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Woo-hoo, over .500 on overall bets!
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Sep 19, 2021 06:33
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I just finished a bottle of scotch. Here is my picks for Sunday. 5k on o48 in the Cleveland/Texans game. 5k on o49 in the niners/ eagles game.
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Sep 19, 2021 07:02
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My final selections for today Chubb over 89.5 yards Broncos -6 Pats -6 Steelers -5.5 Rams/Panthers/Bucs/Chiefs 7 point teaser +180, yes I teased through 0 twice One interesting thing that jumped out to me last night, figured I'd mention here since it surprised me: Denver was by far the worst in the league last year in turnover differential at -16 with 23 ints and 9 fumbles. The next worst teams were the 49ers (17 ints 14 fumbles) and the Raiders (10 ints 16 fumbles) at -11. Top ranked are the Titans at +11. Obviously we have that baseline idea of each team in our heads, based in part on the results we saw from each last year. Keeping this in mind for Denver specifically going forward, just getting those turnovers under control to some degree will increase their performance by a ton.
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Sep 19, 2021 14:22
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There isn't really an upset ML pick I feel great about this week, Vikings(+165), Titans(+220) and Bengals(+110) are the ones I can make a good case for. Bengals +2 Raiders +8 Rams -4 Saints -3 Broncos -6 Raiders line specifically seems like bullshit to me, that game is being decided by a FG
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Sep 19, 2021 17:32
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Yeah I didn't feel like getting in on the Steelers at -6.5, 5.5 got me in and 8 for the Raiders seems like a good enough bet. Was close to taking the Cowboys ML but backed out entirely on that game instead. Added Cowboys +3 and Chiefs points over 28.5 tonight TASTE THE PAIN!! fucked around with this message at 21:38 on Sep 19, 2021 |
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Sep 19, 2021 17:58
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Caesars has a very stupid promotion where if you get 10 of 14 spread bets correct, you get a free $2,500. I have 9 wins going into SNF with Chiefs -3.5
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Sep 20, 2021 00:54
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I discovered that the site I use for betting added teasers for this NFL season, all I have left is Chiefs +3.5 to win a 5/1 teaser.
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Sep 20, 2021 00:57
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try the new taco place posted:Caesars has a very stupid promotion where if you get 10 of 14 spread bets correct, you get a free $2,500. Good luck, fellow goon.
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Sep 20, 2021 02:17
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Well I still won a bunch
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Sep 20, 2021 08:30
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This is the kind of thinking that loses me money sometimes, but Jamaal Williams is a +240 anytime TD scorer going up against his old team, that's tempting for me. Seems like Campbell has said some glowing things about him too and he got one last week. Hockenson isn't too bad at +200 and Cobb is +290. Even though he had only one target last week, I could see Cobb getting in on the fun if Green Bay are scoring a lot, Rodgers wanting to get it to him for the R E L A X factor. Also the Lions team total is only 17 -120
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Sep 20, 2021 14:17
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What sites do you guys use for betting? I used bookmaker for a long time before it became legal in my state but they don't have good promos or props. Is Draftkings any good? They are currently advertising like crazy on the radio around here
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Sep 20, 2021 15:45
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Rufio posted:What sites do you guys use for betting? Draft Kings is my main bookie and they're fine, app can be a little slow if you're live betting but other then that they're pretty good.
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Sep 20, 2021 15:55
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I use FanDuel but both are fine. They almost always have offers for new sign ups so make sure you are getting something out of joining.
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Sep 20, 2021 17:31
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Rufio posted:What sites do you guys use for betting? Pokerstars cause I'm a dirty European Also, I've chucked some money on the Panthers winning the NFC South @8.5 with the idea of cashing the bet out as the odds shorten. I don't think they'll beat the Bucs, but I do think they're overpriced (and they've moved into ~6 just from beating the Saints)
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Sep 20, 2021 22:37
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GB DET over 49 Jared Goff over 35.5 pass attempts DET over 17.5
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Sep 20, 2021 23:57
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got 750 on detroit +11 6-1 for the season. here's hoping goff can do things.
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Sep 21, 2021 00:15
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Riding three units of DET ML +700. Pray for me tonight. A bunch of other boosts and such that are pro-Packers, so it’ll hedge out some.
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Sep 21, 2021 00:35
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https://twitter.com/benbbaldwin/status/1440126294155350022?s=20 i get they're running against this defense that really opens up the running game, but this is nuts
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Sep 21, 2021 02:42
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DariusLikewise posted:GB DET over 49 Cant believe we got a goose eggs out of the lions in the second half
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Sep 21, 2021 04:09
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Do any of the online sites offer lightning bets? I just found out about this and want to dabble. My bookie is afraid to take the action.
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Sep 21, 2021 04:33
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Unreal. Can't see myself backing Detroit again in any fashion anytime soon. Credit to the bookmakers where it's due, just when you think you have an easy winner something like that happens.
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Sep 21, 2021 04:37
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TASTE THE PAIN!! posted:Unreal. Can't see myself backing Detroit again in any fashion anytime soon. I mean... have you watched football in the past 70 years? Detroit loving the dog in the third quarter is something to be relied upon.
