said, I don’t really see a clear way for a conflict to arise compared to the 20 year lead up to the First World War.

Also, honestly if there is money to be made shipping lines will switch insurance. The entire problem for the West is simply that Chinese trade is genuinely essential at this point.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 22:59 on Aug 6, 2021

Lyndon LaRouche
Sep 5, 2006

by Azathoth

Scrree posted:

drat, I can't see any way out of that other than china massively investing in land-based transportation infrastructure

Well fortunately they're doing exactly that! :)

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Maximo Roboto posted:

Saw this on a different forum:

The PRC probably has some contingency for formalities like that but goes to show how complicated war can be when you're dealing with hugely interlocked advanced economies.

yeah its called "owning boats of their own and just insuring themselves". lmao lloyds is not a supernational power broker

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

Scrree posted:

drat, I can't see any way out of that other than china massively investing in land-based transportation infrastructure

Obviously that's the long-term Belt and Road gambit but the South China Sea is still really important at present.

Raskolnikov38 posted:

yeah its called "owning boats of their own and just insuring themselves". lmao lloyds is not a supernational power broker

Maybe not intentionally, but it seems to be the sort of weird thing that could happen in the modern age, where vulture funds can gently caress with Argentina's economy and history could've gone differently in '08 if Barclays had been permitted to purchase Lehman Brothers. The financial system is a bizarro world and China is still coupled to it - for now.

Ardennes posted:

Also, honestly if there is money to be made shipping lines will switch insurance.

Yeah, that's the most likely result.

Lostconfused
Oct 1, 2008

Continuing with that fall of Japanese empire book, it really is just the war hawks responsible.

There's too many near misses and what might have beens, but there was no reason for Japan to start a war at that time. Even with all the things road blocking negotiations there was no reason for them to stop, and eventually some kind of understanding would have probably been reached. But the army constantly pushing for a preventative war and the navy being so enthralled by Togo's surprise attack that they just couldn't wait to start that poo poo.

Gene Hackman Fan
Dec 27, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Ardennes posted:

Also, honestly if there is money to be made shipping lines will switch insurance. The entire problem for the West is simply that Chinese trade is genuinely essential at this point.

Something about selling the rope by which they'll hang

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

the trade stuff seems more a weakness on China's part - they've been papering over growing social inequality and capital accumulation by export-driven growth.

there was talk about trying to accelerate the transition to a domestic consumption economic model but the politicos have given up on that happening anytime soon

*shrug* i have family in shanghai and guangzhou and the amount of wealth that some branches have lucked into through property and stock investments in the past twenty years is nuts

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

Wages have been growing very quickly in China.

Judakel
Jul 29, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
come on shrike put some effort into it

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, really phoning it in at this point.

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

it's been brought up quite a few times but western goons tend to focus on aspects of China's development which every Asian Tiger has gone through - focus on infrastructure spending, export-driven growth, growing middle class etc. None of which are particularly socialist

Singapore which is supposedly a neoliberal tax haven has 80% of the population living in public housing
Japan's thing has always been infrastructure spending

I guess if you've only lived in North America, it's a novelty

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

shrike82 posted:

focus on infrastructure spending, export-driven growth, growing middle class etc. None of which are particularly socialist

gently caress you, trains!

-Joseph Stalin

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

Also: "eliminating poverty isn't very socialist" is maybe the dumbest take on this website.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
"Singapore is a neoliberal tax haven" is a pretty hot take

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

I don't think so having actually spent time there but a lot of the Western posters here treat it as such :shrug:

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Singapore only has public housing because it's so loving tiny that if they left it up to markets all the laborers would be priced out of the country and have to live in Malaysia.

Palladium
May 8, 2012

Very Good
✔️✔️✔️✔️

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Singapore only has public housing because it's so loving tiny that if they left it up to markets all the laborers would be priced out of the country and have to live in Malaysia.

40% of the voters got fed up enough with the increasing neolib poo poo on the island too

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

Singapore only has public housing because it's so loving tiny that if they left it up to markets all the laborers would be priced out of the country and have to live in Malaysia.

Whatever the reason, they got some good looking public residential towers over there.

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Ardennes
May 12, 2002

gradenko_2000 posted:

"Singapore is a neoliberal tax haven" is a pretty hot take

I would say it greatly diminishes the fact that Singapore is still a huge manufacturing center and port.

Everything else has been discussed and rediscussed dozens of times at this point.

stephenthinkpad posted:

Whatever the reason, they got some good looking public residential towers over there.

They do, but it doesn’t really say that much about Singapore as a model beyond the fact they were a little more cagey than some of their rivals.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 03:38 on Aug 7, 2021

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