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Sep 21, 2021 15:10
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Hammering down on Carolina -8
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Sep 22, 2021 21:49
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WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS UNC-Charlotte (-3) Mississippi State (+2.5) Utah State (+9) Arkansas (+4.5) Kansas State (+6)
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Sep 23, 2021 19:57
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DariusLikewise posted:Hammering down on Carolina -8 Have also taken this action so get ready for the panthers to poo poo the bed
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Sep 23, 2021 23:23
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Quick looks, definitely teasing the Panthers tonight, not sure with what quite yet. Darnold rushing yards line is set at only 6.5, he definitely likes to run a little, though now that he's no longer a Jet he probably doesn't need to scramble as much. Nevertheless, this would go over in 8 of the 12 games he played last year. e: For teaser partners take your pick, Cards Ravens Bills Browns? Falcons? I settled on Panthers Cards Bills. And I like under 55.5 for Rams/Bucs TASTE THE PAIN!! fucked around with this message at 01:18 on Sep 24, 2021 |
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Sep 24, 2021 00:56
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TASTE THE PAIN!! posted:Quick looks, definitely teasing the Panthers tonight, not sure with what quite yet. Darnold rushing yards line is set at only 6.5, he definitely likes to run a little, though now that he's no longer a Jet he probably doesn't need to scramble as much. Nevertheless, this would go over in 8 of the 12 games he played last year. I'm doing a same game parlay of Panthers covering, DJ Moore scoring anytime and over 255 sam darnold passing yards +475.
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Sep 24, 2021 01:06
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TASTE THE PAIN!! posted:Quick looks, definitely teasing the Panthers tonight, not sure with what quite yet. Darnold rushing yards line is set at only 6.5, he definitely likes to run a little, though now that he's no longer a Jet he probably doesn't need to scramble as much. Nevertheless, this would go over in 8 of the 12 games he played last year. I think Rams/Bucs is going over, Tampa Bay has a suspect secondary and Brady’s playstyle is perfect to exploit the way the Rams play defense.
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Sep 24, 2021 02:03
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DariusLikewise posted:I think Rams/Bucs is going over, Tampa Bay has a suspect secondary and Brady’s playstyle is perfect to exploit the way the Rams play defense. Honestly you may be right about Rams/Bucs, just not sure if I'll cash it out yet or stick with it. It's strictly a sort of playoff matchup type hunch for me. Rams are another solid teaser option, if it were the Bucs getting a point I'd tease them instead. e: And added Falcons +3
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Sep 24, 2021 13:30
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Edward Mass posted:WEEK 4 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS I'm moneylining Arkansas but otherwise like these. I'm taking the under on boise Utah St instead of the spread, but similar idea. Also taking west virginia+17 and under 70 on wake forest/UVA.
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Sep 24, 2021 19:20
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G-Hawk posted:I'm moneylining Arkansas but otherwise like these. I'm taking the under on boise Utah St instead of the spread, but similar idea. Tailed you on all of these (Arkansas ML, under Boise, WVU +17, under Wake Forest). Cheers man — made a lot of money today. Unfortunately, my big parlay included those and Michigan to cover. Felt great about it at halftime too. That loving second half. Wish I would’ve done some round robin bets or something.
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Sep 26, 2021 04:23
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Cardinals/Ravens/Saints/Bills/Rams/Packers teaser(+6.5) -7 Bills +3 Packers +7.5 Bears -7.5 Cardinals Saints +125 Chargers +240
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Sep 26, 2021 06:12
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Like the saints, going for Chiefs/Ravens/Cards/Saints/Broncos to win and Chargers +6.5, Saints +3 and Colts +5.5 to cover
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Sep 26, 2021 10:00
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5k on browns o44.5
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Sep 26, 2021 12:45
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Thanks for Arkansas yesterday, don't watch or bet on college really, but I know there's a lot of good opportunities over there. This was one of them but I chickened out on the ML and just grabbed em at +5.5. We'll take it! Falcons +3 turning out to be my big straight bet of the week, got a couple teasers that rely on the Bills and I also have a unit on them at -7. Also a unit on my Jets +10.5 cause I simply cannot resist.
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Sep 26, 2021 15:35
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Theme for today is betting against bad/backup quarterbacks. LV -3.5 TEN -5.5 ARI -7.5 Trevor Lawrence under 249.5 yards passing Zach Wilson under 210.5 yards passing Also a single game parlay for ARI/JAX that essentially amounts to “Murray and the Cardinals go off and win by multiple touchdowns”.
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Sep 26, 2021 16:53
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Well the last minute of that half could not have gone worse
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Sep 26, 2021 19:27
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Bless you Justin Tucker, the teaser savior. And the godawful Falcons came through against the somehow more godawful Giants.
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Sep 26, 2021 21:26
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Aggro posted:Theme for today is betting against bad/backup quarterbacks. Learned a valuable lesson about teasing lines over to the other side of a field goal, but otherwise a good day.
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Sep 27, 2021 00:51
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DariusLikewise posted:Cardinals/Ravens/Saints/Bills/Rams/Packers teaser(+6.5) Feeling pretty good about this. The thing about the Bears game is I expected Justin Fields to be decent at least and the Bears defense to handle the rest. The game was never really out of hand for the Bears until the 4th when their defense clearly gave up. Just need Packers +9.5 to hit a sick teaser.
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Sep 27, 2021 01:37
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